Among the 56 agreements with a monthly income exceeding 1 million USD, 17 have not issued tokens! As long as there is enough cash flow, there is no need to issue tokens.
Tether → No token Circle → No token Axiom → No token Phantom → No token Photon → No token EdgeX → No token Meteora → No token Trojan → No token Coinbase wallet → No token Base → No token GMGM → No token Uniderp → No token Maestro → No token Bloom → No token BullX → No token DEXScreener → No token BonkBot → No token
From 'Air' to 'Cash Flow': The Rise of Utility Tokens After the VC Bubble Burst
At the beginning of 2025, as secondary market liquidity tightened, many altcoins driven by 'story + airdrop' had their bubbles ruthlessly popped. Countless altcoins have continued to decline to new lows—while during the same period, Bitcoin's market cap share rose to 62.1%, a five-year high, and the Altcoin Season Index even reached a record low of 4 points in May 2023. However, 'utility tokens' like Uniswap (UNI), Aave (AAVE), Pendle (PENDLE), and Hyperliquid (HYPE) attract funds flowing upstream, with prices and on-chain income rising simultaneously. They share a common feature: real, auditable protocol cash flow, which returns value to token holders through buybacks, profit sharing, or staking.
Four years ago today, Fat Penguin @pudgypenguins launched fairly at 0.03 E.
At that time, ETH was just over 2000 U, and the cost of one Big Penguin was 60 U, followed by airdrops of Little Penguins and fishing rods.
Now, the floor price for Big Penguins is 15.5 E, Little Penguins 1.67 E, and fishing rods 0.6 E, totaling 17.77 E, equivalent to 66,600 U.
During the Penguin TGE, a single group of NFTs (Big, Little Penguins + fishing rod) airdropped about 2 million $PENGU, currently valued at 84,000 U.
Without considering external project airdrops (DYM, ZK, L0, etc.), if you invested 60 U four years ago, you would now hold 150,000 U, equivalent to over 1 million RMB, with an astonishing return on investment of 2500 times.
During the same period, the increase in BTC was 268%, while ETH's increase was only 82%. From 60 U to 150,000 U, you just needed to get in and hold firmly.
.@Aspecta Protocol $ASP will have its TGE on its own platform before trading, you may want to pay attention!
▪️ Whitelist Round: 7:00-7:15
▪️ Public Round: 7:15 until July 24 ------ ▪️ Total Supply of Project Token: 10B
▪️ TGE on Own Platform: 0.7%
▪️ OKX Direct Access: 0.1%
▪️ Binance Alpha: Unknown ------
▪️ TGE FDV: 30 million
▪️ Funding: 3.5 million plus undisclosed portion from Binance
▪️ Initial Circulation: Unclear, estimated at around 20% ----
▪️ Team: Chinese team
▪️ Project Nature: Pre-trading market, launchpad type -------
Buying in at a 30 million market cap FDV at opening is basically a profit.
If we calculate based on 20% initial circulation, that means 6 million initial circulation market cap, the lower limit reference for Binance Alpha suggests that 10 million initial circulation should not be a problem; for the upper limit, we need some reference benchmarks.
Previous leading launchpad projects @daomaker and @polkastarter had FDVs of 35 million and 21 million respectively. Although market conditions and cycles are different now, along with varying levels of enthusiasm for new projects, I still think we can use the initial circulation of $ASP and the FDVs of these two projects as upper limit references. ------ 1Key=12 $ASP =0.36U =30 million FDV
Assuming 20% initial circulation, with an MC of 21 million, the FDV would be 105 million, at this time Key’s price = 1.26U.
That means my $ASP price reference range is 0.36-1.26; the closer the price is to the lower limit, the better; the closer to the upper limit, the less cost-effective it becomes!
If I expect to achieve double returns, then KEY's price needs to be 1 key below $0.63, specific participation depends on the situation.
These are some of my thoughts on this project; if you have different opinions, feel free to discuss in the comments~
.@Aspecta Protocol $ASP will have its TGE on its own platform before trading, you may want to pay attention!
▪️ Whitelist Round: 7:00-7:15
▪️ Public Round: 7:15 until July 24 ------ ▪️ Total Supply of Project Token: 10B
▪️ TGE on Own Platform: 0.7%
▪️ OKX Direct Access: 0.1%
▪️ Binance Alpha: Unknown ------
▪️ TGE FDV: 30 million
▪️ Funding: 3.5 million plus undisclosed portion from Binance
▪️ Initial Circulation: Unclear, estimated at around 20% ----
▪️ Team: Chinese team
▪️ Project Nature: Pre-trading market, launchpad type -------
Buying in at a 30 million market cap FDV at opening is basically a profit.
If we calculate based on 20% initial circulation, that means 6 million initial circulation market cap, the lower limit reference for Binance Alpha suggests that 10 million initial circulation should not be a problem; for the upper limit, we need some reference benchmarks.
Previous leading launchpad projects @daomaker and @polkastarter had FDVs of 35 million and 21 million respectively. Although market conditions and cycles are different now, along with varying levels of enthusiasm for new projects, I still think we can use the initial circulation of $ASP and the FDVs of these two projects as upper limit references. ------ 1Key=12 $ASP =0.36U =30 million FDV
Assuming 20% initial circulation, with an MC of 21 million, the FDV would be 105 million, at this time Key’s price = 1.26U.
That means my $ASP price reference range is 0.36-1.26; the closer the price is to the lower limit, the better; the closer to the upper limit, the less cost-effective it becomes!
If I expect to achieve double returns, then KEY's price needs to be 1 key below $0.63, specific participation depends on the situation.
These are some of my thoughts on this project; if you have different opinions, feel free to discuss in the comments~
🗓️Yesterday I bought some @TakerProtocol Keys on the @aspecta_ai platform for $4.8, now $6.89. The project will launch at 6 PM today #BinanceAlpha
💡Why did I buy? My thoughts are as follows👇
1️⃣Project Fundamentals
▪️BTC ecosystem project, currently the BTC ecosystem is not very hot
▪️Chinese team, the project's communication is generally okay
▪️Upcoming launches: MEXC, Gate, Binance Alpha
2️⃣Project Valuation
▪️At this time, the Key price is about $4.8 according to public token economics (if parameters remain unchanged) ➡️ Initial circulation ≈ 17 %
▪️Estimated initial circulating market cap is about $10 M+
3️⃣Historical Comparison (10+ period Binance Alpha direct airdrop projects)
▪️Although most have obvious pullbacks, currently circulating market cap < $10 M only $TALE $RCADE
▪️Only $TALE opened below $10 M
✍️Conclusion
▪️Buying @TakerProtocol at $4.8 has a relatively low estimated probability of loss;
4️⃣Another estimation approach
Waiting for @BinanceWallet to announce the airdrop quantity, then using "each airdrop ≈$X" to roughly estimate the token price as a reference. (At the time of writing, Binance has not yet announced the details)
📌The general thought process is as above. Feel free to share more interesting projects in the comments, let's learn together!🚀 #alpha上新 #ALPHA