Recently, the Americans have been in an uproar. It's just that they need to repay 6 trillion in U.S. debt in June without the funds, and the only solution is to issue new debt to pay off old debt. However, the Federal Reserve is not lowering interest rates and maintaining a rate of 4.5%, so the Americans will have to issue new debt at a rate of 4.5% to borrow money. Everyone overlooks one issue: the Americans hold the largest amount of gold in the world. A series of operations by Trump has caused gold prices to soar, which creates significant room for maneuvering here.
So when will interest rate cuts actually begin? It feels important, as it's a matter of just a few months. The operational strategy is to reserve 50% of the position, to keep a backup plan for oneself. #特朗普施压鲍威尔
Ethereum's Bloodbath in April! If there's no rebound in May, hell mode is about to begin!
Ethereum has crashed across the board in the first four months of this year: January to April down -1.28%, -31.95%, -18.69%, -20.22%. This is not a pullback; this is a massacre! The last time we saw a similar situation was during the 2018 bear market.
History tells us: April is not a month of despair; there have been several surges (like +67% in 2017, +55% in 2020). But there are also records of bloodbaths (like -17% in 2022, -20% in 2025).
In the long term, April has an average increase of +22%, but the volatility is enormous, like a roller coaster; whether to gamble or not depends on your courage.
Key warning: April-May is the lifeline for Ethereum!
If there is still no improvement in these two months, June-September may completely descend into bear market hell:
June: A traditionally brutal month, which saw a crash of -44% in 2022
July: A split market, with surges or crashes occurring randomly
August-September: A disaster zone for bear markets, with multiple crashes exceeding 20%
Response strategy:
If you want to gamble on a short-term rebound, April-May is the only window, but the risk is extremely high.
If it continues to decline, it is recommended to lay flat starting in June and not to push against the historical cycle.
History does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes; remember these numbers, and it might save your life.
$PNUT Why is pnut favored? Because currently, the star coins on the BN's Solana chain are WIF, Trump, Bonk, and Pnut, with WIF being the leader. It is the only coin with a coin-based contract. Trump's market value is at the top, but there are too many unlocked coins, which poses a great risk. Bonk has a relatively high market value, and the only coin that is both well-known and has a low market value is Pnut. I believe it will eventually return to 2.5 USD. Both its popularity and trading volume are very high.
#加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析 Clear out before the big drop in June 24 Clear out before Christmas in 25 Clear out at the 8.7 position during this rebound Several rounds of top escaping, not losing a bit
You are so good at analysis, can you send the screenshots of your escape at the two peaks at 24/25? If not, then you are just dreaming here.
Crypto爱玩币的村长
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A few days ago I said ETH might reach 80! A lot of people cursed me! It's not that I'm pessimistic! It's really a possibility. Because what's coming is a two-year bear market. Looking at the monthly chart of SOL. It might go back to 1! There are such patterns in technical analysis! It's not me talking nonsense. Be cautious! A major transformation not seen in a century! There will definitely be violent liquidations! Of course, we also need to reverse and pick up people! Welcoming the new king! #加密市场回调 $BTC
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? For the market trend My personal opinion is that it is a game of the election
1: If the first round of black swan election results is not Trump's inauguration, then the other party is a crypto black fan, who will continue to attack the industry, and the market will continue to fall
2: If the one you hope for takes office, it is in line with the performance in the second half of the year. Bitcoin is strongly controlled, while the copycat is sluggish. There is a psychological effect here. Bitcoin is high, and the copycat is temporarily low. There is an imbalance. The market has always been in a panic about the copycat, including me. When Bitcoin pulls back, everyone knows the performance of the copycat. Therefore, the liquidity in the circle is very poor, and the investment desire is sluggish. This situation is very unfriendly to capital/dealers/retail investors/markets. The copycat bull market is not easy to really start (does not affect the rebound)
3: If (Trump) takes office, from the normal news perspective, it is good for crypto, and it is super good. But I am also bearish. Is it possible that Bitcoin cannot fall because of a game between capital and him? Create an indestructible performance for Bitcoin, often cheer for crypto, and attract fans in the crypto circle to support him. If the market continues to fall sharply, the result for him will be particularly great. He controls the market, and the market performs well, so the result of his purpose is also good.
Four: Why is Trump still bearish after winning?
He is a businessman.
The fruit trees planted bear fruits that kill two birds with one stone, so the harvest is natural.
Another possibility is that if they really want to vigorously develop encryption, rather than using the industry to gain profits, they are also bearish. The lower the chips of the businessmen, the higher the profit. There is more room for operation in the future market.
The recent strong pull-up breakthrough, the election is approaching, a beautiful performance and shipment can be operated at the same time. After the wash, there is a real opportunity for copycats. I am optimistic about the future market, but not optimistic about the present. A rational thinking that investors should have
Send a message to $NEIRO The market value management team was arrested, which caused panic. I stopped half of my short position and set a cost stop loss. Many people also got off the spot market, and the short position accumulated good data. It happened that the market rose rapidly at this stage over the weekend, and the short positions were collectively harvested. I think this is a carnival before the harvest
Will the waterfall routine be verified on Monday/Tuesday?