洛天币定乾坤
穿越牛熊，指引道路，随缘带Dan，相互成就luotian36988
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In the cryptocurrency world, there are many ways to play. Let me discuss a few common ones that are easy to understand!
1. HODL Strategy
This is simple: buy coins and just hold them, waiting for them to gradually increase in value. Whether it's half a year, a year, or even longer, patience in holding will yield good returns. But the challenge lies in the fact that many people want to sell when the price rises and panic when it drops, making it difficult to hold for the long term. Thus, while HODLing seems simple, it truly tests your patience.
2. Bull Market Trend Following
In a bull market, use some spare cash to play around, but don’t invest too much—within one-fifth is fine. Look for coins with moderate market capitalization; when one rises, switch to another that has dropped, and keep cycling through. Even if you get stuck, you can still get out in a bull market. But remember, the coins you choose shouldn't be of poor quality; this strategy requires caution.
3. Bull Market Sandglass Strategy
In a bull market, funds flow like sand through an hourglass, slowly distributing across various coins. Start with large coins, switch to mainstream coins when they rise, and then to niche coins, and so on. Follow the market rhythm for guaranteed profits.
4. Pyramid Bottom Fishing
Predict a major crash and use a pyramid buying method to bottom fish. The lower the price, the more you buy, which lowers the cost and risk. When the market rebounds, you’ll reap significant rewards.
5. Moving Average Operation
Understand candlestick charts, set up moving average parameters, and check where the current price lies between two lines to decide whether to hold or sell. It's straightforward and suitable for investors with a certain level of knowledge.
6. Aggressive HODLing
Find high-quality coins that you are familiar with and use liquid funds to make price differences—buy low and sell high, then HODL the profits. With this approach, you’ll accumulate more coins, and your earnings will increase.
7. ICO Compounding Cycle
Participate in new coin issuances, and after the price rises several times, take back your principal and reinvest the profits into the next ICO. This cycle continues, keeping the principal intact while the profits snowball.
8. Cyclical Swing Trading
Look for coins with high volatility; increase your position when they drop and sell when they profit. Keep cycling to make profits from price differences. This strategy requires close attention to the market for timely operations.
9. Small Coin Aggressive Investment
Take ten thousand yuan, divide it into ten parts, and buy ten small coins. They are low-priced and have great potential. Sell after they rise three to five times, and even if you get stuck, don’t panic; use a long line to catch big fish. Withdraw your profits and continue investing in the next small coin for compounding effects.
1. HODL Strategy
This is simple: buy coins and just hold them, waiting for them to gradually increase in value. Whether it's half a year, a year, or even longer, patience in holding will yield good returns. But the challenge lies in the fact that many people want to sell when the price rises and panic when it drops, making it difficult to hold for the long term. Thus, while HODLing seems simple, it truly tests your patience.
2. Bull Market Trend Following
In a bull market, use some spare cash to play around, but don’t invest too much—within one-fifth is fine. Look for coins with moderate market capitalization; when one rises, switch to another that has dropped, and keep cycling through. Even if you get stuck, you can still get out in a bull market. But remember, the coins you choose shouldn't be of poor quality; this strategy requires caution.
3. Bull Market Sandglass Strategy
In a bull market, funds flow like sand through an hourglass, slowly distributing across various coins. Start with large coins, switch to mainstream coins when they rise, and then to niche coins, and so on. Follow the market rhythm for guaranteed profits.
4. Pyramid Bottom Fishing
Predict a major crash and use a pyramid buying method to bottom fish. The lower the price, the more you buy, which lowers the cost and risk. When the market rebounds, you’ll reap significant rewards.
5. Moving Average Operation
Understand candlestick charts, set up moving average parameters, and check where the current price lies between two lines to decide whether to hold or sell. It's straightforward and suitable for investors with a certain level of knowledge.
6. Aggressive HODLing
Find high-quality coins that you are familiar with and use liquid funds to make price differences—buy low and sell high, then HODL the profits. With this approach, you’ll accumulate more coins, and your earnings will increase.
7. ICO Compounding Cycle
Participate in new coin issuances, and after the price rises several times, take back your principal and reinvest the profits into the next ICO. This cycle continues, keeping the principal intact while the profits snowball.
8. Cyclical Swing Trading
Look for coins with high volatility; increase your position when they drop and sell when they profit. Keep cycling to make profits from price differences. This strategy requires close attention to the market for timely operations.
9. Small Coin Aggressive Investment
Take ten thousand yuan, divide it into ten parts, and buy ten small coins. They are low-priced and have great potential. Sell after they rise three to five times, and even if you get stuck, don’t panic; use a long line to catch big fish. Withdraw your profits and continue investing in the next small coin for compounding effects.
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4/28 Market Analysis
Currently, the support level remains solid, and there has not been an effective breakdown, thus forming a strong support position in the short term. From the 4-hour candlestick chart, after the price touched the upper Bollinger Band, it experienced a technical pullback and is currently near the middle band, where both bulls and bears are engaged in fierce competition.
In the short term, the market's upward momentum appears to be somewhat fatigued, and there has not been a clear and sustained downward trend. Comprehensive analysis of the overall framework shows that the market is still maintaining a strong trend. Luo Tian advises everyone not to enter the market at sensitive positions; in intense competition, both bulls and bears have operational space, which should also be combined with technical indicators and comprehensive data before making moves. As for Bitcoin, I don't want to elaborate on the usual pullbacks; one can also follow the trends of Bitcoin's Silk Road. In summary, this is just Luo Tian's advice and for reference only.
Bitcoin Pullbacks: Gradually buy near 92800/92300/91700, targeting above 95000. If it breaks this level, it can continue to rise, with a stop loss at 91000. If it falls below this position, it may be wise to exit and observe. Ethereum can follow the trends of Bitcoin's Silk Road. Entering with a light position is advised.
Currently, the support level remains solid, and there has not been an effective breakdown, thus forming a strong support position in the short term. From the 4-hour candlestick chart, after the price touched the upper Bollinger Band, it experienced a technical pullback and is currently near the middle band, where both bulls and bears are engaged in fierce competition.
In the short term, the market's upward momentum appears to be somewhat fatigued, and there has not been a clear and sustained downward trend. Comprehensive analysis of the overall framework shows that the market is still maintaining a strong trend. Luo Tian advises everyone not to enter the market at sensitive positions; in intense competition, both bulls and bears have operational space, which should also be combined with technical indicators and comprehensive data before making moves. As for Bitcoin, I don't want to elaborate on the usual pullbacks; one can also follow the trends of Bitcoin's Silk Road. In summary, this is just Luo Tian's advice and for reference only.
Bitcoin Pullbacks: Gradually buy near 92800/92300/91700, targeting above 95000. If it breaks this level, it can continue to rise, with a stop loss at 91000. If it falls below this position, it may be wise to exit and observe. Ethereum can follow the trends of Bitcoin's Silk Road. Entering with a light position is advised.
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4.22 Market Review and Analysis
Yesterday, a large amount of buying pushed Bitcoin up to 88,000, but it did not hold. It is worth noting that although many cryptocurrencies rebounded, they did not rise as much as Bitcoin. Ethereum surged to 1,660 before a significant pullback, dropping over a hundred points. The short position suggested was very precise, and this wave of Bitcoin also achieved over a thousand points as expected, with Ethereum gaining several tens of points. With the U.S. stock market crashing, it is advised not to blindly chase after the rise.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows three consecutive bullish candles. The price rebounded to the upper band before pulling back, and the body of the candle appears inverted. The Bollinger Bands are opening up, the KDJ lines have crossed upwards, and the MACD lines are also crossing upward and continuing to diverge. Trading volume has significantly increased. Currently, the bulls still have momentum on the daily chart, but be cautious of the risk of capital withdrawal. This round of rebound is mainly highlighted by Bitcoin; although Ethereum has risen a bit, it quickly fell back. It cannot be ruled out that this was a coordinated effort by the major players. I personally believe there is a risk of capital withdrawal in the future, and everyone should not blindly chase the rise, as there is currently no favorable support. For intraday trading, I suggest mainly shorting on rebounds, closely monitoring the resistance levels at 89,000 and the 90,000 mark, and the support levels at 86,000-84,500 and 83,000.
The following trading suggestions are for reference only.
Bitcoin rebound: Gradually short near 88,500-88,800, with a stop loss around 89,500; target around 86,000; if broken, reassess the situation.
Ethereum rebound: Gradually short near 1,600-1,620, with a stop loss around 1,650; target around the 1,500 level; if broken, reassess the situation.
Yesterday, a large amount of buying pushed Bitcoin up to 88,000, but it did not hold. It is worth noting that although many cryptocurrencies rebounded, they did not rise as much as Bitcoin. Ethereum surged to 1,660 before a significant pullback, dropping over a hundred points. The short position suggested was very precise, and this wave of Bitcoin also achieved over a thousand points as expected, with Ethereum gaining several tens of points. With the U.S. stock market crashing, it is advised not to blindly chase after the rise.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows three consecutive bullish candles. The price rebounded to the upper band before pulling back, and the body of the candle appears inverted. The Bollinger Bands are opening up, the KDJ lines have crossed upwards, and the MACD lines are also crossing upward and continuing to diverge. Trading volume has significantly increased. Currently, the bulls still have momentum on the daily chart, but be cautious of the risk of capital withdrawal. This round of rebound is mainly highlighted by Bitcoin; although Ethereum has risen a bit, it quickly fell back. It cannot be ruled out that this was a coordinated effort by the major players. I personally believe there is a risk of capital withdrawal in the future, and everyone should not blindly chase the rise, as there is currently no favorable support. For intraday trading, I suggest mainly shorting on rebounds, closely monitoring the resistance levels at 89,000 and the 90,000 mark, and the support levels at 86,000-84,500 and 83,000.
The following trading suggestions are for reference only.
Bitcoin rebound: Gradually short near 88,500-88,800, with a stop loss around 89,500; target around 86,000; if broken, reassess the situation.
Ethereum rebound: Gradually short near 1,600-1,620, with a stop loss around 1,650; target around the 1,500 level; if broken, reassess the situation.
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Hangkong Qing has been fluctuating for several days, showing no signs of breaking the sentiment. The overall space is not large. Yesterday, Bitcoin fluctuated upwards in the evening, reaching around 85600, which was the highest point of the day, then quickly retraced a bit to around 84600. Currently, the coin price is fluctuating above 85000 and has entered a consolidation phase. Unless large investors withdraw cash for the holiday, it is unlikely there will be significant volatility during the U.S. stock market holiday. In this case, everyone should proceed with caution. Luo Tian still suggests taking further steps at higher levels.
From a technical structure perspective, on the four-hour level, after the running channel opened, the price failed to maintain above the upper track and continued to fluctuate, resulting in a significant pullback. The volume has been arranged in a contraction state without support for release, and the moving averages have also shown a reversal. In the short cycle, there is a clear high-pressure situation. Under a strong upward movement, a certain level of consolidation is needed to build a base, and there is still space to test further below.
On the one-hour level, the price is struggling to stabilize at high levels, directly flooding down to the lower track, and the selling volume has shown a realignment release, causing the moving averages to turn consistently. After a downward spike, there has been some recovery effect, but it is a normal repair after a retracement. The demand for short-term adjustments is strong, and our upcoming strategy will focus on short positions at high levels.
Bitcoin rebound: Gradually take positions around 85500-86000, targeting near 84000, with resistance around 87000.
Ethereum rebound: Gradually take positions around 1635/1660, targeting near 1550, with resistance around 1700.
From a technical structure perspective, on the four-hour level, after the running channel opened, the price failed to maintain above the upper track and continued to fluctuate, resulting in a significant pullback. The volume has been arranged in a contraction state without support for release, and the moving averages have also shown a reversal. In the short cycle, there is a clear high-pressure situation. Under a strong upward movement, a certain level of consolidation is needed to build a base, and there is still space to test further below.
On the one-hour level, the price is struggling to stabilize at high levels, directly flooding down to the lower track, and the selling volume has shown a realignment release, causing the moving averages to turn consistently. After a downward spike, there has been some recovery effect, but it is a normal repair after a retracement. The demand for short-term adjustments is strong, and our upcoming strategy will focus on short positions at high levels.
Bitcoin rebound: Gradually take positions around 85500-86000, targeting near 84000, with resistance around 87000.
Ethereum rebound: Gradually take positions around 1635/1660, targeting near 1550, with resistance around 1700.
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Due to the impact of Easter, the US stock market is closed today. In the absence of intervention from individual stocks, the overall market is currently in a range-bound fluctuation state. Although the market has temporarily stabilized above the mid-line, it has not been able to sustain effectively, and the highs are showing a continuous downward trend, which is a clear signal of weakening bullish strength.
The market has been in a consolidation phase over the last couple of days, without any strong fluctuations. However, today may see a wave of downward probing. From the 4-hour chart, the current short-term support is at the mid-line, which is around the 84500 level. The Williams indicator and RSI indicator have both been trending downward. In the short term, it is still recommended to look for a pullback, with resistance levels above: 85500-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below: 89000, 83000-82700-82000-80500, and 78900.
Trading suggestions are for reference only.
Bitcoin rebound: Short-sell in batches near 85000-85500, target 83500/83000. If it breaks, then reassess the situation, with a stop around 86500.
Ethereum rebound: Short-sell in batches near 1600-1630, target 1520/1500. If it breaks, then reassess the situation, with a stop around 1650.
The market has been in a consolidation phase over the last couple of days, without any strong fluctuations. However, today may see a wave of downward probing. From the 4-hour chart, the current short-term support is at the mid-line, which is around the 84500 level. The Williams indicator and RSI indicator have both been trending downward. In the short term, it is still recommended to look for a pullback, with resistance levels above: 85500-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below: 89000, 83000-82700-82000-80500, and 78900.
Trading suggestions are for reference only.
Bitcoin rebound: Short-sell in batches near 85000-85500, target 83500/83000. If it breaks, then reassess the situation, with a stop around 86500.
Ethereum rebound: Short-sell in batches near 1600-1630, target 1520/1500. If it breaks, then reassess the situation, with a stop around 1650.
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4/17 Market Review and Analysis
Yesterday, the market was relatively cooperative, with the price entering around 83,500. The currency price peaked at around 85,300, providing a space of over a thousand points. Friends following the Silk Road should have benefited from this. Looking at today, Bitcoin faced pressure near the high of 84,200 and fell back, with a drop to around 83,000 at one point during the session. After touching support, the price quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging oscillation pattern, while Ethereum continues to follow a bearish trend, quickly dipping to around 1,550.
From market analysis, although there have been several bearish candles at high prices recently, indicating some selling pressure in the market, the current pullback is more likely a bullish consolidation process when viewed from technical indicators and patterns. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, suggesting that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. If there is a stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern in the future, it will confirm the end of the washout.
This week's live ETF market has seen net inflows for two consecutive days; however, over 100 million flowed out yesterday. Additionally, Ethereum has seen a net outflow of 143,000 pieces in the past week. In light of this trend, Luo Tian is still relatively bullish, thus suggesting to all to focus on rebound trading. The resistance levels to watch are 85,500 - 86,500 - 87,500 - 88,500 and 89,000, while the support levels are 83,000 - 82,600 - 82,000 - 80,500 and below 80,000 down to 78,900.
Bitcoin pullback: Entering in batches around 83,500 - 83,000 - 82,500, aiming for a target near 86,000, then assess the situation; stop loss at 81,500.
Ethereum pullback: Entering in batches around 1,570 - 1,550 - 1,530. Targeting near 1,680, then assess the situation; stop loss at 1,510 and 1,480.
Yesterday, the market was relatively cooperative, with the price entering around 83,500. The currency price peaked at around 85,300, providing a space of over a thousand points. Friends following the Silk Road should have benefited from this. Looking at today, Bitcoin faced pressure near the high of 84,200 and fell back, with a drop to around 83,000 at one point during the session. After touching support, the price quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging oscillation pattern, while Ethereum continues to follow a bearish trend, quickly dipping to around 1,550.
From market analysis, although there have been several bearish candles at high prices recently, indicating some selling pressure in the market, the current pullback is more likely a bullish consolidation process when viewed from technical indicators and patterns. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, suggesting that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. If there is a stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern in the future, it will confirm the end of the washout.
This week's live ETF market has seen net inflows for two consecutive days; however, over 100 million flowed out yesterday. Additionally, Ethereum has seen a net outflow of 143,000 pieces in the past week. In light of this trend, Luo Tian is still relatively bullish, thus suggesting to all to focus on rebound trading. The resistance levels to watch are 85,500 - 86,500 - 87,500 - 88,500 and 89,000, while the support levels are 83,000 - 82,600 - 82,000 - 80,500 and below 80,000 down to 78,900.
Bitcoin pullback: Entering in batches around 83,500 - 83,000 - 82,500, aiming for a target near 86,000, then assess the situation; stop loss at 81,500.
Ethereum pullback: Entering in batches around 1,570 - 1,550 - 1,530. Targeting near 1,680, then assess the situation; stop loss at 1,510 and 1,480.
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The Silk Road perfectly confirmed by the afternoon of Luo Tian has risen as expected to around 85200, just a step away from the target point, but there is still a space of 2000. Well, those who haven't caught up must have bruised their thighs by now.
4/16 Market Review and Analysis
There has been little progress between the US and Europe in bridging trade differences, with the EU expecting the US to maintain its tariff policies. About two hours after the meeting, there was still no clear understanding of the US position, making it difficult to determine the US's true negotiation objectives. Negotiations that do not involve compromises are unlikely to succeed! In the morning, Bitcoin faced pressure from a high of 84197 and retreated, dipping to a low of 83063 during the session, and after reaching support, it quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging fluctuation pattern, with Ethereum continuing its bearish trend, quickly dropping to a low of 1550 during the session. Yesterday, Luotian's recommended Doudan Silk Road successfully captured nearly 100 points of space, with Bitcoin entering near 85200 and exiting near Doudan 86100, which is still quite significant overall, though unfortunately it did not reach the target position as expected.
From the market analysis, although recent prices have shown several bearish candles at high levels, indicating some selling pressure in the market, from a technical indicator and pattern perspective, the current pullback is more likely a process of bullish accumulation. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. While bearish candles are increasing in volume, they have not broken through key support, suggesting that the main force may be taking advantage of panic emotions to accumulate. If there is subsequent stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern, it will confirm the end of the washout. The current lower Bollinger Band can be regarded as an ideal bullish defense level. In the afternoon, Luotian still suggests focusing on recovering through Doudan rebounds as the main direction. Key resistance levels to watch above: 85200-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below 89000: 83000-82000-80500 and below 80000.
Bitcoin Pullback: Around 83000-82500, buy in batches, target around 85500, stop at 81500.
Ethereum Pullback: Around 1550-1520, buy in batches, target around 1680, stop at 1500.
There has been little progress between the US and Europe in bridging trade differences, with the EU expecting the US to maintain its tariff policies. About two hours after the meeting, there was still no clear understanding of the US position, making it difficult to determine the US's true negotiation objectives. Negotiations that do not involve compromises are unlikely to succeed! In the morning, Bitcoin faced pressure from a high of 84197 and retreated, dipping to a low of 83063 during the session, and after reaching support, it quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging fluctuation pattern, with Ethereum continuing its bearish trend, quickly dropping to a low of 1550 during the session. Yesterday, Luotian's recommended Doudan Silk Road successfully captured nearly 100 points of space, with Bitcoin entering near 85200 and exiting near Doudan 86100, which is still quite significant overall, though unfortunately it did not reach the target position as expected.
From the market analysis, although recent prices have shown several bearish candles at high levels, indicating some selling pressure in the market, from a technical indicator and pattern perspective, the current pullback is more likely a process of bullish accumulation. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. While bearish candles are increasing in volume, they have not broken through key support, suggesting that the main force may be taking advantage of panic emotions to accumulate. If there is subsequent stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern, it will confirm the end of the washout. The current lower Bollinger Band can be regarded as an ideal bullish defense level. In the afternoon, Luotian still suggests focusing on recovering through Doudan rebounds as the main direction. Key resistance levels to watch above: 85200-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below 89000: 83000-82000-80500 and below 80000.
Bitcoin Pullback: Around 83000-82500, buy in batches, target around 85500, stop at 81500.
Ethereum Pullback: Around 1550-1520, buy in batches, target around 1680, stop at 1500.
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4/16 Market Review and Analysis
There has been little progress between the US and Europe in bridging trade differences, with the EU expecting the US to maintain its tariff policies. About two hours after the meeting, there was still no clear understanding of the US position, making it difficult to determine the US's true negotiation objectives. Negotiations that do not involve compromises are unlikely to succeed! In the morning, Bitcoin faced pressure from a high of 84197 and retreated, dipping to a low of 83063 during the session, and after reaching support, it quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging fluctuation pattern, with Ethereum continuing its bearish trend, quickly dropping to a low of 1550 during the session. Yesterday, Luotian's recommended Doudan Silk Road successfully captured nearly 100 points of space, with Bitcoin entering near 85200 and exiting near Doudan 86100, which is still quite significant overall, though unfortunately it did not reach the target position as expected.
From the market analysis, although recent prices have shown several bearish candles at high levels, indicating some selling pressure in the market, from a technical indicator and pattern perspective, the current pullback is more likely a process of bullish accumulation. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. While bearish candles are increasing in volume, they have not broken through key support, suggesting that the main force may be taking advantage of panic emotions to accumulate. If there is subsequent stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern, it will confirm the end of the washout. The current lower Bollinger Band can be regarded as an ideal bullish defense level. In the afternoon, Luotian still suggests focusing on recovering through Doudan rebounds as the main direction. Key resistance levels to watch above: 85200-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below 89000: 83000-82000-80500 and below 80000.
Bitcoin Pullback: Around 83000-82500, buy in batches, target around 85500, stop at 81500.
Ethereum Pullback: Around 1550-1520, buy in batches, target around 1680, stop at 1500.
There has been little progress between the US and Europe in bridging trade differences, with the EU expecting the US to maintain its tariff policies. About two hours after the meeting, there was still no clear understanding of the US position, making it difficult to determine the US's true negotiation objectives. Negotiations that do not involve compromises are unlikely to succeed! In the morning, Bitcoin faced pressure from a high of 84197 and retreated, dipping to a low of 83063 during the session, and after reaching support, it quickly rebounded technically. The current market shows a typical converging fluctuation pattern, with Ethereum continuing its bearish trend, quickly dropping to a low of 1550 during the session. Yesterday, Luotian's recommended Doudan Silk Road successfully captured nearly 100 points of space, with Bitcoin entering near 85200 and exiting near Doudan 86100, which is still quite significant overall, though unfortunately it did not reach the target position as expected.
From the market analysis, although recent prices have shown several bearish candles at high levels, indicating some selling pressure in the market, from a technical indicator and pattern perspective, the current pullback is more likely a process of bullish accumulation. The 4-hour cycle shows a short-term downward trend, but the MACD indicator remains above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend has not yet turned bearish. While bearish candles are increasing in volume, they have not broken through key support, suggesting that the main force may be taking advantage of panic emotions to accumulate. If there is subsequent stabilization with reduced volume or a bullish engulfing pattern, it will confirm the end of the washout. The current lower Bollinger Band can be regarded as an ideal bullish defense level. In the afternoon, Luotian still suggests focusing on recovering through Doudan rebounds as the main direction. Key resistance levels to watch above: 85200-86500-87500-88500 and support levels below 89000: 83000-82000-80500 and below 80000.
Bitcoin Pullback: Around 83000-82500, buy in batches, target around 85500, stop at 81500.
Ethereum Pullback: Around 1550-1520, buy in batches, target around 1680, stop at 1500.
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4/15 Market Review and Analysis
The recent market movements have been rather abstract, with volatility lower than last weekend and fluctuations of only about a thousand points. The main players seem to have their own interpretations, and the low buy signal given yesterday perfectly confirmed Luotian's Silk Road strategy. Entering around 84000 and exiting near 85000 yielded around 1000 points, while Ethereum captured about 20 points. Since the market isn't very large, there's no need to overanalyze; there is still some operational space in the short term. Going forward, Luotian is quite optimistic about a pullback followed by a rebound; those who understand, understand.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows two consecutive bearish candles followed by a bullish one, indicating that neither the bulls nor the bears have maintained a continuous trend. The Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing during this consolidation phase. Although both KDJ and MACD are showing golden crosses, the momentum is clearly slowing down. The MA60 continues to press down, currently at around 86300. For today, we are watching the gains and losses around the 86300 line. The liquidation map indicates that if the price breaks above 88790/1950, over 800 million dollars worth of positions will be liquidated. If it falls below 80000, the liquidation pressure is over 700 million dollars. The current trend suggests a bullish outlook without chasing after the rise; instead, one should buy on dips.
Bitcoin pullback: Buy in batches around 84000-83500-83000, target near 87000, with a stop-loss at 81500.
Ethereum pullback: Buy in batches around 1600-1580-1550, target near 1700, with a stop-loss around 1500.
The recent market movements have been rather abstract, with volatility lower than last weekend and fluctuations of only about a thousand points. The main players seem to have their own interpretations, and the low buy signal given yesterday perfectly confirmed Luotian's Silk Road strategy. Entering around 84000 and exiting near 85000 yielded around 1000 points, while Ethereum captured about 20 points. Since the market isn't very large, there's no need to overanalyze; there is still some operational space in the short term. Going forward, Luotian is quite optimistic about a pullback followed by a rebound; those who understand, understand.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows two consecutive bearish candles followed by a bullish one, indicating that neither the bulls nor the bears have maintained a continuous trend. The Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing during this consolidation phase. Although both KDJ and MACD are showing golden crosses, the momentum is clearly slowing down. The MA60 continues to press down, currently at around 86300. For today, we are watching the gains and losses around the 86300 line. The liquidation map indicates that if the price breaks above 88790/1950, over 800 million dollars worth of positions will be liquidated. If it falls below 80000, the liquidation pressure is over 700 million dollars. The current trend suggests a bullish outlook without chasing after the rise; instead, one should buy on dips.
Bitcoin pullback: Buy in batches around 84000-83500-83000, target near 87000, with a stop-loss at 81500.
Ethereum pullback: Buy in batches around 1600-1580-1550, target near 1700, with a stop-loss around 1500.
4/14 Market Review and Analysis
Due to the landing of tariffs transforming from negative to positive, as Trump's heavy-handed approach ultimately proved to be of little effect, claiming that the tariff settlement system experienced a failure, Luo Tian feels that this is a case of seeing through yet not speaking out. The Silk Road projected yesterday also rose as expected, and having over a thousand points of space heading into the weekend is quite good. The overall trend is basically consistent with what Luo Tian mentioned, and friends keeping pace with small steps should be doing well.
Technical analysis shows that the 1-hour chart indicates the Bollinger Bands are pushing down, with prices oscillating lower and market sentiment leaning towards bearish, overall belonging to a downward channel. From the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, with bearish momentum gradually strengthening, indicating that the market is entering a correction phase. The K-line may first pull back to the middle track. Luo Tian suggests paying attention to resistance levels above at 85500-87300-88500, and support levels below at 82000-81000-80000 as well as 79000. Personally, I still expect a rebound after the pullback, so for those following Luo Tian, it is suggested to wait for a pullback before entering to make a move.
Bitcoin pullback: around 83500-83000-82500, targeting near 87000, with a stop at 82000-81500.
Ethereum pullback: around 1620-1580-1550, targeting near 1680, with a stop at 1500-1480.
Due to the landing of tariffs transforming from negative to positive, as Trump's heavy-handed approach ultimately proved to be of little effect, claiming that the tariff settlement system experienced a failure, Luo Tian feels that this is a case of seeing through yet not speaking out. The Silk Road projected yesterday also rose as expected, and having over a thousand points of space heading into the weekend is quite good. The overall trend is basically consistent with what Luo Tian mentioned, and friends keeping pace with small steps should be doing well.
Technical analysis shows that the 1-hour chart indicates the Bollinger Bands are pushing down, with prices oscillating lower and market sentiment leaning towards bearish, overall belonging to a downward channel. From the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, with bearish momentum gradually strengthening, indicating that the market is entering a correction phase. The K-line may first pull back to the middle track. Luo Tian suggests paying attention to resistance levels above at 85500-87300-88500, and support levels below at 82000-81000-80000 as well as 79000. Personally, I still expect a rebound after the pullback, so for those following Luo Tian, it is suggested to wait for a pullback before entering to make a move.
Bitcoin pullback: around 83500-83000-82500, targeting near 87000, with a stop at 82000-81500.
Ethereum pullback: around 1620-1580-1550, targeting near 1680, with a stop at 1500-1480.
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4/14 Market Review and Analysis
Due to the landing of tariffs transforming from negative to positive, as Trump's heavy-handed approach ultimately proved to be of little effect, claiming that the tariff settlement system experienced a failure, Luo Tian feels that this is a case of seeing through yet not speaking out. The Silk Road projected yesterday also rose as expected, and having over a thousand points of space heading into the weekend is quite good. The overall trend is basically consistent with what Luo Tian mentioned, and friends keeping pace with small steps should be doing well.
Technical analysis shows that the 1-hour chart indicates the Bollinger Bands are pushing down, with prices oscillating lower and market sentiment leaning towards bearish, overall belonging to a downward channel. From the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, with bearish momentum gradually strengthening, indicating that the market is entering a correction phase. The K-line may first pull back to the middle track. Luo Tian suggests paying attention to resistance levels above at 85500-87300-88500, and support levels below at 82000-81000-80000 as well as 79000. Personally, I still expect a rebound after the pullback, so for those following Luo Tian, it is suggested to wait for a pullback before entering to make a move.
Bitcoin pullback: around 83500-83000-82500, targeting near 87000, with a stop at 82000-81500.
Ethereum pullback: around 1620-1580-1550, targeting near 1680, with a stop at 1500-1480.
Due to the landing of tariffs transforming from negative to positive, as Trump's heavy-handed approach ultimately proved to be of little effect, claiming that the tariff settlement system experienced a failure, Luo Tian feels that this is a case of seeing through yet not speaking out. The Silk Road projected yesterday also rose as expected, and having over a thousand points of space heading into the weekend is quite good. The overall trend is basically consistent with what Luo Tian mentioned, and friends keeping pace with small steps should be doing well.
Technical analysis shows that the 1-hour chart indicates the Bollinger Bands are pushing down, with prices oscillating lower and market sentiment leaning towards bearish, overall belonging to a downward channel. From the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, with bearish momentum gradually strengthening, indicating that the market is entering a correction phase. The K-line may first pull back to the middle track. Luo Tian suggests paying attention to resistance levels above at 85500-87300-88500, and support levels below at 82000-81000-80000 as well as 79000. Personally, I still expect a rebound after the pullback, so for those following Luo Tian, it is suggested to wait for a pullback before entering to make a move.
Bitcoin pullback: around 83500-83000-82500, targeting near 87000, with a stop at 82000-81500.
Ethereum pullback: around 1620-1580-1550, targeting near 1680, with a stop at 1500-1480.
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4/13 Market Review and Analysis
Yesterday afternoon, the Silk Road clearly indicated a bullish trend, and as Luo Tian mentioned, the market peaked around 85300. Those who followed should have seen a small profit, with nearly a 2000-point upward movement. Ethereum also performed well, reaching a peak near 1670, with a 110-point space. Therefore, in the current trend, Luo Tian still recommends a bearish stance and not to engage in long positions, but to buy on dips. If you are unsure about the entry point, you can consult Luo Tian.
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation and adjustment, with prices fluctuating around the 83500-85500 range. The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a shortening of the red bars, with DIF and DEA approaching convergence. Short-term momentum is weakening, but no death cross has formed. The daily line shows a long upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at high levels, but the hourly chart still maintains an upward fluctuation. The 1-hour RSI (55) is neutral to strong, indicating ongoing upward momentum.
Trading Suggestions, for reference only
Bitcoin Pullback: Buy around 84000-83500, target 86000-87000 for a sustained breakout, with a stop-loss around 82000.
Ethereum Pullback: Buy around 1580-1550, target 1660-1700 for a sustained upward movement, with a stop-loss around 1520.
Yesterday afternoon, the Silk Road clearly indicated a bullish trend, and as Luo Tian mentioned, the market peaked around 85300. Those who followed should have seen a small profit, with nearly a 2000-point upward movement. Ethereum also performed well, reaching a peak near 1670, with a 110-point space. Therefore, in the current trend, Luo Tian still recommends a bearish stance and not to engage in long positions, but to buy on dips. If you are unsure about the entry point, you can consult Luo Tian.
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation and adjustment, with prices fluctuating around the 83500-85500 range. The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a shortening of the red bars, with DIF and DEA approaching convergence. Short-term momentum is weakening, but no death cross has formed. The daily line shows a long upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at high levels, but the hourly chart still maintains an upward fluctuation. The 1-hour RSI (55) is neutral to strong, indicating ongoing upward momentum.
Trading Suggestions, for reference only
Bitcoin Pullback: Buy around 84000-83500, target 86000-87000 for a sustained breakout, with a stop-loss around 82000.
Ethereum Pullback: Buy around 1580-1550, target 1660-1700 for a sustained upward movement, with a stop-loss around 1520.
The US-China negotiations are about to thaw, and an epic opportunity is approaching. Currently, the positive sentiment is becoming increasingly strong. Once an agreement is reached between the two countries, it will completely change the market landscape and signify the return of a bull market. Therefore, in the subsequent analysis, Luo Tian suggests focusing on this low range for trading.
The overnight Bitcoin continues to break through and rise to around 84300. After hitting a ceiling, it slightly corrected to around 83100. Currently, the price is around 83000. The recent price action on the 4-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend, forming multiple high and low points. The MACD histogram is at a relatively high value, indicating strong bullish momentum in the short term.
Data and tariffs have put the Federal Reserve in a dilemma. Most officials have stated that interest rate cuts will be delayed further; there is currently no necessity for a rate cut. Therefore, focus on the gains and losses around the 84000 level for today. Luo Tian suggests maintaining a bullish stance in the short term, with a defensive approach.
Bitcoin pullback: Short bullish around 82000-81500, with a target up to around 84500, and defend below 80000.
Ethereum pullback: Short bullish around 1530-1510, with a target up to around 1650, and defend below 1500.
The overnight Bitcoin continues to break through and rise to around 84300. After hitting a ceiling, it slightly corrected to around 83100. Currently, the price is around 83000. The recent price action on the 4-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend, forming multiple high and low points. The MACD histogram is at a relatively high value, indicating strong bullish momentum in the short term.
Data and tariffs have put the Federal Reserve in a dilemma. Most officials have stated that interest rate cuts will be delayed further; there is currently no necessity for a rate cut. Therefore, focus on the gains and losses around the 84000 level for today. Luo Tian suggests maintaining a bullish stance in the short term, with a defensive approach.
Bitcoin pullback: Short bullish around 82000-81500, with a target up to around 84500, and defend below 80000.
Ethereum pullback: Short bullish around 1530-1510, with a target up to around 1650, and defend below 1500.
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The US-China negotiations are about to thaw, and an epic opportunity is approaching. Currently, the positive sentiment is becoming increasingly strong. Once an agreement is reached between the two countries, it will completely change the market landscape and signify the return of a bull market. Therefore, in the subsequent analysis, Luo Tian suggests focusing on this low range for trading.
The overnight Bitcoin continues to break through and rise to around 84300. After hitting a ceiling, it slightly corrected to around 83100. Currently, the price is around 83000. The recent price action on the 4-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend, forming multiple high and low points. The MACD histogram is at a relatively high value, indicating strong bullish momentum in the short term.
Data and tariffs have put the Federal Reserve in a dilemma. Most officials have stated that interest rate cuts will be delayed further; there is currently no necessity for a rate cut. Therefore, focus on the gains and losses around the 84000 level for today. Luo Tian suggests maintaining a bullish stance in the short term, with a defensive approach.
Bitcoin pullback: Short bullish around 82000-81500, with a target up to around 84500, and defend below 80000.
Ethereum pullback: Short bullish around 1530-1510, with a target up to around 1650, and defend below 1500.
The overnight Bitcoin continues to break through and rise to around 84300. After hitting a ceiling, it slightly corrected to around 83100. Currently, the price is around 83000. The recent price action on the 4-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend, forming multiple high and low points. The MACD histogram is at a relatively high value, indicating strong bullish momentum in the short term.
Data and tariffs have put the Federal Reserve in a dilemma. Most officials have stated that interest rate cuts will be delayed further; there is currently no necessity for a rate cut. Therefore, focus on the gains and losses around the 84000 level for today. Luo Tian suggests maintaining a bullish stance in the short term, with a defensive approach.
Bitcoin pullback: Short bullish around 82000-81500, with a target up to around 84500, and defend below 80000.
Ethereum pullback: Short bullish around 1530-1510, with a target up to around 1650, and defend below 1500.
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Right now, any news in the market can lead to significant fluctuations in coin prices. The day before yesterday, a message from Trump caused Bitcoin to rebound sharply. Yesterday, as the US stock market declined, Bitcoin followed with a pullback. Recently, coin prices have been greatly influenced by market sentiment, which is why it has been emphasized that the recent rise is merely a rebound, not a reversal. This is because the conditions for a reversal have not yet been met. Although yesterday's CPI data was relatively good, its impact on the crypto market was not as significant as expected, resulting in a quick rebound followed by a pullback.
Currently, the daily downward trend of Bitcoin has not been broken. Although a W-shaped pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, the news has driven the coin price to rebound, reducing the likelihood of hitting new lows in the short term. The fundamentals have eased to some extent, but the influence of news is insufficient to sustain upward momentum. In the short term, there is still significant pressure, so it is advised to primarily maintain short positions!
For Bitcoin, the resistance levels to watch are 83500-84000-84700-85500, and the support levels are 80000-79000-77000-74500. The rebound in Bitcoin is caused by the suspension of tariffs. Luo Tian suggests not to chase after the highs but to focus mainly on the lows with some assistance from the highs. Everyone should be cautious when chasing after highs.
Bitcoin rebound: Short at around 81000-82000, target near the 79000 line. If it breaks, reduce positions and reassess.
Ethereum rebound: Short at around 1560-1580, target near the 1500 line. If it breaks, reduce positions and reassess.
Currently, the daily downward trend of Bitcoin has not been broken. Although a W-shaped pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, the news has driven the coin price to rebound, reducing the likelihood of hitting new lows in the short term. The fundamentals have eased to some extent, but the influence of news is insufficient to sustain upward momentum. In the short term, there is still significant pressure, so it is advised to primarily maintain short positions!
For Bitcoin, the resistance levels to watch are 83500-84000-84700-85500, and the support levels are 80000-79000-77000-74500. The rebound in Bitcoin is caused by the suspension of tariffs. Luo Tian suggests not to chase after the highs but to focus mainly on the lows with some assistance from the highs. Everyone should be cautious when chasing after highs.
Bitcoin rebound: Short at around 81000-82000, target near the 79000 line. If it breaks, reduce positions and reassess.
Ethereum rebound: Short at around 1560-1580, target near the 1500 line. If it breaks, reduce positions and reassess.
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The United States is playing a big game with Bitcoin.
So far, this brutal washout that is still ongoing has finally shown everyone the ruthlessness of Wall Street, where investors attempting to seize short-term profits are becoming collateral damage.
Harvesting group emotions is already a forte of capital on Wall Street; as long as you are not greedy for quick money and only earn from industry growth, no one can do anything to you.
Because half of the capital's returns come from harvesting group emotions, and half come from industry growth, while the growth ceiling of the web3 industry is still very high, it can fully compete with AI.
Recent short-term negatives are essentially long-term positives; the long-term positive of the United States establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is expanding like ripples in water.
Harvesting group emotions is already a forte of capital on Wall Street; as long as you are not greedy for quick money and only earn from industry growth, no one can do anything to you.
Because half of the capital's returns come from harvesting group emotions, and half come from industry growth, while the growth ceiling of the web3 industry is still very high, it can fully compete with AI.
Recent short-term negatives are essentially long-term positives; the long-term positive of the United States establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is expanding like ripples in water.
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Most people won't tell you the characteristics of bull and bear markets
Characteristic 1⃣: In a bear market, prices suddenly rise and then slowly decline. In a bull market, the opposite occurs, with prices sharply falling and then slowly recovering.
Characteristic 2⃣: Before a bear market arrives, there are frequent negative news reports globally, which often lead to price increases. In the lead-up to a bull market, although negative news continues, there are occasional positive developments.
Characteristic 3⃣: In a bear market, certain cryptocurrencies exhibit significant price fluctuations, with both increases and decreases. In a bull market, most cryptocurrencies see continuous price increases.
Characteristic 4⃣: The characteristic of a bear market is that within one to two years, most altcoins will lose over 90% of their value. Currently, altcoins have already dropped by 90%; they may continue to decline in the future, with only a few promising cryptocurrencies able to survive the bear market.
The characteristic of a bull market is that trading volume and market activity will continue to increase. On the candlestick chart, there are more bullish candles than bearish ones, prices rarely decline, and most retail investors can make a profit with few losses.
Characteristic 1⃣: In a bear market, prices suddenly rise and then slowly decline. In a bull market, the opposite occurs, with prices sharply falling and then slowly recovering.
Characteristic 2⃣: Before a bear market arrives, there are frequent negative news reports globally, which often lead to price increases. In the lead-up to a bull market, although negative news continues, there are occasional positive developments.
Characteristic 3⃣: In a bear market, certain cryptocurrencies exhibit significant price fluctuations, with both increases and decreases. In a bull market, most cryptocurrencies see continuous price increases.
Characteristic 4⃣: The characteristic of a bear market is that within one to two years, most altcoins will lose over 90% of their value. Currently, altcoins have already dropped by 90%; they may continue to decline in the future, with only a few promising cryptocurrencies able to survive the bear market.
The characteristic of a bull market is that trading volume and market activity will continue to increase. On the candlestick chart, there are more bullish candles than bearish ones, prices rarely decline, and most retail investors can make a profit with few losses.
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Cryptocurrency Unsticking Strategies:
Calm Analysis, Intelligent Escape
In the rapidly changing battlefield of the cryptocurrency world, being stuck is a challenge that every investor may encounter.
1. Decisively Cut Losses, Control Losses
Cutting losses is the first line of defense in investing. Once unfavorable market conditions are identified, and there is no sign of reversal in the short term, one should immediately set and execute stop-loss orders to prevent further losses. Setting reasonable stop-loss points is key to self-protection.
2. Flexible Operations, Reduce Costs
For experienced investors, trying high-selling low-buying strategies can help reduce holding costs through price fluctuations. However, caution is required to accurately grasp market trends and avoid counterproductive outcomes.
3. Patient Lock-In, Wait for Opportunity
If you are optimistic about the market outlook, you may choose a lock-in strategy and patiently wait for the market to recover. This requires sufficient patience and confidence, believing that time will bring change.
4. Diversify Investments, Spread Risks
Do not put all your eggs in one basket. By diversifying investments, you can reduce the risks associated with a single project. When one project is stuck, the gains from other projects may compensate for the losses.
5. Continuous Learning, Enhance Self
The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly; only through continuous learning can you keep pace with the market. Improving market analysis and risk control abilities is a necessary lesson for every investor.
6. Professional Consultation, Assist Decision-Making
Newcomers to the cryptocurrency world can seek advice from professional analysts, but remember that the final decision must consider personal circumstances. Maintain independent thinking and avoid blindly following trends.
In summary, investing in cryptocurrency requires caution, and one must remain calm when facing being stuck. Through reasonable stop-losses, flexible operations, patient lock-ins, diversified investments, continuous learning, and professional consultations, we can move steadily forward in the complex and ever-changing market, achieving wealth appreciation. May every investor reap rewards and grow wisely on their cryptocurrency journey.
Calm Analysis, Intelligent Escape
In the rapidly changing battlefield of the cryptocurrency world, being stuck is a challenge that every investor may encounter.
1. Decisively Cut Losses, Control Losses
Cutting losses is the first line of defense in investing. Once unfavorable market conditions are identified, and there is no sign of reversal in the short term, one should immediately set and execute stop-loss orders to prevent further losses. Setting reasonable stop-loss points is key to self-protection.
2. Flexible Operations, Reduce Costs
For experienced investors, trying high-selling low-buying strategies can help reduce holding costs through price fluctuations. However, caution is required to accurately grasp market trends and avoid counterproductive outcomes.
3. Patient Lock-In, Wait for Opportunity
If you are optimistic about the market outlook, you may choose a lock-in strategy and patiently wait for the market to recover. This requires sufficient patience and confidence, believing that time will bring change.
4. Diversify Investments, Spread Risks
Do not put all your eggs in one basket. By diversifying investments, you can reduce the risks associated with a single project. When one project is stuck, the gains from other projects may compensate for the losses.
5. Continuous Learning, Enhance Self
The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly; only through continuous learning can you keep pace with the market. Improving market analysis and risk control abilities is a necessary lesson for every investor.
6. Professional Consultation, Assist Decision-Making
Newcomers to the cryptocurrency world can seek advice from professional analysts, but remember that the final decision must consider personal circumstances. Maintain independent thinking and avoid blindly following trends.
In summary, investing in cryptocurrency requires caution, and one must remain calm when facing being stuck. Through reasonable stop-losses, flexible operations, patient lock-ins, diversified investments, continuous learning, and professional consultations, we can move steadily forward in the complex and ever-changing market, achieving wealth appreciation. May every investor reap rewards and grow wisely on their cryptocurrency journey.
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BTC is falling so much, something big is really coming.
Many people are still saying that this crash is due to Fed Chairman Powell's remarks.
I just want to say one thing! Without the Sarajevo incident, would World War I have happened? Without the Jews, would there have been that art student?
Old traders know about the bloody Christmas night and the pre-New Year correction.
In trading, we need to grasp the news, but we also need to make deep judgments based on market changes.
First, it's a special day,
Second, where is Trump's strategic reserve? Powell's remarks can only cause a short-term small-scale correction.
So this correction is simply a market correction behavior under extreme greed.
Of course, as a professional trader, you can't rely on guessing.
Whether it's holding data or large on-chain whale wallets, weren't they all decreasing before Powell spoke?
If you don't follow the whales, what are you doing in the secondary market?
Of course, something big is coming.
That's why it's falling so much.
By January, Trump will officially take over the White House. This is good news for the crypto space as policies will be implemented.
Doesn't this mean that there will be a lot of room for many altcoins again?
Isn't this a sign that something big is coming? And the timeline is very suitable,
So can we bottom fish now?
To be cautious, I'll say this: true experts will always leave chips for recovering losses. If you don't want to fall off a cliff, then don't play games on the edge of the cliff!
In the words of the ancient gods of the crypto world:.
'I never take trades that I’m not confident in. I can go a month without making a trade, but as long as I seize the big wave at the critical moment, that’s enough.'
Many people are still saying that this crash is due to Fed Chairman Powell's remarks.
I just want to say one thing! Without the Sarajevo incident, would World War I have happened? Without the Jews, would there have been that art student?
Old traders know about the bloody Christmas night and the pre-New Year correction.
In trading, we need to grasp the news, but we also need to make deep judgments based on market changes.
First, it's a special day,
Second, where is Trump's strategic reserve? Powell's remarks can only cause a short-term small-scale correction.
So this correction is simply a market correction behavior under extreme greed.
Of course, as a professional trader, you can't rely on guessing.
Whether it's holding data or large on-chain whale wallets, weren't they all decreasing before Powell spoke?
If you don't follow the whales, what are you doing in the secondary market?
Of course, something big is coming.
That's why it's falling so much.
By January, Trump will officially take over the White House. This is good news for the crypto space as policies will be implemented.
Doesn't this mean that there will be a lot of room for many altcoins again?
Isn't this a sign that something big is coming? And the timeline is very suitable,
So can we bottom fish now?
To be cautious, I'll say this: true experts will always leave chips for recovering losses. If you don't want to fall off a cliff, then don't play games on the edge of the cliff!
In the words of the ancient gods of the crypto world:.
'I never take trades that I’m not confident in. I can go a month without making a trade, but as long as I seize the big wave at the critical moment, that’s enough.'
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How to Handle Positions in Potential Coins?
How should a newcomer in the cryptocurrency world handle positions in potential coins?
When you identify a coin with great potential, never sell everything at once. You should gradually reduce your holdings during the upward trend while keeping a certain base position to continue participating in the potential upward space.
For example, if you buy a token with a market value of 5 million, when it rises to 50 million, you can sell 10%, when it rises to 100 million, sell another 10%, and when it rises to 250 million, sell another 10%. In this way, you gradually lock in profits while retaining enough upward exposure.
It is particularly important to note that the upward space for potential coins may far exceed your imagination, so be sure to keep a portion of your position to gain greater profits in future explosions. Continuing with the previous example, suppose you have sold 70% of your position when the market value reaches 500 million, but you decide to keep the remaining 30% and wait to sell when the market value reaches 3 billion. Then, if it really rises to 3 billion, the profit from this remaining 30% may exceed the total profit from all your previous incremental sales.
This is the significance of the “incremental selling” strategy: to reduce risk by gradually locking in profits while retaining a portion of the position to participate in potentially larger increases.
When facing potential coins, patience and strategy are often more important than short-term gains, because once you seize such an opportunity, it may completely change your investment outcomes.
How should a newcomer in the cryptocurrency world handle positions in potential coins?
When you identify a coin with great potential, never sell everything at once. You should gradually reduce your holdings during the upward trend while keeping a certain base position to continue participating in the potential upward space.
For example, if you buy a token with a market value of 5 million, when it rises to 50 million, you can sell 10%, when it rises to 100 million, sell another 10%, and when it rises to 250 million, sell another 10%. In this way, you gradually lock in profits while retaining enough upward exposure.
It is particularly important to note that the upward space for potential coins may far exceed your imagination, so be sure to keep a portion of your position to gain greater profits in future explosions. Continuing with the previous example, suppose you have sold 70% of your position when the market value reaches 500 million, but you decide to keep the remaining 30% and wait to sell when the market value reaches 3 billion. Then, if it really rises to 3 billion, the profit from this remaining 30% may exceed the total profit from all your previous incremental sales.
This is the significance of the “incremental selling” strategy: to reduce risk by gradually locking in profits while retaining a portion of the position to participate in potentially larger increases.
When facing potential coins, patience and strategy are often more important than short-term gains, because once you seize such an opportunity, it may completely change your investment outcomes.
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Did everyone feel it! Something is not quite right with Ethereum here!
1. The issue of market share concentration
From a natural market ecology perspective, well-known assets usually occupy over 80% of market share. However, currently Bitcoin (BTC) is clearly outperforming Ethereum (ETH), and the capital is flowing into Bitcoin, with almost no inflow into Ethereum.
Bitcoin has broken through its previous high, Solana (SOL) is also about to break through, while Ethereum is far from its historical peak. Is this phenomenon normal?
Personally, I think this situation is abnormal. The rise of Bitcoin is understandable, but Ethereum's performance seems quite abnormal—especially in the face of strong market skepticism, Ethereum's price has neither plummeted significantly nor risen substantially, instead appearing somewhat artificially suppressed.
2. The impact of ETFs on the market
Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have launched ETFs, and Solana also has similar products. Suppose you are an institutional investor, the institutional entry price for Bitcoin is around $40,000, would new funds be willing to take over Bitcoin at a price of $100,000?
Institutions face pressure from management fees, and gold-backed or coin-backed assets may attract some funds to flow into Ethereum, as it could potentially capture part of the overflow of Bitcoin funds.
Recalling the previous round of Bitcoin's fluctuations around $40,000, institutions also experienced similar games. Now, it may be that large funds in Ethereum are quietly building positions, but do not wish to drive up the price to increase their holding costs, which is why the market seems to be in a state of "silence"—that is, attracting and digesting the selling pressure.
1. The issue of market share concentration
From a natural market ecology perspective, well-known assets usually occupy over 80% of market share. However, currently Bitcoin (BTC) is clearly outperforming Ethereum (ETH), and the capital is flowing into Bitcoin, with almost no inflow into Ethereum.
Bitcoin has broken through its previous high, Solana (SOL) is also about to break through, while Ethereum is far from its historical peak. Is this phenomenon normal?
Personally, I think this situation is abnormal. The rise of Bitcoin is understandable, but Ethereum's performance seems quite abnormal—especially in the face of strong market skepticism, Ethereum's price has neither plummeted significantly nor risen substantially, instead appearing somewhat artificially suppressed.
2. The impact of ETFs on the market
Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have launched ETFs, and Solana also has similar products. Suppose you are an institutional investor, the institutional entry price for Bitcoin is around $40,000, would new funds be willing to take over Bitcoin at a price of $100,000?
Institutions face pressure from management fees, and gold-backed or coin-backed assets may attract some funds to flow into Ethereum, as it could potentially capture part of the overflow of Bitcoin funds.
Recalling the previous round of Bitcoin's fluctuations around $40,000, institutions also experienced similar games. Now, it may be that large funds in Ethereum are quietly building positions, but do not wish to drive up the price to increase their holding costs, which is why the market seems to be in a state of "silence"—that is, attracting and digesting the selling pressure.
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Complete Analysis of Exit Strategies: Three Paths to Break Through
1. Position Holding Strategy
This strategy is based on the core concept of 'not selling means not losing.' When an investment position is unfortunately locked in, the accounting loss still has variables before selling. It is like a ship in a storm; as long as you do not choose to abandon ship, there is still a possibility of safely reaching the harbor. However, investors using this strategy need to have robust financial strength as a solid backing to calmly cope with the potentially severe market fluctuations, ensuring that during the long waiting process, they will not be forced to exit due to a broken cash flow, and can successfully exit or even profit when the market reverses.
2. Step-by-Step Exit Strategy
'Cut losses and then add positions' is the action guideline of this strategy. Investors first need to decisively cut losses on positions currently in a loss state, promptly severing the source of losses to prevent further expansion. Then, patiently wait for prices to rebound to the expected reasonable level, at which point re-enter precisely. Through this retreat-then-advance approach, it is like cleverly detouring on a winding road, effectively reducing losses during the exit process, and even possibly turning losses into profits, allowing investments to return to a healthy track.
3. Decisive Stop-Loss Strategy
'Full sell-off, rapid stop-loss' is the distinct feature of this strategy. For short-term speculators, this is a relatively wise choice in specific market environments. When the market shows a continuous downward trend, time is like a merciless killer; the longer you hold the assets, the greater the potential losses grow like a snowball. Therefore, by quickly and decisively selling the held assets, one can timely avoid the greater risks caused by further price declines, thereby maximizing the retention of principal and creating conditions for a re-entry at the appropriate time.
1. Position Holding Strategy
This strategy is based on the core concept of 'not selling means not losing.' When an investment position is unfortunately locked in, the accounting loss still has variables before selling. It is like a ship in a storm; as long as you do not choose to abandon ship, there is still a possibility of safely reaching the harbor. However, investors using this strategy need to have robust financial strength as a solid backing to calmly cope with the potentially severe market fluctuations, ensuring that during the long waiting process, they will not be forced to exit due to a broken cash flow, and can successfully exit or even profit when the market reverses.
2. Step-by-Step Exit Strategy
'Cut losses and then add positions' is the action guideline of this strategy. Investors first need to decisively cut losses on positions currently in a loss state, promptly severing the source of losses to prevent further expansion. Then, patiently wait for prices to rebound to the expected reasonable level, at which point re-enter precisely. Through this retreat-then-advance approach, it is like cleverly detouring on a winding road, effectively reducing losses during the exit process, and even possibly turning losses into profits, allowing investments to return to a healthy track.
3. Decisive Stop-Loss Strategy
'Full sell-off, rapid stop-loss' is the distinct feature of this strategy. For short-term speculators, this is a relatively wise choice in specific market environments. When the market shows a continuous downward trend, time is like a merciless killer; the longer you hold the assets, the greater the potential losses grow like a snowball. Therefore, by quickly and decisively selling the held assets, one can timely avoid the greater risks caused by further price declines, thereby maximizing the retention of principal and creating conditions for a re-entry at the appropriate time.
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