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🔴|Is it the end of the bull market now? BTC Market Analysis ———————————————————— Price changes are just results; at a deeper level, they reflect a collective re-evaluation of the global asset anchoring structure and the historic return of non-sovereign assets emerging from institutional cracks. Currently, it has been a year since BTC's last halving, and this cycle is showing a distinctly different trend compared to previous ones. Unlike previous cycles where explosive increases followed halvings, BTC's current rise has been relatively modest, increasing only by 31%, while in the last cycle, the increase during the same period was as high as 436%. Meanwhile, metrics for long-term holders (such as the MVRV ratio) show a sharp decline in unrealized profits, indicating that the market is maturing and upward potential is being compressed. Overall, these changes suggest that BTC may be entering a new era characterized not by parabolic peaks but rather by progressive growth driven more by institutional involvement. 📍So let's return to the chart: why has BTC been stuck at 94,000 for five days, unable to move up or down? Looking back at the previous chart, we can see that the 94,000 position served as a support level in the earlier phase, where it previously tested this level multiple times before rising to 100,000. Could this position now become a new support-resistance flip, where the prior support becomes the current resistance? Additionally, in recent days, there has been continuous inflow into ETFs, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing a net inflow of $3 billion in the past week! This atmosphere seems to have suddenly returned to last October. If you are trading short-term, you must clearly identify where the current price stands. As the saying goes, the closer we get to the upper resistance boundary, the more we should short, and the closer we get to the lower support, the more we should long. If we break through, we should stop-loss and exit. In the middle range, where it neither goes up nor down, we do not recommend taking positions. So let's allow the situation to develop for a while, waiting for the right side to provide an answer, and we can long along a support level.
🔴|Is it the end of the bull market now? BTC Market Analysis
————————————————————

Price changes are just results; at a deeper level, they reflect a collective re-evaluation of the global asset anchoring structure and the historic return of non-sovereign assets emerging from institutional cracks. Currently, it has been a year since BTC's last halving, and this cycle is showing a distinctly different trend compared to previous ones.

Unlike previous cycles where explosive increases followed halvings, BTC's current rise has been relatively modest, increasing only by 31%, while in the last cycle, the increase during the same period was as high as 436%. Meanwhile, metrics for long-term holders (such as the MVRV ratio) show a sharp decline in unrealized profits, indicating that the market is maturing and upward potential is being compressed.

Overall, these changes suggest that BTC may be entering a new era characterized not by parabolic peaks but rather by progressive growth driven more by institutional involvement.

📍So let's return to the chart: why has BTC been stuck at 94,000 for five days, unable to move up or down?

Looking back at the previous chart, we can see that the 94,000 position served as a support level in the earlier phase, where it previously tested this level multiple times before rising to 100,000. Could this position now become a new support-resistance flip, where the prior support becomes the current resistance?

Additionally, in recent days, there has been continuous inflow into ETFs, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing a net inflow of $3 billion in the past week! This atmosphere seems to have suddenly returned to last October.

If you are trading short-term, you must clearly identify where the current price stands. As the saying goes, the closer we get to the upper resistance boundary, the more we should short, and the closer we get to the lower support, the more we should long. If we break through, we should stop-loss and exit.

In the middle range, where it neither goes up nor down, we do not recommend taking positions.

So let's allow the situation to develop for a while, waiting for the right side to provide an answer, and we can long along a support level.
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🔴|Aptos' Performance Philosophy and the Future of the Web3 Ecosystem———————————————————— By redefining the scalability and performance of blockchain, Aptos provides a new paradigm for the future of the Web3 ecosystem. Its core lies not only in technological breakthroughs but also in a profound insight into the essence of blockchain: performance is no longer a competition of a single dimension, but an art of multidimensional collaborative optimization. (一) From 'Speed First' to 'Efficiency First': A Paradigm Shift in Blockchain Performance Traditional blockchain performance optimization often focuses on increasing TPS, as if speed is the only criterion for measurement. However, Aptos' philosophy indicates that true performance reflects the overall efficiency of the system. Its pipeline design, Block-STM parallel execution, and Quorum Store architecture reveal a fact: the bottleneck in blockchain is not just computational power, but rather the inefficiency of resource coordination.

🔴|Aptos' Performance Philosophy and the Future of the Web3 Ecosystem

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By redefining the scalability and performance of blockchain, Aptos provides a new paradigm for the future of the Web3 ecosystem. Its core lies not only in technological breakthroughs but also in a profound insight into the essence of blockchain: performance is no longer a competition of a single dimension, but an art of multidimensional collaborative optimization.

(一) From 'Speed First' to 'Efficiency First': A Paradigm Shift in Blockchain Performance
Traditional blockchain performance optimization often focuses on increasing TPS, as if speed is the only criterion for measurement. However, Aptos' philosophy indicates that true performance reflects the overall efficiency of the system. Its pipeline design, Block-STM parallel execution, and Quorum Store architecture reveal a fact: the bottleneck in blockchain is not just computational power, but rather the inefficiency of resource coordination.
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🔴|The Impact of the U.S. Debt Crisis on Us and How We Should Protect Ourselves———————————————————— In this article, we will discuss the possible evolution of U.S. debt in the future, the potential reshaping of the global economic landscape, and the deeper impacts on ordinary people. Further revealing the complexity of the U.S. debt issue and its profound significance in the global financial system. I. The U.S. Debt Crisis: The Evolution from 'Gray Rhino' to 'Systemic Risk' U.S. debt is now like a 'gray rhino,' a foreseeable, gradual risk. However, as the global economic environment changes, the U.S. debt issue may evolve from a 'chronic disease' into a more destructive systemic risk. Here are several possible scenarios:

🔴|The Impact of the U.S. Debt Crisis on Us and How We Should Protect Ourselves

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In this article, we will discuss the possible evolution of U.S. debt in the future, the potential reshaping of the global economic landscape, and the deeper impacts on ordinary people. Further revealing the complexity of the U.S. debt issue and its profound significance in the global financial system.

I. The U.S. Debt Crisis: The Evolution from 'Gray Rhino' to 'Systemic Risk'
U.S. debt is now like a 'gray rhino,' a foreseeable, gradual risk. However, as the global economic environment changes, the U.S. debt issue may evolve from a 'chronic disease' into a more destructive systemic risk. Here are several possible scenarios:
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🔴|Reviewing historical hundredfold coins, searching for the next hundredfold dark horse———————————————————— As the cryptocurrency market matures, have you noticed that the survival space for retail investors is becoming increasingly narrow? It is getting harder to reproduce the previous hundredfold coins with small investments, and the performance of this wave of altcoins is far below expectations. Most people believe this bull market only belongs to institutions and financial giants, with retail investors reduced to mere fuel. However, high growth potential still exists, especially in emerging fields like decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and the Metaverse. This article will follow along to recap the historical hundredfold coins and search for the next dark horse.

🔴|Reviewing historical hundredfold coins, searching for the next hundredfold dark horse

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As the cryptocurrency market matures, have you noticed that the survival space for retail investors is becoming increasingly narrow? It is getting harder to reproduce the previous hundredfold coins with small investments, and the performance of this wave of altcoins is far below expectations. Most people believe this bull market only belongs to institutions and financial giants, with retail investors reduced to mere fuel.
However, high growth potential still exists, especially in emerging fields like decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and the Metaverse. This article will follow along to recap the historical hundredfold coins and search for the next dark horse.
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🔴|How Hyperliquid, Monad, and Sonic Innovate Consensus Mechanisms———————————————————— Next-generation L1 projects like Hyperliquid, Monad, and Sonic have somewhat alleviated their dependence on L2, but they now face new challenges. 📍This article will take you through eight sections to deeply analyze how these three projects address the blockchain trilemma and innovate consensus mechanism design. 1) Can consensus mechanisms save blockchain? 2) Hyperliquid: A high-speed, low-cost decentralized trading platform 3) Monad: An L1 optimized for performance and scalability 4) Sonic: High-speed, low-cost EVM-compatible L1

🔴|How Hyperliquid, Monad, and Sonic Innovate Consensus Mechanisms

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Next-generation L1 projects like Hyperliquid, Monad, and Sonic have somewhat alleviated their dependence on L2, but they now face new challenges.
📍This article will take you through eight sections to deeply analyze how these three projects address the blockchain trilemma and innovate consensus mechanism design.
1) Can consensus mechanisms save blockchain?
2) Hyperliquid: A high-speed, low-cost decentralized trading platform
3) Monad: An L1 optimized for performance and scalability
4) Sonic: High-speed, low-cost EVM-compatible L1
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🔴|4.15 BTC Morning Analysis ———————————————————— Many people are still reeling from yesterday's OM bloody plunge, which fell 90% in just 90 minutes! The worst part is that it happened late at night, and many people had no time to react. However, it is worth noting that the massive drop of 85.56% in the native token OM of MANTRA has led to a 24-hour drop of 44.93% in the RWA sector. Now back to the BTC market, after a week of slow recovery, it has climbed back to the 84,000 position, but the overall market trend still looks bleak. There is a considerable resistance above that is suppressing it, and the downtrend remains unchanged. So at this moment, we need to be cautious. Those with long positions in profit may consider taking profits, while those without can consider shorting above 85,000. BTC has been suppressed by this resistance above 85,000 for three days now, and as the saying goes, if it can't rise, it's very likely to fall. 🔻 Data: Moreover, BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of 713 million USD last week, with BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF IBIT leading with a weekly net outflow of 342 million USD. The average repair of BTC over the past six days is related to Trump's announcement to pause tariffs for 90 days, and the declines in ETH and XRP have also narrowed. Although Bitcoin's price has rebounded, CryptoQuant's bull market score index has dropped to 10, the lowest level since November 2022, and this index must break above 40 to indicate sustained bullish momentum. BTC's current key resistance levels are between 84,000 USD and 96,000 USD. If bullish momentum weakens, Bitcoin's gains may be limited within this price range, similar to past bear market cycles. Therefore, the market still needs to remain vigilant, as the trend of the bull market index depends on whether investor confidence can be reignited. In simple terms, for BTC to break the deadlock in the short term, it must break through the left-side resistance and surpass the high points. Otherwise, the strong downtrend will make the situation even more bleak. #BTC走势分析 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔴|4.15 BTC Morning Analysis
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Many people are still reeling from yesterday's OM bloody plunge, which fell 90% in just 90 minutes! The worst part is that it happened late at night, and many people had no time to react. However, it is worth noting that the massive drop of 85.56% in the native token OM of MANTRA has led to a 24-hour drop of 44.93% in the RWA sector.

Now back to the BTC market, after a week of slow recovery, it has climbed back to the 84,000 position, but the overall market trend still looks bleak. There is a considerable resistance above that is suppressing it, and the downtrend remains unchanged. So at this moment, we need to be cautious.

Those with long positions in profit may consider taking profits, while those without can consider shorting above 85,000. BTC has been suppressed by this resistance above 85,000 for three days now, and as the saying goes, if it can't rise, it's very likely to fall.

🔻 Data:
Moreover, BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of 713 million USD last week, with BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF IBIT leading with a weekly net outflow of 342 million USD.

The average repair of BTC over the past six days is related to Trump's announcement to pause tariffs for 90 days, and the declines in ETH and XRP have also narrowed. Although Bitcoin's price has rebounded, CryptoQuant's bull market score index has dropped to 10, the lowest level since November 2022, and this index must break above 40 to indicate sustained bullish momentum.

BTC's current key resistance levels are between 84,000 USD and 96,000 USD. If bullish momentum weakens, Bitcoin's gains may be limited within this price range, similar to past bear market cycles. Therefore, the market still needs to remain vigilant, as the trend of the bull market index depends on whether investor confidence can be reignited.

In simple terms, for BTC to break the deadlock in the short term, it must break through the left-side resistance and surpass the high points. Otherwise, the strong downtrend will make the situation even more bleak.
#BTC走势分析
$BTC
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🔴|In-depth understanding of the block propagation logic of Solana, Monad, and Celestia———————————————————— In the world of blockchain, propagating block data is like delivering packages; whoever can deliver it faster is better! 🔹Solana's 'Turbine' 🔹Monad's 'RaptorCast' 🔹Celestia's 'Vacuum' Which block propagates the fastest? 📍First, let's simply understand how they propagate data? These three networks all split large blocks into smaller fragments and use 'erasure coding' technology. But their delivery methods differ. Solana and Monad: using a 'push' mode. Block producers push data to validators, just like a courier directly delivers packages to your doorstep.

🔴|In-depth understanding of the block propagation logic of Solana, Monad, and Celestia

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In the world of blockchain, propagating block data is like delivering packages; whoever can deliver it faster is better!
🔹Solana's 'Turbine'
🔹Monad's 'RaptorCast'
🔹Celestia's 'Vacuum'
Which block propagates the fastest?

📍First, let's simply understand how they propagate data?
These three networks all split large blocks into smaller fragments and use 'erasure coding' technology. But their delivery methods differ.
Solana and Monad: using a 'push' mode. Block producers push data to validators, just like a courier directly delivers packages to your doorstep.
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🔴|Is the Global Economy Facing Another Waterloo? ———————————————————— Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have once again faced a Waterloo, with Bitcoin experiencing a drop of up to 7%, hitting a low of $77,000, while ETH saw an even more dramatic drop of over 12%. The situation for altcoins is even more dire. Not only in the crypto market, but the stock markets of China, Japan, and South Korea also opened with significant declines. The Nikkei 225 index dropped 7%, the Korean KOSPI fell 5%, and our A-shares also saw a drop of 7%. Amidst this intense volatility, retail investors have suffered substantial losses. 290,000 people have been wiped out, with liquidation amounts reaching $900 million. The recent price plunge of Bitcoin is closely related to the complex global economic situation. The restrictive global trade policies implemented by U.S. President Trump continue to impact the global financial markets. Since April 2, when President Trump signed an executive order regarding the so-called 'reciprocal tariffs' at the White House, announcing a 10% 'minimum benchmark tariff' on trade partners and imposing higher tariffs on certain partners, this news prompted investors to liquidate their risk assets, leading to a massive impact on the crypto market. 💡 However, often there is opportunity in crisis. The current support level of BTC at $77,000 is facing its third test. As the saying goes, if it doesn't go down, then it must go up. If it breaks below $76,000, that will be our stop-loss line, while the take-profit can be set at $84,000, which is the first minor resistance, suggesting a risk-reward ratio of 7:1. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #加密市场回调
🔴|Is the Global Economy Facing Another Waterloo?
————————————————————

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have once again faced a Waterloo, with Bitcoin experiencing a drop of up to 7%, hitting a low of $77,000, while ETH saw an even more dramatic drop of over 12%. The situation for altcoins is even more dire.

Not only in the crypto market, but the stock markets of China, Japan, and South Korea also opened with significant declines. The Nikkei 225 index dropped 7%, the Korean KOSPI fell 5%, and our A-shares also saw a drop of 7%.

Amidst this intense volatility, retail investors have suffered substantial losses. 290,000 people have been wiped out, with liquidation amounts reaching $900 million.

The recent price plunge of Bitcoin is closely related to the complex global economic situation. The restrictive global trade policies implemented by U.S. President Trump continue to impact the global financial markets.

Since April 2, when President Trump signed an executive order regarding the so-called 'reciprocal tariffs' at the White House, announcing a 10% 'minimum benchmark tariff' on trade partners and imposing higher tariffs on certain partners, this news prompted investors to liquidate their risk assets, leading to a massive impact on the crypto market.

💡 However, often there is opportunity in crisis. The current support level of BTC at $77,000 is facing its third test. As the saying goes, if it doesn't go down, then it must go up.

If it breaks below $76,000, that will be our stop-loss line, while the take-profit can be set at $84,000, which is the first minor resistance, suggesting a risk-reward ratio of 7:1. $BTC

#加密市场回调
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🔴|Why Public Chains Will Ultimately Move to L2———————————————————— Last week, something significant happened in the cryptocurrency space—but only a small portion of people truly understood its importance. Celo announces the transformation from an independent Layer 1 blockchain to an Ethereum Layer 2 network. At first glance, this looks like a regular technology migration. But in reality, it hints at a bigger shift, a trend that Ethereum has been quietly promoting—it is reshaping the way we think about building things in the crypto world. Let's break this down.

🔴|Why Public Chains Will Ultimately Move to L2

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Last week, something significant happened in the cryptocurrency space—but only a small portion of people truly understood its importance.
Celo announces the transformation from an independent Layer 1 blockchain to an Ethereum Layer 2 network.
At first glance, this looks like a regular technology migration. But in reality, it hints at a bigger shift, a trend that Ethereum has been quietly promoting—it is reshaping the way we think about building things in the crypto world.
Let's break this down.
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🔴|Why is 'faster L2 block time' not important?———————————————————— Now everyone is bragging about how L2 block times are getting shorter, I think it's time to talk about what’s really going on. Specifically, let’s clarify what L2 blocks are? How do they differ from L1 blocks? And why we actually don’t need to care too much about L2 block times—although it is indeed an interesting engineering metric. 🔻What is a block? Back when the term "blockchain" had some meaning (around 2009), the concept of blocks was introduced because we needed a unit to package a bunch of transactions and then hand it over to the consensus mechanism for processing.

🔴|Why is 'faster L2 block time' not important?

————————————————————

Now everyone is bragging about how L2 block times are getting shorter, I think it's time to talk about what’s really going on.
Specifically, let’s clarify what L2 blocks are? How do they differ from L1 blocks? And why we actually don’t need to care too much about L2 block times—although it is indeed an interesting engineering metric.

🔻What is a block?
Back when the term "blockchain" had some meaning (around 2009), the concept of blocks was introduced because we needed a unit to package a bunch of transactions and then hand it over to the consensus mechanism for processing.
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🔴|Ethereum Turning Point: Why Native Rollups Are the Better Solution?———————————————————— Native Rollups can be viewed as a return to sharding, but quite different from past attempts. Below, I will explain in seven parts: 1) Sharding 2) What are Native Rollups? 3) EXECUTE Precompile 4) What are the benefits of Native Rollups? 5) What is 're-execution'? 6) Moving towards 'real-time proofs' 7) Delayed 'state root' 8) Delayed execution 1) Sharding 🔻 Was a hot topic between 2017-2020, during which multiple teams, including Harmony, Zilliqa, and Elrond, implemented sharding in their respective blockchains.

🔴|Ethereum Turning Point: Why Native Rollups Are the Better Solution?

————————————————————
Native Rollups can be viewed as a return to sharding, but quite different from past attempts. Below, I will explain in seven parts:
1) Sharding
2) What are Native Rollups?
3) EXECUTE Precompile
4) What are the benefits of Native Rollups?
5) What is 're-execution'?
6) Moving towards 'real-time proofs'
7) Delayed 'state root'
8) Delayed execution

1) Sharding 🔻
Was a hot topic between 2017-2020, during which multiple teams, including Harmony, Zilliqa, and Elrond, implemented sharding in their respective blockchains.
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🔴|The crypto market revives, Trump: Five cryptocurrencies will be included in the strategic reserve———————————————————— U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that five cryptocurrencies will be included in the new U.S. cryptocurrency strategic reserve, reigniting investment enthusiasm in the crypto industry. Prior to this, the crypto market had experienced a brutal washout, and now it seems to be experiencing a wave of recovery. 📍 Trump posted on his own Truth Social platform that his January executive order on digital assets will establish a currency reserve that includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Solana, and Cardano. These lists were not previously disclosed.

🔴|The crypto market revives, Trump: Five cryptocurrencies will be included in the strategic reserve

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U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that five cryptocurrencies will be included in the new U.S. cryptocurrency strategic reserve, reigniting investment enthusiasm in the crypto industry. Prior to this, the crypto market had experienced a brutal washout, and now it seems to be experiencing a wave of recovery.

📍 Trump posted on his own Truth Social platform that his January executive order on digital assets will establish a currency reserve that includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Solana, and Cardano. These lists were not previously disclosed.
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The views are still consistent, going long on ETH is much smoother than going long on BTC At the same time yesterday afternoon, ETH was at 2366, BTC was at 88400. Now, after a whole day of fermentation, ETH has already gained 100 points. Meanwhile, BTC is still stuck in place, which clearly indicates that the market prefers the lower-priced ETH over the higher-priced BTC #ETH走势分析 $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
The views are still consistent, going long on ETH is much smoother than going long on BTC

At the same time yesterday afternoon, ETH was at 2366, BTC was at 88400.

Now, after a whole day of fermentation, ETH has already gained 100 points.

Meanwhile, BTC is still stuck in place, which clearly indicates that the market prefers the lower-priced ETH over the higher-priced BTC
#ETH走势分析 $ETH
$BTC
小麦日记本
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🔴|No bulls were killed, so I followed the dealer to kill the bears
——————————————————————

This wave of decline has liquidated many people. The BTC drop pin is lower than the previous pin, reaching 88131. ETH has held the bottom line and stood firm at 2283, which is not lower than the previous pin.

The stop loss was triggered last night. Although it was a little hurt, it is impossible to make money in every transaction. I value the profit and loss ratio more than the winning rate.

Now, whether you are long BTC or ETH, listen to me, hurry up and get on the bus, don't wait until the night to slowly repair it.

The bulls have been killed cleanly, and the bears are getting fat. When else can you get on the bus?

Although ETH lost 40 points on the stop loss last night, you now have a chance to build a lower position and grab chips. It also avoids the risk of a single blowout, so the stop loss gives you a chance to fight back next time. Don't just treat it as the last order to fight back.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH
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🔴|No bulls were killed, so I followed the dealer to kill the bears —————————————————————— This wave of decline has liquidated many people. The BTC drop pin is lower than the previous pin, reaching 88131. ETH has held the bottom line and stood firm at 2283, which is not lower than the previous pin. The stop loss was triggered last night. Although it was a little hurt, it is impossible to make money in every transaction. I value the profit and loss ratio more than the winning rate. Now, whether you are long BTC or ETH, listen to me, hurry up and get on the bus, don't wait until the night to slowly repair it. The bulls have been killed cleanly, and the bears are getting fat. When else can you get on the bus? Although ETH lost 40 points on the stop loss last night, you now have a chance to build a lower position and grab chips. It also avoids the risk of a single blowout, so the stop loss gives you a chance to fight back next time. Don't just treat it as the last order to fight back. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场回调 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
🔴|No bulls were killed, so I followed the dealer to kill the bears
——————————————————————

This wave of decline has liquidated many people. The BTC drop pin is lower than the previous pin, reaching 88131. ETH has held the bottom line and stood firm at 2283, which is not lower than the previous pin.

The stop loss was triggered last night. Although it was a little hurt, it is impossible to make money in every transaction. I value the profit and loss ratio more than the winning rate.

Now, whether you are long BTC or ETH, listen to me, hurry up and get on the bus, don't wait until the night to slowly repair it.

The bulls have been killed cleanly, and the bears are getting fat. When else can you get on the bus?

Although ETH lost 40 points on the stop loss last night, you now have a chance to build a lower position and grab chips. It also avoids the risk of a single blowout, so the stop loss gives you a chance to fight back next time. Don't just treat it as the last order to fight back.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH
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Bullish
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🔴|ETH analysis at night on February 24 ———————————————————— After waiting for a few days, the market finally reached a good position. It is expected that it will miss the opportunity in the front, so it is better to let the bullet fly for a while. The bullet is very expensive. The currency circle never lacks opportunities, but it lacks patient people. I will not go long BTC at this position, but ETH is different. Everyone has seen the performance of ETH in the past few days. The daily K chart and BTC are completely two different routes. This shows that the market believes that the current price of ETH is seriously undervalued. 👇🏻And ETH's recent K trend, it is obvious that the bottom of ETH is gradually being dragged up, and the top is also being pulled up. At this position, you are going long, which is very cost-effective, but even if you don't go long, don't chase the short. Stop loss is set at the previous low: 2616 Temporary stop profit: 2850 #ETH走势分析 $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
🔴|ETH analysis at night on February 24
————————————————————

After waiting for a few days, the market finally reached a good position. It is expected that it will miss the opportunity in the front, so it is better to let the bullet fly for a while. The bullet is very expensive.

The currency circle never lacks opportunities, but it lacks patient people. I will not go long BTC at this position, but ETH is different.

Everyone has seen the performance of ETH in the past few days. The daily K chart and BTC are completely two different routes. This shows that the market believes that the current price of ETH is seriously undervalued.

👇🏻And ETH's recent K trend, it is obvious that the bottom of ETH is gradually being dragged up, and the top is also being pulled up. At this position, you are going long, which is very cost-effective, but even if you don't go long, don't chase the short.

Stop loss is set at the previous low: 2616

Temporary stop profit: 2850
#ETH走势分析
$ETH
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🔴|Why does Ethereum need to fork?———————————————————— Traditional blockchain forks are often accompanied by community splits. For example, the fork of Ethereum and Ethereum Classic (ETC) originated from the subjective judgment of "whether to roll back the DAO contract that was hacked." This fork relies on social consensus - whoever can convince more people, whose chain will "survive". The definition of Eigenlayer attempts to change this situation. Through the two keywords "pre-defined" and "self-verification", it changes the triggering conditions of the fork from vague moral or economic debates to clear technical rules.

🔴|Why does Ethereum need to fork?

————————————————————
Traditional blockchain forks are often accompanied by community splits. For example, the fork of Ethereum and Ethereum Classic (ETC) originated from the subjective judgment of "whether to roll back the DAO contract that was hacked."
This fork relies on social consensus - whoever can convince more people, whose chain will "survive".
The definition of Eigenlayer attempts to change this situation. Through the two keywords "pre-defined" and "self-verification", it changes the triggering conditions of the fork from vague moral or economic debates to clear technical rules.
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🔴|Why did the order disappear when I woke up in the morning? ———————————————————— It turned out that the profit was already taken Orders are not made every day, but only when there is an opportunity and a signal. If the trend is neither up nor down in the middle, we should keep our hands under control. Opening an order in the middle position, the first profit and loss ratio is not high, taking the risk of carrying the order to eat the 1:1 profit. This is very stupid. The risk of making an order now is to wait for the next high point to short BTC and sol. ETH is not very suitable for shorting recently, and the market generally shows a strong interest in the current price of ETH. Therefore, ETH's bottoming out has not reached a new low like BTC for several consecutive times recently. And ETH's previous resistance of 2800 was broken. We can find a suitable position to go long ETH for those who short BTC and take profit. #FTX赔付 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
🔴|Why did the order disappear when I woke up in the morning?
————————————————————

It turned out that the profit was already taken

Orders are not made every day, but only when there is an opportunity and a signal. If the trend is neither up nor down in the middle, we should keep our hands under control.

Opening an order in the middle position, the first profit and loss ratio is not high, taking the risk of carrying the order to eat the 1:1 profit. This is very stupid.

The risk of making an order now is to wait for the next high point to short BTC and sol. ETH is not very suitable for shorting recently, and the market generally shows a strong interest in the current price of ETH.

Therefore, ETH's bottoming out has not reached a new low like BTC for several consecutive times recently. And ETH's previous resistance of 2800 was broken. We can find a suitable position to go long ETH for those who short BTC and take profit.
#FTX赔付 $BTC
小麦日记本
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Bearish
🔴|BTC Evening Thought Analysis
————————————————————

After fermenting for a few days after CPI, the market is gradually repairing upwards. Among them, Ethereum's upward repair outperformed BTC, but after all, ETH's price is close to being cut in half. BTC has only pulled back 10% from its high point.

I waited for two days but didn't see any useful signal indicators, so I waited for two days. Now BTC's two-point long order stop-profit signal is also a signal to enter the market for short selling.

1️⃣BTC 4-hour Vegas channel contacts the price. If you know this channel and have reviewed the market, it is clear that there is often a high probability of a decline at this time.

2️⃣BTC hourly chart double tops gradually form, the right hill is lower than the left peak, and the liquidity is low on weekends, which requires time to ferment.

However, ETH just had a big dive, and the support that had been horizontal at 2692 for a whole day was broken, and it instantly plunged to 2655. Instantly exploded the long orders with high multiples and large positions. Don't think that there is low liquidity on weekends and the market is slow, so stop loss is not set.

Always set a stop loss, and adjust the stop loss upward when there is a floating profit to protect the principal.
#加密市场反弹
$BTC

$ETH
See original
🔴|The relationship between validators and pre-confirmation and their impact———————————————————— The backbone of Ethereum is the validators, who are responsible for maintaining the security of the network and confirming transactions. Pre-confirmation is like giving this backbone a face, directly improving the user experience (UX) of ordinary users when using cryptocurrency products. 2025 is a key year for large institutions to enter the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has an advantage in institutional staking with its decentralized validator network. Pre-confirmation may completely change the income model of validators, such as increasing income through "Proposer Commitments as a Service". But for validators, participating in pre-confirmation has both high returns and risks.

🔴|The relationship between validators and pre-confirmation and their impact

————————————————————
The backbone of Ethereum is the validators, who are responsible for maintaining the security of the network and confirming transactions. Pre-confirmation is like giving this backbone a face, directly improving the user experience (UX) of ordinary users when using cryptocurrency products.

2025 is a key year for large institutions to enter the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has an advantage in institutional staking with its decentralized validator network. Pre-confirmation may completely change the income model of validators, such as increasing income through "Proposer Commitments as a Service". But for validators, participating in pre-confirmation has both high returns and risks.
See original
$BTC has fermented for a day Now temporarily profitable by 600 points Steady and broad, stop loss pulled forward Continue to watch 95600 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #加密市场反弹
$BTC has fermented for a day

Now temporarily profitable by 600 points

Steady and broad, stop loss pulled forward

Continue to watch 95600
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
小麦日记本
--
Bearish
🔴|BTC Evening Thought Analysis
————————————————————

After fermenting for a few days after CPI, the market is gradually repairing upwards. Among them, Ethereum's upward repair outperformed BTC, but after all, ETH's price is close to being cut in half. BTC has only pulled back 10% from its high point.

I waited for two days but didn't see any useful signal indicators, so I waited for two days. Now BTC's two-point long order stop-profit signal is also a signal to enter the market for short selling.

1️⃣BTC 4-hour Vegas channel contacts the price. If you know this channel and have reviewed the market, it is clear that there is often a high probability of a decline at this time.

2️⃣BTC hourly chart double tops gradually form, the right hill is lower than the left peak, and the liquidity is low on weekends, which requires time to ferment.

However, ETH just had a big dive, and the support that had been horizontal at 2692 for a whole day was broken, and it instantly plunged to 2655. Instantly exploded the long orders with high multiples and large positions. Don't think that there is low liquidity on weekends and the market is slow, so stop loss is not set.

Always set a stop loss, and adjust the stop loss upward when there is a floating profit to protect the principal.
#加密市场反弹
$BTC

$ETH
See original
The upward needle $ETH probably exploded many high-leverage short sellers around three in the afternoon. It happened very quickly, just like the downward needle last night, in an instant. This ETH dog trader is too unreasonable, doing it this way, even the big cake is ordinary. So those who took advantage of the low liquidity over the weekend to make quick profits have all been cleaned out at this moment. The weekend is also not safe. #美国加征关税 {spot}(ETHUSDT)
The upward needle $ETH probably exploded many high-leverage short sellers around three in the afternoon.

It happened very quickly, just like the downward needle last night, in an instant.

This ETH dog trader is too unreasonable, doing it this way, even the big cake is ordinary.

So those who took advantage of the low liquidity over the weekend to make quick profits have all been cleaned out at this moment. The weekend is also not safe.
#美国加征关税
小麦日记本
--
ETH just had that spike, clearing out how many longs

Before, longs and shorts were balanced, now it suddenly deflates

I’m just afraid of a reversal coming, killing the longs and then the shorts

Chasing shorts on Ethereum at this time is not rational, hold your right hand, and wait for new indicators and signals to appear
#市场清算
$ETH
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