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There’s a 63.6% probability we’ll see two rate cuts this year ☄️
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The market is currently balanced between strong buying pressure and key support levels. Buyers have been active around $113.8K with dip buyers stepping in near $112.8K, while short-term holders are defending $108.3K. A reclaim above $113.8K could pave the way for bullish continuation but if $108.3K fails, the door opens for a deeper move toward $93K. For now the trend stays favorable to the bulls as long as $108.3K holds.
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This morning’s breakout in #Bitcoin forced heavy liquidations of short positions stacked around $110k–$111k. Those shorts had built up over the weekend and their squeeze added fuel to the move higher. With that cluster cleared price action now has cleaner room to trend upward.
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Periods of short-term holder capitulation have often marked important reset points for #Bitcoin clearing excess speculation and opening the door for renewed accumulation. Right now, the STH NUPL has slipped into loss territory, signaling stress among recent buyers. While this may look negative history shows these phases often set the foundation for the next leg higher.
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The past 24 hours saw $431.90 million in liquidations with 107,136 traders caught in the move. The biggest single hit was on Hyperliquid, where an #ETHUSDT position worth $26.02 million was liquidated.
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Over the last month, centralized exchanges have seen around 170,000 BTC in net outflows. That means significantly more #Bitcoin left exchanges than entered, showing buyers are in control. Such heavy withdrawals point to accumulation, reduced selling pressure and growing confidence among investors.
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