Cryptoalrts

📈 Wave-B:3 Ended — Terminal Pattern Now in Play!
Based on the size, speed, and structure of this year's rally, we can now say with high confidence that wave-b:3 ended at April's low. From here, the unfolding wave-c is showing both power and complexity — and that can only mean one thing:
🔶 Wave-C is Terminal (Not Traditional Impulsive)
🔶 The persistence of wave-c looks impulsive on the surface
🔶 But its internal structure is clearly corrective 🔄
🔶 The only way this paradox makes sense is if wave-c is forming as a Terminal (known to orthodox Elliotticians as a Diagonal Triangle) 🌀
🔶 This type of Terminal follows very specific rules, and Bitcoin is following them step-by-step 🎯
🕰️ Confidence Will Grow — Pattern Still Unfolding
🔶 While we’re already seeing the structure, it’ll likely take another 1–2 months before full confidence can be declared
🔶 But price action strongly favors this evolving Terminal scenario
🔶 It’s not random — it’s measured and deeply structured 🧩
🚀 What's Next: All-Time High, Then Final Legs
🔶 If this Terminal is correct:
 ➡️ Wave-3 will complete later this summer, pushing Bitcoin to a new All-Time High 🌞📈
  (see blue dashed line in the visual)
🔶 Then, wave-4 will follow — a necessary correction
  ➡️ It must drop below the top of wave-1
  ➡️ But cannot break the low of wave-2 🛡️
🔶 After that:
 ➡️ The final push: wave-5 begins, ending the entire Bitcoin bull run with a blow-off top 💥
⚠️ Be Strategic. Not Emotional.
This Terminal pattern, if confirmed, offers a clear trading roadmap:
Ride the wave-3 pump 🚀
Watch wave-4 carefully — don’t panic during the dip ⚠️
Prepare for the last leg: wave-5’s euphoric finale
And most importantly... be ready to exit before 2026's violent reversal 💀
📉 Every Terminal ends in disaster — but the smart ones make life-changing gains before the fall.
Stay focused. The pattern is revealing itself. 🧠📐
#BTC110KToday? $BTC

This is the most important capital markets transformation no one is prepared for.

Let me explain what it means - and why every asset on earth is now being repriced in sats.

Traditionally, the hurdle rate is the minimum return an investment must earn to be worth the risk.

It’s usually benchmarked to U.S. Treasuries.

But in a world bleeding purchasing power… those “risk-free” rates are a joke.

Enter Bitcoin.

A provably scarce, globally liquid, seizure-resistant asset with an immaculate monetary policy.

It has averaged 100%+ CAGR since inception.

Even conservatively, a 15–30% annual BTC appreciation sets a new baseline for Return-On-Investment.

That means:

Any project, stock, startup, or real estate deal that can’t outperform Bitcoin is a net waste of time and capital.

BTC is no longer “an alternative” - it’s the benchmark.

This rewires everything.

Capital is no longer racing toward “growth at any cost.”

It’s racing toward Bitcoin-adjusted alpha.

If you raise capital, build a business, or manage a fund - you now answer to the orange god of time-value.

Most of TradFi still prices in fiat.

But the smartest capital allocators are starting to run a simple filter:

“Does this beat BTC over 4 years?”

If not, you’re just burning satoshis and inflating your ego.

Fiat hurdle rates are manipulated by central banks.
Bitcoin imposes a natural cost of capital - rooted in entropy, scarcity, and energy.

It’s not just harder money.

It’s harder to beat money.

This flips the risk curve upside down.

The real risk isn’t volatility anymore.

It’s underperformance.

If you hold cash, you lose.

If you hold BTC, you benchmark the future.

If you build, you better outperform it... or die trying.

“Bitcoin is the hurdle rate” means capital markets are undergoing a monetary reset.

We are repricing time, risk, and return on a Bitcoin Standard.

Fiat is the noise.

BTC is the signal.

The sooner you adjust your models, your valuations, and your worldview…

…the sooner you stop losing time.

Because in the end, Bitcoin doesn't just measure capital.

It measures destiny.

#MarketRebound $BTC

Oil, inflation, currencies… nothing will stay the same. What happens next?

The US, Trump, BTC, XRP, XLM and ISO tokens — this was never just coincidence.

Let’s connect the dots

US Involvement & The Strait of Hormuz: The chokepoint of the world

After US’ involvement in war against Iran, the Iranian Government has decided to close the Strait of Hormuz where 25-30% of global oil passes through it.

That’s not just an energy crisis… that’s a financial nuke.

Global markets are tanking.
Oil is spiking.
Inflation will follow.

But that’s only the surface.

What happens next in this War?

Now that US and Israel claimed to have destroyed the Iranian nuke facilities, this is not the end.

A few more days, weeks or months of bombings and there will be a regime change in Iran with a pro-US government.

Why the Regime Change?

Trump wouldn’t want the oil prices and inflation to shoot with the closure of Hormuz Strait.

A regime change would enable access to cheap oil to US, dismantle of BRICS, Anti-West Dollar alliances, Deterrence against China and US Dominance throughout the Middle East.

How do you prepare yourself?

🧨 Energy prices shoot up
🧨 Capital and Crypto Market sink in fear

But once there is a regime change, cheap oil, US Dominance over Middle East and Weakening of China and BRICS influence would benefit the long term holders and dip buyers.

This is not a drill.
This is the controlled demolition of the old world.

How would a Regime change in Iran affect crypto?

It would open the gates for crypto adoption in Middle East.

BTC might still be considered as a hedge against inflation.

@Ripple’s deep roots in the Middle East quietly shape the region’s shift toward digital finance, one corridor, one central bank at a time.

@StellarOrg has steadily embedded itself across the Middle East, powering cross-border payments and quietly enabling the region’s financial digitization behind the scenes.

The war isn’t chaos, it’s choreography.

Inflation, oil shock, market bleed… all part of a controlled demolition of the old system.

Out of this collapse will rise the new: programmable money, tokenized assets, and real-time settlement.

This is part of the Reset. And it’s already begun.

#IsraelIranConflict $BTC

Because they’re not just a tech innovation.
They’re a defensive play to preserve dollar dominance.

This isn’t a crypto story—it’s a monetary one.
And it has major implications for Bitcoin

The GENIUS Act just passed the Senate.

Trump praised it as “American brilliance” and a masterstroke in digital asset leadership.

But dig deeper: this isn’t about embracing crypto broadly.
It’s about anchoring the digital future to the U.S. dollar.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was asked if crypto threatens the dollar.

His answer?

Stablecoins are the opposite.
He says they reinforce dollar supremacy, and could become one of the largest buyers of U.S. Treasuries.

In places like Nigeria, stablecoins already are the dollar.

You don’t need U.S. banking access.
You don’t need physical cash.

You just need a smartphone and a reason to escape your local currency.

That’s not just convenience. It’s monetary policy exported as software.

But here’s the paradox:

Stablecoins expand dollar usage, yes.

But they also normalize the idea of digital cash… and introduce the rails that make switching currencies trivial.

Once the money’s mobile, it’s just one click from stables → Bitcoin.

Stablecoins currently reinforce the dollar as a medium of exchange.

Bitcoin is gaining adoption as a store of value—and it can function as a medium of exchange too.

They serve different roles for now.
But they’re both growing for the same reason: fiat dysfunction.

Trump is demanding lower rates. He just called Jerome Powell one of “the dumbest, most destructive” people in government.

Why?

Because he knows the dollar only works when it’s being debased.

Stablecoins give that debasement global reach.
Bitcoin gives it a measuring stick.

This is the real contest:

Stablecoins = a patch to preserve dollar liquidity
Bitcoin = a foundation to escape dollar erosion

Stables might win the rails.
Bitcoin wins the reserves.

One is built to survive inflation.
The other requires it.

So no, stablecoins aren’t the enemy of Bitcoin.

They’re the bridge.

They’ll bring billions into the dollar system, and eventually lead many of them out.

The only real question is: what happens when the world finally demands settlement in the harder asset?

#CryptoStocks $BNB

A brutally honest comparison, for those still plunging toilets in 2025.

Real Estate: Fix Chad’s toilet at 2am

Bitcoin: Fix the global monetary system while you sleep

Real Estate: “We’ve got raccoons in the attic.”

Bitcoin: No tenants. No drama. No late-night squealing.

Real Estate: Paperwork, fees, permits, taxes, inspections

Bitcoin: You downloaded your property rights

Real Estate: “You can see it and touch it.”

Bitcoin: You can verify it. Boomer can’t even verify his roof isn’t collapsing.

Real Estate: Water damage

Bitcoin: The only thing leaking is fiat credibility

Real Estate: Boomer Flex

Bitcoin: Wizard Energy

Real Estate: Prays for appreciation

Bitcoin: Is the appreciation

Real Estate: You’re a landlord

Bitcoin: You’re a sovereign

Final Verdict:

Bitcoin doesn’t have termites. Or tenants. Or taxes.

It just keeps mining blocks…

…while Chad clogs your toilet again.

#GENIUSActPass $BTC

Bitcoin's current market behavior is indeed showing marked differences from previous cycles, leading many to question whether the traditional 4-year boom-bust pattern is ending or simply evolving. Let's analyze the data, examine the competing theories, and understand why prudent caution remains essential.

The Changing Face of Bitcoin's Market Dynamics

The Bitcoin market structure has undergone a fundamental transformation in this cycle:

Reduced Volatility: Current volatility measures are down over 50% compared to 2021 levels, with Bitcoin's realized volatility now comparable to some of the top tech stocks (MAG7) rather than its historical wild swings . This compression reflects growing market depth and institutional participation.

Shallow Drawdowns: Corrections have been limited to 25-30% rather than the 50-80% plunges characteristic of past cycles. The $95K, $60K, and $40K levels have each formed strong support zones, creating a stair-step pattern of higher lows .

Institutional Dominance: Spot Bitcoin ETFs have created a structurally sound demand base, with over $131 billion in assets under management . These regulated vehicles provide consistent buying pressure that differs dramatically from the speculative leverage that drove past cycles.

Holder Behavior: Long-term holders have shown remarkable resilience, refusing to sell at $60K, $90K, or even $110K . On-chain data shows 62% of Bitcoin's active supply hasn't moved in over a year , indicating strong conviction among core holders.
Competing Theories About Bitcoin's New Phase

The "SaylorCycle" Thesis

Brad Mills and others argue we've entered a new era of institutional adoption they term the "SaylorCycle" - named after MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor and his company's massive Bitcoin treasury strategy. This theory posits:

- Bitcoin is transitioning from "illegitimate asset" to "must-own asset" for corporations and nations
- Demand is becoming structural through treasury strategies, ETFs, and sovereign reserves rather than speculative trading
- Price discovery will be slower and more methodical, driven by quarterly rebalancing rather than retail mania
- Corrections may become shallower (50% rather than 80-90%) while bull runs peak at 200% annually rather than parabolic spikes

The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve initiative (holding 200,000 BTC) and corporate adoption by firms like MicroStrategy (holding 592,100 BTC) lend credence to this structural demand shift .

The "Evolving But Intact Cycle" View

Other analysts believe the 4-year cycle isn't dead but is adapting to new market realities:

- The halving's supply shock (April 2024) remains relevant but works alongside institutional flows
- Price phases still follow historical patterns (Reversal → Bottoming → Appreciation → Acceleration) but with compressed volatility
- The current Acceleration Phase could still produce a blow-off top, potentially in Q2 2025 based on historical duration
- While different in character, the cycle may still culminate in a significant correction before the next phase begins

Technical models like the 200-week SMA intersection still predict potential cycle tops in September 2025 or March 2026 , suggesting traditional cycle analysis retains some validity.

Why Caution Remains Essential

While the current cycle feels different, several factors warrant continued prudence:

1. Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Global debt loads, inflation trends, and central bank policies remain wild cards. The Fed's monetary policy pivot could significantly impact liquidity conditions .

2. Unproven Theories: The 2021 "supercycle" narrative similarly argued Bitcoin had decoupled from boom-bust dynamics, only to collapse under leverage and macro pressures . New theories must still be stress-tested.

3. Valuation Metrics: While MVRV Z-Scores (currently ~2.5) aren't at euphoric levels (typically 7-9 at past tops) , other indicators like the RSI suggest room for upward momentum before becoming overbought .

4. Supply/Demand Imbalance: With only 1.1 million BTC left to mine and 62% of supply inactive, even modest institutional allocations could create dramatic price moves in either direction .

5. Regulatory Landscape: While currently favorable under the Trump administration, policy shifts could impact market structure . The SEC's evolving stance on crypto regulations bears watching .

Strategic Implications for Investors

Given this complex landscape, several principles emerge:

1. Focus on Bitcoin's Fundamental Value Proposition
Bitcoin was designed as hedge against monetary debasement - a characteristic becoming more relevant as global debt exceeds $107 trillion . This long-term thesis transcends cyclical fluctuations.

2. Dollar-Cost Average Through Uncertainty
The "slow climb" scenario favors consistent accumulation over market timing. ETF flows show institutions adopting this approach .

3. Maintain Risk Management
Even if corrections are shallower, proper position sizing and portfolio allocation remain essential. The 25-30% drawbacks seen this cycle can still test conviction .

4. Watch Institutional Adoption Metrics
ETF flows, corporate treasury announcements, and sovereign Bitcoin strategies will provide better signals than retail sentiment in this cycle .

5. Prepare for Multiple Scenarios
While the "SaylorCycle" may unfold as predicted, traditional cycle patterns could reassert themselves. Maintaining flexibility allows investors to adapt as the market reveals its true character.

As Fidelity's analysis notes, "We remain very early in the broader adoption cycle" with most retail participants still under-allocated and global sovereign adoption just beginning . Whether this cycle culminates in a slow grind higher or another volatile peak, Bitcoin's long-term monetization story appears intact - but as always in crypto markets, humility and disciplined strategy remain an investor's best allies.

#GENIUSActPass $BTC

Most are selling the bottom, but smart money is loading up on alts daily. Here’s why history is repeating, and which altcoins are primed for explosive gains:

📈 Macro Market Signals
◈ $2.1T–$2.3T Demand Zone Trigger:
- Third touch in 18 months (Nov ’23 & Feb ’24 saw +$1T rallies in 4–6 weeks) .
- Current breakout mirrors past surges: +12% in a week, targeting $4.5T–$5T market cap.

◈ Liquidity Floodgates Open:
- $1.6B USDT/USDC inflows to exchanges (10 days) .
- DEX volumes up +18% WoW; Uniswap/Blast activity at March highs.
- Large wallets (>$10M) withdrawing BTC – likely rotating into alts .

◈ Altseason Triggers Align:
- Capitulation phase ended (Q2 2024).
- BTC dominance peaked (Q1 2024, now at 62% and falling) .
- L2 TVLs surging (Base, Arbitrum up 8–12% MTD) .
🔥 Top Altcoins with Massive Upside
$HYPE | @HyperliquidX
▸ Zero-gas L1 for perps trading with on-chain orderbooks.
▸ Independent infra – no reliance on Ethereum/L2s.

$AAVE | @aave
▸ DeFi bluechip: Non-custodial lending/borrowing across 15+ assets.
▸ Pioneer of flash loans and multi-chain expansion.

$UNI | @Uniswap
▸ #1 DEX with billions in weekly volume.
▸ Dominant on Ethereum + L2s (Arbitrum, Optimism, Base).

$SKY | @SkyEcosystem
▸ Upgraded MakerDAO ecosystem: USDS stablecoin + Sky Token Rewards.
▸ $14.3B TVL, non-custodial savings, and governance via SKY.

$JTO | @jito_sol
▸ Solana’s top MEV/liquid staking protocol (JitoSOL offers extra rewards).
▸ $777M market cap, +25% weekly gain – institutional inflows rising.

🎯 Key Takeaways
- Pattern repeats: Structural breakouts → +76–83% rallies (2023–24).
- Altseason confirmed: BTC dominance drop + altcoin volume spikes.
- Act now: Early movers will capture the steepest gains.

💬 Comment your top alt pick below!
#SaylorBTCPurchase $BTC