📣 After 6 consecutive weeks of positive inflows, last week Bitcoin ETFs finally recorded a very strong negative flow of up to 1 billion USD, with extremely high trading volume exceeding $100 billion for the week.
👉 The Fear & Greed Index also dropped to the 38–39 range, entering the mild fear zone.
👉 In my view, this is a very healthy and strong price correction after an entire month of only upward moves for BTC. This kind of shakeout is necessary for $BTC medium-term uptrend over the next 6 months — it helps flush out weak-handed short-term traders, especially those who are overexposed to altcoins and trying to ride the Bitcoin wave.
💡 Hold as many $BTC as you possibly can, and limit your exposure to altcoins — especially those outside the top 10.
📣 On Tuesday, May 19, there will be a Zest Protocol $ZEST airdrop opportunity on Binance Alpha.
👉 Pre-announced deals are usually good ones (usually, not 100% guaranteed though). Everyone get your points ready to claim !!! Hope it will be like $GENIUS . If it is like $BILL , It will be amazing
😮 Currently, the 2,000 $BILL airdropped on Binance Alpha is worth $420 USD. Some people are both showing off and expressing regret on X, saying they received over 100,000 $BILL directly from Billions Network’s airdrop, but the tokens are locked until October. At the current price, this airdrop is valued between $200,000 and $270,000 USD. However, this is only paper value, as no one knows where the price of BILL will be by October.
👉 Right now, on both the H1 and H4 timeframes, the RSI indicator on the BILL price chart has once again shown a very strong bearish divergence (top divergence). The question is whether BILL can break this bearish divergence this time and surge strongly again, just like it did from the $0.15 zone up to the current $0.20 zone. After all, there is virtually no selling pressure from airdropped coins — the key factor is simply whether the market makers want to keep pushing the price higher or not.
Alpha Fi
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💡 Continued update on $BILL
😮 Honestly, it’s been a really long time — probably close to a year — since I last saw a coin (or a stock) that could break the RSI divergence on the H4 timeframe. Yesterday at this exact time, when the price was stuck hovering between 0.147–0.15 and RSI was just oscillating around the 70 level, I was expecting a price correction. But BILL’s Market Maker team completely surprised everyone, especially those who were trying to short BILL.
👉 Right now, the price has shot up to 0.183, briefly touching as high as 0.2 USD. The RSI on the H4 chart has reached 79, which is still higher than the previous nearest RSI peak on this timeframe (77.9).I don’t know how much further the market makers will push BILL, because there is currently no new supply entering the market, while most people who received the Binance Alpha airdrop have already sold everything.
🤪 At the current price, the recent BILL airdrop for the Binance Alpha community is now worth more than $360.
🔥 One-time opportunity to claim 5 Alpha points during the period from 0:00 UTC on May 14 to 23:59 UTC on May 27, 2026.
How to participate: 👉 Open the Binance Web3 Wallet, use the Swap function, and make a swap of at least 50 USD to buy any token in the Alpha category. Swap a little extra to be safe. Example: Swap 51 USDT for $ST , or 0.076 $BNB for $BILL
Important Notes: 👉 You MUST use the Swap function. Limit orders placed in the Binance Web3 Wallet will not be counted.
👉 Each wallet can only receive points once during this period. Therefore, choose your swap timing carefully to maximize your chances of qualifying for upcoming airdrops.
👉 Be careful not to accidentally swap into scam tokens that have similar names to the legitimate Alpha tokens.
😮 Honestly, it’s been a really long time — probably close to a year — since I last saw a coin (or a stock) that could break the RSI divergence on the H4 timeframe. Yesterday at this exact time, when the price was stuck hovering between 0.147–0.15 and RSI was just oscillating around the 70 level, I was expecting a price correction. But BILL’s Market Maker team completely surprised everyone, especially those who were trying to short BILL.
👉 Right now, the price has shot up to 0.183, briefly touching as high as 0.2 USD. The RSI on the H4 chart has reached 79, which is still higher than the previous nearest RSI peak on this timeframe (77.9).I don’t know how much further the market makers will push BILL, because there is currently no new supply entering the market, while most people who received the Binance Alpha airdrop have already sold everything.
🤪 At the current price, the recent BILL airdrop for the Binance Alpha community is now worth more than $360.
💡 $BILL has reached an FDV of up to 1.47 billion USD, which has likely far exceeded most people’s expectations (including mine).
👉 However, when looking at the price charts on both the H1 and H4 timeframes, although the price has been continuously rising, it remains hesitant and has not been able to fully break through the $0.15 zone. At the same time, RSI has shown very clear bearish divergence on both timeframes, indicating that buying pressure and upward momentum have weakened significantly.When $BILL first hit the $0.12 level, the RSI on H1 and H4 stood at 83 and 78 respectively. Now the price has once again reached $0.147, but the RSI on those same timeframes has dropped to just 63 and 70 respectively.
👉 Note: This is a signal showing weakening buying power, meaning a price correction could occur at any time. So don’t be stupid and short BILL. In an uptrend, you should only be buying and looking for opportunities to buy (if you want to trade).
📣 So, we’ve now had five consecutive weeks of positive inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. Last week’s inflows were particularly strong, reaching up to $622 million. That’s why $BTC has continued to hold firmly above $80k, and many altcoins have followed Bitcoin’s lead during this rally and consolidation phase.
👉 Some notable large-cap coins — Layer 1s of their respective ecosystems — surged very strongly last week, such as $TON and $SUI . Even BNB outperformed BTC, posting a strong breakout after 3–4 weeks of quietly trailing behind Bitcoin’s growth.
👉 We have a significant resistance zone ahead, as a large amount of BTC was previously accumulated in the $86k–$90k range (according to on-chain data). It will be interesting to see how price reacts when BTC approaches this area again.
👍 Of course, everyone wants Bitcoin to keep rising, but the financial market doesn’t always deliver just because we want it to.
❓What coins is everyone currently trading to farm Binance Alpha?
🤔 Lately, both $OPG and $ST have been costing me much more in fees than my usual daily average. Normally, I only spend around 1.2 - 1.7 USD in fees for a 33k USD trading volume, but now it’s costing me 2 - 3 USD for the same volume.
If you’re also only trading these two coins, what time do you usually trade every day? Please use UTC time so we’re all on the same page. 👍 Thank you for your contributions !
💡 Don’t even think about shorting a coin like $TON when it has such an extremely strong uptrend on the daily timeframe, with the RSI closing at 92 on yesterday’s candle. 👉 Sure, it may have a mild correction, but always stick to the principle “trend is your friend”. With an uptrend this strong like TON, you only have two choices: either stay out completely, or only buy/long — or wait for a good opportunity to buy/long.
Are you holding too many Altcoins? How do you manage risk with the percentage allocation of coins?
💡 Are you holding too many Altcoins? How do you manage risk with the percentage allocation of coins in your account? 😬 80-90% of retail investors in the market (including myself back in the day) hold way too many altcoins. That’s exactly why 80-90% of people in crypto end up losing money — from minor losses to very heavy ones. 👉 After going through the 2021 bull run, my principle for managing coins in a portfolio became very simple: Hold as much $BTC as possible. Don’t allocate more than 5% to any altcoins outside the top 5 (excluding stablecoins), unless it’s from an airdrop — and even then, don’t hold airdrop coins for too long. You can use the market dominance percentages of coins as a reference for your own allocation, with a flexibility of around ±5-10%. For example: If BTC.D is currently at 60%, ETH.D at 11%, and BNB.D at 4%, then your portfolio could hold BTC at 50-70%, $ETH at 10-20%, and $BNB B at 10-15%. The rest can be allocated to other altcoins if you want. 👉 I entered the crypto market in 2017. That same year, I lost money chasing the ETH top at around $1,200 (yes, that price is now considered ETH’s bottom). I came back in 2019 and only DCA into ETH. By 2020, I added BTC to my DCA. These two coins were what helped my account break even during the 2022 bear market. Meanwhile, most of the altcoins I threw money at in 2021 got wrecked — many dropped 4-10x. In 2021, only BNB performed exceptionally well, and I was lucky to buy it between $60–$120. 👉 Drawing from the experience of the 2022–2025 cycle, I continued focusing on DCA and holding just these three coins, while grinding airdrops to earn extra money to buy more of them. Although my profit in the recent 2025 bull run wasn’t as high as I had hoped, at least I still made money. And I fully withdrew my capital from the market starting in 2024. 👍 Just keep moving forward steadily. After 5 years, when you look back, you’ll realize how far you’ve come. Everyone wants to hold lots of altcoins to get rich quick and grow their account fast, but that’s the fastest way to destroy your portfolio. "Get rich slowly."
💡 Continuing the article on "Trend is Friend". 👉 The other day, when I posted about how people love going against the trend of coins that are surging extremely hard like $BABY and $RAVE . At the time I published the post, BABY was sitting at $0.021, yet many people still deliberately shorted it. Right now, BABY is only at $0.017. Yes, it has dropped, and it has officially entered a downtrend. But if you look back, before falling to this level, it had pumped straight up to $0.03199 — a 50% increase. This means that if you used just 2x leverage and shorted without a stop-loss, your position would have definitely been liquidated.
👉 The same thing happened with RAVE. I saw so many people shorting it in the $2–$4 range, thinking it couldn’t go any higher. It then pumped all the way to $28 before pulling back to the current $0.7 area. Of course, the exchange and the market makers took all that money.Right now, newbies who haven’t been burned by these two coins are thinking… they should open Long positions on coins like this, because “it’s already dropped so deep, it can’t possibly go any lower” :|.
👉 Meanwhile, those who already lost on them are now chasing other hot coins on the market to prove they’re right — like $DOGS or coins in the TON ecosystem that are pumping hard at the moment.
🧐 In this market, do you want to be right, or do you want to make money? The answer is up to you.
💡 There is no (or no longer any) selling pressure from the airdrop (from both Binance Alpha and the Billions Network project itself), yet $BILL is still being steadily pushed upward.
👉 However, looking at the candle strength and the RSI indicator on the H1 timeframe, I can clearly see a noticeable weakening in the current uptrend. On the H4 and Daily timeframes, there is still too little data to draw any firm conclusions.
🙃 Does anyone here still hold $BILL ? This is airdrop worth 100$ in Binance Alpha at this time
💡 Let's look back at what happened in the 24 hours after Billions Network airdropped $BILL : - NFT Hodler: 0 tokens - Super OG: around $200 - OG role: 0 - Testnet users: 99% not eligible, or 100 - 800 $BILL - Yapper: 100 - 2,000 $ - And most notably, winners of the airdrop must stake their BILL until October to be able to claim it — there are no other options.
👉 Looking at this, even though I haven’t sold my BILL at the peak yet, I still feel much better off than many of you who had to grind hard for the airdrop, only to end up with nothing or having to lock your BILL until October. Not to mention the mountain of complicated procedures required just to register for the claim.
👍 Farming Alpha points to hunt airdrops on Binance Alpha remains the smartest choice for the past year and more.
📣 For those who staked 150 $ST for the Binance Web3 Wallet Booster Phase 3, you can now unstake and sell your tokens (If you want).
👉 The price of Sentio is currently about 20% higher than when we bought it for the mission.
👉 Not only did we get to participate in the booster, but we also made a nice little profit after just one week. Really happy with this result even with small amount! 🥰
Alpha Fi
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🔥 Yesterday, Sentio suddenly pumped to the $0.1 region in just couple hours. I’m wondering if it’s because of the ongoing booster event on the Binance Web3 wallet. Users need to stake a minimum of 150 $ST and lock it for 7 days to participate. That’s probably why market makers pumped the price — they knew there wouldn’t be much selling pressure.Anyone who wanted to sell has already sold (I also sold the $ST I bought in the Pre-TGE round at $0.17).
👉 Those who bought $ST to join Booster Phase 2 have already staked and locked their tokens, so selling pressure is currently negligible.
👉 The concern is whether the price will still hold around this level in 3 days when I unlock my $ST. At the moment, I’m already up about 25% from my purchase price. However, looking at the candle action and the 1H RSI, it seems the upward momentum of ST has weakened significantly after just one night.
💡 I placed an OCO order and got hit by the stoploss on $BILL at 0.0295. What a shame. But at least I didn’t sell my BILL right at the bottom zone of 0.02–0.022.
👉 When BILL was freshly listed on Binance Alpha, I saw the price stuck in the 0.02–0.022 range for over 10 minutes. I immediately thought of the $GENIUS situation, so I set up an OCO order with TP around 0.045–0.06. I planned to trail both the stoploss and TP higher depending on how far the price ran. When the price first hit 0.032, I moved my stoploss up to 0.0295, and the order was triggered right after.
👍 Even though the price is still being pumped higher, I’m pretty regretful. But I accept it — this is the risk management I chose for my airdrop tokens.
In next 30 minutes, 2000 $BILL will be airdropped on Binance Alpha for who has 220 Alpha point or above. Set your alarm to claim Billions Network airdrop now
Alpha Fi
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📣 Next Monday, Billions Network will officially launch its TGE and have an airdrop on Binance Alpha.
👉 Billions Network $BILL has been quite well-known, but I haven't farmed this one. It operates in the Digital Identity Verification space.
👉 With these hyped projects like this, don't set your expectations too high, because they often turn out to be duds.
📣 Bitcoin ETF cash flows last week remained positive overall. Although there was moderate selling pressure from major funds like BlackRock and Fidelity in the first three days of the week, strong positive inflows returned on Friday with nearly $630 million USD — more than enough to fully offset the outflows from earlier in the week.
👉 As a result, we have now recorded five consecutive weeks of positive flows into $BTC ETFs. Looking back further, in the past 10 weeks there has been only one week of negative flows, and even then the outflow was not significant. $BTC also closed April with a solid +12% gain.
👉 However, it is clear that confidence has not yet returned to retail investors. The inflows are still primarily driven by institutional funds and organizations.
💡The basic principle in trading is "Trend is your friend.
👉 "From last night until this morning, I witnessed several Altcoins pumping extremely hard by following BTC’s trend. However, instead of buying in or going long along with the trend — or simply staying out if it looked too risky — many people chose to heavily short these coins like $BABY , $LUNC , and even $GENIUS , which is currently very hot with 4x volume on Binance Alpha.
👉 Their mindset is quite naive. They think the price is already high and “can’t go any higher,” so they keep shorting these coins, often without a stop-loss, resulting in blown accounts. Previously, RAVE sent countless shorters packing because it went straight from 0.5 to 28 USD. If you were short during that move, no amount of money could withstand it.
👉 My principle is very simple: “Trend is your friend”. Especially on charts where the RSI is hovering around 80 or even above 90 like $BABY right now — you absolutely should not short.