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Stunning Turnaround! The U.S. Treasury Sell-Off Storm, Who is the Real Culprit Behind the Scenes?
Recently, the U.S. Treasury market has witnessed a massive wave of sell-offs, attracting significant attention from all sectors. Initially, the market generally cast suspicious eyes toward China; however, the latest survey results were shocking: the main force behind this sell-off of U.S. Treasuries is neither China, one of the largest holders of U.S. debt, nor Japan, a traditional major holder of U.S. Treasuries.
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In fact, this intense sell-off of U.S. Treasuries is the core factor that led to the swift demise of the 'Trump Global Tax' within just two days. The driving force behind this event is not a sovereign nation's government but rather the super capital groups that control the lifeblood of liquidity in the global financial market. These capital giants occupy a crucial position in the global financial system, akin to a 'global headquarters,' possessing immense influence and decision-making power. Their direct involvement in the U.S. Treasury sell-off is neither coincidental nor a standard portfolio adjustment, but rather carries profound significance. This action sends out a strong and clear signal: global capital's confidence in the U.S. economic outlook and financial stability is sharply declining, raising serious doubts about the future investment value of the U.S.
In the investment field, as high as 90% of people ultimately face liquidation, and the root cause lies in their misunderstanding of two critical steps. However, if you can strictly implement the methods discussed next, this may become an excellent opportunity for you to achieve a quick turnaround.
First is the first step: choose the right battlefield. This step can be regarded as the critical checkpoint on the investment path; in fact, 90% of investors falter here. A common mistake is blindly involving oneself in trades like BTC and ETH. They have low volatility, making it extremely difficult to double funds in a short period even with high leverage. The correct choice should be newly launched contracts of small market cap coins (market cap under 100 million, with trading volume over 10 million). Such coins often show signs of manipulation by market makers, such as suddenly breaking out with increased volume, the market interest is relatively high, and preferably, it should have just been listed on exchanges for 1 to 3 days. At this time, the market liquidity is sufficient, but it has not yet been overly manipulated by large funds. However, there is an extremely important key point: you must keenly identify this coin within the first 30 minutes of its launch; if you miss this time window, you are very likely to fall into the dilemma of competing with retail investors.
Trump's 104% Tariff Plan: Shooting American Companies in the Foot
Trump proposed a bold plan to impose a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, seemingly targeting China, but in reality, dragging American companies into a deep abyss, perfectly illustrating the saying 'shooting oneself in the foot'. Click to enter the exclusive KOL group of Binance
Apple Inc. heavily relies on China for production, with 90% of its products made in China. Once high tariffs are implemented, the significant increase in costs will inevitably lead to soaring product prices. Consumers may shy away from the expensive Apple products, putting Apple’s market share at great risk. Although Apple is attempting to establish new production bases in India, Vietnam, and other locations, the maturity of the supply chain and production efficiency in these regions cannot compare to China in the short term, which fundamentally cannot save the situation.
Increase Tariffs? The 'Departure Tax Refund' from Dongda directly counters it!
In recent years, the global trade landscape has undergone profound changes due to a series of aggressive tariff sanctions imposed by the United States. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群 In order to maintain its advantageous position in the global industrial and trade chains, the United States unilaterally instigated trade disputes and implemented large-scale tariffs on Chinese goods. From daily consumer products to high-end manufacturing products, numerous categories were affected. The extensive scope and significant increase in tariffs have caused unprecedented shocks to Chinese goods exports. This not only led to a sharp rise in the prices of Chinese goods in the U.S. market, diminishing their long-standing price competitiveness, but also put many Chinese companies reliant on exports in a predicament of reduced orders and declining profits. Some companies were even forced to cut production and lay off workers, posing severe challenges to the development of China's export-oriented economy.
When the president becomes a trader, the world becomes a giant rat-out
点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群 In financial markets, the improper connection between power and capital has given rise to many forms of manipulation. Taking the beginning of 2025 as an example, Trump issued Meme Coin and proposed the concept of "crypto strategic reserve", which caused significant disturbances to the market. Recently, the uncertainty of its tariff policy has also affected the trend of US stocks.
On a certain trading day, Trump posted on social media about suspending tariffs for 90 days and reducing the equivalent tariff to 10%, and the three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded sharply: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 7.87% on the day, rising more than 2,900 points, its biggest one-day gain since March 25, 2020.
China: Not looking for trouble, but not afraid of it either!
The current financial market is experiencing severe turbulence, as the Trump administration intensifies pressure on China, declaring a global tariff war, which has resulted in a strong negative impact on financial markets. The stock market has sharply declined, with the S&P 500 index dropping more than X% on the first trading day after the policy announcement, leading to a sell-off of blue-chip stocks. The U.S. Treasury market has also been affected, with the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds spiking to 4.5% in a short period, causing panic selling among investors and a significant drop in bond prices, tightening market liquidity. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群 (Join the group for benefits) Gold expert Peter Schiff pointed out that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has reached a dangerous level. If the Federal Reserve does not implement quantitative easing (QE) in a timely manner, it could lead to a repeat of the 1987 'Black Monday' stock market crash. The MOVE index for the bond market has risen to 139.88, indicating extremely high expectations of uncertainty in the bond market. Experts warn that if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates or undertake large-scale asset purchases to stabilize the market, the global financial system will face systemic risks.
Tariff storm temporarily subsides; can the cryptocurrency market usher in a turning point?
On April 2, the (Reciprocal Tariff) executive order signed by Trump officially took effect, triggering strong shocks in the global market. Although the policy has a negotiation window, given that such policies can easily lead to a chain reaction, the market generally holds a cautious wait-and-see attitude. At 3 PM that afternoon, the Ministry of Commerce of the Eastern Power responded, stating that if the U.S. continues to take tough measures, China will resolutely counteract. Prior to this, market risk sentiment was relatively stable, but with the policy coming into effect, risk aversion sentiment quickly heated up. In the early hours, U.S. Treasury yields surged to 4.5%, and U.S. stocks fell during the Asian trading session, raising concerns about a dual crisis in the bond and stock markets. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
Musk suggested a zero-tariff zone between the US and Europe. Is it a fantasy or a policy of the century?
点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群 Recently, Musk made a major proposal in Italy - to build a zero-tariff free trade zone between the US and Europe. This statement instantly caused a stir in the two major fields of traditional economy and cryptocurrency.
Musk ambitiously stated that the US and Europe should create a zero-tariff zone to achieve the free flow of talent and capital, and took the EU standardization system as an example to emphasize its role in promoting open innovation. Although it is only a proposal and the details are not clear, the expectation of zero tariffs alone has aroused strong market attention. In 2024, the scale of US trade will exceed 1.1 trillion US dollars. The reduction in tariffs will significantly reduce corporate costs, weaken market tariff barriers, and create favorable conditions for direct exports in various industries. The cryptocurrency field has also smelled potential dividends.
The digital industry is extremely sensitive to trade liberalization, and the liberalization of US-EU trade is a major benefit for cryptocurrency. Once the US and European regulations are unified, the compliance costs of encryption projects will be sharply reduced, and overseas business will be smoother. The acceleration of capital flow will promote the rapid popularity of decentralized finance and on-chain finance around the world, and the prospects of Web3 are bright. If the United States and Europe use the British pound as a reference to achieve global interoperability at the application layer, companies will gain more development opportunities in both places, financing efficiency will be greatly improved, and talents and capital will also accelerate the gathering of the United States and Europe, consolidating their position as innovation centers.
However, this concept is currently only in the verbal advocacy stage, and there is no formal policy document to support it, and it faces many challenges in implementation. There are many cases of similar agreements that have failed in history, and the political risks are quite high. Regulatory barriers and different voices in the industry may lead to delays in plans, and even difficult to achieve by 2027.
If you also want to cross the bull and bear markets, double your income, and get rid of the shackles of the bull and bear markets, welcome to chat with me privately to join us. If you want to achieve continuous profitability, you must follow a team of professional analysts and traders! 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
The Deep Logic of China's Firm Response to US Challenges
Recently, there has been a sentiment online suggesting that China's confrontation with the US only wins the face of nationalism while losing the substance of economic interests. They believe that to protect the livelihoods of the people, China should prioritize economic interests and not confront the US head-on. However, this perspective does not address the essence of the China-US tariff dispute. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
From 2018 to 2019, Trump initiated a trade war and imposed tariffs. To protect people's livelihoods, China chose to compromise and signed the first phase of the trade agreement. However, Trump still imposed an additional 7.5% - 25% tariff, and China had to buy an additional $200 billion worth of energy and agricultural products from the US each year. As a result, the yuan depreciated significantly against the dollar, from 6.5 to 7.3. Chinese consumers faced higher prices for goods in the international market, and the tariffs collected were used by Trump to provide tax cuts for the American public.
Global finance is declining, but how can he make precise profits?
Recently, due to tariffs and a series of policies, the global financial market has been affected to varying degrees. However, the Trump family has made money both shorting and going long during this round of tariff turmoil. Trump told his supporters in the morning to buy stocks, and four hours later he announced a delay in tariffs, causing the stock market to surge by two thousand points.
I specifically searched for data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange; the Trump family fund held $38 billion worth of Nasdaq put options before the U.S. stock market crash on April 3, 2025. His son-in-law Kushner controlled the Affinity fund, which simultaneously shorted technology stocks like Apple and Tesla. This precise adjustment of positions was highly synchronized with the rhythm of policy announcements.
Anyway, it's not important that everyone is losing money; what's important is that Trump never loses. Today, I saw an interview where the reporter asked Trump, at first he said he would firmly implement the tariff policy, so why is he now announcing a suspension? Trump directly said one must be flexible and adaptable; anyway, he won't stop even if there are no steps to take. It really reflects that saying: a person who is shameless is invincible.
After this round of tariff games, Bitcoin dropped from 88,000 to 74,000, and is now back to 83,500. However, the tariff issue still exists, and this 83,500 position is definitely not sustainable. In the future, Trump might still cause trouble. The U.S. stock market surged yesterday, and today it is likely to open low to correct the trend. At that time, Bitcoin might also have a wave of correction, so everyone should pay attention to the risks. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群 (More market strategies are here, join the group to chat together)
Rebirth in the Crypto World: Experience Sharing from Defeat to Recovery through Rules
In December 2024, an unexpected leveraged liquidation in altcoins caused me to fall from the peak of wealth, leaving only 100,000 in the account. At that moment, I fully understood that my previous investment failures were due to the 'gambling mentality': full investment, stubbornly holding losses, and never setting stop losses. However, this time, I started anew with a militarized position management method, and today I will share the core points with everyone.
1. Be cautious in opening positions, don't gamble on luck Each time opening a position, the funds must not exceed 10% of the principal, using 1-5x leverage, only capturing obvious volatility gains. Abandon the unrealistic idea of bottom-fishing or peak-hunting, and focus on Bitcoin ($BTC) and Ethereum ($ETH) trends above 5%. Daily maximum loss should not exceed 2% of the principal; it’s better to miss opportunities than to make mistakes.
Hello everyone, I am an analyst closely following the cryptocurrency market. Today I want to talk to you about my views on the trends of the popular cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP).
First, let's look at Bitcoin. I find that after experiencing a correction around the $70,000 range, it is very likely on the verge of a large-scale bullish reversal. Analyzing the four-hour chart, Bitcoin seems to have formed a bullish triple bottom reversal pattern. This triple bottom pattern is significant, indicating that the asset has tested a certain price three times and has refused to fall below it, showing that this price has strong support. If this triple bottom pattern is indeed confirmed, it will become a classic bottom formation in cryptocurrency history.
High Risk in Buying the Bottom of ETH, Bear Market May Still Decline
Recently, there has been a constant buzz in the market saying 'ETH has hit the bottom, now is the time to buy at 1500', but in reality, it hides risks. The ultimate sell-off in this bear market may not have started yet. Factors such as escalating trade wars, institutional sell-off risks, and black swan events could severely impact Ethereum's price again, making the current buying risk extremely high.
The trade war has triggered a global liquidity crisis. On March 20, the Trump administration imposed a 34% punitive tariff on Chinese goods, leading to a rapid withdrawal of foreign capital. The net selling of northbound funds reached 23.7 billion yuan in a single day, a new high since October 2022. Risk assets were sold off, with the market capitalization of major US tech giants evaporating by $4.7 trillion, and Bitcoin plummeting 18% in 24 hours. Ethereum's on-chain data also raised alarms, as the exchange's ETH balance surpassed 18 million, the highest level since May 2023, intensifying the selling pressure. Looking back at the 2018 US-China trade war, ETH fell from $800 to $83, a 90% drop. This trade war is more severe, coupled with global de-dollarization, making ETH likely to become a victim.
Major Changes in US Cryptocurrency Regulation: Opportunities and Risks Coexist
A subtle move by the Trump administration has set the cryptocurrency sector ablaze—the National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET), responsible for investigating cryptocurrency fraud, has been disbanded. This clearly indicates that the US is re-evaluating its stance on cryptocurrency, and the crypto market is about to undergo significant changes.
Why is the US doing this? It aims to reduce regulation and make the market more flexible. Previously, overly strict regulations had stifled the development of the crypto sector. Now, the US hopes that this move will attract startups, investors, and developers, creating favorable conditions for blockchain innovation. In the future, US regulation of the crypto market will focus on major issues while allowing the market to develop freely in other areas.
However, with such drastic relaxation of regulations, the European Union has been the first to voice opposition. European officials are quite concerned, stating that this could lead to significant financial instability. Without clear rules, the crypto market could resemble the 'Wild West' with rampant market manipulation and fraudulent projects emerging. Malicious individuals might take the opportunity to create chaos, manipulate cryptocurrency prices, deceive ordinary investors, and disrupt the financial order.
For investors, the change in US cryptocurrency regulation brings both opportunities and risks. First, it's essential to pay attention to where the funds are flowing. With the US easing regulations, many crypto projects, developers, and serious investors are likely to flock in, leading to an influx of capital that could create new profit opportunities.
Whether the US's relaxation of cryptocurrency regulations will attract innovation and elevate the crypto sector or lead to a chaotic market remains uncertain. However, one thing is clear: the global cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, and everyone is watching the US to see how the crypto sector will develop next.点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
If you also want to navigate through market fluctuations, double your earnings, and break free from the constraints of bull and bear markets, feel free to message me to join us. To achieve sustainable profits, you must follow a team of professional analysts and traders!
The Federal Reserve's Stunning Shift: Market Turbulence Under Powell's "Hawkish" Signals
In the financial markets, every move by the Federal Reserve draws significant attention. Recently, the markets have been in turmoil, with the source being signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
Strangely, the market has remained optimistic about interest rate cuts, with the probability of a cut in May rising abruptly from 14% to 60%, and some even predicting that rates will drop to 3% by the end of the year. However, economist Tim Duy found that Powell's latest statements indicate that the Federal Reserve is likely to continue raising rates, which is completely contrary to market expectations.
Powell's signals are deeply concealed. When discussing inflation expectations, he mentioned long-term inflation issues for the first time, which feels like an implication for rate hikes. Moreover, the statements he originally used to indicate that there would be no rate hikes have also disappeared, becoming vague, which suggests that the Federal Reserve still has the option to raise rates. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields have already started to decline.
Duy believes that Powell's actions are not accidental; he is deliberately leading the market into a "trap," and the market is sure to experience significant fluctuations next. Investors are now in a dilemma; the market believes that rates will be cut, prompting everyone to seek to buy more high-risk assets to make more money. However, the Federal Reserve may raise rates, which would put those investments at risk. For the global economy, the Federal Reserve's unclear policy could lead to capital fleeing emerging market countries if rates are raised, resulting in currency depreciation; if they cut rates as the market hopes, it could lead to asset bubbles.
Last Friday, Powell quietly released a hawkish signal, but the market didn't respond at all at the time. Once Powell's "hawkish" signal was released, the market began to fluctuate. How the financial markets will change next, and how the Federal Reserve will make decisions, the whole world is watching. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
If you also want to navigate through bull and bear markets, doubling your returns and breaking free from the constraints of bull and bear markets, feel free to message me to join us. To achieve consistent profits, you must follow a team of professional analysts and traders!
New Forces in Global Finance: XRP and Digital Yuan Disrupting the Landscape
In this 'war' to reshape the global financial order, XRP is highly likely to become the secret weapon that changes the game, rewriting the competitive landscape of global finance with its unique operational model and potential influence, bringing new vitality and variables to the international financial market, and its future direction deserves close attention from around the world.
Looking ahead, there are two possible scenarios for the global financial landscape: one is complete fragmentation, where the U.S. payment system, China's digital yuan system, and XRP each establish their own footholds and compete with each other, turning the global financial market into a smoke-filled 'battlefield', where countries struggle to choose between different payment systems, leading to a profound adjustment of the global financial order; the other is that XRP takes on the role of a mediator, leveraging its technical advantages to build a neutral bridge between the digital yuan and other currencies, promoting the integration and cooperation of the global payment system, and establishing a more efficient and diverse international financial ecosystem.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: Japanese Government Bond Yields Hit New High
On the same day, stock markets and oil prices plummeted, as investors sold off assets for cash. The 30-year Japanese government bonds became the preferred target for selling, with yields reaching a high of 2.785%, rising by 22 basis points on that day to close at 2.715%. Takatoshi Inadome, a senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management, said that the panic selling in the market was evident, and investors were worried about market uncertainty.
The U.S. 'reciprocal tariffs' have shaken global financial markets. The Tokyo stock market opened significantly lower on April 7, with the Nikkei index plummeting nearly 3000 points at one point, falling below 31000 points. The average decline across 33 industry sectors on the Tokyo Stock Exchange exceeded 4%, with sectors like non-ferrous metals leading the decline with over a 10% drop.
Japan's economy relies heavily on exports, and U.S. tariffs have raised concerns about its economic outlook. Analysts at Reuters predict that the tariff increase could lower Japan's economic growth rate by 0.8%. Nomura Research Institute economist Nobuhide Kawai pointed out that 'reciprocal tariffs' could cause Japan's real GDP to drop by 0.59% in the short term, and if automobile tariffs are included, the decline could be around 0.8%.
In the face of this turmoil, Japan's central bank, Ministry of Finance, and Financial Services Agency held a senior officials' meeting to discuss countermeasures. Previously, the Japanese government had set up a special advisory window, implemented measures to support capital circulation, and was also considering drafting a supplementary budget to respond to the high U.S. tariffs and rising prices.
The impact of U.S. tariffs is widespread. Shane Oliver, an economist at Australia’s Security Capital Investment Company, stated that the Australian stock market may rebound, but the increased risk of economic growth due to U.S. tariffs could lead to further drops in the stock market. Thomas Meissner, head of financial market research at Baden-Württemberg Bank in Germany, bluntly stated that the U.S. 'reciprocal tariffs' are equivalent to declaring 'war' on global free trade.
The U.S. tariff policy has greatly increased uncertainty in global financial markets, and the surge in yields of Japan's 30-year government bonds is one indication of this. The future of the global economy and financial markets is filled with unknowns, and whether Japanese authorities can stabilize the market is of great concern. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
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The U.S. Department of Justice Issues Legal Statement on Cryptocurrency
Recently, the U.S. Department of Justice released a legal statement on cryptocurrency, drawing widespread attention in the cryptocurrency field. The statement clarifies that cryptocurrency developers will not be held responsible for the misuse of their code by criminals, and law enforcement will focus on crimes such as fraud and terrorism financing, no longer unjustly implicating developers.
Renowned cryptocurrency legal expert John Smith pointed out that this move clarifies the boundaries of developers' responsibilities. Previously, the definition of responsibility was vague, causing many innovative developers to have significant concerns, but this is expected to stimulate more technological innovation.
The statement also emphasizes the need to protect the rights and interests of legitimate blockchain users and businesses, supporting their fair access to banking services, and reducing unnecessary law enforcement actions against cryptocurrency trading platforms and mixing services. A representative from a cryptocurrency trading platform stated that in the past, banks avoided cryptocurrency-related businesses, limiting the flow of funds and business expansion, but now with the Justice Department's statement, it is hoped that financial pressure will ease and normal business operations can proceed.
This move is seen as a signal from the Trump administration to further relax restrictions on the cryptocurrency industry. Trump supported digital assets during his campaign, intending to make the U.S. the "global cryptocurrency capital" and to accumulate Bitcoin. With the regulatory environment easing, the cryptocurrency industry is expected to regain new vitality, allowing compliant businesses to gain more resources and development space, attracting more innovative forces. Long-term investors in the cryptocurrency industry believe that relaxed regulations will attract more funds and entrepreneurs, benefiting the improvement of the industry ecosystem.
However, there are also cautious voices. An anonymous source from the regulatory agency stated that cryptocurrency trading is anonymous and cross-border, making it difficult to define and track criminal activities. Precise actions require improved technical monitoring systems and international cooperation mechanisms. Financial analyst Mary Jones pointed out that while regulatory relaxation can stimulate market vitality, it may also lead to blind following by investors, resulting in excessive speculation in the market, and it is necessary to be vigilant about market bubbles. 点击进入币安王牌KOL专属群
If you also want to navigate the bull and bear markets, double your profits, and free yourself from the constraints of bull and bear markets, feel free to private message me to join us. If you want to achieve sustained profitability, you must follow a team of professional analysts and traders!