Crypto AnalyZen
Scenario-based crypto market analysis.
Focus on structure, liquidity and risk.
No signals. No hype.
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Alla
Offerter
$LTC — Update
After my last analysis on Litecoin was published last week, my alert triggered at the upper boundary of the marked zone. The drop lasted only about 5 minutes, and I didn’t have time to get to my computer, so the entry was missed.
Today, I’m actually glad I didn’t give in to FOMO and stayed an observer.
This new week started with another decline and pullbacks from the marked zone. Since opening a long here would require a wide stop, caution is needed.
I measured the lower tail of the October 2025 candle. Price has already tested the 50% level and is now aiming toward the 75% level at 63.45 — which means it’s still too early to rush into a long position.
#LTC #Litecoin #altcoins
After my last analysis on Litecoin was published last week, my alert triggered at the upper boundary of the marked zone. The drop lasted only about 5 minutes, and I didn’t have time to get to my computer, so the entry was missed.
Today, I’m actually glad I didn’t give in to FOMO and stayed an observer.
This new week started with another decline and pullbacks from the marked zone. Since opening a long here would require a wide stop, caution is needed.
I measured the lower tail of the October 2025 candle. Price has already tested the 50% level and is now aiming toward the 75% level at 63.45 — which means it’s still too early to rush into a long position.
#LTC #Litecoin #altcoins
$XMR — Monero Update
As discussed earlier, price tested the 50% upper tail of the daily candlestick last week — and that move carried price almost to the old all-time high.
The week closed lower, forming a new 50% upper tail at 686.85. As seen on the chart, there is a gap below this level, best visible on the 4H timeframe.
Since the price made a sharp move down early in the week and then a fast rally into the lower boundary of that gap, the probability is high that after a short pullback and a test of the weekly open at 572.83, the gap will be filled to the upside.
#XMR #Monero #altcoins
As discussed earlier, price tested the 50% upper tail of the daily candlestick last week — and that move carried price almost to the old all-time high.
The week closed lower, forming a new 50% upper tail at 686.85. As seen on the chart, there is a gap below this level, best visible on the 4H timeframe.
Since the price made a sharp move down early in the week and then a fast rally into the lower boundary of that gap, the probability is high that after a short pullback and a test of the weekly open at 572.83, the gap will be filled to the upside.
#XMR #Monero #altcoins
$ADA — 2026 Outlook
$ADA The annual chart itself speaks volumes.
After a meteoric rise in 2021 to an all-time high at 3.1010, ADA attempted to continue higher, but every following year failed to sustain that momentum. In 2024, price briefly tested the 2022 opening level at 1.3080, but no structural reversal followed.
In 2025, a new low was formed below the 2024 low. The annual candle closed with a large red body, which statistically does not favor a bullish continuation.
➡️ High-probability downside test levels:
• 2024 low — 0.2756
• 2025 low — 0.2737
• 2023 opening level — 0.2458
• Annual gap zone: 0.2200 – 0.1069 (2023 low → 2019 high)
On the monthly chart, we can clearly observe the formation of an expanding triangle. In my view, the base of this structure aligns with the 2023 opening level, which was tested multiple times throughout 2023.
We could draw alternative bases for the triangle, but that would be speculative — and I prefer to work only with confirmed levels.
At the moment, price is trading inside the 2024 accumulation zone, which previously ended with a strong upside impulse.
However, the overall triangle structure has already played out its bullish phase:
• Three upward impulses have formed
• The 2025 decline can be classified as a corrective wave
Most likely scenarios from here:
1️⃣ Bearish continuation
Breakdown below the triangle base → full fill of the annual gap
📉 Target zone: 0.22 → 0.1069
2️⃣ Relief upside move
Price pushes higher to fill the monthly gap formed between:
• September 2025 low — 0.7542
• November 2025 high — 0.6189
Both scenarios remain technically valid — but the annual structure currently favors downside pressure over long-term upside expansion.
After a meteoric rise in 2021 to an all-time high at 3.1010, ADA attempted to continue higher, but every following year failed to sustain that momentum. In 2024, price briefly tested the 2022 opening level at 1.3080, but no structural reversal followed.
In 2025, a new low was formed below the 2024 low. The annual candle closed with a large red body, which statistically does not favor a bullish continuation.
➡️ High-probability downside test levels:
• 2024 low — 0.2756
• 2025 low — 0.2737
• 2023 opening level — 0.2458
• Annual gap zone: 0.2200 – 0.1069 (2023 low → 2019 high)
On the monthly chart, we can clearly observe the formation of an expanding triangle. In my view, the base of this structure aligns with the 2023 opening level, which was tested multiple times throughout 2023.
We could draw alternative bases for the triangle, but that would be speculative — and I prefer to work only with confirmed levels.
At the moment, price is trading inside the 2024 accumulation zone, which previously ended with a strong upside impulse.
However, the overall triangle structure has already played out its bullish phase:
• Three upward impulses have formed
• The 2025 decline can be classified as a corrective wave
Most likely scenarios from here:
1️⃣ Bearish continuation
Breakdown below the triangle base → full fill of the annual gap
📉 Target zone: 0.22 → 0.1069
2️⃣ Relief upside move
Price pushes higher to fill the monthly gap formed between:
• September 2025 low — 0.7542
• November 2025 high — 0.6189
Both scenarios remain technically valid — but the annual structure currently favors downside pressure over long-term upside expansion.
Very aptly noted — a perfect recipe for losing not only money, but your sanity too.;)
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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How to Lose Money Trading (Step by Step)
You’ve probably heard a lot about how everyone on the internet teaches you how to make money in trading or how to avoid losing money in trading. But today, we’re going to learn something different. Today, I’m going to show you how you can lose money in trading!
Do you want to learn it?
Perfect. Follow this step by step guide.
Step 1: Buy Expensive Trading Gear
First, buy a super expensive computer.
Then buy at least six 27-inch ultra-HD monitors and mount them on a massive stand. You must also subscribe to multiple signal groups so you can watch charts all day. This setup is absolutely required to become a successful trader… obviously.
Step 2: Find Trading Indicators
Now start searching for the perfect technical indicator.
Once you find it, your trading account will turn into an ATM machine.
Then trade big.
Actually, trade huge.
Your screens will glow green with profits. Your electricity bill will look like spare change.
Step 3: Trust Indicators Blindly
When your indicator says “oversold,” buy immediately.
Never question it.
Never think.
Never look at price action.
Never care about news.
Your indicator knows everything. Your brain knows nothing.
Step 4: Ignore the Global Economy
Interest rates?
Inflation?
War?
Politics?
Boring stuff. Ignore all of it.
Just stare at your charts all day. Trading is a staring contest.
Whoever blinks first loses.
Even if your eyes start hurting, keep staring, eventually, profits will magically appear.
Step 5: Hunt for Trading Tips Online
Visit trding forums and search for “hot tips.”
If you don’t find any, message random strangers and ask them for trades.
The less you know about them, the better.
If someone offers a magical indicator or EA with a 137% win rate, download it immediately.
Free stuff always works best.
Step 6: Copy Other Traders
Read what other traders are doing and copy them without thinking. They’ve been trading longer than you, so they must be profitable… right?
No need to ask questions. Thinking is overrated.
Just copy trades and enjoy the influencer lifestyle.
Step 7: Skip the Trading Plan
If you see a trade, just take it.
No plan needed, No rules, No exits.
“Just do it.”
Every trade is guaranteed to win anyway.
Step 8: Think Only About Profits
Never think about how much you can lose. Only imagine how rich you’ll be.
Start planning which Lambo you’ll buy or which luxury store you’ll visit.
Risk management is for losers.
Step 9: Never Use Stop Losses
Stop losses are for weak traders.
You are different, You always win.
Even if the trade goes deep into loss, it will definitely come back.
Red is just a color.
Step 10: Trade With Emotions
Logic is unnecessary.
When you feel greedy, buy.
When you feel scared, sell.
Let emotions control everything.
That’s how consistent profits are made… at least in your head.
This is all you need to Lose
Make sure you follow as many of these steps as possible.
Very soon, you’ll see that big fat zero in your trading account the one you always dreamed about.
If you’re lucky, you might even see a negative balance.
If you’re impatient and want to lose money even faster, feel free to repeat any of these steps again and again.
BUT
if you want to avoid blowing your trading account, now you know exactly what NOT to do.
Most traders make these mistakes when they first start trading.
I did too.
Hopefully, you don’t repeat my mistakes.
Do you want to learn it?
Perfect. Follow this step by step guide.
Step 1: Buy Expensive Trading Gear
First, buy a super expensive computer.
Then buy at least six 27-inch ultra-HD monitors and mount them on a massive stand. You must also subscribe to multiple signal groups so you can watch charts all day. This setup is absolutely required to become a successful trader… obviously.
Step 2: Find Trading Indicators
Now start searching for the perfect technical indicator.
Once you find it, your trading account will turn into an ATM machine.
Then trade big.
Actually, trade huge.
Your screens will glow green with profits. Your electricity bill will look like spare change.
Step 3: Trust Indicators Blindly
When your indicator says “oversold,” buy immediately.
Never question it.
Never think.
Never look at price action.
Never care about news.
Your indicator knows everything. Your brain knows nothing.
Step 4: Ignore the Global Economy
Interest rates?
Inflation?
War?
Politics?
Boring stuff. Ignore all of it.
Just stare at your charts all day. Trading is a staring contest.
Whoever blinks first loses.
Even if your eyes start hurting, keep staring, eventually, profits will magically appear.
Step 5: Hunt for Trading Tips Online
Visit trding forums and search for “hot tips.”
If you don’t find any, message random strangers and ask them for trades.
The less you know about them, the better.
If someone offers a magical indicator or EA with a 137% win rate, download it immediately.
Free stuff always works best.
Step 6: Copy Other Traders
Read what other traders are doing and copy them without thinking. They’ve been trading longer than you, so they must be profitable… right?
No need to ask questions. Thinking is overrated.
Just copy trades and enjoy the influencer lifestyle.
Step 7: Skip the Trading Plan
If you see a trade, just take it.
No plan needed, No rules, No exits.
“Just do it.”
Every trade is guaranteed to win anyway.
Step 8: Think Only About Profits
Never think about how much you can lose. Only imagine how rich you’ll be.
Start planning which Lambo you’ll buy or which luxury store you’ll visit.
Risk management is for losers.
Step 9: Never Use Stop Losses
Stop losses are for weak traders.
You are different, You always win.
Even if the trade goes deep into loss, it will definitely come back.
Red is just a color.
Step 10: Trade With Emotions
Logic is unnecessary.
When you feel greedy, buy.
When you feel scared, sell.
Let emotions control everything.
That’s how consistent profits are made… at least in your head.
This is all you need to Lose
Make sure you follow as many of these steps as possible.
Very soon, you’ll see that big fat zero in your trading account the one you always dreamed about.
If you’re lucky, you might even see a negative balance.
If you’re impatient and want to lose money even faster, feel free to repeat any of these steps again and again.
BUT
if you want to avoid blowing your trading account, now you know exactly what NOT to do.
Most traders make these mistakes when they first start trading.
I did too.
Hopefully, you don’t repeat my mistakes.
$LTC Update
Since January 11, open interest has been increasing while price continues to decline. This behavior indicates the opening of new and larger long positions.
The price has tested the 2024 opening level (72.89) for the second time, below the 2023 opening level (70.14).
The upper boundary of the marked zone is 68.
The middle of this zone is 53.
This is a fairly wide range, so don't rush into opening a long position, but it's worth setting an alert above the marked zone.
!!! The 68-53 range is the best for opening a long position.
#LTC #MarketRebound #Altcoins
Since January 11, open interest has been increasing while price continues to decline. This behavior indicates the opening of new and larger long positions.
The price has tested the 2024 opening level (72.89) for the second time, below the 2023 opening level (70.14).
The upper boundary of the marked zone is 68.
The middle of this zone is 53.
This is a fairly wide range, so don't rush into opening a long position, but it's worth setting an alert above the marked zone.
!!! The 68-53 range is the best for opening a long position.
#LTC #MarketRebound #Altcoins
$XMR (Monero) — Update
A long-upper tailed candle formed on the daily chart yesterday. The daily close occurred near the 23% Fibonacci retracement of the entire range of the last uptrend. After that, price moved just below the 50% level of the daily candle’s upper tail.
What can we expect?
A potential retest of the Asian session high (751.62).
If a classic rejection structure forms — a green candle today followed by a red candle tomorrow, with daily open/close levels around the 50% level of the daily candle's upper tail — this would signal a reversal and continuation of the downward move.
At the moment, 25% of the position has been closed, and the stop is still set at 50% ROI (780).
Plan
If the Asian high (≈751) is tested, I will restore the previous position size.
If the downward move continues, target levels are:
50% of the range of the last uptrend - 606.78
2021 all-time high — 521
2025 mid-high — 499.11
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh #altcoins
A long-upper tailed candle formed on the daily chart yesterday. The daily close occurred near the 23% Fibonacci retracement of the entire range of the last uptrend. After that, price moved just below the 50% level of the daily candle’s upper tail.
What can we expect?
A potential retest of the Asian session high (751.62).
If a classic rejection structure forms — a green candle today followed by a red candle tomorrow, with daily open/close levels around the 50% level of the daily candle's upper tail — this would signal a reversal and continuation of the downward move.
At the moment, 25% of the position has been closed, and the stop is still set at 50% ROI (780).
Plan
If the Asian high (≈751) is tested, I will restore the previous position size.
If the downward move continues, target levels are:
50% of the range of the last uptrend - 606.78
2021 all-time high — 521
2025 mid-high — 499.11
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh #altcoins
S
XMRUSDT
Löpande
Stängd
Resultat
+364.37%
$LTC — 2026 early outlook
LTC currently ranks 15th in the TOP-20 CMC Index, keeping it within my area of interest.
On the annual chart, after reaching an ATH in May 2021 (413.94) and declining sharply, the price has repeatedly tried to recover, but it has failed to break above the 2022 opening level (146.19).
The monthly chart shows a developing expanding triangle structure with a test of the midpoint of the 2020–2021 accumulation/order-block zone.
The second wave within this structure has a lower high and lower low, suggesting potential pattern repetition. This implies the next upward impulse may create a higher high, entering the gap zone between 181.91 and 153.79, aligning with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of 23.68–413.94.
At this stage, a test of the 2023–2024 opening levels and the upper boundary of the accumulation zone (~68.08) would provide an opportunity to consider low-risk long setups.
#LTC #altcoins #LTCPricePrediction
{spot}(LTCUSDT)
{future}(LTCUSDT)
LTC currently ranks 15th in the TOP-20 CMC Index, keeping it within my area of interest.
On the annual chart, after reaching an ATH in May 2021 (413.94) and declining sharply, the price has repeatedly tried to recover, but it has failed to break above the 2022 opening level (146.19).
The monthly chart shows a developing expanding triangle structure with a test of the midpoint of the 2020–2021 accumulation/order-block zone.
The second wave within this structure has a lower high and lower low, suggesting potential pattern repetition. This implies the next upward impulse may create a higher high, entering the gap zone between 181.91 and 153.79, aligning with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of 23.68–413.94.
At this stage, a test of the 2023–2024 opening levels and the upper boundary of the accumulation zone (~68.08) would provide an opportunity to consider low-risk long setups.
#LTC #altcoins #LTCPricePrediction
{spot}(LTCUSDT)
{future}(LTCUSDT)
$XMR — update
New update: At 23% Fibo I clesed 25% of position, stop still at 50%Roı (780.21)
New update: As a rule, once a position reaches 200% ROI, I move the stop to the 50% ROI level.
I dared to open a short with a very tight stop — in case the uptrend continued. Notice that shorts were being opened en masse, which means someone was selling (closing) their longs very well.
If you look at the 4H chart, you can see how cleanly the Fibonacci levels aligned with the measured ranges.
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh
New update: At 23% Fibo I clesed 25% of position, stop still at 50%Roı (780.21)
New update: As a rule, once a position reaches 200% ROI, I move the stop to the 50% ROI level.
I dared to open a short with a very tight stop — in case the uptrend continued. Notice that shorts were being opened en masse, which means someone was selling (closing) their longs very well.
If you look at the 4H chart, you can see how cleanly the Fibonacci levels aligned with the measured ranges.
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh
S
XMRUSDT
Löpande
Stängd
Resultat
+364.37%
$BCH — Quick Update
After three attempts to break the midpoint of the marked upper zone, the price moved into a pullback, which resulted in filling the gap and briefly moving below the 2026 opening level.
I expect the upward move to continue, at least toward and above the previous mid-high at 719.50.
All levels marked on the chart should be viewed as potential pullback levels during the continuation of the move.
#BCH #BitcoinCash #altcoins
After three attempts to break the midpoint of the marked upper zone, the price moved into a pullback, which resulted in filling the gap and briefly moving below the 2026 opening level.
I expect the upward move to continue, at least toward and above the previous mid-high at 719.50.
All levels marked on the chart should be viewed as potential pullback levels during the continuation of the move.
#BCH #BitcoinCash #altcoins
$BCH update
The coin has continued its upward move, exactly as outlined in our previously published analyses.
The 2025 opening level is 599.6.
In the first days of the new year, price reached the identified gap zone and successfully moved above its midpoint.
At this stage, a short-term correction at the start of the week would be healthy. For this reason, a pullback toward the 2025 opening level at 599.6 is expected. This level aligns closely with the 78% Fibonacci retracement (602.6) of the most recent upward leg, as well as the midpoint of the gap formed on the first trading day of the year.
How price reacts within this opening zone will be key and should give a clear indication of which scenario is likely to unfold over the course of this month.
#BCH #altcoins
{spot}(BCHUSDT)
{future}(BCHUSDT)
The coin has continued its upward move, exactly as outlined in our previously published analyses.
The 2025 opening level is 599.6.
In the first days of the new year, price reached the identified gap zone and successfully moved above its midpoint.
At this stage, a short-term correction at the start of the week would be healthy. For this reason, a pullback toward the 2025 opening level at 599.6 is expected. This level aligns closely with the 78% Fibonacci retracement (602.6) of the most recent upward leg, as well as the midpoint of the gap formed on the first trading day of the year.
How price reacts within this opening zone will be key and should give a clear indication of which scenario is likely to unfold over the course of this month.
#BCH #altcoins
{spot}(BCHUSDT)
{future}(BCHUSDT)
$XMR (Monero) update
If you remember, I previously published yearly and monthly charts with a projection of the last pullback to estimate a possible all-time high.
Since then, the price has already moved about 2.5×.
At the same time, we see a strong increase in open interest while price is rising, which suggests:
large short positions being opened
with long closures remaining hidden, while shorts are increasing more aggressively
This combination is pushing the price even higher.
All data used here comes exclusively from the Binance database.
Binance does not support Monero spot trading, so it is not possible to compare spot and derivatives activity — this significantly limits market structure analysis.
A 3× projection from the pullback gives a level around 799.77.
⚠️ Trading around new all-time highs is always difficult — especially in the crypto market.
👉 At this stage, I do not recommend opening shorts, and even more so, I do not recommend opening longs.
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh #altcoins
If you remember, I previously published yearly and monthly charts with a projection of the last pullback to estimate a possible all-time high.
Since then, the price has already moved about 2.5×.
At the same time, we see a strong increase in open interest while price is rising, which suggests:
large short positions being opened
with long closures remaining hidden, while shorts are increasing more aggressively
This combination is pushing the price even higher.
All data used here comes exclusively from the Binance database.
Binance does not support Monero spot trading, so it is not possible to compare spot and derivatives activity — this significantly limits market structure analysis.
A 3× projection from the pullback gives a level around 799.77.
⚠️ Trading around new all-time highs is always difficult — especially in the crypto market.
👉 At this stage, I do not recommend opening shorts, and even more so, I do not recommend opening longs.
#XMR #XMRHitsNewHigh #altcoins
$XMR - New all-time high in early January 2026
A new all-time high in the first half of January. I’m a skeptic, so I start from the annual chart.
In 2025, the coin printed the wide range : 183.42–499.11.
Since 2025 closed at almost 75% of the 2021 candle top, with the old ATH at 521.00, it was reasonable to expect further upside. However, I would have preferred to see a healthy correction — at least 50% Fibonacci of the annual range at 341.27, which now lies just below the middle of the gap zone between the 2026 low and the 2023 high.
If we project the last pullback range from January to August 2025, the level 610.08 becomes evident — meaning we are very close to forming a new ATH.
What to be expected: new ATH formation is usually accompanied by closing large longs and opening large shorts, pushing price even higher. At this stage, it is difficult to say where the move will end — better to monitor lower time frames.
#XMR #XMRnewATH #altcoins
{future}(XMRUSDT)
A new all-time high in the first half of January. I’m a skeptic, so I start from the annual chart.
In 2025, the coin printed the wide range : 183.42–499.11.
Since 2025 closed at almost 75% of the 2021 candle top, with the old ATH at 521.00, it was reasonable to expect further upside. However, I would have preferred to see a healthy correction — at least 50% Fibonacci of the annual range at 341.27, which now lies just below the middle of the gap zone between the 2026 low and the 2023 high.
If we project the last pullback range from January to August 2025, the level 610.08 becomes evident — meaning we are very close to forming a new ATH.
What to be expected: new ATH formation is usually accompanied by closing large longs and opening large shorts, pushing price even higher. At this stage, it is difficult to say where the move will end — better to monitor lower time frames.
#XMR #XMRnewATH #altcoins
{future}(XMRUSDT)
$ZEC update
New update: I closed 50% of position and stop moved at 402.12 (220%ROI), TP at 456.89
After yesterday’s test of the lower boundary of the marked zone, the price reached the 62% Fibonacci retracement.
At this level, I reduced the position by 25% and moved the stop to breakeven, locking in approximately 50% ROI.
The next take-profit area is the marked zone above, slightly higher than the 50% Fibonacci retracement. At that level, I plan to reduce the position by an additional 30% and move the stop to the 62% Fibonacci retracement.
The remaining portion of the position will be managed according to how price reacts to the upper zone.
#ZEC #ZECUSDT #altcoins
New update: I closed 50% of position and stop moved at 402.12 (220%ROI), TP at 456.89
After yesterday’s test of the lower boundary of the marked zone, the price reached the 62% Fibonacci retracement.
At this level, I reduced the position by 25% and moved the stop to breakeven, locking in approximately 50% ROI.
The next take-profit area is the marked zone above, slightly higher than the 50% Fibonacci retracement. At that level, I plan to reduce the position by an additional 30% and move the stop to the 62% Fibonacci retracement.
The remaining portion of the position will be managed according to how price reacts to the upper zone.
#ZEC #ZECUSDT #altcoins
K
ZECUSDT
Löpande
Stängd
Resultat
+343.63%
$ZEC — Update
The price has moved down to the lower boundary of the marked zone.
The idea of a potential upward move remains valid — during the first two weeks of the new year, the price has already covered almost the entire range of the previous month.
On the weekly chart, a strong red candlestick is forming, which may be foreshadowing a further downward move. Overall market sentiment also leans toward downside continuation.
For this reason, we should also consider the scenario in which the price is pushed above the December 2025 opening level at 427.99.
Trading plan:
A small long position with a low-risk stop.
Targets:
Progressive scaling at the key Fibonacci levels of the previous downward leg.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
The price has moved down to the lower boundary of the marked zone.
The idea of a potential upward move remains valid — during the first two weeks of the new year, the price has already covered almost the entire range of the previous month.
On the weekly chart, a strong red candlestick is forming, which may be foreshadowing a further downward move. Overall market sentiment also leans toward downside continuation.
For this reason, we should also consider the scenario in which the price is pushed above the December 2025 opening level at 427.99.
Trading plan:
A small long position with a low-risk stop.
Targets:
Progressive scaling at the key Fibonacci levels of the previous downward leg.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
$BTC — 2026 Outlook
My previous analysis for Bitcoin was published shortly before the end of 2025. At that time, I assumed that the yearly candle would close green and below the 2024 mid-high. Instead, the annual time frame shows a different scenario.
On the annual chart, three upward impulse waves are clearly visible, with deep pullbacks after the first two impulses. The third upward impulse that started in 2023 ended at the 2025 all-time high (126,199.63). The 2025 close with a red candle and a large upper tail indicates a higher probability of correction rather than immediate continuation of the upward move.
I assume we will still see a test of the 2024 mid-high (108,353.00), which lies just below the 50% tail of the 2025 annual candle (109,887.87).
In the first two weeks of the new year, there were attempts to break above the 2025 opening level at 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, we have a gap between the October 2025 low (102,000.00) and the December 2025 high (94,588.99) — the lower boundary of this gap has already been tested during the first weeks of 2026. If this level is convincingly reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
If price moves downward, attention shifts to the 2026 opening level and the lower tail of the 2025 candle. The key zone remains the gap between the 2025 low at 74,508.00 and the 2021 all-time high at 69,000.00, which also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the impulse from 15,476.00 to 126,199.63.
🎯 Key levels to watch
Upside scenario
Gap zone 94,588.99 – 102,000.00 → opens path to 108,353.00
109,887.87 → 50% of the 2025 upper tail (upper resistance area)
Downside scenario
2026 opening level — 87,648.00
Lower tail of the 2025 annual candle — 74,508.00
Main gap zone 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63)
and levels + gaps even lower remain possible if the main zone fails to hold
#BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #bitcoin
My previous analysis for Bitcoin was published shortly before the end of 2025. At that time, I assumed that the yearly candle would close green and below the 2024 mid-high. Instead, the annual time frame shows a different scenario.
On the annual chart, three upward impulse waves are clearly visible, with deep pullbacks after the first two impulses. The third upward impulse that started in 2023 ended at the 2025 all-time high (126,199.63). The 2025 close with a red candle and a large upper tail indicates a higher probability of correction rather than immediate continuation of the upward move.
I assume we will still see a test of the 2024 mid-high (108,353.00), which lies just below the 50% tail of the 2025 annual candle (109,887.87).
In the first two weeks of the new year, there were attempts to break above the 2025 opening level at 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, we have a gap between the October 2025 low (102,000.00) and the December 2025 high (94,588.99) — the lower boundary of this gap has already been tested during the first weeks of 2026. If this level is convincingly reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
If price moves downward, attention shifts to the 2026 opening level and the lower tail of the 2025 candle. The key zone remains the gap between the 2025 low at 74,508.00 and the 2021 all-time high at 69,000.00, which also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the impulse from 15,476.00 to 126,199.63.
🎯 Key levels to watch
Upside scenario
Gap zone 94,588.99 – 102,000.00 → opens path to 108,353.00
109,887.87 → 50% of the 2025 upper tail (upper resistance area)
Downside scenario
2026 opening level — 87,648.00
Lower tail of the 2025 annual candle — 74,508.00
Main gap zone 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63)
and levels + gaps even lower remain possible if the main zone fails to hold
#BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #bitcoin
$XMR - New all-time high in early January 2026
A new all-time high in the first half of January. I’m a skeptic, so I start from the annual chart.
In 2025, the coin printed the wide range : 183.42–499.11.
Since 2025 closed at almost 75% of the 2021 candle top, with the old ATH at 521.00, it was reasonable to expect further upside. However, I would have preferred to see a healthy correction — at least 50% Fibonacci of the annual range at 341.27, which now lies just below the middle of the gap zone between the 2026 low and the 2023 high.
If we project the last pullback range from January to August 2025, the level 610.08 becomes evident — meaning we are very close to forming a new ATH.
What to be expected: new ATH formation is usually accompanied by closing large longs and opening large shorts, pushing price even higher. At this stage, it is difficult to say where the move will end — better to monitor lower time frames.
#XMR #XMRnewATH #altcoins
A new all-time high in the first half of January. I’m a skeptic, so I start from the annual chart.
In 2025, the coin printed the wide range : 183.42–499.11.
Since 2025 closed at almost 75% of the 2021 candle top, with the old ATH at 521.00, it was reasonable to expect further upside. However, I would have preferred to see a healthy correction — at least 50% Fibonacci of the annual range at 341.27, which now lies just below the middle of the gap zone between the 2026 low and the 2023 high.
If we project the last pullback range from January to August 2025, the level 610.08 becomes evident — meaning we are very close to forming a new ATH.
What to be expected: new ATH formation is usually accompanied by closing large longs and opening large shorts, pushing price even higher. At this stage, it is difficult to say where the move will end — better to monitor lower time frames.
#XMR #XMRnewATH #altcoins
$ZEC – Quick Review
The earlier bullish outlook played out. Price has already moved above the November 2025 open at 403.61 and fully filled the gap from the last downward move.
The lower boundary of this gap is located near the start of the breaker at 383, clearly visible on the 15-minute chart — most likely a stop-hunt on long positions slightly below the previous mid-low and the 2021 ATH at 372.62.
If upward momentum continues, the pullback may already be completed. Any dips below the midpoint of this marked zone could be considered opportunities to open new longs.
#zec #zecash #altcoins
The earlier bullish outlook played out. Price has already moved above the November 2025 open at 403.61 and fully filled the gap from the last downward move.
The lower boundary of this gap is located near the start of the breaker at 383, clearly visible on the 15-minute chart — most likely a stop-hunt on long positions slightly below the previous mid-low and the 2021 ATH at 372.62.
If upward momentum continues, the pullback may already be completed. Any dips below the midpoint of this marked zone could be considered opportunities to open new longs.
#zec #zecash #altcoins
$ZEC — update
Despite the overall bearish outlook for this year and the recent news surrounding the project team, I expect we may see a test of upper levels this month.
Key levels to watch:
• 403.61 — November 2025 opening
• 427.99 — December 2025 opening
• the gap zone just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement of this year’s entire downward range (456-444)
Under a more aggressive scenario, the move could extend above the 2026 opening level, creating an opportunity to consider new short positions.
Yesterday’s decline was accompanied by a rise in open interest, which more likely indicates the opening of new long positions.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
{future}(ZECUSDT)
{spot}(ZECUSDT)
Despite the overall bearish outlook for this year and the recent news surrounding the project team, I expect we may see a test of upper levels this month.
Key levels to watch:
• 403.61 — November 2025 opening
• 427.99 — December 2025 opening
• the gap zone just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement of this year’s entire downward range (456-444)
Under a more aggressive scenario, the move could extend above the 2026 opening level, creating an opportunity to consider new short positions.
Yesterday’s decline was accompanied by a rise in open interest, which more likely indicates the opening of new long positions.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
{future}(ZECUSDT)
{spot}(ZECUSDT)
$ZEC — update
Despite the overall bearish outlook for this year and the recent news surrounding the project team, I expect we may see a test of upper levels this month.
Key levels to watch:
• 403.61 — November 2025 opening
• 427.99 — December 2025 opening
• the gap zone just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement of this year’s entire downward range (456-444)
Under a more aggressive scenario, the move could extend above the 2026 opening level, creating an opportunity to consider new short positions.
Yesterday’s decline was accompanied by a rise in open interest, which more likely indicates the opening of new long positions.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
Despite the overall bearish outlook for this year and the recent news surrounding the project team, I expect we may see a test of upper levels this month.
Key levels to watch:
• 403.61 — November 2025 opening
• 427.99 — December 2025 opening
• the gap zone just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement of this year’s entire downward range (456-444)
Under a more aggressive scenario, the move could extend above the 2026 opening level, creating an opportunity to consider new short positions.
Yesterday’s decline was accompanied by a rise in open interest, which more likely indicates the opening of new long positions.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
$TRX — early 2026 outlook
TRX currently ranks 6th in the TOP-20 CMC Index.
After a meteoric rise in 2024 that brought a new ATH at 0.4500, last year the price moved in a wide range, testing the 23% Fibonacci retracement of the 2024 annual range and moving slightly above the 50% tail of the yearly candle.
At this stage, the scenario remains uncertain, but a rejection formation appears to be developing. If this plays out, price may drop below the 2026 and 2025 opening levels, testing at least the annual gap zone between the 2025 low (0.2011) and the 2021 high (0.18), which aligns with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the full 0.0068–0.45 range.
#TRX #altcoins #BinanceSquareFamily
TRX currently ranks 6th in the TOP-20 CMC Index.
After a meteoric rise in 2024 that brought a new ATH at 0.4500, last year the price moved in a wide range, testing the 23% Fibonacci retracement of the 2024 annual range and moving slightly above the 50% tail of the yearly candle.
At this stage, the scenario remains uncertain, but a rejection formation appears to be developing. If this plays out, price may drop below the 2026 and 2025 opening levels, testing at least the annual gap zone between the 2025 low (0.2011) and the 2021 high (0.18), which aligns with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the full 0.0068–0.45 range.
#TRX #altcoins #BinanceSquareFamily
$LTC — 2026 early outlook
LTC currently ranks 15th in the TOP-20 CMC Index, keeping it within my area of interest.
On the annual chart, after reaching an ATH in May 2021 (413.94) and declining sharply, the price has repeatedly tried to recover, but it has failed to break above the 2022 opening level (146.19).
The monthly chart shows a developing expanding triangle structure with a test of the midpoint of the 2020–2021 accumulation/order-block zone.
The second wave within this structure has a lower high and lower low, suggesting potential pattern repetition. This implies the next upward impulse may create a higher high, entering the gap zone between 181.91 and 153.79, aligning with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of 23.68–413.94.
At this stage, a test of the 2023–2024 opening levels and the upper boundary of the accumulation zone (~68.08) would provide an opportunity to consider low-risk long setups.
#LTC #altcoins #LTCPricePrediction
LTC currently ranks 15th in the TOP-20 CMC Index, keeping it within my area of interest.
On the annual chart, after reaching an ATH in May 2021 (413.94) and declining sharply, the price has repeatedly tried to recover, but it has failed to break above the 2022 opening level (146.19).
The monthly chart shows a developing expanding triangle structure with a test of the midpoint of the 2020–2021 accumulation/order-block zone.
The second wave within this structure has a lower high and lower low, suggesting potential pattern repetition. This implies the next upward impulse may create a higher high, entering the gap zone between 181.91 and 153.79, aligning with the 62% Fibonacci retracement of 23.68–413.94.
At this stage, a test of the 2023–2024 opening levels and the upper boundary of the accumulation zone (~68.08) would provide an opportunity to consider low-risk long setups.
#LTC #altcoins #LTCPricePrediction
$ADA update
The price moved upward and stopped after entering the gap zone, without reaching the midpoint of the zone. The correction that followed was expected.
Ideally, we would like to see the gap filled between 50% and 62% Fibonacci of the 0.32–0.43 range.
To support the scenario of a continued upward movement, the price should not fall into the gap that was formed immediately after the start of the new year. A drop back into this zone would weaken the bullish case.
If that happens, we turn to the annual timeframe, where there is a risk of a further downward move, with potential tests of:
• 0.2737 – 2025 low
• 0.2458 – 2023 opening level
• gap zone between 0.1069 (2019 high) and 0.22 (2023 low)
For now, price remains technically neutral, with both scenarios open. #ADA #altcoins
The price moved upward and stopped after entering the gap zone, without reaching the midpoint of the zone. The correction that followed was expected.
Ideally, we would like to see the gap filled between 50% and 62% Fibonacci of the 0.32–0.43 range.
To support the scenario of a continued upward movement, the price should not fall into the gap that was formed immediately after the start of the new year. A drop back into this zone would weaken the bullish case.
If that happens, we turn to the annual timeframe, where there is a risk of a further downward move, with potential tests of:
• 0.2737 – 2025 low
• 0.2458 – 2023 opening level
• gap zone between 0.1069 (2019 high) and 0.22 (2023 low)
For now, price remains technically neutral, with both scenarios open. #ADA #altcoins
$ZEC – Market Update
$ZEC , in correlation with Bitcoin, distributed just above the 2026 opening level and then began to fall rapidly — the first scenario for this asset has played out.
From the 446 level, we observed a sharp increase in open interest accompanied by a strong price decline, while funding remained strongly positive. This combination indicates large long positions being opened while large shorts were being closed.
The decline paused near the previous all-time high at 372.62 (2021).
If the downside continuation unfolds, the annual chart highlights the following levels:
216.56 — high of 2022
146.38 — 2021 close / 2022 open
On the monthly chart, a clear rejection formation has developed. Since the month has only just begun, I expect to see additional upward pullbacks, likely used to open new short positions, followed by a downward projection.
This remains a technically important structure to monitor.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
$ZEC , in correlation with Bitcoin, distributed just above the 2026 opening level and then began to fall rapidly — the first scenario for this asset has played out.
From the 446 level, we observed a sharp increase in open interest accompanied by a strong price decline, while funding remained strongly positive. This combination indicates large long positions being opened while large shorts were being closed.
The decline paused near the previous all-time high at 372.62 (2021).
If the downside continuation unfolds, the annual chart highlights the following levels:
216.56 — high of 2022
146.38 — 2021 close / 2022 open
On the monthly chart, a clear rejection formation has developed. Since the month has only just begun, I expect to see additional upward pullbacks, likely used to open new short positions, followed by a downward projection.
This remains a technically important structure to monitor.
#zec #ZECUSDT #altcoins
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