Anndy Lian
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Assessing Safe-Haven Assets Amid Market Turmoil
A panel discussion titled Bitcoin vs. Gold: Assessing Safe-Haven Assets Amid Market Turmoil brought together industry experts to explore the roles of Bitcoin and gold as safe-haven assets during economic volatility. Moderated by Jameel Ahmad, Chief Analyst at GTCFX, the panel featured Anndy Lian, Intergovernmental Blockchain Advisor and Investor to VulpeFi; Rizwan Shaikh, Regional Manager at ICM.com; Richard Nasr, Crypto Technical Analyst at Tickmill; and Jason Allegrante, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer at Fireblocks. The discussion delved into whether Bitcoin can be considered a viable safe-haven asset compared to gold, the factors driving their price actions, and the broader financial market themes influencing investor sentiment. Below is a comprehensive overview of the insights shared, enriched with direct quotes from the panelists.
Bitcoin as a Safe-Haven Asset: A Polarizing Debate
The panel kicked off with a central question: Can Bitcoin be considered an alternative safe-haven asset? Anndy Lian, a seasoned blockchain advocate, was unequivocally optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential. He highlighted its growing institutional adoption and significant market cap, noting, “If you look at the market cap right now for global assets, I think we are probably top five or top six right now… institutions are really stepping up to look at Bitcoin at another level.” Lian pointed to major players like BlackRock endorsing Bitcoin, suggesting that this institutional backing signals a shift in perception, positioning Bitcoin as a reliable alternative investment. He emphasized its resilience, stating, “Look at it right now, it just passed the all-time high as we speak… it says a lot for the last 10 years.”
Rizwan Shaikh offered a more cautious perspective, acknowledging gold’s historical reliability during economic and geopolitical turmoil. He argued that Bitcoin, which emerged in 2009, still faces challenges like regulatory uncertainty and technological maturation. “Gold gives a solid case, but Bitcoin… will take time to be a safe-haven asset, at least 10 to 15 years,” Shaikh noted, suggesting that Bitcoin’s journey to safe-haven status is still in its infancy.
Richard Nasr, a technical analyst and Bitcoin enthusiast, countered with a compelling case for Bitcoin’s unique attributes. He emphasized its decentralized nature and fixed supply, which provide security and autonomy unmatched by traditional assets like gold. “Bitcoin doesn’t ask for any permission, it just works… no one can freeze it, no one can control it, no one can take it from you,” Nasr stated. He contrasted Bitcoin’s self-custody model with gold’s reliance on banks or vaults, which introduces counterparty risk. Nasr also highlighted a generational divide, noting, “Gen Z prefer Bitcoin… it’s freedom,” while older generations gravitate toward gold’s tangible legacy.
Moderator Jameel Ahmad framed the discussion by referencing recent market events, such as the volatility following Trump’s tariff announcements on April 2, 2025, and the Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. He noted that while gold surged to new highs during these periods, Bitcoin’s price action was more erratic, raising questions about its reliability as a hedge or safe haven.
Bitcoin and Gold: Complementary or Competing Assets?
The panelists explored whether investors could be optimistic about both Bitcoin and gold. Lian advocated for a diversified approach, suggesting that a basket of assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and physical assets like gold, could form an effective hedge. “If you can have a basket of other assets, I think including Bitcoin, that would be a very good hedge,” he said, acknowledging Bitcoin’s volatility but emphasizing its upward momentum driven by institutional support.
Shaikh agreed, viewing Bitcoin more as an investment than a pure safe haven. He cited its impressive historical returns, noting, “From 2012 to 2022, it’s like 3,000%,” but stressed the need for diversification to mitigate risk. Nasr echoed this sentiment, arguing that gold protects capital while Bitcoin grows it. “Gold is a store of value, Bitcoin is an investment… gold for your future and Bitcoin for your kids’ future,” he quipped, suggesting that the two assets serve complementary roles in a portfolio.
Financial Market Themes Driving Sentiment
The discussion shifted to the broader financial market themes influencing Bitcoin and gold. Lian highlighted the impact of high-profile events, such as a Trump-themed dinner attended by crypto influencers like Justin Sun, which could drive retail attention to cryptocurrencies. “All these small little fun events can actually trigger a lot more retail attention… as compared to CPI or Fed announcements,” he remarked, underscoring the power of narrative-driven market movements in the crypto space.
Shaikh focused on geopolitical trends, particularly de-dollarization, as a key driver for both assets. “Big economies like China, India, Russia are moving away from USD… it will affect, and people will be more into Bitcoin and alternative ways of cross-border payments,” he predicted. He also pointed to upcoming U.S.-China trade settlements as a potential catalyst for volatility in both Bitcoin and gold.
Nasr emphasized the role of institutional inflows, particularly through Bitcoin ETFs and strategic reserves. He referenced the transformative impact of gold ETFs in 2004, which led to a 700% surge over seven years, and suggested that Bitcoin ETFs, approved recently, could drive similar growth. “ETFs bring money, bring inflows, volume… this is what we saw for Bitcoin in the last couple of months,” he noted.
Why Gold Outperformed Bitcoin During Recent Volatility
The panel addressed why gold surged to all-time highs during the market turmoil in April 2025, while Bitcoin lagged. Lian attributed this to gold’s entrenched position among institutional and central bank holders, which allows for greater price stability. “A lot of powerhouses are actually holding on to gold… they could always do a different kind of manipulation,” he explained, contrasting this with Bitcoin’s nascent stage.
Shaikh pointed to gold’s lower volatility as a key factor. “When there is geopolitical or economic disagreement, people look for the asset which is less volatile… that was the reason that gold jumped,” he said. Nasr offered a cyclical perspective, suggesting that investors flock to gold during panic but shift to Bitcoin once the fear subsides. “In panic mode, everyone goes to what they know… when the panic fades, they start looking for what’s next, and that’s where Bitcoin steps in,” he explained.
Price Predictions and Future Outlook
The panelists shared their expectations for Bitcoin and gold price action in the near term. Lian predicted Bitcoin could reach $150,000–$160,000 by the end of 2025, driven by institutional buying and market dynamics. Shaikh was slightly more conservative, forecasting $115,000–$120,000 for Bitcoin and $3,700–$3,900 for gold within the next few months. Nasr, leveraging technical analysis, projected Bitcoin hitting $135,000 in the short term, with a potential peak of $268,500 by the end of the cycle, though he cautioned about a possible correction due to external events like exchange bankruptcies.
The Role of U.S. Policy and Global Trends
The panelists also discussed the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s campaign pledge to make America the “crypto capital of the world.” Lian viewed this as a bullish signal, noting, “Since America is open to famous guys like [Justin Sun], I think the regulations are really very clear… let’s move the market.” Shaikh agreed, suggesting that favorable crypto policies could boost innovation and government revenue through taxation. Nasr, however, cautioned that initial market reactions to Trump’s presidency were mixed, with profit-taking causing a temporary dip. He noted, “Now we are in greed… next will be extreme greed,” predicting further upside as optimism grows.
For gold, the panelists identified central bank buying, inflation, and geopolitical tensions as key drivers of its 30% rally in 2025. Nasr highlighted Russia and China’s aggressive gold purchases, while Shaikh emphasized industrial and retail demand. Lian added that gold’s immediate exchangeability makes it a preferred safe haven in crisis-hit regions.
Looking Ahead: Risks and Opportunities
As the discussion concluded, the panelists outlined key themes for investors to monitor in the second half of 2025. Lian urged caution due to potential corrections but saw opportunity in Bitcoin’s volatility. “If you are able to catch the next wave, you could make some really good money,” he advised. Shaikh anticipated greater stability due to trade settlements, while Nasr predicted a strong summer for Bitcoin, with June and July being particularly bullish, followed by a correction in August or September.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin vs. Gold panel at Crypto Expo Dubai 2025 offered a nuanced perspective on the evolving roles of these assets in turbulent markets. While gold’s historical stability and institutional backing make it a go-to safe haven, Bitcoin’s growing acceptance and unique attributes position it as a compelling alternative for the next generation. As Jameel Ahmad summarized, “2025 has already been very eventful… with erratic headlines and incredible volatility.” The panelists’ insights underscored the importance of diversification, vigilance, and understanding market cycles to navigate the opportunities and risks ahead.
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