搞u哥玩波段
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Brothers! Although this market prediction has a fluctuation of 3,000 points and has been going on for several days, if you hold on, you will definitely reap the rewards. If you haven't entered the market yet, just go in directly. Bitcoin Aunt is about to put on a big show. First, let's talk about Bitcoin. Right now, 93,000 is just the beginning. In the next few days, it will directly drop below 70,000, and Ethereum will be even harsher, crashing to 1,300, or even lower—don't doubt it! My previous predictions have never missed. You can check the historical records! This time, it will be steady, precise, and ruthless; let's just wait to witness it! #特朗普税改 #合约挑战
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Tomorrow's direction will be clear, continue to hold your short positions and wait. The liquidation point will definitely be above 100,000. Don't get liquidated at 1,000 or 2,000 points; I do not recommend you hold. Our entry point is currently at 93,500, waiting for a 10,000-point waterfall.
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Provide a short-selling strategy for the day, Bitcoin over a thousand points, Ethereum 40 points, you can exit the short position, continue holding for the long term.
For those who haven’t entered, you can continue to short on the rebound.
Next, I want to challenge to help all my friends double their capital,
10 friends each session, #合约交易
For those who haven’t entered, you can continue to short on the rebound.
Next, I want to challenge to help all my friends double their capital,
10 friends each session, #合约交易
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The government is considering reducing tariffs on China, but the market seems unresponsive! 4.24 Thought Analysis
According to foreign media reports, the government is considering significantly reducing the high tariffs on imports from China, with reductions in some cases exceeding half. A senior White House official stated that U.S. tariffs on China may be reduced to a rate range of about 50% to 65%. However, the market seems unresponsive. The cryptocurrency price did not continue to reach new highs in the evening.
From a technical perspective, there have been five consecutive bullish days on the daily chart, and this morning closed with a large doji star. The Bollinger Bands are still in an open state, and the cryptocurrency price is currently running above the upper band. The KDJ three lines have golden cross divergence upwards, but the three lines are clearly slowing down at the moment. The MACD two lines continue to rise, and the trading volume has significantly increased. The daily indicators lean towards bullishness, but there is also a very obvious demand for a pullback! Everyone should be cautious of bearish pullbacks!
For Bitcoin, enter short at the current price of 93500-94000, with a stop loss around 95000, targeting around 92000-91000-90500, with a mid-term target of around 89000-88200, and a long-term target of around 86000.
For Ethereum, enter short at the current price of 1800-1830, with a stop loss around 1850, targeting around 1750-1700, with a breakdown target of around 1670-1650.
This wave of rise has liquidated a lot of positions. Although there is an old man acting as a catalyst, the progress of tariff negotiations is minimal, and with no hope for interest rate cuts, everyone should avoid chasing highs at #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 .
According to foreign media reports, the government is considering significantly reducing the high tariffs on imports from China, with reductions in some cases exceeding half. A senior White House official stated that U.S. tariffs on China may be reduced to a rate range of about 50% to 65%. However, the market seems unresponsive. The cryptocurrency price did not continue to reach new highs in the evening.
From a technical perspective, there have been five consecutive bullish days on the daily chart, and this morning closed with a large doji star. The Bollinger Bands are still in an open state, and the cryptocurrency price is currently running above the upper band. The KDJ three lines have golden cross divergence upwards, but the three lines are clearly slowing down at the moment. The MACD two lines continue to rise, and the trading volume has significantly increased. The daily indicators lean towards bullishness, but there is also a very obvious demand for a pullback! Everyone should be cautious of bearish pullbacks!
For Bitcoin, enter short at the current price of 93500-94000, with a stop loss around 95000, targeting around 92000-91000-90500, with a mid-term target of around 89000-88200, and a long-term target of around 86000.
For Ethereum, enter short at the current price of 1800-1830, with a stop loss around 1850, targeting around 1750-1700, with a breakdown target of around 1670-1650.
This wave of rise has liquidated a lot of positions. Although there is an old man acting as a catalyst, the progress of tariff negotiations is minimal, and with no hope for interest rate cuts, everyone should avoid chasing highs at #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 .
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This is the routine as US stocks open. Friends with short positions, hold on tight. As strong as it rises, it falls just as decisively. Friends with heavy positions can reduce their holdings. If it goes up, continue to add positions aggressively. Remember what I said, it won't run away until it reaches 10,000 points.
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This rise was caused by that old guy again, but don’t be afraid, don’t be afraid, don’t be afraid,
I personally tell you he won't be able to rise for more than two days and will continue to waterfall, but even if it drops it won’t go down all at once. We shorted in batches at 91,000 and our average price is around 93,000, so hold on tight and continue to wait #加密货币总市值重回3万亿
In the early morning, Trump made three concessions, and the U.S. stock market / cryptocurrency responded with a surge after waking up; the financial market was in turmoil! U.S. stocks and the crypto market soared. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin was the first to speak out, stating that the trade war with China is hard to continue, and the situation is about to ease. Shortly after, Trump himself stated: "A 145% tariff is too high; tariffs on China will be significantly reduced, and China will be satisfied. The U.S. and China will work together for good cooperation." Additionally, although Trump is dissatisfied with the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, he has made it clear that he has no intention of firing Powell. Even more noteworthy, Trump threw out a "super Easter egg," announcing that he will unveil a peace plan for Russia and Ukraine within three days. Previously, U.S. Treasury yields were unusual, the East took forced countermeasures, and Powell openly challenged, all signs indicated a change in direction. I also predicted that Trump's tariff game would likely start with a high profile and end quietly, and now this trend is gradually becoming apparent, with risk assets welcoming a reversal. Trump's policies are erratic, making the market difficult to gauge. However, the greater the uncertainty in the market, the stronger the panic, and the greater the potential opportunities. Once everything settles down, a bull market may quietly arrive. #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔
I personally tell you he won't be able to rise for more than two days and will continue to waterfall, but even if it drops it won’t go down all at once. We shorted in batches at 91,000 and our average price is around 93,000, so hold on tight and continue to wait #加密货币总市值重回3万亿
In the early morning, Trump made three concessions, and the U.S. stock market / cryptocurrency responded with a surge after waking up; the financial market was in turmoil! U.S. stocks and the crypto market soared. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin was the first to speak out, stating that the trade war with China is hard to continue, and the situation is about to ease. Shortly after, Trump himself stated: "A 145% tariff is too high; tariffs on China will be significantly reduced, and China will be satisfied. The U.S. and China will work together for good cooperation." Additionally, although Trump is dissatisfied with the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, he has made it clear that he has no intention of firing Powell. Even more noteworthy, Trump threw out a "super Easter egg," announcing that he will unveil a peace plan for Russia and Ukraine within three days. Previously, U.S. Treasury yields were unusual, the East took forced countermeasures, and Powell openly challenged, all signs indicated a change in direction. I also predicted that Trump's tariff game would likely start with a high profile and end quietly, and now this trend is gradually becoming apparent, with risk assets welcoming a reversal. Trump's policies are erratic, making the market difficult to gauge. However, the greater the uncertainty in the market, the stronger the panic, and the greater the potential opportunities. Once everything settles down, a bull market may quietly arrive. #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔
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Personally, I still think it's mainly bearish. This recent rebound is only temporary and won't last long. Currently, there are a lot of short positions being liquidated around 90k. It's inevitable that we will break below 90k to liquidate these shorts. That's why I submitted my analysis, drawing the lines for everyone. 93,800 has become the most obvious resistance level on a larger timeframe.
Moreover, there are more trapped positions above.
In this situation, there is no reason to chase prices higher. The problem is that it has already risen significantly, so one should avoid frequently changing strategies to chase gains and cut losses. Next, there will likely be a waterfall decline; the rest is up to time. For long-term positioning, enter around 91,000, with a risk control of 3,000 points.
I shouldn't have to say much about the altcoins; I'm very optimistic about a target below 1,300. Therefore, shorts must be entered. Remember to enter in batches and manage your positions reasonably. Wait for my notification to take profits on long positions.
Moreover, there are more trapped positions above.
In this situation, there is no reason to chase prices higher. The problem is that it has already risen significantly, so one should avoid frequently changing strategies to chase gains and cut losses. Next, there will likely be a waterfall decline; the rest is up to time. For long-term positioning, enter around 91,000, with a risk control of 3,000 points.
I shouldn't have to say much about the altcoins; I'm very optimistic about a target below 1,300. Therefore, shorts must be entered. Remember to enter in batches and manage your positions reasonably. Wait for my notification to take profits on long positions.
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Can everyone understand that red line of mine? It really reached the point I wanted after half a month. The spot has already been laid out in the internal group. You can look back at my previous articles to see if it's this chart and this line. Next, we will continue to lay out. The reason I haven't updated articles recently is that I have encountered problems with my personal bank account, and it still hasn't been resolved. I advise everyone not to trade privately and randomly, as it can be quite stressful in terms of risk control.
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How to make money in the cryptocurrency market
Different market conditions require different strategies to operate!
One. Volatile market:
1. Only trade high sell low buy on BTC/ETH, do not trade any altcoins!
2. High short:
2.1. Opening position: Mainly based on the important pressure moving averages above the 4H level to judge the entry for short positions in batches.
For example, if the MA60 moving average on the 4H level continues to suppress the price, then use this moving average as the timing for entering short positions.
2.2. Stop-loss:
Set it to the previous high after a spike upwards followed by a pullback, for example, if the resistance level is at 1650 and the spike reaches 1650, then
Set the stop-loss above 1650.
3. Low long:
One. Volatile market:
1. Only trade high sell low buy on BTC/ETH, do not trade any altcoins!
2. High short:
2.1. Opening position: Mainly based on the important pressure moving averages above the 4H level to judge the entry for short positions in batches.
For example, if the MA60 moving average on the 4H level continues to suppress the price, then use this moving average as the timing for entering short positions.
2.2. Stop-loss:
Set it to the previous high after a spike upwards followed by a pullback, for example, if the resistance level is at 1650 and the spike reaches 1650, then
Set the stop-loss above 1650.
3. Low long:
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High Leverage, High Volatility, Irrational Trading
The phenomenon in contract trading where the speed of losses exceeds that of profits is mainly caused by the following core factors:
1. High Leverage Effect
Contract trading typically employs a high leverage mechanism, allowing investors to control large contracts with only a small margin. While this leverage can amplify profits, it also multiplies losses. For example, a margin of 100,000 yuan can control a contract worth 1,000,000 yuan; if the price fluctuates by 10%, the actual profit and loss reach 100,000 yuan, significantly accelerating the loss speed.
2. High Market Volatility
Contract prices are influenced by multiple factors including macroeconomics, policy changes, and supply-demand relationships, with volatility far exceeding that of ordinary investment products. For instance, geopolitical conflicts can cause drastic fluctuations in crude oil futures prices; if investors misjudge the direction, they may face rapid losses.
3. Irrational Trading Behavior
Emotional Trading: Emotions such as greed and fear can lead to irrational decisions, such as blindly chasing gains and cutting losses, exacerbating capital loss.
Lack of Risk Management: Failing to set reasonable stop-loss points or overly relying on a single strategy (such as holding on stubbornly or heavy trading) can easily lead to liquidation during market fluctuations.
Speculative Mentality: Some investors view contract trading as a means to get rich quickly, ignoring its high risks, leading to excessive leverage and frequent trading.
4. Forced Liquidation Risk
When the margin is insufficient, contracts may be forcibly liquidated, resulting in total loss of principal for investors. This risk is particularly prominent in leveraged trading.
5. Market Patterns and Investor Composition
About 90% of participants in the contract market are losers, with only 10% making profits, reflecting the structural characteristics of high risk and low return. Additionally, there is a general lack of professional knowledge among investors, further increasing the probability of losses.
Summary
The high-risk nature of contract trading stems from high leverage, high volatility, and irrational behavior, while market mechanisms and investor psychological factors exacerbate this phenomenon. It is recommended that investors establish strict risk management rules, avoid emotional trading, and fully recognize the speculative nature of contract trading.
The phenomenon in contract trading where the speed of losses exceeds that of profits is mainly caused by the following core factors:
1. High Leverage Effect
Contract trading typically employs a high leverage mechanism, allowing investors to control large contracts with only a small margin. While this leverage can amplify profits, it also multiplies losses. For example, a margin of 100,000 yuan can control a contract worth 1,000,000 yuan; if the price fluctuates by 10%, the actual profit and loss reach 100,000 yuan, significantly accelerating the loss speed.
2. High Market Volatility
Contract prices are influenced by multiple factors including macroeconomics, policy changes, and supply-demand relationships, with volatility far exceeding that of ordinary investment products. For instance, geopolitical conflicts can cause drastic fluctuations in crude oil futures prices; if investors misjudge the direction, they may face rapid losses.
3. Irrational Trading Behavior
Emotional Trading: Emotions such as greed and fear can lead to irrational decisions, such as blindly chasing gains and cutting losses, exacerbating capital loss.
Lack of Risk Management: Failing to set reasonable stop-loss points or overly relying on a single strategy (such as holding on stubbornly or heavy trading) can easily lead to liquidation during market fluctuations.
Speculative Mentality: Some investors view contract trading as a means to get rich quickly, ignoring its high risks, leading to excessive leverage and frequent trading.
4. Forced Liquidation Risk
When the margin is insufficient, contracts may be forcibly liquidated, resulting in total loss of principal for investors. This risk is particularly prominent in leveraged trading.
5. Market Patterns and Investor Composition
About 90% of participants in the contract market are losers, with only 10% making profits, reflecting the structural characteristics of high risk and low return. Additionally, there is a general lack of professional knowledge among investors, further increasing the probability of losses.
Summary
The high-risk nature of contract trading stems from high leverage, high volatility, and irrational behavior, while market mechanisms and investor psychological factors exacerbate this phenomenon. It is recommended that investors establish strict risk management rules, avoid emotional trading, and fully recognize the speculative nature of contract trading.
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In contract trading, there is no method that can guarantee 'never losing', but the following are some strategies and principles that can help you reduce losses and improve the probability of profit:
Risk Management
Set Stop Loss: Set stop loss points before each trade to ensure losses are within a controllable range,
Control Position: Avoid full position operations, allocate funds reasonably to reduce the risk of a single trade,
Trend Following: Look for support levels to go long in an uptrend, and resistance levels to go short in a downtrend, avoiding counter-trend operations.
Technical and Strategy
Technical Analysis: Learn and apply technical analysis tools, such as candlesticks, moving averages, trend lines, etc., to assist in judging market trends.
Trend Trading: Focus on the 'highs' and 'lows' of prices to define trends, and act in accordance with the trend.
Fund Management: Always set stop losses, with a single stop loss not exceeding 2% of total funds, and immediately liquidate when total funds lose 30%.
Mindset and Discipline
Stay Calm: Avoid emotional trading, stick to your trading plan, and do not make impulsive decisions due to greed or fear.
Continuous Learning: The market is dynamic and ever-changing; continuous learning and improving trading skills is necessary.
Practical Mnemonics
'Act in accordance with the trend, do not go against it; stop losses and take profits should be timely.'
'Light position operations are as steady as a mountain; heavy position operations are likely to capsize.'
'The market carries risks; investment requires caution.'
Please remember that any investment carries risks, including the risk of losing principal. The above information is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. In actual operations, please be sure to consider your own risk tolerance and investment goals, and make cautious decisions.
Risk Management
Set Stop Loss: Set stop loss points before each trade to ensure losses are within a controllable range,
Control Position: Avoid full position operations, allocate funds reasonably to reduce the risk of a single trade,
Trend Following: Look for support levels to go long in an uptrend, and resistance levels to go short in a downtrend, avoiding counter-trend operations.
Technical and Strategy
Technical Analysis: Learn and apply technical analysis tools, such as candlesticks, moving averages, trend lines, etc., to assist in judging market trends.
Trend Trading: Focus on the 'highs' and 'lows' of prices to define trends, and act in accordance with the trend.
Fund Management: Always set stop losses, with a single stop loss not exceeding 2% of total funds, and immediately liquidate when total funds lose 30%.
Mindset and Discipline
Stay Calm: Avoid emotional trading, stick to your trading plan, and do not make impulsive decisions due to greed or fear.
Continuous Learning: The market is dynamic and ever-changing; continuous learning and improving trading skills is necessary.
Practical Mnemonics
'Act in accordance with the trend, do not go against it; stop losses and take profits should be timely.'
'Light position operations are as steady as a mountain; heavy position operations are likely to capsize.'
'The market carries risks; investment requires caution.'
Please remember that any investment carries risks, including the risk of losing principal. The above information is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. In actual operations, please be sure to consider your own risk tolerance and investment goals, and make cautious decisions.
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If there are no market movements on the weekend, let's study more.
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Today I bring you a way to trade contracts, trying to help you avoid pitfalls and reduce losses.
1. Short-term cryptocurrency trading
This is the most common way to trade contracts and is usually the first approach for newcomers to the cryptocurrency world. This method is very risky and often relies on luck to make a profit; the earnings are often not enough to cover a single loss.
2. Learn to take profits and cut losses
In contract trading, taking profits and cutting losses is very important. The market is highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly. Setting stop-loss orders can help you close positions in unfavorable market conditions, preventing significant losses. A good take-profit strategy can help you secure profits and prevent losing them due to market reversals, allowing you to control your profit points well.
3. Disciplined trading
In contract trading, one often gets influenced by their own greed, fear, and emotions, which is the primary factor leading to losses. Before each entry, set your own take-profit and stop-loss levels, maintain your trading rhythm, and reduce the emotional interference in your decision-making. Set a trading plan for yourself, limit the number of trades per day, and avoid thinking about entering another trade to recover losses, as this often leads to even greater losses during the recovery process.
4. Analyze the market
The cryptocurrency market can exhibit either trending or sideways movements. During weekends, sideways markets are most common. In such conditions, long-term trades are not suitable; it's better to take profits when you have them and secure your earnings. Trending markets only occur for a limited time and are the best to trade. Buy on dips and sell on highs to secure relatively high profits.
5. Analyze trends
If you can accurately judge the trend, you have already won half the battle. You can look at daily and weekly candlesticks to determine whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. Chasing prices can lead to losses and ultimately a poor exit.
6. Position management and leverage techniques
Position management is very important in contract trading. For example, if your account balance is 1000, a margin rate of 5%-10% for your trades is ideal, which means 50-100. This way, you won't easily face liquidation. The size of leverage should be determined according to market conditions. Quick entries and exits with high leverage yield fast returns and high capital efficiency. A profit rate of 20%-50% is ideal for taking profits. The market changes quickly, so learn to restrain your greed and know when to stop. Those who are greedy often face unfortunate outcomes. In summary, use high leverage for short-term trades and low leverage for long-term trades.
1. Short-term cryptocurrency trading
This is the most common way to trade contracts and is usually the first approach for newcomers to the cryptocurrency world. This method is very risky and often relies on luck to make a profit; the earnings are often not enough to cover a single loss.
2. Learn to take profits and cut losses
In contract trading, taking profits and cutting losses is very important. The market is highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly. Setting stop-loss orders can help you close positions in unfavorable market conditions, preventing significant losses. A good take-profit strategy can help you secure profits and prevent losing them due to market reversals, allowing you to control your profit points well.
3. Disciplined trading
In contract trading, one often gets influenced by their own greed, fear, and emotions, which is the primary factor leading to losses. Before each entry, set your own take-profit and stop-loss levels, maintain your trading rhythm, and reduce the emotional interference in your decision-making. Set a trading plan for yourself, limit the number of trades per day, and avoid thinking about entering another trade to recover losses, as this often leads to even greater losses during the recovery process.
4. Analyze the market
The cryptocurrency market can exhibit either trending or sideways movements. During weekends, sideways markets are most common. In such conditions, long-term trades are not suitable; it's better to take profits when you have them and secure your earnings. Trending markets only occur for a limited time and are the best to trade. Buy on dips and sell on highs to secure relatively high profits.
5. Analyze trends
If you can accurately judge the trend, you have already won half the battle. You can look at daily and weekly candlesticks to determine whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. Chasing prices can lead to losses and ultimately a poor exit.
6. Position management and leverage techniques
Position management is very important in contract trading. For example, if your account balance is 1000, a margin rate of 5%-10% for your trades is ideal, which means 50-100. This way, you won't easily face liquidation. The size of leverage should be determined according to market conditions. Quick entries and exits with high leverage yield fast returns and high capital efficiency. A profit rate of 20%-50% is ideal for taking profits. The market changes quickly, so learn to restrain your greed and know when to stop. Those who are greedy often face unfortunate outcomes. In summary, use high leverage for short-term trades and low leverage for long-term trades.
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The continuous decline of Ethereum's market has sharply broken below the 1560 level given earlier this morning.
What is the next operational thought?
Since it has broken below this range, the next operational thought needs to change. Looking for a bottom at the lower level, we see a short-term bullish outlook, searching for high points to short and waiting for a decline. The daily chart has already formed a downtrend.
The upper resistance level is 1585, and the lower support level is 1510, breaking down to 1470.
In this ongoing volatile market, one needs to be especially cautious and operate with small stop losses.
We will continue to update the strategy points; shorting Ethereum is the safest option.
What is the next operational thought?
Since it has broken below this range, the next operational thought needs to change. Looking for a bottom at the lower level, we see a short-term bullish outlook, searching for high points to short and waiting for a decline. The daily chart has already formed a downtrend.
The upper resistance level is 1585, and the lower support level is 1510, breaking down to 1470.
In this ongoing volatile market, one needs to be especially cautious and operate with small stop losses.
We will continue to update the strategy points; shorting Ethereum is the safest option.
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Yesterday, I told everyone to short Bitcoin at 79500 and to short Ethereum at 1580, with a minimum drop to around 74500 for Bitcoin and around 1380 for Ethereum. Everyone at least made a few thousand points. Last night, there were some issues at home, and I couldn't watch the market until now, so I just finished up and relaxed. Next, we will look for opportunities to make trades.
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Bitcoin fluctuates around 80000, Ethereum is currently around 1600. Bitcoin has broken below 79000, Ethereum has broken below 1560. The bearish outlook remains unchanged.
Re-enter around 79500.
Ethereum can be entered around 1580.
Bitcoin looks at 77000, if it breaks, hold and observe the situation.
Ethereum looks at around 1500, if it breaks, it can also be held.
Re-enter around 79500.
Ethereum can be entered around 1580.
Bitcoin looks at 77000, if it breaks, hold and observe the situation.
Ethereum looks at around 1500, if it breaks, it can also be held.
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Ready to go🔥
Sell order at 81750 near empty, stop loss at 82500
Auntie 1640 short, stop loss at 1660
From a technical perspective, this is not a rebound but a correction. Not much to say, typing is exhausting, just do it, aim for at least a thousand points. If there are any unexpected market movements, I will notify #风险回报比
Sell order at 81750 near empty, stop loss at 82500
Auntie 1640 short, stop loss at 1660
From a technical perspective, this is not a rebound but a correction. Not much to say, typing is exhausting, just do it, aim for at least a thousand points. If there are any unexpected market movements, I will notify #风险回报比
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