You’ve probably heard this many times before, but here’s yet another chart proving it!
🕯 The formation of a bull season is crystal clear: Horizontal accumulation → upward impulse → diamond accumulation → upward impulse → REPEAT.
✨ The market is currently in the middle of the diamond phase. A breakout is expected in February. It will take time, but it’s worth the wait.
🪙 There’s no doubt Bitcoin has completed more than half of what’s planned for this bull run. However, when it comes to altcoins and meme tokens, I’d say they’ve barely reached 35% of the potential peak we’ll see this year.
Investors lost $40 billion in just one day. Here’s the untold story of what happened
We put a lot of research and work FOR FREE into this thread before reading it.
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--- 1 / The Terra (LUNA) collapse stands as one of the biggest disasters in crypto history. Once a top project with billions in market value, Terra's downfall sent shockwaves across the industry, wiping out fortunes and shattering trust. In this thread, I’ll break down how Terra’s ambitious algorithmic stablecoin model failed, the events that led to its collapse, and the critical lessons every crypto investor should learn from this fiasco. Let’s dive into the story of Terra (LUNA) and its dramatic fall --- 2 / Terra was a blockchain project that aimed to revolutionize payments with its algorithmic stablecoin, UST. Unlike traditional stablecoins backed by reserves like USDT or USDC, UST was designed to maintain its $1 peg through a complex relationship with Terra’s native token, LUNA. --- 3 / The idea was simple: users could always exchange 1 UST for $1 worth of LUNA, and vice versa, with LUNA being burned to mint UST and stabilize its price. But as we would soon see, the algorithmic model had critical vulnerabilities: when stress hit the system, the very mechanism meant to stabilize UST would turn into a death spiral.
--- 4 / In May 2022, UST began to lose its $1 peg after significant withdrawals from Anchor, a DeFi platform that was crucial to Terra’s ecosystem. Anchor offered a high annual yield of nearly 20% on UST deposits, attracting a huge portion of UST—over 70% of the total supply.
--- 5 / When concerns about sustainability arose, users rushed to withdraw their funds, creating sudden selling pressure on UST. As UST's value dipped below $1, the mechanism to restore the peg involved minting more LUNA, but this only flooded the market and crashed LUNA’s price. --- 6 / The crisis accelerated rapidly. UST lost its $1 peg entirely, dropping to as low as $0.10. Meanwhile, LUNA's supply soared from around 350 million tokens to over 6.5 trillion in a desperate attempt to restore UST's value. This caused LUNA’s price to plummet from over $80 to nearly $0.0001 within days. Major exchanges began delisting LUNA and UST due to their extreme volatility, and Terra’s market cap, which had been around $40 billion, evaporated almost overnight.
--- 7 / As the Terra collapse unfolded, all eyes turned to Do Kwon, the project’s outspoken founder. Known for his confidence and bold claims, Do Kwon had been a vocal advocate for Terra’s success, often dismissing critics. But as UST and LUNA crashed, his tone shifted from defiance to damage control. The team scrambled to restore UST’s peg, implementing emergency measures like minting trillions of LUNA and using billions in Bitcoin reserves to try and stabilize the situation. However, these efforts were too little, too late, and the downward spiral continued.
--- 8 / Do Kwon announced plans for a "recovery" by proposing to fork the Terra blockchain and launch a new LUNA token, but confidence in the project had already been shattered. The community was divided, and many investors felt betrayed. Lawsuits and investigations into Terra’s collapse soon followed, with Do Kwon facing growing legal scrutiny and calls for accountability.
--- 9 / Controversy grew as it emerged that, despite his earlier denial on Twitter, Do Kwon did control the burning wallet and had access to the keys. His involvement in managing LUNA’s supply played a crucial role in the ecosystem's collapse.
--- 10 / The Terra collapse caught regulators' attention worldwide, sparking concerns about investor protection and leading to calls for stricter crypto regulations. Authorities began scrutinizing algorithmic stablecoins and DeFi projects, with some countries launching investigations into Terra for potential fraud and market manipulation. Lawsuits against Terra, Do Kwon, and others quickly followed. South Korean prosecutors issued an arrest warrant for Do Kwon, making him a key figure in the legal fallout. --- 11 / After months on the run and facing multiple legal challenges, Do Kwon was finally detained in March 2023. Authorities caught up with him in Montenegro, where he was found using a forged passport. His detention marked a significant turn in the fallout from the Terra collapse, as international authorities, including South Korea and the United States, had been actively pursuing him for his role in the disaster. The arrest intensified the scrutiny on Kwon, with legal proceedings focusing on allegations of fraud, market manipulation, and misleading investors.
--- 12 / The Terra collapse exposed the risks of algorithmic stablecoins and high-yield DeFi projects. It showed how quickly things can fall apart when stability is uncertain. The key takeaway: always understand the risks before investing in crypto. In such a volatile space, even major projects can collapse. Be cautious, never invest more than you can afford to lose, and always do your research. We put a lot of research and work FOR FREE into this thread before reading it.
🚨 Very Important : 🚨 Please follow @Coinaute and ❤️ Like + Comment and ➡️ Share this post 🙏 #MarketDownturn #Binance ---
I've collected opinions from top influencers to answer these questions BTC crash, U.S. sales, Bitcoin's super cycle and more Full analysis + $BTC forecasts 👇🧵
Before we begin, I have a request... I invest a lot of time and effort into creating alpha content for you. Please support me, just like and bookmark and share it. And don't forget to follow so you don't miss out on new alpha. @Crypto PM Thank you! On the evening of July 29, 2024, Bitcoin briefly broke through the $70,000 level However, it soon entered a correction phase, dropping more than 6%, resulting in a price plunge to $66,000
To begin, let’s discuss how Bitcoin managed to reach the $70,000 mark Ryan Lee, the chief analyst at Bitget Research, identified three primary reasons for this milestone: 1. Donald Trump’s speech at the Bitcoin 2024 crypto conference 2. Expectations of stock market growth and the Federal Reserve’s potential move towards lowering the key interest rate 3. Increased investor interest in high-risk assets, such as cryptocurrencies
Why BTC couldn't hold at $70,000 The primary reason was news that the U.S. government began moving its BTC to different wallets Many believe the U.S. might start selling its Bitcoin If this happens, it would create market pressure similar to what occurred with Germany
The total value of all BTC owned by the U.S. is estimated at $12 billion However, recent transactions involved only $2 billion Interestingly, during the crypto conference, Trump promised not to sell government-owned Bitcoins
It’s worth noting that the threat is very real In Germany's case, the market reacted more to the news about potential sales than the actual sales themselves However, the U.S. holds an amount four times larger, nearly 1% of the total supply
Will $BTC Resume its Growth? Many in the crypto community believe that news of potential Bitcoin sales by the U.S. government is the last hurdle for BTC's growth Here are $BTC forecasts from influencers 👇 Charles Edwards, the founder of the investment fund "Capriole Fund," outlined a comprehensive list of positive factors driving the growth of BTC Tweet:
DrProfitCrypto believes that Bitcoin's next target could be the $86,000 level According to him, $BTC is on the verge of entering a cycle that will trigger significant growth Tweet:
StockmoneyL is also confident in Bitcoin's growth He even wrote an excellent thread listing 10 reasons for Bitcoin's rise I highly recommend reading it:
2. ETF Game - Part 1 Bitcoin ETF inflows are robust, and their long-term impact on $BTC is being underestimated at this point. With over $1 billion in inflows this month, ETFs provide a strong, ongoing demand that isn't fading anytime soon. This is game changing and the full demand is not there yet.
2. ETF Game - Part 2 At the #Bitcoin2024 in Nashville, Blackrock said the big money hasn’t arrived yet, “they haven’t turned it on yet, they are expediting the process”👀
2. ETF Game - Part 3 And other ETF crypto assets will also drive further adoption and pave the wave #Bitcoin and the bull run.
3. US elections in November The likelyhood, that Trump will win is not to bad and his re-election will heavily push the markets including crypto. He is pro-crypto and Trump is speaking at the #Bitcoin2024 in Nashville.
4. Growing confidence of a Fed rate cut in September Current US data give confidence that inflation is heading to 2% and a ‘soft landing’ should be possible. And the market is already anticipating those rate cuts
5. Stock-to-Flow credits to @100trillionUSD ♥️ The S2F model predicts Bitcoin's price by calculating the stock-to-flow ratio, which divides the current stock of Bitcoin by the annual flow. This might be the most cited and referenced price prediction for #Bitcoin. Similarly, the price prediction for the current cycle is very high (roughly over $300k in 2025), but it remains valid until proven otherwise.
6. The Global Liquidity Cycle The cut rates in the US not only influence the available money pool but also affect other countries, such as China and the European Union. According to the extrapolated data, the Global Liquidity Cycle should next peak around September 2025, following its December 2022 trough. This fits PERFECT for the the anticipated #Bitcoin peak.
7. Bitcoin cylce repeat (1) - All time high (2) - Correction and Bear market rally (3) - Bear market (4) - Bear market bottom (5) - Uptrend and consolidation (8) - New All time high These time zones are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical series where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, ...). In trading, Fibonacci time zones are created by segmenting the vertical price movement (from a notable low to a notable high) into several equal parts using Fibonacci ratios. Commonly used ratios include 1, 1.618, 2.618, 4.236, and others. Each ratio represents a distinct time zone.
8. Crypto Adoption Perhaps the strongest argument for the current cylce. So far, the real use case for crypto for the masses is missing. But no one other than @elonmusk might bring the first crypto-based payment system with this app @X💸
9. #Bitcoin network The Bitcoin network has now processed $110 trillion in transaction volume in its lifetime. The Lightning network is high-performance and ready for the future. source: http://blockstream.com
10. Technical analysis You cannot predict the future by looking in the rear-view mirror? Yes we can. Use our Stockmoney formula🦎 y = 923.49 x^2 - 4×10^6 x + 4×10^9k Similarly, this model is different from the S2F model (reason 5), but both fit into the narrative of a parabolic bull run.
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Here are 10 coins you should AVOID (you're probably holding them) and how to recognize them 🧵👇 I would highlight 3 main types of altcoins to avoid:
1/➮ Many old projects that are simply too old and overvalued
✧ They have no technology and no upside
✧ They are doomed to fall relative to $ETH in the long term, which is what they are doing
2/➮ "Artificial" tokens, where the supply is completely controlled by team/VCs and the value is manipulated
✧ The price in such projects does not reflect the true market value
✧ There is always a risk that they will eventually be dumped by -99% at any moment 3/➮ Projects come from past trends (dead P2E games, etc.) or have high FDV, low MC, and constant sell pressure
✧ Projects from old trends that are no longer relevant are doomed to a slow death
✧ Buying tokens with strong sell pressure = becoming exit liquidity for VCs You need to know how to recognize these projects and distinguish junk from gems.
So for example, here are 10 popular tokens - prime examples of these categories—that you might be holding, but they are doomed to fail (IMO). 1/➮ @worldcoin | $WLD
✧ $WLD is just an artificial coin where the supply is completely controlled
✧ The value can be manipulated however they want, but it's clear that sooner or later it will definitely be dumped
So the odds are not in your favor 2/➮ @Ripple | $XRP
✧ $XRP is designed for fast and cheap international money transfers
✧ But in essence, it is an unnecessary fork of $BTC with overly inflated valuation
✧ Not the worst coin, but $ETH or $BTC will always be better
✧ Same for ADA: 5/➮ @eth_classic | $ETC
✧ $ETC is a blockchain that emerged from a split with ETH in 2016
✧ $ETC is a fork of $ETH, and it is almost identical
✧ The only difference is that devs largely ignore ETC, and it has almost no prospects 6/➮ $BCH
✧ Bitcoin Cash is a fork of Bitcoin, created with the aim of increasing the block size
✧ This is supposed to allow for processing more transactions at once
✧ But in the end, it simply repeats the BTC concept without significant changes 7/➮ @monero | $XMR
✧ $XMR is known for its anonymity and transaction privacy
✧ However, since 2022, its value has been stagnating, and there is even a chance of a ban similar to the situation with Tornado Cash
✧ High valuation, outdated technology, no prospects, high risks 8/➮ @AxieInfinity | $AXS
✧ This applies not only to $AXS but also to other old P2E game coins
✧ The trend has moved on, there’s no more hype, and there’s a very high FDV
✧ Overall, in such projects, the pyramid has collapsed, and there’s nothing more to expect 9/➮ @dYdX | $DYDX
✧ In $DYDX, the main big issue is the token unlocks
✧ They are structured in such a way that they will constantly create selling pressure and drive the price lower and lower
✧ There are many of such projects, so always check vesting schedule 10/➮ Useless L2 projects
✧ This applies to $STRK, $ZKS — these are just useless L2 solutions with low mc, high FDV, and constant sell pressure, leading to price dumps
✧ It also applies to new projects that initially launch with high FDV and no real utility & community 11/➮ Key takeaways to consider before investing:
- Unlocks - Demand - Narrative - FDV/MC
Just analyzing these factors will give you an understanding of whether it's worth investing and if the project has any upside at all. Don't forget to follow 😉
Important Developments of Next Week 🚨 Monday, July 22 - The Floki team will make a marketing announcement. $FLOKI 📈 Tuesday, July 23 - The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 🇹🇷 will announce the interest rate decision. (Leaving the expectation fixed) Thursday, July 25 - GDP data will be announced in the USA 🇺🇸 (Expectation 1.9%) 26 July, Friday - Core Personal Consumption Expenses Index will be announced in the USA 🇺🇸 (Expectation 0.2%) Saturday, July 27 - Donald Trump will speak at the Bitcoin 2024 conference. 📈 🎤
A Few Powerful Players Control The Entire Crypto Market
Over 90% of people lose money due to their manipulations I found their dirty strategies, and it's worse than you think 🧵: This will change how you see crypto forever... 👇 Before we dive in, Want to keep getting alpha from me? Hit that follow button now. And if you find this article useful, give it a like, share, or bookmark — your support means a lot! The crypto market is still young, and it's important to know that some big players can easily manipulate the $2.33T market. These groups can control the market and influence the price. I'll show you not just how to dodge their traps but also to benefit 👇
Many large players accumulate a significant % of the token supply, allowing them to profit from manipulations. They can change market sentiment through their sales, then buy back on dips, making big gains. Their large purchases can also boost market confidence and draw in new liquidity.
Understanding Market Manipulation Key indicators of manipulation: ➢ Sudden price moves without news ➢ High trade volumes in short periods ➢ Increased social media activity 8 market anomalies to help you easily identify manipulations 👇 1/ FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fair value gaps are a trader's secret weapon for spotting market imbalances and inefficiencies. FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure causes significant price movements, creating gaps in price charts.
2/ Range Manipulation Price stays in a range, causing weak holders to sell. If it breaks out but returns, it's called a deviation and is seen as manipulation. Later, the price usually heads to the opposite boundary, likely breaking through.
3/ Stop Loss Hunting Retail traders often place SL orders around key levels. Manipulators use this to push prices toward these stop orders, taking profits. A quick price reversal after hitting a key level likely indicates manipulation.
4/ Market Makers Manipulation Understanding who market makers are and how they operate is crucial. They often engage in significant behind-the-scenes manipulations ( I WILL DO A ARTICLE LATER ON THIS )
5/ Spoofing the Market Spoofing involves placing large buy or sell orders and canceling them before execution. These fake orders can create bearish sentiment but often get canceled, causing confusion. Ignore large transient walls in the order book.
6/ Artificial Charts Manipulators buy and sell assets at specific price levels to create false price levels and graphical formations. These influence the decisions of retail traders who rely solely on charts, making them victims of manipulation.
7/ Wash Trading Manipulators use wash trading to artificially create volumes and price movements, attracting buyers. Always double-check the asset's liquidity based on the bid/ask spread and order book activity, giving less priority to volumes.
That's a wrap for now! If you don't want to miss my future content, follow me on all social media now: I hope you've found this article helpful. Follow me @Crypto PM for more.
Like/share below if you can. #Whale.Alert #WhaleAlert #MarketManipulation #CryptoPM_Youtube #cryptopm
Most paid channels won't like me sharing this but I'll do it anyway👇
Struggling to make profits this year? That's because you didn't have the right crypto trading strategy yet. Most paid channels won't like me sharing this but I'll do it anyway👇 The market often trades in a range. When these ranges break, they can offer some of the best trading opportunities. If you learn how? The game changes considerably in your favor and the sky is the limit. Let's go from the basics to a pro 👉 Resistance is the highest point before price pulled back. This is also called a swing high. Support is the lowest point before price went back up. This is also called a swing low. Both support and resistance appear in an uptrend or downtrend. We will just trade both of them differently depending on the current trend. Only buy at support in an uptrend. Only sell at resistance in a downtrend. Always follow the trend. Never go against it. Chart Example: On the left side we see an uptrend. Any of these supports are great buying opportunities. Only buy the the dips. On the right side we see a downtrend. Any resistance are great selling opportunities. Only sell the rallies. A trendline is also a type of support and resistance. This time they are diagonal instead of horizontal however. Connect the swing lows in an uptrend or the swing highs in a downtrend. As long as this line holds you trade with the direction of the trend. The more points you can connect the better. In an uptrend you buy the dips In a downtrend you sell the rallies Once the line breaks there's a potential reversal. Uptrend to downtrend or downtrend to uptrend. The higher the time frame the more accurate. A channel is when we connect both the highs and the lows in an up or downtrend. They are based on the same concept of trendlines. Once one of these breaks we have a potential reversal. If they hold you continue trading with the trend. More about using real strategy on this concept. Break and retest involves waiting untill price breaks out and only entering a trade when price comes back and retests that broken area. The best traders wait for price to come to them and not chase it. When something breaks you can be aggressive and enter a trade right away or you can be conservative and wait for price to come back to you. Trading conservative in 99% of times will do you more good. A previous resistance becomes support once broken. A previous support becomes resistance once broken. Wait for price to break out and come back to test that area as valid support or resistance. Enter the trade. Trendlines are no different. Wait for price to break your trendline and come back to retest it. Let price validate your broken area and give you a better entry. Enter the trade. You can look at multiple different time frames. A 1 hour chart is not a 4 hour chart and vice versa. The more analysis techniques you combine including timeframes will drastically improve the odds of success. Combine TA with FA and more and you'll have the holy grail in your hands. Master it, study it and execute it. Wealth awaits. If you like these article consider giving me a follow @BitEagle News I write guides to make you a better trader
Turned $30 Into $40,000 In Just 5 Days Degening On Pump.Fun
Turned $30 into $40,000 in just 5 days degening on @ pumpdotfun My secret? A rock-solid strategy. Here's my ultimate @ pumpdotfun playbook👇🧵
Before we jump in, could I ask for a favor?
I've dedicated a ton of time to writing this ARTICEL and truly appreciate any interaction! Please share, reply, or hit that like button if you can 👆
Before aping into a new coin, do a quick search One result? Good to go. Multiple results? You might end up buying a copycat.
Double-check the token After picking a coin, always make sure it’s the right one. How? Verify the token's dev.
Check out the dev profile ➢ Go to the "coins created" tab ➢ Paste CA into the search bar If the dev is a rugger, you’ll likely see comments on their old projects saying he rugged or jeeted.
Next, check the dev's allocation A 6 to 8% allocation isn’t terrible, but be cautious. This could be a way for the dev to make quick profits. Look for devs who either buy in really low (showing commitment) or buy a lot (for control & build).
Check the socials before buying. Don’t buy if: ➢ Te|egram is locked ➢ The dev says they're just STARTING to work on socials Also, a prepaid DEXScreener doesn’t guarantee the dev is legit. It's a positive indicator, but not proof.
Keep bets small Only allocate a small slice of your portfolio, or what you can afford to lose, to memecoins. This approach makes decision-making easier. Think of memecoin trading like gambling. Would you bet everything on red? Take a moment and consider.
If you use Pumpfun 24/7 and follow these tips, you're likely to find tokens at a very low MC. 90% of tokens may flop, but that 10% could score you big – think 10x, 100x, or even 1000x gains that erase all losses. Get an edge over the crowd by using tools. It could be anything: - Dexscreener - Solscan - And so on That's a wrap for now! If you don't want to miss my future content, follow me everywhere: https://linktr.ee/cryptopm
I'm not much of a good trader but as per my 2 years of experience, here's my suggestion for any new trader. #trade #short #long #btc #eth
If you're new to trading then I suggest you to start with minimum capital. The amount may vary according to one's capacity but the less you put better for you.
Start with like $100-1000, forget about the profit for like 6 months. I know it sounds hard to not look for profits in trading which is the reason we trade but trust me you will ruin your learning as well as blow up the account if you chase profits specially when you're a beginner.
While you start, make sure to use minimum leverage and practice proper (I repeat proper) position sizing and make plans from the very beginning which will greatly enhance your performance and helps to build habit.
Thenafter, be patient with your trades and don't complicate things. Try not to close winning trades and never hold losing one's. Make your entry and exits preplanned and be strict with them.
Lastly, always book profits and try to take less trades. Only go for the clear setups and don't over trade.
Share your thoughts and tips as well in the comments. I know it's hard to follow all the things I mentioned, most experienced & profitable trades also make mistakes if one could follow these things exactly as said then the win rate & accuracy is unreal.
Lastly, best suggestion for anyone entering to trading is: DON'T !
Trading requires a lot of things such as emotion control, discipline, patience, time & evaluation, extra efforts and is very painful in the beginning years so if you're not ready for all this then the correct things is to DON'T ENTER the market.
SHIB is currently following a descending triangle pattern. It experienced a pump from the horizontal support level. The 200-day moving average indicates a bullish trend. It is presently encountering resistance from the trendline and the Ichimoku cloud. We must monitor closely for a clear breakout from the triangle pattern to confirm the bullish move.