犀牛

Talk about a few issues with following trades

1. Stop Loss Issues
If you are following my strategy, you must strictly execute the stop loss according to my strategy. Even if it happens to hit the stop loss, you must adhere to it; this is a matter of trading habits and is very important. Do not harbor any lucky thoughts.

Every trade I make has its own logic and always includes a stop loss—just execute it strictly. If the stop loss is hit, it means our trade is incorrect, so just accept the loss. If it happens to be a loss, just accept it; this situation is unavoidable. After being stopped out, do not enter again, and patiently wait for the next trading opportunity.

2. Take Profit Issues
As long as there is profit, it is fine to take profit at any time; it’s just a matter of earning more or less. Personally, I start to reduce positions when the profit-loss ratio reaches 1:1, and with the remaining position, I aim for 1:2 or even 1:3, focusing on how the market moves at that time.

If you are not holding positions, you can take profit and exit when the profit-loss ratio exceeds 1:1.

3. Position Management
Do not over-leverage; absolutely do not over-leverage. Move slower, be steadier.

I personally have a poor mindset, and everyone must pay attention to this. Once my mindset goes wrong, it can lead to consecutive losses (the five consecutive losses on the 16th were due to a mindset issue), so do not over-leverage.

Before opening a position, think about how much loss you can accept, and then decide how much to leverage based on the loss amount. Do not just jump in without looking; it is easy to incur significant losses.

Finally, to summarize the public strategy given this month:
A total of 24 trades, with 8 losses, 1 break-even, and 15 profits, resulting in a win rate of about 62%.

Public free strategy, with both losses and gains, rational following.

The profit and loss situation of the last 10 public orders: 7 profitable, 2 losses, and one exited near the cost price. Overall, it's decent; let's keep up the good work.

One more thing, the number of orders is too few, and some issues have not yet been reflected, such as consecutive losses, which will definitely happen, and no one can avoid it. Everyone should follow the orders rationally.

Some orders will be made public in the square, with both profits and losses; if you follow, the profit and loss are your own responsibility.

Bitcoin is oscillating upward, but the key resistance has not yet been broken through. Currently, there are signs of weakness in the short-term bulls, and there is a risk of price retracement, so one should not directly participate in going long.

For short positions, one can refer to the 15-minute lower time frame. If a bearish structure emerges, one can participate in a short position accordingly. Currently, it is adjusting at a high level, so further waiting is needed.

Trading suggestion: Go long near the pullback of 113500-113000, with a stop loss at 112000 and a target around 115000.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin has stopped falling and rebounded, currently rebounding to the resistance level near 115000.

The overall large structure still looks bearish, but the bullish momentum in the short term is quite sufficient. The rebound has not ended and may pull back a bit before continuing to stretch. The upward diagonal trend line can be referenced for resistance.

Trading suggestion: Buy on a pullback near 113800-113000, with a stop loss at 112500. Currently looking at 115000, and if it breaks above, watch for 117000.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin is fluctuating downwards, the overall trend is very weak, and there has been almost no adjustment during the entire decline. Currently, continuing to short has limited profit potential, and the price has reached the lower support level, indicating a technical need for a rebound adjustment.

Key focus for the day is on the support at 112000-111500, looking for a rebound near the support level.

Trading suggestion: Buy when the price drops below 112000, with a stop loss at 110300 and a take profit at 115000.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin experienced another sharp decline yesterday, with a very obvious downward trend and weak bulls. Yesterday, the bulls tried to rebound three times but failed to break through 116,000. Instead, they faced resistance and fell to a low of around 112,600. Most who tried to bottom-fish for a rebound are now trapped.

In terms of indicators, the MACD is below the zero line and opening downward, with bears still gaining strength; the moving averages EMA60 and EMA90 have turned down with openings downward, indicating that short-term bears are absolutely dominant. However, if the price remains range-bound at low levels during the day, there may be a chance for a rebound in the evening. We will observe as the market develops and maintain a cautious approach focusing on high shorts.

Trading suggestion: Short at the rebound to 115,500-116,000, with a stop loss at 117,000 and take profit at 114,000-112,600.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

The large pancake experienced a sharp decline in the evening, currently all support levels have been broken, and the previous low of 114700 was also briefly broken. Yesterday there was a V-shaped rebound followed by a steep drop in the evening, with a significant decline and almost no buying interest in between. The market is very chaotic, and it's recommended to hold a lighter position to avoid major losses.

Currently, the price is near the previous low, with a slight rebound, likely due to short sellers taking profits, causing the price to rise. There has not yet been a significant buying interest. The key resistance to watch above is around 117000. If it cannot break through for a long time, it will likely continue to fall in search of new support, and the previous low is unlikely to hold.

Trading suggestion: Short at the rebound to 116000-116800, stop loss at 117500, with a target near 114500-115000.

#BTC

Bitcoin plummeted in the evening, in line with our short-selling expectations from yesterday. The overall market is leaning towards a fluctuating downward trend, but the decline is not strong. It is currently experiencing a channel drop, with bulls gaining strength, leading to a rapid V-shaped recovery. The short-term bulls are very strong, and for intraday operations, consider focusing on buying on dips.

Trading suggestion: Buy on a pullback to 117000-117500, with a stop-loss at 116500, and initially target 119500. If it breaks through, aim for the previous high around 123000.

#BTC #比特币 #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin experienced a sell-off at the 1-hour level during the day yesterday, followed by a rapid decline in the evening, with significant downward momentum. It broke below previous lows and formed a bearish arrangement on the 1-hour chart, exhibiting a stepwise decline. Overall, the bearish sentiment is relatively strong, and the trading strategy needs adjustment; no longer participating in long positions, focusing on short positions.

During the day, one can refer to the diagonal trendline and the previous neckline position, which acts as resistance for short positions.

Trading suggestion: Short near 118300-118600 during a rebound, with a stop-loss at 119300 and an initial target around 117000. If broken, watch for previous lows.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin experienced a surge and then a pullback yesterday, but the downward pressure was not very strong, and there was no straight drop, which can be seen as a normal adjustment.

The current price is stabilizing in a densely concentrated area, and at this position, bulls and bears will start to compete, leading to two expected trends.

1. Stabilize and rebound, which will at least form a double top sell signal at the 1-hour level.
2. Break below support, with bears being absolutely strong, possibly testing the previous low again.

Currently, I am more inclined towards the first trend, looking for a rebound followed by a sell.

Trading suggestion: You can enter a long position near the current price of 117900, add to the position if it breaks above 108300 and stabilizes, with a stop loss at 117000.

#BTC走势分析 #BTC

After the adjustment of Bitcoin yesterday, it continues to rise, currently approaching around 119500 again. Although there is some resistance at the 1-hour level, there has not been a significant selling pressure yet, and the overall sentiment remains bullish, with a focus on low buy operations.

If it can successfully break through the resistance level around 1195000, the next target can be the previous high, with a double top at the 4-hour level. If there is a sudden large selling pressure accompanied by a noticeable drop, we need to wait for the market to show direction before observing further.

Operational suggestion: Buy on the pullback at 118000-118500, with a stop-loss at 117500. Currently, we are looking at the neckline position around 119500. If it breaks above, we will look at the previous high position of 123000.

#BTC

Bitcoin experienced fluctuations upward yesterday and is currently in a high-level adjustment. From the perspective of the upward movement, bullish momentum has weakened.

The short-term key support is between 117,000 and 117,500. If it can hold, there is hope for a second upward movement on the hourly level to test the upper pressure at 120,000. If the market is strong, it might directly test the previous high of 123,000, forming a double top on the four-hour level.

If support breaks down, the market is likely to decline all the way down, and it may return to around 115,000.

Trading suggestion: Focus on the results of the 117,000-117,500 support. Stabilize and go long at low levels; chase shorts if it breaks down.

#BTC

Bitcoin experienced a very strong decline yesterday morning, and in the evening, it formed a double bottom in one hour and broke above the line. The bearish momentum did not continue well, and the overall market structure still leans towards volatility.

In the short term, there is an expectation for continued upward movement, with resistance around 119,000 and key support around 116,000. If the support breaks down, the entire structure will weaken, and the bears will gain an absolute advantage.

Operational advice: Pay attention to the support results around 116,000-116,500; if it stabilizes, go long.

#BTC

Bitcoin experienced another day of fluctuations yesterday, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a strong continuation. In the evening, there were signs of a bullish counterattack moving upward, but currently, it has been pushed down again by the bears.

Overall, both bulls and bears are relatively balanced, with neither side holding an absolute advantage. However, it is important to note that it takes longer for prices to rise, while they can fall in a short period. Therefore, in the short term, the bears have begun to gradually gain the upper hand, and the trading strategy needs to be adjusted to focus on short positions.

The bullish defense level is around 117,200. If this level is broken, look for the previous low of 116,000. The bearish defense level is around 119,000.

Trading suggestion: Pay close attention to the support around 117,200; buy on dips, and if it breaks down, pursue short positions.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

July 24th Bitcoin Morning Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations

From the 4H chart, Bitcoin has been oscillating at high levels recently. Last night, the bears attempted to push prices down but failed to break support, instead forming a long lower shadow, indicating that the bears' resolve to decline is not strong, while the bulls are providing ample support. The short-term outcome of this competition is that the bulls are dominant.

In terms of trading, everyone is advised to buy in the range of 118000-117500. If you have entered the market, you are currently in profit and can continue to hold, as we can at least see the pressure level near 120000 above.

If the 120000 pressure level can also be successfully broken, then there is an expectation of a double top in the overall structure, and the oscillation structure will expand from 116000-120500 to 116000-123000.

Trading Recommendation: Buy in the range of 118000-118500, with a stop loss at 117000. Currently, we are looking at the upper limit of the oscillation structure near 120000, and if broken, we look towards 123000.

#BTC

July 23 Bitcoin Morning Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Bitcoin surged strongly yesterday, oscillating upwards in the evening, breaking through the previous high, reaching the 120,000 psychological level. Currently, it is consolidating at a high level, with a bullish bias. The main strategy for intraday trading is to go long on dips.

In the short-term structure, it shows an expansion pattern, which is very unfavorable for trading. False breakouts above and below the high and low points can easily trigger stop losses. Currently, the price is at the upper edge of the structure, leaning towards a continued upward breakout.

Trading suggestion: Buy on a pullback around 118,000-117,500, with a stop loss at 116,500 and a target of 120,500-122,500.

#BTC

For some reasons, public policies are no longer published on the square. If you need public policies, you can take a look at the homepage yourself.

July 20th Bitcoin Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Liquidity is relatively poor over the weekend, and Bitcoin prices have not fluctuated much overall. There was a slight drop last night, but the downward momentum was weak, and it did not break below the previous segment's low point, instead oscillating around a small range.

Currently, there are two expected trends:
1. A direct acceleration of the downward trend, dropping to a target level.
2. A rebound to test the upper edge of the triangular consolidation, followed by a downward trend.

Personally, I tend to favor the second option.

Trading suggestion: Break above 118500, retest and go long, with a stop loss at 117200, and a target of 119500-120500.

Personal opinion, for reference only.

The market saw a decline last night, breaking through the key support level of 118000. The overall market structure is weak. From the current situation, a slight rebound is expected in the short term, with the rebound peak anticipated to be between 118500 and 119500.

From a technical perspective, there is a head and shoulders top pattern, and the MACD moving averages are all below the zero line, indicating a bearish market. The short-term bearish sentiment is strong, and prices may continue to decline or maintain a low-level oscillation. Opportunities to short should be sought.

Operational suggestion: Participate in shorting around the rebound to 118500-119000, with a stop loss at 120500 and a target of 116000-115000.

The above content represents personal views and is for reference only.

#BTC

ERA short position current price around 1.22 all take profit exit

#ERA