余三水

During the consolidation phase, just pay attention to the upper and lower boundaries, for example, $SOL

After a rapid increase, over 90% of the time it enters a consolidation range. From the current 1H chart, just pay attention to the support strength in the 201 area.

If you want to make a short-term long position, wait for an effective rebound here (preferably wait for the close).

1/5 $ENA

Um, personally I feel that the probability of falling to 0.62 or even below 0.62 is greater than the probability of reaching 0.85.

Currently, I personally see a bearish trend towards 0.66 and 0.62. If there is a rebound at 0.62, there may still be an opportunity to go long; if it breaks, that could be your final stop-loss opportunity.

Your entry position is wrong; why did you enter at 0.72???

$ETH 2025/8/21

1️⃣ 1H Status:

Breakthrough of the mid-line with a pullback that does not break, entering an upward structure—waiting to confirm the second continuation of the rise.

2️⃣ Personal Feelings:

Yesterday met the conditions for going long that I have been mentioning for the past few days—"Price breaks through the mid-line, and after a pullback, does not break the mid-line before going long."

It has risen 6% to the upper potential resistance: the 4380 area encountered resistance. The current price is still above the mid-line, which is a signal waiting to confirm the continuation of the rise. As long as the price does not actually break the mid-line, it can be held.

If one wants to short, I personally recommend—"Wait for the price to break below the mid-line, then short after a pullback is resisted at the mid-line," which has been marked in the image below.

$PUMP can pay attention to whether the subsequent pullback can succeed.

As for the target, it's 33, 37.

3/5 $ADA

There is no trend, entering long against the trend.

From the 4H chart perspective, there is currently a potential rebound here, with the middle track as the take-profit target, which also aligns with the potential resistance zone above.

2/5 $LTC

Your cost position is just above the daily K support zone, which has currently broken, and you shouldn't hold it.

Currently at a middle position, it's hard to say. I can only say that if you want to hold on, if the price bounces back to the 105 area, you can add another position to lower your cost, and then set your take profit based on the position of the middle track.

1/5 $VIRTUAL

Before it breaks below 1.15, you can actually add some positions here.

The overall trend is flat, and if it breaks 1.24, I personally feel that 1.3 is likely to be reached.

$ETH 2025/8/20

1️⃣ 1H Status:

Continuously suppressed by the middle track -> Strong downward structure

2️⃣ Personal Feelings:

From the chart below, we can see that the price has been repeatedly suppressed by the middle track and has not yet broken out of a strong downward structure (Tip: Break through the middle track and do not break it on a retest).

Currently in a rebound phase, let's see if the middle track continues to apply strong pressure. If that happens, the next downward target might be around 3940.

As for wanting to go long, my advice remains the same as in previous articles — "Price breaks through the middle track and does not break it on a retest before going long," as indicated in the chart below.

$ETH 2025/8/18

1️⃣1H Status:

Broke below the middle track, continuing to turn into a strong downtrend structure

2️⃣Personal Feelings:

According to the advice in the previous tweet, there was an opportunity to go long in the middle, but it broke below the middle track early this morning and formed resistance, re-entering a strong downtrend structure.

If one wants to go long, I personally recommend "waiting for the price to break above the middle track, and then going long after a retest that does not break below the middle track."

The current target for decline can be set at around 4160, which is a potential support area that has been touched multiple times before.

$ETH 2025/8/16

1️⃣1H Status：

Break below the expected range consolidation ——> Downward structure

2️⃣Personal feelings：

Yesterday mentioned that the price broke below the mid-line, ending the strong uptrend, and an expectation of a downward box was made.

But the drop has reached the lower boundary, and it hasn't stopped, entering a downward structure. So currently, I personally do not recommend casually going long on rebounds; the mid-line is suppressing the price, and the downward target may be at 4330 or even 4160.

If you want to go long, I personally suggest waiting for the price to break through the mid-line again, and then retest without breaking the mid-line before going long.

$ETH 2025/8/15

1️⃣1H Status：

Broke the mid-line ——> End of strong upward trend

2️⃣Personal Feelings：

As mentioned in the previous article, we can use "Boll's mid-line breaking" to determine the end of the strong upward trend. From the current perspective, the mid-line has not exerted strong pressure.

So we can first view it as a range consolidation, waiting for the upper and lower lines to flatten, anticipating sideways fluctuations, with boundaries around 4700-4450.

$BTC 2025/8/13

1️⃣1D Status:

Upward range —> Approaching the upper boundary of the range

2️⃣Personal feelings:

In the case of a big cycle, as long as the price has not effectively fallen below the 111800 area, there cannot be an expectation of "long-term upward trend turning into a downward trend."

Currently, if the price breaks through the range, based on the height of the range, the next target for the daily candle might be around 132700.

After $ETH broke through the range, it entered a strong upward trend.

To determine whether the "strong upward trend" has ended using indicators,

I personally prefer to use "Bollinger's middle band breaking" as a judgment. From the current perspective, the opening is still quite large, and the upward trend should not be nearing its end.

1/5 $ONDO

In the short term, it belongs to a downward structure. If you want to find the left-side support point, you can pay attention to the rebound effect around 0.95.

However, if you want to re-enter an upward structure, it is definitely still far from enough now; a higher low has not yet appeared.

$ETH This post from yesterday is enough for a long time.

During a sideways consolidation phase, if you don't want to engage in this type of short-term operation of buying low and selling high, then you can only patiently wait for the price to break out of the range and choose a new direction before considering the timing to enter.

$ETH is now a fierce warrior

The other two have only rebounded a little, and it has directly reached 0.0

3/5 $LTC

Support/Resistance continues to rise, the phased upward target is nothing more than the previous high on the left that has been touched three times: 138 area.

2/5 $PENGU

Personally, I feel that it hasn't finished dropping yet, so I will wait for a pullback effect at 0.036. Currently, if I want to go long, I can only set an expectation for a sideways consolidation, placing the first take profit target at 0.041.

1/5 $TAO

Currently, from the 4H chart perspective, although there is potential resistance at the 400 level, the short-term structure is an upward trend. As long as it doesn't drop below 360, it can be considered a short-term ascending range. You can choose to enter around here to bet on another rebound.

The first take profit target is naturally the upper boundary: the 400 area.

$ETH 2025/8/11

1️⃣1H Status:

One-sided rise -> Sideways consolidation

2️⃣Personal feeling:

From a strong one-sided rise, it has entered an ascending box. Currently, I believe the key to ending this 1H upward trend is when the price effectively breaks below the 4150 area and makes the first downward box below.

If one is looking to trade a short-term long position, the entry opportunity lies in the effective rebound after the price continues to retest the 4150 area, with the first target naturally being to return to the upper boundary of the box: 4325 area, and the second target would be after breaking through this box, which according to the box height, could be around 4490.