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Recently, the rebound momentum of Bitcoin and Ethereum is not very strong, but there is still a possibility of a short-term upward surge.
Bitcoin shows a rebound on the 1-hour chart, reaching a high of 115720, but the strength is not as good as expected. As long as it does not drop below 113300, it may still try to challenge 117000; if it breaks below, it might need to retrace to around 111800. The situation on the 15-minute chart is similar; holding 113300 could allow another push to 116500 to 117000, otherwise it may follow the 1-hour chart downward.
Ethereum is performing slightly better, nearly reaching 3730, but not exceeding 3740, and is currently in a pullback on the 15-minute chart. If it can hold 3575, there should be a new round of 15-minute rebounds (as the third wave of increases has not shown divergence); if it breaks below, it may lead to a decline on the 1-hour chart, retracing to 3300, with the key being whether the support level can hold.
The overall market is a bit polarized: Bitcoin's daily upward trend is nearing its end, and there may be a daily level pullback from late August to September; Ethereum's performance is good and may break through 4000 or even set a new historical high; altcoins are nearing weekly low points in their pullback. If Bitcoin rises further, Ethereum strengthens independently, and altcoins rebound after a pullback, the market may synchronize, and August could be worth looking forward to for Ethereum.
Previously, the member group suggested going long on Bitcoin at 112500 and Ethereum at 3390, and now the returns are quite good. This morning, it was already suggested to take profits on Ethereum, waiting for the next opportunity.
Regarding the trends across various cycles: the weekly and daily charts are upward; the 4-hour chart is still declining (breaking 117500 is key); it is uncertain whether the 1-hour rebound can be sustained, so we need to observe further; the 15-minute chart is in a pullback, just watching if the support can hold. $BTC $ETH $SOL #币安Alpha上新
The rebound of Bitcoin is still ongoing, currently experiencing a one-hour level rebound, targeting the range of 116,000 to 117,000.
Regarding the two questions everyone is concerned about:
First, has the daily level uptrend of Bitcoin ended? It's hard to say at the moment. Although breaking below 112,000 may trigger a daily correction, there is currently a triple top trend, and there is still potential at the four-hour level. Even in the worst-case scenario, a secondary high may occur, potentially even challenging 126,000. The possibility of a daily correction in September still exists; it just may be delayed.
Second, if Bitcoin peaks, will Ethereum and other altcoins plummet? Not necessarily. If Ethereum performs strongly, it may break away from Bitcoin and create an independent market, first challenging historical highs, and then correcting alongside Bitcoin. The previous three failed attempts to break 4,000 do not guarantee that it won't succeed in the future.
Looking at the short-term trend: the one-hour rebound of Bitcoin has not ended; if it can break through 117,500, it may end the four-hour correction and even set a new high above 123,200; otherwise, it may fall back to around 112,000. There is still one wave of rebound at the 15-minute level, and the key is whether it can break through 117,500.
The one-hour rebound of Ethereum has also not ended; breaking 3,740 may mean no further corrections, otherwise, it will pull back to 3,300. Currently, the daily trend is healthy, with no top divergence. The probability of a rate cut in September has risen to 89%. If it can break 4,100 before mid-August, it is expected to challenge 5,500 - 6,700, but caution is needed until a breakthrough occurs.
In terms of trends across various cycles: the weekly and daily levels continue to rise; the four-hour level is still declining, and breaking 117,500 is crucial; both the one-hour and 15-minute levels are on the rise. $BTC $ETH $XRP #加密市场反弹
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has continued to decline, dropping to around 112,700 at one point in the early morning, while Ethereum briefly fell to 3,431. From a short-term perspective, this wave of decline may last a few more days, but the likelihood of a 'direct drop below 100,000' that everyone is worried about is low.
According to the current trend, before the daily level decline of Bitcoin ends, there may first be a rebound, potentially reaching 118,000-120,000, and it is even possible to break through 123,218 again. In the short term, in the next couple of days, it may first rebound to 116,000-117,000, after which it will likely drop again, with an overall target around 112,000. A new rebound may occur in the latter half of next week.
Looking at Ethereum, there are opinions that it is highly likely to reach a historical high by the end of this year, breaking through 4,800 or even 5,000. On one hand, technically, it has attempted to break through 4,000 multiple times without success, but each rebound has managed to return to the vicinity, and after repeatedly testing the resistance level, the probability of breaking through is very high; on the other hand, institutions bought in large amounts in July, and if a staking ETF is launched by the end of the year, the 3%-6% annualized return will attract more funds, aligning with institutional expectations.
In the short term, Ethereum has fallen below 3,500, and it may pull back to 3,100-3,300, but as long as it holds above 3,000, there will still be opportunities to challenge 4,000 later. In the short term, the focus is on a rebound to 3,600-3,700, after which there may be another drop.
Overall, the weekly and daily trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum are still upward, but the 4-hour level is in a downtrend (which will last for a few days), while the 1-hour and 15-minute levels have already started a short-term rebound. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美国加征关税
The market reversal caught the bulls off guard. This also reminds everyone that trading is like driving; you can't be too confident and must always be mindful of risks.
Let's first look at Bitcoin:
- Long-term (weekly) still shows an upward trend, starting from 49000, with targets of 150,000 to 200,000, which could continue until January 2026. Holding onto spot assets long-term shouldn't be a problem. - Medium-term (daily) the upward trend may be nearing its peak. It's still uncertain whether 123218 is the top; the key is whether 112000 can hold. If it holds, there may be another push for a new high; if it doesn't, there could be a drop to below 100,000 in August-September, with a possible rise above 150,000 after October. - Short-term, the 4-hour level is currently declining, focusing on the support at 112000. The 1-hour level is also declining, and if it can't break through 117500, the downward trend won't stop. The next two to three days are crucial; if the bulls want to turn the tide, the daily must quickly rise above 117500.
Now let's look at Ethereum:
- Slightly stronger than Bitcoin, currently oscillating at the 1-hour level. If it holds above 3570, a rebound towards 4000 is possible; if it breaks down, the pullback may intensify. - The daily upward trend is very likely not over; as long as it doesn't drop below 3000, the possibility of a pullback is low. However, if Bitcoin experiences a major drop on the daily, Ethereum may continue to rise with some altcoins and then synchronize later. In the short term, it needs to hold above 3500; otherwise, maintaining strength will be difficult.
Overall, the trends across various cycles are a bit chaotic: the weekly is upward, the daily is still rising but nearing the end, the 4-hour and 1-hour are downward, and the 15-minute may rebound tonight but it depends on the strength. For the bulls, they need to put in more effort in the next couple of days; otherwise, the market may become even less favorable. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
Bitcoin briefly dropped to 115796 during the Federal Reserve meeting last night but quickly rebounded, holding the critical level of 115700. This aligns with the previous assessment—since it did not break the support, a new round of small-scale increase has already begun.
Recently, the market has been volatile, with spot traders wanting prices to rise but fearing declines, and contract traders also struggling to catch the rhythm. However, there are currently no signs of the upward trend ending, making an overall bullish outlook more reliable.
Now, the small-scale upward movement of Bitcoin has been confirmed, with a key focus on whether it can quickly break through 121000; after breaking through, there is hope to surge to 126000. This wave of increase could last at least until tomorrow morning. If there is a pullback in the short term, the subsequent rise might be even stronger; if it remains strong, it will directly move up after a small pullback.
Ethereum is also strengthening, currently in the upward phase at a small scale, with hopes of challenging the 4000 mark. After a short-term pullback, the strength of the upcoming rise is worth looking forward to.
The overall direction hasn’t changed: the weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts are all trending upward (with daily targets of 120000 to 130000); small-scale movements are also in an upward trend, just waiting to break through 120000. Be patient and hold on, waiting for the surge. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美联储利率决议
Bitcoin has recently dropped significantly, previously adjusting from 119800 to between 116000-117000, we'll see if it will drop further. As long as it doesn't fall below 115700, it is likely to rise again, possibly even surpassing 123000. However, after this wave of increase, there may be a period of adjustment.
Ethereum is following a similar trend to Bitcoin, also in a period of adjustment. It is estimated that it will hover around a small platform for the next couple of days, and then it is expected to rise to around 4000. In the short term, it may drop to 3670-3700, and after reaching that point, we will see how strong the rebound will be.
Altcoins have recently experienced a sharp decline. In fact, I mentioned earlier that the rise in early July was just a rebound after a significant drop, not a real reversal. By the end of the year, there might be a good market for altcoins.
Overall, the big trend is still upward, with weekly and daily charts showing increases. For now, we should patiently wait for the adjustment to end and seize the opportunity for growth, while also being cautious of potential adjustments later on. $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年
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Bitcoin has seen a slight pullback, but the overall upward trend remains, and there is a high probability it can reach a new high later.
Bitcoin fell below 117,900 last night and is currently in a 1-hour level pullback. Some are concerned that after half a month of volatility, it hasn't stabilized above 120,000, wondering if it's about to peak? In fact, it's more likely just a temporary pause, and after this pullback, it could surge to a new high before the daily upward trend potentially ends.
Currently, it appears that the Bitcoin pullback isn't over and might fall between 116,000 and 117,000. As long as it doesn't drop below 115,500, after the pullback ends, it will restart the 1-hour level upward movement, with the potential to accelerate above 123,000. In the short term, at the 15-minute level, it is still trending down and needs to drop further below 117,000 before a rebound can occur.
Ethereum $BTC $ETH $XRP #Strategy未增持BTC is also following a pullback and is currently in the third 1-hour level consolidation range. Following a drop from 3941, if it falls below 3731, it may stabilize between 3650 and 3700, and then continue to rise above 4000. Whether it can break 4107 still depends on future trends.
Overall, the big direction hasn't changed: weekly, daily, and 4-hour levels are all moving upward; after the 1-hour level pullback is complete, the outlook remains bullish; and the 15-minute level is in short-term adjustment. Everyone should be patient, wait for the pullback to end, and then seize the opportunity for a surge.
Recently, Ethereum has continued its strong upward trend, with no market that only rises without falling. Yesterday, Bitcoin faced resistance and fell back while attempting to break through the $120,000 threshold. Ethereum also experienced a fluctuation adjustment after approaching around $3,950. This brief pullback does not indicate a trend reversal; rather, it accumulates energy for subsequent upward movement. From a technical perspective, during Bitcoin's short-term 1-hour level pullback, the key support level of $117,000 has not been effectively broken, which means that the current bullish strength still dominates, and the pullback is more a digestion of the previous rapid rise. Based on this judgment, subsequent operations can still focus on a low long strategy, with particular attention to the support area during the pullback process. Bitcoin can be bought in the range of $117,000-$117,800, targeting $119,000-$119,500. If it breaks through effectively, there is hope for further attempts to reach the $120,000 threshold. Ethereum can be bought in the range of $3,750-$3,780, targeting $3,850-$3,900, with a break out view near $3,980. $BTC $ETH $SOL #币安HODLer空投TREE
The market for large pancakes has been quite strong recently, consistently oscillating upwards. Today, it almost touched 120,000. Although it hasn't stabilized yet, the overall upward trend is quite obvious; just be patient and wait for the breakthrough.
In the short term, there may be a small pullback. If it does pull back, it would be a good entry opportunity; if it directly breaks through 120,000, the upward momentum will be even stronger. Currently, 117,900 is a key support level; if it holds, we may see a direct surge to 120,000. If it breaks below, it could drop to around 116,200 before pushing up again, but it's unlikely to break the previous low of 114,723.
Ethereum is performing even stronger, having risen above 3,900 today. The short-term pullback is nearing its end, and as long as it doesn't drop below 3,780, there is a good chance it will rise to between 4,000 and 4,050. Looking at the larger scale, the target is between 4,000 and 4,100, but it may pull back to around 3,200 afterward. There's also the possibility of a small breakout above 4,107 before any pullback.
Overall, the major trend is still upward. Seize the pullback opportunities during oscillations and keep an eye on the breakthrough signals at key levels. #BNB创新高 $BTC $ETH $XRP
The possibility of a new high for Bitcoin is increasing. The key now is to see if it can stabilize above 120,000; if it does, reaching a new high will be more secure.
From the previous high of 123,218, it has been in a corrective phase for 13 days, with a maximum drop of less than 7%, so there is no need to fear a drop too much. This situation is somewhat similar to November - December last year when it fluctuated in the 92,000 - 99,000 range before surging to 108,000. Now, it is fluctuating around 114,000 - 121,000, and the probability of breaking through 126,000 afterward is very high.
For short-term trading, there is no need to get too caught up in the details: it is certain that after the fluctuations, it will rise above 123,000, targeting 126,000. If the market is strong, it could even reach 130,000; what is uncertain is whether it will rise directly or pull back first. Pay attention to the support level at 117,300; if it breaks below, it will pull back before rising again; if it holds, it will continue to move upwards. The 15-minute level is currently consolidating; if it does not break support, there is hope for a breakout above 120,000, leading to a significant increase. If you hold spot positions, you can consider reducing your holdings after the surge.
Ethereum is also fluctuating in sync and is likely to surge to 3,900 - 4,000 afterward. In the short term, pay attention to the support at 3,746; if it breaks below, it will pull back to around 3,600; if it holds, it may surge to 3,860 before pulling back. After completing the adjustment, it will rise.
Currently, the trends across all time frames have not changed: weekly, daily, and 4-hour levels are all trending upwards; the 1-hour level is bullish after consolidation; the 15-minute level is waiting for a breakout above 120,000 to confirm a significant rise. Be patient and wait for the fluctuations to end, and seize the opportunities for the surge. $BTC $ETH $XRP #ETH重返3800
The recent pullback of Bitcoin is almost over, and it is likely to surge upwards next.
After dropping to 114723 yesterday, it stabilized, and there was a good buying signal at night. Today, it has risen above 118000, indicating that the pullback has ended in the short term. Next, it either breaks through 123000 quickly, or it will consolidate for two or three days before rising again, with the ultimate goal of setting a new historical high. On the daily chart, the upward trend is not over yet; 123218 is definitely not the peak, but after a surge, there is a high probability of a significant pullback, which should be noted in advance.
From a short-term perspective, the 1-hour level has already begun a new rebound; we will see if it can break through 120000. The 15-minute level is also rebounding, and it may accelerate past 120000. Of course, if the trend is complex, it might pull back first before rebounding, so we need to keep observing.
Ethereum is also strengthening, currently in a rebound phase. Whether it can break through 3860 is key, after which it has a chance to surge between 3900 and 4000.
Currently, the trends across all time frames have not changed: the weekly, daily, and 4-hour levels are all trending upwards (with daily targets between 120000 and 130000); the 1-hour and 15-minute levels are also moving upwards. Now is a good opportunity to capture the upward movement, but one must also be cautious of the pullback risk after the surge. $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊交易量反超比特币
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been a bit grinding. Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown significant divergence in their trends. Let's have a casual chat about the current situation and operational ideas.
Bitcoin: Consolidating adjustments, still has room for upward movement
Last night, Bitcoin failed to rise above 120,000 and has pulled back to around 115,000 today, but the overall direction is still upward. In the long term, the upward trend that started from 49,000 last year is still ongoing, with targets looking towards 150,000 to 200,000, which may continue until early 2026.
In the short term, the current adjustment is a normal fluctuation. If it can stabilize above 117,000, the adjustment will end, and it will then aim for 123,000 and 126,000; if it cannot stabilize, it may test 114,000 again. Be patient and wait for the fluctuation to end, as there will be opportunities for upward movement afterwards.
Ethereum: Strong performance, aiming for the 4000 mark
Ethereum is much stronger than Bitcoin, continuing to rise without pulling back to 3500. Currently, the 4-hour target is around 4000; after breaking through, it may pull back to 2900-3000, and then rise above 4100.
In short-term operations, if Ethereum can break through 3772, it will continue to fluctuate upward towards 3900-4000; if it does not break through, it may pull back to around 3580.
Overall, the larger cycles (weekly, daily, 4-hour) are all in an upward trend. Bitcoin needs to wait for stabilization at key levels, while Ethereum looks for breakout opportunities. Additionally, August may see the initial period for altcoin rallies, so everyone can pay attention to it. Don't panic during market fluctuations; it's more prudent to act after confirming the signals. $BTC $ETH $XRP #加密市场回调
The large pancake has been fluctuating for 11 days, during which there has been no significant drop. In the short term, it looks like it's about to break through 123,000, setting a new historical high.
From a short-term perspective, the 1-hour level has already consolidated into a second equilibrium, and it is very likely that we will see a wave of upward movement next. After breaking through, we will first look at 126,000, then aim for 130,000. As long as it does not drop below 113,000, the upward momentum remains, and we will wait to see if there are any signs of a top once a new high is reached. The 15-minute level is still fluctuating, and breaking through 119,273 would indicate that an upward surge is imminent, with a support level to pay attention to around 117,000.
The current pullback in Ethereum is quite normal. Last week, it rose from 2,950 to 3,860 in 6 days, an increase of 30%. Now that it has only pulled back 10%, it aligns with the adjustment rhythm of a strong market. The 1-hour pullback is nearing its end, and breaking through 3,665 would mean the pullback is finishing, with expectations of a surge between 3,900 and 4,000 afterwards.
The 15-minute level has already completed 5 movements; if it directly breaks through 3,665, it will initiate three upward movements; even if it does not break through, it may retest the day's low before rising again. There is a high probability that a new wave of 1-hour upward movement will start in the next couple of days.
Currently, the trends across all timeframes have not changed: the weekly and daily charts continue to trend upward, with daily targets between 120,000 and 130,000; the 4-hour level is performing better than expected; the 1-hour level is consolidating and waiting for a new high; and the 15-minute level is also leaning towards upward movement after fluctuations. Be patient and wait for a breakout signal to seize the opportunity for a subsequent rise. $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊交易量反超比特币 #美国AI行动计划
Ethereum has been volatile recently, but it is still bullish overall.
Ethereum tried to rebound in the early morning, but it did not reach 122,000, and fell again at around 120,000. It has been slightly correcting during the day, and we have to see if it can break through 122,000 at night. Although this shock has made many people worry that it will not rise anymore, the general direction has not changed, and there is a high probability that it can still reach a new high. Don't rush to be bearish now.
In the short term, there are signs of rebound at the 1-hour level: if it breaks through 122,000, it may rise directly to 126,000; if it fails to break through, it may fall to around 115,500 before going up. At the shorter 15-minute level, pay attention to the support level of 117,000. If it holds up, it may hit 122,000 again, and if it fails, it will reach around 116,000.
Ethereum's correction is almost over. The 1-hour level is obviously correcting, and the three waves of decline in 15 minutes are almost over, with support between 3550 and 3580. There are two possibilities afterwards: either the rebound does not exceed 3780, and it fluctuates slightly and then falls to 3500 to 3550, and then rushes to above 3900; or it directly breaks through 3780 and rises all the way to above 3900.
No matter which cycle you look at, the general trend is not bad: the weekly and daily lines have been going up (the daily target is 120,000 to 130,000); the 4-hour rise is better than expected; the 1-hour shock and consolidation wait for a surge; the 15-minute is just a short-term adjustment. Don't worry, wait for the shock to end, and seize the opportunity to surge $BTC $ETH $SOL #RWA热潮 #BNB创新高
$BTC $ETH $XRP #NFT板块领涨 #山寨季來了? Bitcoin has been fluctuating in a small range recently. There may be a small correction next, but there is a high probability that it will reach a new high from the end of the month to the beginning of August.
From the perspective of capital flow, it used to flow from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other mainstream currencies. After Ethereum rose, some funds went to small currencies again, and now it may flow back to Bitcoin. It is estimated that Bitcoin will rise again after the adjustment, but after this wave of rise, there may be a relatively large correction, so you have to slowly reduce your position from the end of the month to the beginning of August to avoid risks.
In the short term, Bitcoin's current small fluctuation range has been formed. If it can break through 122,000, it may directly reach a new high; if it cannot break through, it will continue to fluctuate, but it will eventually rise to more than 125,000. At present, the short-term rebound depends on whether it can pass 122,000. In the short term, it will either rise directly or fluctuate and wait for the Ethereum callback to rise again. The general direction is still bullish on new highs.
After Ethereum fell below 3,700, it was confirmed to enter a small correction: it is rebounding now (pay attention to the position of 3,740), and it may fall to around 3,500 later. After the correction, it may rush to 3,900 to 4,000 again, but it may not be able to stand at 4,000, and it may fall more severely to around 3,000. In terms of operation, mainstream coins and small coins can be held this week, and the risk will be greater next week.
In general, the general trend has not changed, and the long-term, medium-term, and short-term trends are still upward. After short-term fluctuations, it will rise again. The short-term rebound depends on whether it can break through 122,000. While seizing the opportunity to rise, you must take precautions against risks in advance.
The large pancake has been fluctuating for 5 days, and the previously anticipated upward opportunity may come this week. Currently, it has adjusted between 115,000 and 122,000 and is preparing to surge upward, starting from this morning's 116,467. The key point is to see if it can exceed the previous high of 123,218. If it breaks through, we will first look at 126,000, and then possibly up to around 130,000. In the short term, the 15-minute level is experiencing a slight pullback. As long as it can hold above 116,700, the upward momentum remains relatively healthy, and there is hope for a new high. Ethereum's performance is even stronger, rising from 2,940 to over 3,800, an increase of 30% and still going, heading towards 4,000. Its upward momentum is very stable, and it is likely to have a slight adjustment before hitting the 3,900 to 4,000 range. As long as the short-term pullback does not break 3,700, it can continue to rise, but there is resistance between 4,000 and 4,100, so attention is needed. After reaching a high, there may be a slight pullback, but there should still be upward space afterward. Overall, whether on the weekly, daily, or 4-hour charts, the overall trend is still upward (Bitcoin's weekly target is above 150,000). Right now, the focus is still on seizing the opportunity for upward surges, but it is also important to note that the daily upward structure of Bitcoin is nearing completion, and there may be a pullback in August. #稳定币监管风暴 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH $XRP