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📈 15 порад для прибуткового криптотрейдингу у 2025–2026 роках
$BTC $XRP $SOL Торгівля криптовалютами — це не казино і не швидкі гроші. Це високоризикова професія, де 90–95 % новачків втрачають депозит у перший рік. Але якщо підходити до справи з холодною головою і чіткою системою — можна стабільно заробляти.
Ось 15 правил, які реально працюють перевірені мною та сотнями інших успішних трейдерів: 1️⃣ Завжди торгуй за планом зі Stop loss і тейк-профітом Жодної угоди «на око». Без стопу ти — їжа для китів. 2️⃣ Ніколи не ризикуй більше 1–2 % депозиту на одну угоду Одна невдала позиція не має права вбити твій рахунок. 3️⃣ FOMO — твій головний ворог Коли всі кричать «то дно!», «остання можливість до ×10» — це майже завжди пастка. Сидиш в кеші — молодець. 4️⃣ ‼️Вивчи технічний аналіз на рівні, коли бачиш графік і розумієш, куди піде ціна, за 10 секунд Мінімум: підтримка/опір, трендові лінії, об’єми, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands. 5️⃣ Поєднуй технічний + фундаментальний аналіз Техніка каже «де купити/продати», фундамент — «чи варто взагалі лізти в цей актив». 6️⃣ Диверсифікуй, але розумно 50–70 % у BTC/ETH, 20–30 % у сильні альти, 5–10 % у високоризикові (мемкоіни, presale тощо). 7️⃣ Використовуй кілька бірж одночасно Bybit, Binance, OKX, MEXC, KuCoin + один-два нормальні DEX (Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Jupiter). На кожній свої лістинги та ліквідність. 8️⃣ Лімітні ордери — твій найкращий друг Ніколи не купуй за ринковою ціною під час пампу (платиш максимум). 9️⃣ Веди торговий журнал Кожна угода: скрін входу, причина, результат, помилки. Через 3–6 місяців побачиш свої слабкі місця. 🔟 Тримай 30–50 % портфеля в стейблкоінах під час ведмежого ринку або невизначеності Готівка — це теж позиція. 1️⃣1️⃣ Не читай новини та твіттер-аналітиків перед входом в угоду 99 % з них або вже відпрацьовано ринком, або маніпуляція. 1️⃣2️⃣ Торгові боти та ґріди — це добре, але тільки після того, як ти сам стабільно в плюсі вручну Спочатку голова, потім автоматизація. 1️⃣3️⃣ Вивчи маніпуляції китів Фальшиві стіни в стакані, стоп-хантінг, спуфи — коли знаєш, як це працює, перестаєш бути жертвою. 1️⃣4️⃣ Емоції — поза ринком Прибуток = радість - наступного разу ризикуєш більше - злив. Збиток = злість - реванш - ще більший злив. Трейдинг = холодний розрахунок. 1️⃣5️⃣ Найкраща угода — та, від якої ти утримався Іноді найприбутковіший день — коли ти просто не торгував.
⚠️Завжди DYOR — це не порада, а необхідність.Він має бути інтегрований у твою систему трейдингу, як Risk management чи journaling. Чому DYOR завжди потрібен! 1️⃣Торгівля – це: • Логіка, • Стратегія, • Емоційна дисципліна. 2️⃣Без власного аналізу ви: – або торгуєте на емоціях, – або торгуєте на думках інших людей. І це завжди призводить до виснаження вашого депозиту.
Свічковий графік — найбільш затребуваний у трейдингу. Японські свічки підкажуть трейдеру, коли входити в угоду або закривати її. $FIL $SOL $BNB Іноді вони навіть ефективніші за інструменти теханалізу.
На фінансових ринках виділяють три типи графіків — лінійний, барний і свічковий.
-Лінійний графік трейдерами не використовується через нестачу інформації. -Барний незручний, особливо на коротких таймфреймах. -Японські свічки залишаються найбільш популярним і затребуваним типом відображення графічних даних руху ціни.
#SCAMalerts 🚨 Scam Alert: Unleash Protocol Hacked via Multisig for $3.9 Million
The Unleash Protocol project has been the victim of a serious attack. Hackers gained control of administrative functions and withdrew significant user funds.
🔍 What happened? According to CertiK Alert analysts, the attackers exploited the protocol’s multisig vulnerability. This allowed them to: • Gain administrator rights via a compromised address. • Perform unauthorized updates to smart contracts. • Withdraw assets including: WETH, USDC, WIP, stIP, and vIP.
💸 Where did the money go? About 1,337 ETH (approximately $3.9 million) has already been transferred via the Tornado Cash mixer to cover up the tracks. The funds were withdrawn via third-party bridges to the hackers’ external wallets.
🛡 Team Response: 1. Operations Suspended: Unleash Protocol operations have been completely suspended to prevent further losses. 2. Investigation: The team has engaged independent cybersecurity and forensic experts. 3. Story Protocol Security: It is reported that Story Protocol contracts and infrastructure were not affected - the attack was solely aimed at Unleash.
⚠️ Important for users: • DO NOT interact with Unleash Protocol smart contracts until an official security announcement is made. • Only trust information from the project's official channels. • Remember the DYOR rule (do your own research) before investing in DeFi protocols.
Current price ≈ 0.090 USDT Strong pump +22.27%, explosive breakout from lower levels ~0.070–0.073 zone, price reached high ~0.0907 USDT, now slight pullback/consolidation after parabolic move.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging upper Bollinger Band (~0.0831 USDT), middle BB ~0.0734 as dynamic support, lower ~0.0645. Bands extremely expanded due to massive volatility, price at upper extreme — classic overextension in strong pump.
Volumes: Very high ~246M current (big spikes on pump candles), MA(5) ~71M, MA(10) ~36M — enormous volume surge supports the rally, sustained participation.
Key indicators: • MACD — Strongly positive (DIF 0.0020, DEA 0.0003, MACD 0.0017), histogram positive — powerful bullish momentum. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 98 / 93 / 84 — extremely overbought (RSI6 near 100), deep exhaustion signals after sharp rise.
Parabolic pump with maximum momentum, but extreme overbought conditions indicate very high probability of short-term correction/pullback. 🟢 Long (high risk) Entry: 0.088–0.090 (dip or current) TP1: 0.095–0.097 TP2: 0.100+ SL: 0.083–0.085 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only if holds upper BB with volume, continuation possible but extremely risky.
🔴 Short (moderate risk) Entry: 0.091–0.093 (fade at upper BB / resistance) TP1: 0.085–0.082 TP2: 0.078–0.075 SL: 0.096+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong on rejection + volume fade, excellent setup given extreme RSI overbought.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of short-term pullback/consolidation toward middle BB (~0.073–0.075) due to severe overbought conditions after massive pump. Shorts have significantly better edge on exhaustion, longs very risky unless clear reset with volume support.
#bitcoin #stock 📉 Bitcoin at $90,000: A temporary halt or a loss for the “digital gold” to bonds?
While the #S&P500 renews all-time highs, Bitcoin has again failed to consolidate above the psychological $90,000 mark. The market is debating whether $BTC BTC will retain its status as a safe haven or investors are returning to traditional instruments.
🔍 Key takeaways from the latest report: • Competition from bonds and gold: Amid expectations of a widening US budget deficit in 2026, investors are choosing proven assets. Gold is holding above $4,300, and the yield on 2-year Treasury bonds has fallen to 2022 lows. • Stock market pressure: The record S&P 500 and low interest rates make stocks more attractive than $BTC . As corporate spending falls due to cheap credit, investors see less sense in hedging risk with crypto. • Tough times for miners: The network hash rate has fallen after the shutdown of capacity in China. Many companies are operating at the edge of profitability, forcing them to raise debt financing.
💡 Is there reason for optimism? Despite the “bearish” sentiment, #VanEck analysts point to an interesting pattern:
Miner capitulation and a drop in hash rate are historically bullish signals. In 65% of cases, Bitcoin has shown positive dynamics over the next 90 days after such periods.
📊 What’s next? The key factor remains risk perception. So far, the market is focused on global economic growth and the successes of AI (Microsoft, Nvidia, Google). For Bitcoin to return to the $100,000 mark, the “digital gold” narrative must once again become a priority for big capital.
Current price ≈ 0.347 USDT Sharp corrective dump -20.02%, price collapsed from recent high ~0.519 USDT, now pressing lower Bollinger Band after violent downward move.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging lower BB (~0.293 USDT), middle BB ~0.377 as strong resistance, upper ~0.491. Bands strongly expanded, price at extreme lower deviation — classic deep oversold after capitulation-style dump.
Volumes: Elevated ~1.3B current (spikes on red dump candles), MA(5) ~7.3B, MA(10) ~8.3B — very high volume on downside, potential absorption emerging.
Key indicators: • MACD — Negative (DIF -0.0162, DEA -0.0132, MACD -0.0032), histogram negative but flattening — bearish momentum slowing. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 41.6 / 41.4 / 45.0 — oversold on short/mid periods, showing early exhaustion after deep drop.
Deep oversold after sharp dump to lower BB — very high probability of technical rebound/bounce. 🟢 Long (moderate-high risk) Entry: 0.345–0.350 (current or lower BB) TP1: 0.370–0.380 TP2: 0.410–0.420 SL: 0.330–0.335 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if green volume spike + close above 0.360, classic oversold mean-reversion setup.
🔴 Short (high risk) Entry: 0.370–0.380 (weak bounce to middle BB) TP1: 0.340–0.330 TP2: 0.300–0.290 SL: 0.395+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only on clear rejection at middle BB + continued fading volume.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of sharp technical rebound from lower BB toward middle band (0.37–0.38) due to extreme oversold conditions and large deviation. Continuation lower only on decisive break below 0.33. Longs have significantly better risk-reward in current capitulation zone.
#Binance #UA 🇺🇦 🚨 Binance припиняє виплати в Україні? Розбираємось без паніки
Останні дні багато чуток про те, що Binance нібито зупиняє виплати для українців. Насправді ситуація трохи інша 👇
❌ Що тимчасово не працює • Виведення коштів на банківські картки Visa/Mastercard • Автоматичні покупки (Recurring Buy) • Лімітні ордери на купівлю крипти за фіат
✅ Що працює • Купівля криптовалюти з карток • Виведення та поповнення через SWIFT-перекази • P2P-торгівля (один з найпопулярніших варіантів) • Криптовивід на інші біржі або гаманці
🔍 Важливо
➡️ Binance НЕ блокує акаунти українців ➡️ Кошти не заморожені ➡️ Це тимчасові обмеження, пов’язані з платіжною інфраструктурою
⚠️Висновок
Панікувати не потрібно. Просто міняється спосіб виведення, а не доступ до ваших грошей.
#metaplanet 🇯🇵 Metaplanet — “Japanese MicroStrategy” ends 2025 with a bang!
Tokyo-based Metaplanet has announced another major addition to its crypto portfolio. While the market is analyzing the results of the year, Metaplanet is acting decisively:
📈 Key figures from the report: • Last purchase: 4,279 $BTC for ~$451 million. • Total stack: 35,102 $BTC (worth about $3 billion). • Income from $BTC strategy: 8.58 billion yen (~$54 million) for 2025 — this is significantly higher than forecasts.
⚙️ What is the secret of their model? Unlike many, Metaplanet does not simply “hold” Bitcoin. They want a hybrid model: • Core stack: The main supply of BTC remains intact for long-term growth. • Income Generation: A separate pool of Bitcoin is used to sell options. This allows for a regular cash flow (bonuses) and turns a volatile asset into a source of stable income.
⚖️ Challenges and Markets Despite successful accumulation, the company faces market pressure. In October, the mNAV (market value to net asset value) ratio fell below 1. This means that the company’s shares are trading at a discount to the value of their Bitcoin reserves.
Metaplanet continues to go through Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), using debt and equity to turn BTC into a primary reserve asset.
Current price ≈ 2.79 USDT Sharp corrective dump -19.83%, price broke strongly lower from ~3.79 USDT high, now pressing near lower Bollinger Band after violent downward move.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging lower BB (~2.54 USDT), middle BB ~3.10 as significant resistance, upper ~3.66. Bands strongly expanded, price at extreme lower deviation — classic deep oversold after capitulation-style dump.
Volumes: Elevated ~9.86M current (spikes on red dump candles), MA(5) ~26.6M, MA(10) ~14.2M — very high volume on downside, potential absorption emerging on last candles.
Key indicators: • MACD — Negative (DIF -0.183, DEA -0.134, MACD -0.049), histogram negative but flattening — bearish momentum slowing. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 43.6 / 38.6 / 38.3 — oversold on short/mid periods, showing early exhaustion signs after deep drop.
Deep oversold after sharp dump to lower BB — high probability of technical rebound/bounce. 🟢 Long (moderate-high risk) Entry: 2.75–2.80 (current or lower BB) TP1: 3.00–3.10 TP2: 3.30–3.40 SL: 2.60–2.65 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if green volume spike + close above 2.90, classic oversold mean-reversion setup.
🔴 Short (high risk) Entry: 3.00–3.10 (weak bounce to middle BB) TP1: 2.80–2.70 TP2: 2.55–2.50 SL: 3.20+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only on clear rejection at middle BB + continued fading volume.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of sharp technical rebound from lower BB toward middle band (3.00–3.10) due to oversold conditions and large deviation. Continuation lower only on decisive break below 2.60. Longs have significantly better risk-reward in current capitulation zone.
Current price ≈ 0.157 USDT Strong pump +18.86%, explosive breakout from lower levels ~0.122 zone, price reached high ~0.169 USDT, now pulling back with red candles after parabolic rise.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price pulling back from upper Bollinger Band (~0.168 USDT), currently near middle BB (~0.143 USDT), lower BB ~0.119. Bands strongly expanded, price correcting after riding upper band — typical post-pump pullback/consolidation.
Volumes: Very high ~88M current (spikes on pump candles), MA(5) ~100M, MA(10) ~88M — massive volume during rally, still elevated but normalizing on pullback.
Key indicators: • MACD — Positive (DIF 0.0076, DEA 0.0064, MACD 0.0012), histogram positive — bullish momentum still present but slowing. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 59.7 / 63.1 / 63.9 — neutral to mildly overbought, room for both directions after correction.
Parabolic pump followed by healthy pullback to middle BB — short-term consolidation likely, potential for next leg if support holds. 🟢 Long (moderate risk) Entry: 0.152–0.157 (dip to middle BB or current) TP1: 0.165–0.168 TP2: 0.175–0.180 SL: 0.145–0.148 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if holds middle BB with volume pickup, continuation likely on renewed momentum.
🔴 Short (moderate-high risk) Entry: 0.160–0.165 (weak bounce to upper BB) TP1: 0.150–0.145 TP2: 0.135–0.130 SL: 0.170+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Viable on rejection at upper BB + volume fade, risky after strong pump.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now Choppy consolidation/pullback toward middle BB (0.14–0.145 zone) after parabolic pump. High probability of rebound if middle BB holds, further upside possible. Longs have edge on support, shorts only on clear rejection at resistance.
The last days of the year brought a bearish mood to the market. Over the past 24 hours, the total market capitalization has decreased by -2.12% and is currently at $2.95T.
📉 Key figures: • Bitcoin (#BTC ): $87,256 (-3.04%). BTC dominance has slightly decreased to 59.14%. • Ethereum (#ETH ): $2,938.58 (-3.17%). • Total trading volume: $319.25B.
🚀 Heroes and anti-heroes of the day:
Top Gainers: 1. 0x ($ZRX ): +22.97% — the undisputed leader of the day, demonstrating explosive growth contrary to the general trend. 2. GoMining Token: +7.09%. 3. Helium ($HNT ): Closes the top three.
Top Losers: • Flow: -11.01%. • Story: -8.55%. • Zora: Also in the red zone.
🌟 Coin of the Day: Midnight ($NIGHT ) Despite the market decline, Midnight is showing a solid +4.20% growth and is trading at $0.096338. Why is this important? • Midnight is an innovative blockchain from the creators of Cardano, focused on programmable privacy. • It uses Zero-Knowledge (ZK) technology, allowing you to protect transaction data while remaining within regulatory limits. • Technical indicators currently indicate a Bullish sentiment on this coin.
🔍 The market remains volatile: 88% of coins lost value today. Be careful and do your own research (DYOR ).
#Overbought & #oversold 📊 Overbought & Oversold: How does it work? 📈📉 Key market zones that indicate when the price may reverse.
🟢 Oversold • The price has fallen too low - temporarily or excessively. • RSI < 30. • There may be a chance of a rebound - the asset is becoming interesting to buy. • Many coins are now in this zone: $LUNA - a bottom may be forming.
🔴 Overbought • The price has risen too much. • RSI > 70. • A correction or pause after growth is likely - it's time to take profits. • In this zone now: $POLYX , $JST - a cooling after a surge is possible.
⚠️ Rule of thumb: no indicator gives guarantees - they are only hints, not a verdict.
Current price ≈ 0.4389 USDT Sharp corrective dump -15.19%, price broke strongly lower from ~0.567 USDT zone, now pressing lower Bollinger Band after violent downward impulse.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging lower BB (~0.4215 USDT), middle BB ~0.501 as significant resistance, upper ~0.581. Bands strongly expanded, price at extreme lower deviation — classic deep oversold after capitulation-style drop.
Volumes: Elevated ~374K current (spikes on red dump candles), MA(5) ~8.1M, MA(10) ~11.9M — high volume on downside, but potential absorption signals emerging.
Key indicators: • MACD — Negative (DIF -0.0253, DEA -0.0169, MACD -0.0088), histogram negative — bearish momentum strong but slowing. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 14.2 / 17.7 / 27.1 — deeply oversold across all periods, extreme exhaustion reached.
Deep oversold after sharp dump to lower BB — very high probability of technical rebound/bounce. 🟢 Long (moderate-high risk) Entry: 0.435–0.440 (current or lower BB) TP1: 0.475–0.490 TP2: 0.510–0.520 SL: 0.415–0.420 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if green volume spike + close above 0.450, classic oversold mean-reversion setup.
🔴 Short (high risk) Entry: 0.480–0.500 (weak bounce to middle BB) TP1: 0.440–0.430 TP2: 0.400–0.390 SL: 0.510+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only on clear rejection at middle BB + continued fading volume.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of sharp technical rebound from lower BB toward middle band (0.48–0.50) due to extreme oversold RSI and large deviation. Continuation lower only on decisive break below 0.415. Longs have significantly better risk-reward in current capitulation zone.
#bitcoin #BTC 📉 Bitcoin Cycles No Longer Work? Why Blind Faith in the Past is the “Mistake of the Decade”
A popular analyst and creator of the Bitcoin Quantile Model, known as Plan C, has issued a serious warning to crypto investors. While $BTC is trading around $87,600, many are waiting for a repeat of the 2017 or 2021 scenarios. But Plan C sees this as a dangerous trap.
‼️Main thesis: The world has changed We used to think that Bitcoin moves on a clear 4-year schedule. However, now we see a gap: • Business cycle (PMI) is falling: The ISM Manufacturing Index in the US (48.2) indicates a decline in production. • BTC is holding: The price remains high, despite a weak economy. This means that Bitcoin is now more dependent on liquidity (the amount of money in the system) than on real economic growth. If liquidity support disappears, the pullback could be very rapid.
📊 Where are we now? (Quantile model) Instead of empty predictions, the Plan C model shows BTC’s statistical place in history: • We are currently near the 30th quantile — below the median line, despite the high price in dollars. • 3-month benchmarks: • Pessimistic (15q): $80,000 • Median (50q): $127,000 • Optimistic (95q): $207,000 • 1-year benchmark: The median is at $164,000, and the upper limit is $253,000.
🏦 Bitcoin vs. Gold An important indicator is the ratio of BTC to gold. Currently, 1 BTC costs about 19.7 ounces of gold. If gold continues to grow faster than Bitcoin, it will mean that investors still prefer a "safe haven" over risky assets.
3️⃣ Three scenarios for 2026: 1. Reflation: PMI rises + BTC rises (ideal scenario). 2. Weakness + Liquidity: The economy is weak, but the Fed prints money. BTC is holding between $80k and $127k. 3. Deep recession: Capital flees to gold, $BTC tests the lower limits of the quantile model.
🔍 What to watch for? The first important marker is the PMI report in early January. It will show whether the business cycle will start to recover or whether we should prepare for a more difficult year.
Current price ≈ 0.124 USDT Strong pump +15.13%, explosive breakout from lower levels ~0.107–0.113 zone, price hit high ~0.127 USDT, now slight pullback/consolidation after parabolic move.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging upper Bollinger Band (~0.1205 USDT), middle BB ~0.1123 as dynamic support, lower ~0.1055. Bands strongly expanded from massive volatility, price at upper extreme — classic overextension after sharp rally.
Volumes: Very high ~29M current (spikes on pump candles), MA(5) ~12M, MA(10) ~7.2M — enormous volume surge supports the breakout, sustained interest.
Parabolic pump with extreme momentum, but severe overbought signals suggest high probability of short-term pullback/correction. 🟢 Long (high risk) Entry: 0.122–0.125 (dip or current) TP1: 0.130–0.132 TP2: 0.135+ SL: 0.118–0.120 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only if holds upper BB with renewed volume, continuation possible but risky.
🔴 Short (moderate risk) Entry: 0.125–0.127 (fade at upper BB / resistance) TP1: 0.118–0.115 TP2: 0.112–0.110 SL: 0.130+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong on rejection + volume drop, good setup given extreme RSI overbought.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of short-term pullback/consolidation toward middle BB (~0.112) due to heavy overbought conditions after massive pump. Shorts have better edge on exhaustion, longs very risky unless clear reset with volume support.
#Shibarium #SHIB 📉 Shiba Inu ($SHIB ) at 4-Year Low: On the verge of a comeback or further decline?
SHIB is currently going through a difficult time: the price has fallen by almost 70% in a year, and the coin has fallen out of the TOP-30 crypto assets, dropping to 35th place. However, one important indicator gives hope to the bulls.
🚀 Bullish signal: Shortage on exchanges The number of $SHIB on centralized exchanges has fallen to 81.2 trillion - this is the lowest level since April 2021. • What does this mean? When the supply on exchanges falls, the pressure of sellers decreases. This often becomes the fuel for a quick price rally. • Analysts' opinion: Some believe that SHIB has already found a "true bottom", and now is the perfect time for the "smart money" to enter the asset while others panic.
⚠️ Bearish factors: What is pulling the price down? Despite the positive with exchanges, there are several alarming signals: 1. Slowing down the burn: Only 30.7 million tokens were burned in the last week (minus 14%). With a total supply of 585 trillion, this is not enough to have a significant impact on the price. 2. Shibarium problems: After the September crash, the L2 network was never able to restore its previous transaction volumes. The progress of the ecosystem has actually slowed down.
📌 Summary SHIB is currently at a point of uncertainty. On the one hand, there is a record outflow from exchanges, which hints at a preparation for growth. On the other hand, there are weak fundamentals of the network.
Current price ≈ 0.6628 USDT Strong pump +30.04%, explosive breakout from lower levels ~0.47–0.55 zone, price hit high ~0.6723 USDT, now slight pullback on last candles after parabolic rise.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging upper Bollinger Band (~0.6644 USDT), middle BB ~0.567 as strong dynamic support, lower ~0.475. Bands extremely expanded due to massive volatility, price at upper extreme — classic parabolic extension, signs of short-term overextension.
Volumes: Very high ~9.22B current (big spikes on pump candles), MA(5) ~16.88B, MA(10) ~11.06B — enormous volume supports the rally, sustained interest.
Parabolic pump with extreme momentum, but severe overbought signals indicate high chance of short-term correction/consolidation. 🟢 Long (high risk) Entry: 0.650–0.660 (dip or current) TP1: 0.680–0.690 TP2: 0.710+ SL: 0.630–0.640 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only if holds upper BB area with volume, continuation possible but very risky in overbought.
🔴 Short (moderate risk) Entry: 0.665–0.675 (fade at upper BB / resistance) TP1: 0.630–0.620 TP2: 0.590–0.570 SL: 0.690+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong on rejection + volume fade, good setup given extreme RSI overbought.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of short-term pullback/consolidation toward middle BB (~0.56–0.58) due to heavy overbought conditions after massive pump. Shorts have better edge on exhaustion, longs very risky unless clear reset with volume support.
Current price ≈ 0.4156 USDT Strong pump +26.20%, explosive breakout from lower levels ~0.31–0.37 zone, price reached high ~0.514 USDT, now pulling back with red candles after parabolic move.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price pulling back from upper Bollinger Band area (~0.491 USDT), currently near middle BB (~0.430 USDT), lower BB ~0.371. Bands strongly expanded, price correcting after riding upper band — typical post-pump consolidation/pullback.
Volumes: Very high ~20.4B current (spikes on pump candles), MA(5) ~26.7B, MA(10) ~23.2B — massive volume during rally, still elevated but starting to normalize on pullback.
Key indicators: • MACD — DIF 0.0064, DEA 0.0152, MACD -0.0089 — negative and widening, bearish divergence after pump, momentum cooling. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 53.7 / 52.9 / 55.7 — neutral after overbought peak, room to move in both directions, no extreme exhaustion.
Parabolic pump digested with correction to middle BB — short-term consolidation likely, potential for continuation if holds support. 🟢 Long (moderate risk) Entry: 0.410–0.420 (dip to middle BB or current) TP1: 0.450–0.460 TP2: 0.480–0.500 SL: 0.390–0.395 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if holds middle BB with volume pickup, continuation likely on renewed momentum.
🔴 Short (moderate-high risk) Entry: 0.430–0.440 (weak bounce to middle/upper BB) TP1: 0.400–0.390 TP2: 0.370–0.360 SL: 0.455+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Viable on rejection at middle BB + volume fade, risky after strong pump.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now Choppy consolidation/pullback toward middle/lower BB (0.40–0.43 zone) after parabolic pump. High probability of rebound if middle BB holds, continuation higher possible. Longs have edge on support, shorts only on clear rejection at resistance.
Current price ≈ 4365 USDT Corrective dump -4.15%, price broke sharply lower from ~4575 USDT zone, now pressing lower Bollinger Band after strong downward impulse.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h): Price hugging lower BB (~4365 USDT), middle BB ~4484 as resistance, upper ~4604. Bands expanded, price at extreme lower deviation — classic deep oversold after capitulation-style drop.
Volumes: Current ~3.67K, MA(5) ~5.62K, MA(10) ~3.96K — volume spikes on red dump candles, elevated but watch for absorption on potential bounce.
Key indicators: • MACD — Deeply negative (DIF -43.4, DEA -28.6, MACD -14.8), histogram negative — strong bearish momentum but possible flattening. • RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 23.4 / 22.5 / 24.5 — deeply oversold across all periods, extreme exhaustion levels.
Sharp dump to lower BB with extreme oversold conditions — high probability of technical rebound. 🟢 Long (moderate-high risk) Entry: 4350–4370 (current or lower BB) TP1: 4450–4480 TP2: 4550+ SL: 4320–4330 R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Strong if green volume spike + close above 4400, classic oversold bounce setup.
🔴 Short (high risk) Entry: 4450–4480 (weak bounce to middle BB) TP1: 4350–4320 TP2: 4250 SL: 4520+ R/R: ~1:3+ Comment: Only on clear rejection at middle BB + fading volume.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now High probability of sharp technical rebound from lower BB toward middle band (4450–4500) due to extreme oversold RSI. Continuation lower only on decisive break below 4330. Longs have better risk-reward in current capitulation zone.
#zec #zcash 🛡️ Zcash ($ZEC ) is getting ready to jump: Arthur Hayes predicts $1,000!
As the crypto market looks for new growth drivers, Zcash is back in the spotlight. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes and leading analysts are confident that this is just the beginning of a big rally.
🚀 What’s happening to the price? • Rally +40%: After Hayes’ liquidity call on December 19, the price of ZEC jumped to $550. • Support from opinion leaders: Hayes believes that the hidden infusion of the Fed liquidation in 2026 will make privacy the main narrative of the market. • Technical breakthrough: On the weekly chart, $ZEC broke the “ascending triangle” and consolidated above the 50-week moving average (MA).
📈 Forecasts and Targets 1. First Stop — $1,000: This is the main psychological and technical target of analysts in case of continuation of the trend towards privacy. 2. Possible pullback to $400: Analyst Eric Van Tassel warns of the formation of an “ascending wedge”. A correction to $400 will help remove excess leverage (“shave longs”) for healthier growth.
⚠️Why is this important? Zcash is becoming a major asset for those betting on the development of Zero-Knowledge (ZK) technologies. If investors’ risk appetite returns, $ZEC could become one of the most profitable assets next year.
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