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CryptonianAlgo
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摩根大通经济学家预测美联储降息
根据BlockBeats的报道,摩根大通的迈克尔·费罗利预计美联储将在下周将利率下调25个基点,降至4.0%至4.25%的区间。他预计会有两到三位持异议的成员主张进一步降息,而没有成员可能支持维持当前利率。点阵图预计将显示2025年之后的进一步降息。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。 详见《条款和条件》。
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Crypto Is Not Dead — But It’s Under Serious Structural Stress 9 November 2025 | Market Insight Despite the panic headlines, crypto isn’t dead — it’s in a major correction phase. After hitting all-time highs in early October, Bitcoin now trades near $100,000 and Ethereum around $3,400, down sharply but still commanding trillion-dollar market caps. The selloff was driven by macro de-risking, institutional profit-taking, and the rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) that intensified selling pressure. Add in leverage unwinds and regulatory uncertainty, and it’s clear why the market feels broken — but it’s not gone. Speculative tokens and weak projects are collapsing, yet core networks, institutional infrastructure, and developer activity remain strong. Regulatory shifts toward rule-making, rather than enforcement, could actually support long-term recovery. Bottom line: crypto is wounded, not dead. The market is transitioning from hype-driven growth to a utility-driven, regulated era — painful in the short term, but essential for sustainable progress.
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Crypto Is Not Dead — But It’s Under Serious Structural Stress
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BTC Cup & Handle in the Offing — Or Are New Patterns Taking Over? Bitcoin’s chart is sparking debate as analysts weigh the fading influence of a possible *Cup and Handle* pattern against fresh bullish setups that may define October’s price action. --- Cup and Handle Outlook Back in June 2025, BTC/USD was flagged with a Cup and Handle structure after a retreat from $111,900 to $105,000**. The 30% depth projected a breakout target near **$144,000**. On larger timeframes, a multi-year Cup and Handle was also identified, with the breakout said to have occurred between **November 2024 and early 2025** when Bitcoin crossed **$70,000–$76,000** resistance. While this longer-term setup remains valid, the daily chart now points to other key patterns. --- New Bullish Patterns in Play Double Bottom: BTC has formed troughs around **$113,000** with neckline resistance near **$117,300**. A confirmed breakout could target **$127,500**. * **Inverted Head-and-Shoulders:** A similar neckline zone (**$117,300–117,400**) aligns with projections near **$127,459**, adding confluence to the bullish case. Bullish Flag: Previously noted in June, still seen as a supporting continuation signal. --- Technical & Macro Signals RSI has turned upward from neutral, hinting at a momentum shift. MACD bearish pressure is easing, with potential for a bullish crossover. BTC is trading above the 50-day EMA and 23.6% Fib retracement, strengthening the short-term outlook. Seasonality favors the bulls: historically, October closes positive 73% of the time. Macro sentiment is supported by the recent U.S. government shutdown*, increased institutional participation, and liquidity from stablecoins --- Conclusion While the Cup and Handle may have played its role earlier in 2025, current price action is defined by a Double Bottom and Inverted Head-and-Shoulders, both pointing toward **$125,000–$127,500** if neckline resistance at **$117,300–117,400** is cleared. With Bitcoin trading around **$116,542**, October could once again prove to be a historically strong month for BTC.
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its gonna be a game changer
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good read
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