夏洛克的推理笔记
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
3.7 Years
前大漂亮分析师Wolf，大漂亮不行，自己出来干。 油管与X同名，欢迎交流，长期跟踪市场，及时更新观点
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Comfortable, comfortable
My Futures Portfolio
0 / 200
Minimum 10USDT
Copy trader have earned in last 7 days
-591.70
USDT
7D ROI
-100.00%
AUM
$38.91
Win Rate
0.00%
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The weekly chart of Bitcoin has formed a very nice bearish engulfing pattern (last week it tested the strong resistance at 8.8--8.9, which is known to have significant sell orders).
Additionally, it has fallen back to its current position without showing strong buying interest.
With the implementation of the tariff policy on Wednesday, the unemployment claims on Thursday, and the non-farm payrolls on Friday, along with Powell's speech after the non-farm data release,
this week the probability of BTC falling below 80K again is relatively high. Therefore, unless there is an exceptionally exaggerated volume this week, we may mainly take a wait-and-see approach.
Do not easily enter the market until clear stop signals, accumulation zones, or reversal signals appear.
Additionally, it has fallen back to its current position without showing strong buying interest.
With the implementation of the tariff policy on Wednesday, the unemployment claims on Thursday, and the non-farm payrolls on Friday, along with Powell's speech after the non-farm data release,
this week the probability of BTC falling below 80K again is relatively high. Therefore, unless there is an exceptionally exaggerated volume this week, we may mainly take a wait-and-see approach.
Do not easily enter the market until clear stop signals, accumulation zones, or reversal signals appear.
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#加密圈新年预测2025谁将是黑马
The biggest dark horses in 2025 will be LINK and LDO
A oracle sector
A liquidity pledge
As the bull market progresses, more and more funds will flow into the market, and the performance of these two currencies will inevitably get better and better.
Although it cannot be said to be several times or dozens of times, a steady rise is definitely the most ideal high-quality target!
The biggest dark horses in 2025 will be LINK and LDO
A oracle sector
A liquidity pledge
As the bull market progresses, more and more funds will flow into the market, and the performance of these two currencies will inevitably get better and better.
Although it cannot be said to be several times or dozens of times, a steady rise is definitely the most ideal high-quality target!
🫁
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The CKB Lightning Network Ignored by Capital
The blockchain industry highly relies on 'narratives', and PayFi, as a new concept that integrates payment and finance, has received widespread attention. It aims to use blockchain technology to provide financial services for real-world payment scenarios.
In terms of payment infrastructure for PayFi, although some believe that high-performance public chains (such as Solana) can take on this role, the Lightning Network has distinct advantages. The Lightning Network has several key advantages: first, instant finality, where payments in off-chain channels can be settled in seconds, providing users with real-time transaction finality; second, unlimited throughput, as it utilizes payment channels to enhance transaction throughput, with payments across different channels not interfering with each other, theoretically allowing for infinite transactions per second (TPS); third, privacy protection, as payments occur in private off-chain channels without the need to broadcast on the mainnet, reducing exposure of sensitive data; fourth, speed and cost advantages, where the Lightning Network outperforms traditional Web2 payment systems in terms of transaction speed and fees. In contrast, high-performance public chains, as on-chain solutions, have a TPS limit due to the need for multiple nodes to synchronize and confirm transactions, inevitably causing delays, which is why they do not match the transaction processing speed of the Lightning Network. Additionally, the Lightning Network does not require a separate token to pay gas fees, making it suitable for small and high-frequency payments, while also aligning with regulatory frameworks, supporting more user scenarios. However, the Lightning Network currently faces issues of liquidity shortages and lack of stablecoin support.
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Discuss PEPE
The meme sector is soaring, while the old brands are not moving much.
PEPE has completed the bottom consolidation and second testing phase on the daily chart, with key support below around 0.0080, while the key resistance above remains around 0.011.
The four-hour chart shows three consecutive bullish candles accompanied by long upper shadows, indicating significant selling pressure in the short term. The short-term key support is around 0.0092, and based on the volume distribution chart, the upper resistance is quite dense. During the pullback process, there is also a decrease in volume. Therefore, it may be necessary to consolidate at this support level and wait for demand to enter.
The meme sector is soaring, while the old brands are not moving much.
PEPE has completed the bottom consolidation and second testing phase on the daily chart, with key support below around 0.0080, while the key resistance above remains around 0.011.
The four-hour chart shows three consecutive bullish candles accompanied by long upper shadows, indicating significant selling pressure in the short term. The short-term key support is around 0.0092, and based on the volume distribution chart, the upper resistance is quite dense. During the pullback process, there is also a decrease in volume. Therefore, it may be necessary to consolidate at this support level and wait for demand to enter.
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Yesterday's post once again confirmed my prediction～
The rise of BTC will trigger a chain of liquidity
New demand is entering
Old supply is about to be orderly withdrawn
For specifics, please pay attention to my subsequent posts
The rise of BTC will trigger a chain of liquidity
New demand is entering
Old supply is about to be orderly withdrawn
For specifics, please pay attention to my subsequent posts
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Last week, GC Welfare Club only released four orders, all of which were profitable. In fact, after the last two orders were inserted, I watched the market too early and missed too much profit.
This week's view on BTC is shown in Figure 2️⃣. After a rapid drop last week, it is currently consolidating around 6.7w. And when the pin was inserted on Friday, it can be seen that the demand is very strong. Therefore, I personally think that the 7w pressure will be tested again this week.
In the future, you can leave a message under the daily post about your holdings. I will randomly select a message and draw a trend chart in the next post (personal opinion, please treat it rationally)
This week's view on BTC is shown in Figure 2️⃣. After a rapid drop last week, it is currently consolidating around 6.7w. And when the pin was inserted on Friday, it can be seen that the demand is very strong. Therefore, I personally think that the 7w pressure will be tested again this week.
In the future, you can leave a message under the daily post about your holdings. I will randomly select a message and draw a trend chart in the next post (personal opinion, please treat it rationally)
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Let's talk about the long-term outlook for ETH. Many people are becoming increasingly pessimistic about it, but I want to objectively express my opinion.
First, I want to state my viewpoint: ETH will definitely rise and will break through its historical high.
After the panic selling of ETH, it has never broken through the natural rebound high point. However, each time it approaches or reaches the bottom of the fluctuation range, there will quickly be a V-shaped reversal. There is only one situation: institutions are quietly accumulating at this price. This time has only passed two months, and there is a high probability that there will be a second and third time reaching the bottom of the fluctuation range. This will continue until the back-end CM completes the accumulation phase. This pattern can be referenced in LINK's daily chart. History may not be identical, but it will always be remarkably similar.
First, I want to state my viewpoint: ETH will definitely rise and will break through its historical high.
After the panic selling of ETH, it has never broken through the natural rebound high point. However, each time it approaches or reaches the bottom of the fluctuation range, there will quickly be a V-shaped reversal. There is only one situation: institutions are quietly accumulating at this price. This time has only passed two months, and there is a high probability that there will be a second and third time reaching the bottom of the fluctuation range. This will continue until the back-end CM completes the accumulation phase. This pattern can be referenced in LINK's daily chart. History may not be identical, but it will always be remarkably similar.
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Audi has been accumulating in the volatile range for over four months, while repeatedly receiving support at the support level.
Unless there are unexpected events, it will test the top pressure level near 42 again.
Unless there are unexpected events, it will test the top pressure level near 42 again.
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Why are there no haters attacking me all of a sudden?
Have they lost all their money?
Those who said they would make 80,000 in the short term and 100,000 by the end of the year suddenly became silent.
Have they lost all their money?
Those who said they would make 80,000 in the short term and 100,000 by the end of the year suddenly became silent.
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Too impetuous, you can't learn it even if you learn it.
Technical analysis can only be understood by yourself, not by the so-called indicator signals in the market. Of course, I don't deny the relative effectiveness of indicators.
But if it is really that useful, everyone in the financial market will be a millionaire.
So you can only learn from the master and practice on your own.
Technical analysis can only be understood by yourself, not by the so-called indicator signals in the market. Of course, I don't deny the relative effectiveness of indicators.
But if it is really that useful, everyone in the financial market will be a millionaire.
So you can only learn from the master and practice on your own.
See original
BTC will once again test 70,000, and then quickly be pushed back to 65,000 to regain its momentum. Next, more people will go crazy, and then quickly despair. This is history and the future.
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10.16 welfare order
Currency: PEPE
Direction: Long
Price: 0.00001030 (market price)
Take profit: 0.00001100
Stop loss: 0.00000960
Currency: PEPE
Direction: Long
Price: 0.00001030 (market price)
Take profit: 0.00001100
Stop loss: 0.00000960
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