突发：美联储的米兰表示本月应降息50个基点。这非常看涨！ | Bit_Rase发布于币安广场

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突发：
美联储的米兰表示本月应降息50个基点。
这非常看涨！

免责声明：含第三方意见，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。详见《条款和条件》。

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Metaplanet preferred stock buys BTC, but the stock price has fallen below net asset value Metaplanet learns from MicroStrategy, issues preferred stock to buy BTC, claiming it does not dilute common stock. Theoretically no problem: using preferred stock financing to buy BTC, when BTC rises, the number of BTC held per share increases, and the stock price should rise. But the market doesn't buy it. The stock price has fallen below mNAV (adjusted net asset value). This indicates that investors either do not believe BTC will rise, or do not trust the management can execute this strategy well. The Japanese market is not very enthusiastic about crypto, and regulation is strict. Metaplanet wants to replicate MicroStrategy's success in Japan, which is very difficult. I think this company is a bit awkward. When BTC rises, it rises; when BTC falls, it falls more. It doesn't reflect any extra value.

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Can ETH beat BTC? Tom Lee says $60,000 by 2030 | I think it's unlikely Tom Lee is out again making predictions, saying ETH could reach $60,000 by 2030. The reason is the trend of tokenization, growth in developers, and Ethereum will surpass Bitcoin like Wall Street surpasses gold. ETH vs BTC market value comparison (billion dollars) To be honest, I hold both coins. But when it comes to whether ETH can surpass BTC, I have my doubts. The positioning of BTC is very clear: digital gold, a store of value. This narrative is simple and powerful, and the whole world can understand it. What about ETH? It is a platform, infrastructure, and its value depends on the prosperity of applications. The problem is that now Layer 2, Solana, and even Bitcoin Layer 2 are competing for the ecosystem. The moat of ETH is not as wide as imagined. Tokenization is indeed a major trend, but it doesn't necessarily have to run entirely on Ethereum. BlackRock can choose Ethereum or other chains. The increase in the number of developers to 16,000 is a good thing, but developers ≠ value. We need to see if these developers can create truly useful applications and attract capital inflow. Tom Lee says BTC can reach $2.1 million. If this happens, based on market cap ratio, ETH reaching $60,000 is indeed possible. But the premise for all this is: both coins need to continue to rise, and by a significant amount.

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Anchorage Digital is doing wire transfers, the only federally chartered crypto bank in the US is making big moves. Anchorage Digital has launched global US dollar wire transfer services. It may not sound like much, but this is significant. It is the only federally chartered crypto bank in the United States. Previously, institutions needed to manage crypto assets and fiat currency by opening two accounts: one traditional bank account and one crypto custody account. It was a hassle. Now Anchorage says: You can put both your money and crypto here, and I can handle it all. US dollar wire transfers, crypto custody, and interest on stablecoins, all in one go. This is incredibly attractive for institutional clients. Compliance, convenience, and the ability to earn interest on stablecoins. In the future, they will also launch interest-bearing dollar accounts.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut 25bp or 50bp? What is BTC betting on? Identity: Macroeconomic Observer The entire crypto market is now watching the Federal Reserve. Whether it’s 25 basis points or 50 basis points, this is not just a numbers game. Impact of rate cut scenario on BTC (expected rise and fall %) 25bp is a routine operation, and the market has already priced it in. There won't be much turbulence; BTC may rise slightly by 3-5%. But 50bp is different. Such a large rate cut indicates that either the Federal Reserve sees economic problems that we do not, or they want to stimulate the economy before a recession. In the short term, a 50bp rate cut is definitely positive. Liquidity will come in suddenly, and with nowhere else for the money to go, it will naturally flow into risk assets. BTC may surge. But what about the long term? If interest rates are lowered because the economy is really not doing well, then there may be more problems to come. By that time, even if rates are cut, the market may not necessarily accept it. $BTC $ETH

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Fear index drops to 22, is Bitcoin about to bottom? The cryptocurrency fear and greed index has recently fallen below 25, entering the extreme fear zone, with an index value of only 22. This is the lowest level in six months and the lowest since April of this year. It seems that market sentiment is quite pessimistic. From historical experience, when this index drops into the extreme fear range, it is often related to a market phase bottom. This has been the case in past cycles; when everyone panics to the extreme, smart money starts to enter the market, and subsequently, the market usually welcomes a rebound. So now that the index has dropped to 22, some analysts believe this could be a buying signal. Some opinions even suggest that, in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty, Bitcoin may gradually exhibit characteristics of a safe-haven asset. Although the price has fallen, it is relatively stable, which may indicate that opportunities are emerging. That said, judging the market bottom based solely on this one indicator is still a bit risky. Concerns about the macro economy still exist, including credit risk, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties in Federal Reserve policies; these factors are still affecting the market. $BTC

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