栗子交易日记

币圈同行：找两个懂感恩的伙伴，一起把路走稳

入圈这几年，从跟着 K 线哭到盯着策略笑，也算摸透了币圈的脾气。
可一个人盯盘、一个人分析、一个人扛住涨跌的煎熬，时间久了，确实感觉少了些什么。行情来了，没人分享喜悦；踩坑了，没人吐槽复盘，哪怕盘面再热闹，也透着一股冷清劲儿。
所以，我想找两个懂感恩的朋友一起玩。
你不用多懂技术，我会把这几年积攒下来的经验，掰开了、揉碎了教给你。比如，怎么看项目白皮书才不会踩雷，什么时候加仓、减仓最为稳妥，遇到极端行情又该如何稳住心态等等。从基础逻辑到实操技巧，我都会全程带着你走。
不过，有个小要求：得懂感恩。这并非是要你送什么东西，而是要珍惜彼此的时间和信任。我会真心实意地教，你就认认真真地学；赚到钱了，不要飘；亏了钱，也别埋怨。币圈最忌讳的就是 “白眼狼”，只有那些能一起扛事、互相惦记的人，才能在币圈这条路走得长远。
如果你也是想踏实玩、愿意慢慢学，不贪心、不急躁的人，那就来聊聊吧。三个人的圈子不大，但足够温暖，咱们一起把币圈的路走得稳一点，再稳一点。#九月加密市场能否突破？ $ETH

Can Ethereum reach $5,000? Rather than simply speculating on its price, it's better to monitor the changes in several key variables.

Historically, this figure isn't outrageous. During the 2021 bull market, it reached $4,868, just shy of $5,000; even during the volatile market of 2022, it reached a high of $3,800. Now that the market has recovered from the bear market and Bitcoin has stabilized at $30,000, the window for mainstream cryptocurrencies to catch up is gradually opening. As the second-largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum is naturally a target for capital.

More crucial is the ecosystem's foundation. The Layer 2 ecosystem is growing stronger. Arbitrum's daily active addresses are steadily in the millions, and Optimism's transaction costs have been reduced to one-tenth of the mainnet. These scaling solutions are making Ethereum's usability easier. Following the Shanghai upgrade, over 24 million ETH were staked, equivalent to nearly a quarter of the circulating supply being "locked up," significantly reducing market selling pressure.

But there are also numerous obstacles. If the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, liquidity will be drained from the crypto market—Ethereum's plunge from over $4,000 to $880 during the 2022 rate hike cycle is a precedent. If the Cancun upgrade is delayed, Layer 2 performance optimization will slow, potentially reducing the ecosystem's appeal. There are also regulatory concerns: if the PoS mechanism is labeled a "security," short-term selling pressure could surge.

In the final analysis, $5,000 isn't out of reach, but it's certainly not a sure thing. It depends on whether the liquidity is loose, whether the ecosystem is progressing smoothly, and more importantly, whether the market sentiment is strong. For traders, instead of worrying about the numbers, it is better to keep an eye on the changes in Layer 2 TVL and the pledged volume data - these are the "barometers" of price. #以太坊暴涨 $ETH

One week 3000U to 8600U: I have witnessed another story of a turnaround in the cryptocurrency world. After struggling in the cryptocurrency space for many years, I have come to realize a harsh reality: most people either lose all their capital or get their intelligence taxed by so-called 'teachers.' A few days ago, a fan approached me, his tone full of despair: 'Teacher, I've gone from 300,000 to only 3000U, and I’m questioning my life after being cut down. Can you help me out?'

I only asked him one question: 'Are you willing to completely follow my rhythm? Not even moving your hands once.' He nodded decisively. Then, I guided him to enter the market precisely, and in just one week, his 3000U rose to 8600U. (Specific trading screenshots cannot be shared, those who understand will naturally grasp the logic, and those who don’t may not dare to execute even if they see it.)
Many people are puzzled: why do I consistently make profits while others frequently incur losses? The answer is actually very simple: the vast majority of people only buy high and sell low, placing orders based on feelings; whereas I rely on a complete system of 'risk control + position + rhythm,' allowing me to precisely capture profit opportunities regardless of market fluctuations.
Making money in the cryptocurrency space is never about luck; the core is method—those without methods will always be reduced to someone else's cash machine. I am neither here to sell courses nor to deceive, but simply dare to say: follow me, even with just a few thousand U capital, you can earn what others make in several years.
As for how I manage to precisely control the market? I'll leave that as a suspense here; those who truly understand and desire change have already taken action.
#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

团队技术的顶级的预测天地针
兄弟们直营都带好了吗？#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

The U.S. August non-farm data releases signals economic concerns
On September 5, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published the August non-farm employment report, which attracted widespread attention in the market. The data shows that U.S. job growth significantly cooled in August, with the unemployment rate rising to its highest level since 2021, raising concerns that the U.S. labor market may be deteriorating more seriously.

Job growth, as a key indicator reflecting economic vitality, cooling off significantly implies that companies' willingness to hire may be declining, and the momentum for economic expansion may be weakening. Additionally, the rising unemployment rate not only affects people's income and consumption capacity but also impacts overall economic confidence.
Historically, a weak labor market often serves as a leading indicator of economic downturns. The current U.S. economy is already facing multiple pressures such as high inflation and elevated interest rates, and the performance of this non-farm data undoubtedly adds more uncertainty to the market's outlook for the future trajectory of the U.S. economy. Investors will also closely monitor subsequent economic data and the Federal Reserve's policy direction to determine whether the U.S. economy is experiencing temporary fluctuations or has entered a more challenging phase.
#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

非农报告前夕美元走弱，汇市波动加剧
在备受瞩目的非农报告公布前夕，美元指数出现走弱态势。据 Odaily 星球日报及金十数据显示，美元指数 DXY 短线走低 12 点，报 97.9。这一变化在外汇市场引发连锁反应，主要货币对波动明显。

美元兑日元（USD/JPY）失守 148 关口，日内跌幅达 0.32%。日元在此刻展现出一定的强势，吸引了部分投资者的关注。而欧元兑美元（EUR/USD）则表现亮眼，成功站上 1.17，日内上涨 0.45%，欧元区货币的反弹给市场带来了新的交易机会。
非农报告作为反映美国就业市场状况的关键数据，向来对美元走势有着重要影响。市场参与者对此次报告充满期待，同时也因不确定性而保持谨慎。美元在报告公布前的走弱，一定程度上体现了投资者对可能出现的就业数据不及预期的担忧，或是在数据公布前进行的仓位调整。
对于外汇交易者而言，当前汇市的波动既带来了潜在的盈利空间，也意味着风险的提升。在非农报告正式揭晓前，市场情绪较为敏感，任何风吹草动都可能引发汇率的快速变动。投资者需密切关注后续非农数据的发布，以及数据公布后市场的进一步反应，以便更好地把握汇市的走向。
#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

非农数据公布前夕 美联储 9 月降息概率微降至 97.6%
9 月 5 日，北京时间 20:30，美国将公布 8 月失业率及季调后非农就业人口数据。在这一关键数据公布前夕，市场对美联储货币政策的预期出现微调。

据 CME “美联储观察” 数据显示，美联储 9 月降息 25 个基点的概率小幅下降至 97.6%。尽管仍处于极高水平，接近 “板上钉钉”，但这一细微变化，也反映出市场在重要经济数据发布前，对美联储政策走向的谨慎观望态度。
非农就业数据向来是美联储制定货币政策的重要参考依据，它能直观反映美国就业市场的冷暖，进而对通胀、经济增长等关键经济指标产生影响。若此次非农数据表现强劲，可能会让市场对美联储 9 月降息的预期进一步降温；反之，若数据不及预期，大概率会巩固当前高企的降息预期。
#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

In the crypto world, 90% of people are like leeks, but I make a steady profit: the core is not the market but the method.
Why do 90% of people in the crypto world become leeks, while I can harvest profits one order at a time? After years in this circle, I've seen too many tragedies: some people go all in and get liquidated after a few days, some trust "teachers" and pay tuition only to have their accounts wiped clean, ultimately either losing everything and exiting, or getting cut to the point of questioning their life.

A few days ago, a fan approached me, saying his 300,000 capital was down to 4,000 U, pleading for me to help him. I only told him: "Follow me, just learn to endure, no need to make random moves." After he followed this advice, in just half a month, the 4,000 U rose to 21,000 U, even he didn't expect to turn the tide against the wind.
Many people ask me for the secret to making money, but it's actually very simple: most people place orders based on feelings, while I rely on strict risk control and position management; they chase highs and lows every day, while I only focus on the "kill points" to take action; they fantasize about getting rich overnight, while I steadily earn my share of the profits.
The true core of the crypto world is not the market, but the combination of method, mindset, and rhythm. Those without methods will forever be reduced to someone else's ATM. I never boast, nor do I sell courses, but I dare to say: in this market, there are very few who can truly help you flip your position.
As for how I can achieve this? It's inconvenient to write too many details here; those who understand the intricacies will naturally seek me out. #非农就业数据来袭 $ETH $BTC

In the cryptocurrency world, 90% of adults lose money. I rely on this strategy to flip my funds 5 times: making money is never about luck.
90% of people in the crypto space continuously lose money, and the root cause lies in not seeing a truth: the market does not believe in luck, only in logic. I've seen too many people staring at K-lines all day, chasing rises and falls, only to end up doubting their lives, and even fans asking, "Why can’t I make money despite watching the market every day?"

In fact, making money is never about consuming time, but about finding the right methods. Last year, I turned 1000U into 70,000U with a clear logical strategy; fan A, with only 2000U in capital, followed my operations for two months and turned it into over 30,000U; fan B, who frequently faced liquidation, achieved stable profits after using my "Foolproof Positioning Method." All of this is not based on random guesses; every operation is supported by logic, rhythm control, and risk management.
Many people become poorer the more they trade, and the problem lies in following the wrong people and taking the wrong paths. There has never been a "myth of unattainable wealth" in the crypto world; even small funds can amplify returns with the right methods. While others panic and cut losses, I and my fans can steadily "enjoy the profits," and the core lies in mastering the right strategies and avoiding the pitfalls of blind operation.
If you don’t want to be harvested as a leek by the market anymore, and don’t want to wander aimlessly in the crypto space alone, don’t miss the opportunity to change your situation. You have already witnessed the brutality of the crypto world, but what you don’t know is – choosing the right methods and following the right people, making money can actually be very simple. #非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH

The direction is set, brothers #非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

Ethereum Hits $5000: Opportunities and Obstacles Coexist
Can Ethereum break through the $5000 barrier? Instead of blindly guessing the ups and downs, it is better to focus on the dynamic changes of key variables. Historically, this goal is not unattainable: during the bull market in 2021, Ethereum reached $4868, just a step away from $5000; in the turbulent market of 2022, it also recorded a high of $3800. Now that Bitcoin has stabilized above $30,000, and the window for mainstream coins to catch up is gradually opening, Ethereum, as the 'second' in the market, naturally has a solid foundation to attract capital.

More importantly, the development of the Ethereum ecosystem provides it with confidence. The Layer 2 camp continues to grow, with Arbitrum's daily active addresses remaining stable in the millions, and Optimism has reduced transaction costs to one-tenth of the mainnet, effectively addressing Ethereum's scalability issues; after the Shanghai upgrade, over 24 million ETH has been staked, accounting for nearly a quarter of the circulating supply, significantly alleviating market selling pressure.
However, Ethereum's push towards $5000 still faces multiple obstacles. If the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, liquidity in the crypto market will tighten—during the interest rate hike cycle in 2022, Ethereum fell from over $4000 to $880; if the Cancun upgrade is delayed, the pace of Layer 2 performance optimization may slow down, potentially weakening the ecosystem's attractiveness; regulatory risks must also not be overlooked; if the PoS mechanism is defined as a 'security', short-term selling pressure may surge.
In summary, for Ethereum to reach $5000, multiple conditions must be met: liquidity must be loose, ecosystem progress must be smooth, and market sentiment must be positive—none can be missing. For traders, instead of getting tangled up in price numbers, it is better to closely monitor the changes in Layer 2's TVL and ETH staking data; these indicators are the core 'barometer' for predicting price trends. #非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

以太空丹都吃到了吗？#非农就业数据来袭 $ETH
广场喊单有延迟性，建议找不到合适进场点位，第一时间来找栗子@栗子交易日记

From 2000U to 80,000 U, the hardest part of the crypto world is not getting rich quickly, but knowing when to cash out
I once mentored a fan who initially held 2000U and had a calm mindset. Unexpectedly, within three months, he strictly followed the position rules I set, and his account surged to 80,000 U. The core of all this is the position management that most people overlook.

Many people enter the market wanting to go all in, but when the market fluctuates, they get liquidated and their mindset collapses. However, I set only three rules for this fan, which seem simple but very few can achieve: First, do not exceed 15% of the total position for a single trade, always leave enough "bullets"; second, only increase positions when in profit, never averaging down in losses, and go with the trend rather than resisting it; third, cash out when in profit, do not foolishly try to catch the "highest point", preserving capital allows for future opportunities.
With this "simple method", he turned 2000U into 80,000 U. He could have continued to expand his profits but chose to exit the market decisively. The reason is very pragmatic: he made enough money, but his mindset did not keep up. The crypto world has always been "easy to get rich, hard to keep it", too many people are swept away by greed and end up with nothing. He understands when to withdraw, and this clarity actually makes me admire him — after all, in the crypto world, very few can exit unscathed.
As for how I help more fans achieve flipping their accounts and how to achieve "steady progress through position control", the details cannot be publicly disclosed. Those who understand the logic will naturally reach out to me.
#非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH

《交易赚钱后的心境成长：从炫耀高光到看清真相寻得真正自由》当你通过一两天的交易，轻松赚到别人一个月的工资时，那种兴奋是藏不住的。你可能会开始畅想出去大吃一顿，高消费一次，甚至忍不住想在朋友圈晒一晒自己的高光时刻。

你觉得自己越来越接近梦想中的自己，还完了所有负债，那个自由富足、无所束缚的状态仿佛就在眼前，你开始憧憬财富，自由似乎近在咫尺。
然而，当有一天，你靠交易赚到的是别人一整年的收入时，一切却都变了。你不再兴奋，也不再激动，甚至没有一丝多余的情绪波动。
你只是静静地关掉电脑，回家煮一碗简单的面条，慢慢吃完，然后坐在窗前，看着夜色悄然落下，心里却是一种前所未有的平静。你忽然明白了，真正的强大是悄无声息的演变。
这个世界喧嚣如潮水，而你愿意在潮水之外，静静地独行。你不再计较，不再解释，也不再争高低。你开始包容，甚至能温柔地看待曾经觉得愚蠢的选择和可笑的声音。
因为你终于看透了这个世界，无非是命运洪流中的一粒微尘。
你开始明白，自由从不是靠拼命努力换来的，它隐藏在认知的边界里。而绝大多数人，终其一生都困在一个无形的牢笼中，被既定的规则驯化，被教科书般的逻辑束缚，在重复的生活里奔忙，追逐着从来不属于他们的成功。
真正的自由，不是用多少钱去堆积，而是看清世界之后依然热爱生活。
而这份看轻，不在于你赚了多少，而在于你终于知道，这个世界的真相永远只属于那些极少数愿意独立思考、敢于冒险的人。#非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH

今天周五的大非农数据五颗星相当炸裂数据直接影响到本月16号是否降息~梭哪边可以私聊我~
想了解更多行情的最新消息，第一时间来找栗子@栗子交易日记 #非农就业数据来袭 #美国当周失业金人数

7 天 1800U 滚到 19.6 万 U：没人敢写的反向滚仓逻辑
很多人仍在追热点、跟合约群喊单，结果一天爆仓多次。而我反其道而行，用全网少有人提的 “反向滚仓打法”，7 天就将 1800U 做到 19.6 万 U。我既不看 K 线里花里胡哨的指标，也不靠所谓内幕消息，只踏踏实实做了三件事：

第一，越多人看空，越敢梭利润。市场向来反人性，当 99% 的人陷入恐慌时，恰恰是利润滚仓加倍的最佳时机，此时果断出手往往能抓住逆势机会。
第二，死守本金只进不出原则。本金就像 “保险箱”，一旦投入就绝不轻易动用，全程只靠利润参与交易。这样即便出现爆仓，也不会伤筋动骨，随时能原地重新开始。
第三，利润全投复利，让账户曲线指数级增长。第一次翻倍可能没太明显的感觉，但连续几次复利滚动后，数字增长的速度连我自己都感到震惊：1800U 到 3600U，再到 7.2k、14.4k，最终突破 19.6 万 U—— 别人还在喊着 “小目标”，我已跑完了全程。
没有内幕消息，没有大资金支撑，只凭这套别人不敢彻底执行的 “傻瓜逻辑”。说实话，我曾犹豫是否公开，因为能将这套打法执行到极致的人太少，但懂的人一看便知其中的暴富密码。自己摸索可能要耗费数年，我已踩完所有坑，能不能跟上，全看你的行动。
#非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH

Outrageous yet Real: 42 Days 5000U Rolling to 880,000 U, All Thanks to the "Fool's Rolling Method"
Don't question the exaggerated title just yet; I have no reason to lie—42 days ago, I only had 5000U in capital, and now my account balance has reached 880,000 U, a full 17 times increase! My method is not "high-end"; rather, it is extremely simple, relying entirely on three "foolish logics": only doing one-sided trades without predicting the market, taking three steps to manage positions without greed or fear, and pressing for compound interest after making profits.

Many people lose money in the cryptocurrency market not because they can't read charts, but because they want to "smartly predict" the market. Once their predictions go wrong, they directly face liquidation. I do the opposite: I don't get tangled in predicting ups and downs; I firmly follow the trend; I don't blindly bet on size; I only increase positions according to the rhythm. This "Fool's Rolling Method" seems plain but is actually like rolling a snowball, gaining momentum as it goes. In the end, even I am amazed by the speed of growth.
Now, there are constant inquiries in the background asking for specific details, but I can't fully disclose them on public platforms—true rolling rhythm needs to be paired with a complete trading system, and it can't be simply explained in a few sentences. The cryptocurrency market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the courage to find the right path: some logic you may not understand might forever keep you off rhythm; but even if you learn just 30% of my method, your account could still experience a qualitative change.
Finally, I want to ask: If suddenly you had an extra 830,000 U, what would be the first thing you do?
#非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH @栗子交易日记

From 8000U to 1 million U: The Comeback Journey of Rolling Warehouse Strategy in the Cryptocurrency World
In 2023, I was in debt of 150,000, and my cryptocurrency account had only 8000U left. At that time, I had to go all in: relying on the rolling warehouse strategy to turn things around. Rolling warehouse means reinvesting all profits from successful trades into the next trade to achieve exponential growth, but 90% of people fail due to mistakes or greed, while I broke through using 5 iron rules.

Core rules of rolling warehouse: 1. Only trade mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, SOL to avoid the risk of altcoin crashes; 2. In a bull market, only go long at key support levels (such as EMA20, Fibonacci 0.382), never short; 3. The initial position should not exceed 5 times leverage, and gradually increase to 10-15 times after making profits (maximum 20 times); 4. Set a fixed stop loss at 10%, after 20% profit, move to breakeven, then take profits in batches (50% cash out, 50% roll over); 5. Relying on the self-developed 'Long and Short Energy Indicator' to capture trend change signals 1-2 hours in advance.
True growth trajectory: The first trade used 8000U to long ETH at 5 times leverage, earning up to 9200U; the second trade long SOL at 6 times leverage, increasing to 11000U; the third trade strictly stopped loss and pulled back to 9900U, without losing composure. After that, I followed the rules, only trading when the monthly trend was clear, averaging 1-2 trades per week. Until the 21st trade, when ETH broke through the resistance level, I went long with 15 times leverage on the full account, achieving a daily profit of 300%, and the account broke through 1 million U in one shot.
Be sure to be wary of three major pitfalls: do not trade frequently, do not hold onto losing trades (stop loss is a lifeline), do not blindly imitate high leverage (ordinary people are advised not to exceed 10 times). I have lit the way; are you willing to follow? #非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

The most foolish yet profitable method in the cryptocurrency world: turning 10,000 U into 200,000 U in 60 days, relying entirely on 3 rigid rules
Many people enter the cryptocurrency world to study technology, analyze K-lines, and engage in high-frequency trading, only to repeatedly face liquidation. However, I relied on a "foolish method" to grow from 10,000 U to 200,000 U in 60 days, with the core being 3 rigid rules:

First, strictly control positions, with each trade not exceeding 5% of the principal
This is the key to survival! Remember: most people do not lose in direction but rather die from being fully invested. When I had a principal of 10,000 U, I only used 500 U for each operation; if the direction was wrong, I would stop loss, losing only 2%-3%, which I could completely withstand; if the direction was right, I would roll over, firmly maintaining a 2:1 profit-loss ratio, using profits to accumulate further profits, with risks always under control.
Second, fixed strategy, repeat execution without wavering
My strategy is simple and straightforward: only engage in high-volume bearish trends at the top and low-volume bullish surges at the bottom, never bottom-fishing on the left side or stubbornly resisting against the trend. Just like moving bricks on a construction site, it doesn't take much intelligence, only the repeated correct actions of "identify - execute - control position," and over time, profits naturally explode.
Third, take profit immediately at 10%-20%, never linger in battles
The most feared scenario is "small profits not taken, large losses not cut"; I insist on "mechanical profit-taking." Even if the market is good, once I have enough profit of 10%-20%, I exit. Securing profits is the true form of profitability.
With these three foolish methods, I rolled out 200,000 U trade by trade, and over a dozen fans following me also successfully doubled their investments. Don't continue to believe in "precise bottom-fishing" or "magical trades hitting big"; you think you're losing to the market, but in reality, you're losing to an uncontrollable hand. This position strategy may seem foolish, but it is the most solid tool for turning things around — stop gambling, follow the rules, and making money will be more stable! #非农就业数据来袭 $ETH

Wilf, have you all kept up? #特朗普家族币 $WLFI
If you want to know the latest news, feel free to find Li Zi, Li Zi is always at @栗子交易日记