唐三藏2

The direction of the cryptocurrency market often hides in seemingly unrelated macro events. On July 25, Trump's remarks during a visit to the Federal Reserve building sparked a market uproar—he publicly stated, 'The noise of firing Powell is too great, and it’s unnecessary.' This seemingly bland comment actually reflects a 180-degree attitude shift: remember that in 2018, he repeatedly criticized Powell's interest rate hike policies and even threatened to have him dismissed. Now, with this 'reconciliation' signal, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy direction have instantly reversed, which may be the long-awaited opportunity for Bitcoin to explode.

When "arbitrage in the cryptocurrency sector" evolves from an arbitrage method in cryptocurrency trading to a tool for illegal fund transfers across borders, it ultimately cannot escape legal sanctions. Recently, Shanghai police reported a case involving 6.5 billion yuan in the "underground money exchange" of the cryptocurrency sector, where 17 shell companies conducted "matching" transactions using USDT (Tether), exposing the gray operations of fund transfers to the light.
How can 6.5 billion yuan in funds be "invisibly" transferred across borders?
The operational model of this case can be described as a "textbook example" of illegal fund transfers: suspects Yang and Xu and others controlled 17 domestic shell companies specifically to "serve" individuals or enterprises with large cross-border transfer needs.

The current DOGE market is caught in an extreme tug-of-war between bulls and bears. A 13% single-day increase seems fierce, but with record open interest, the market is filled with both excitement and caution - is this wave of increase the starting point of a new round of market, or the final celebration of capital speculation?
Technical 'danger signals' and key points of contention
From the technical chart, DOGE is currently priced at 0.244 USD, closely sticking to the Bollinger upper band resistance at 0.249 USD. The contention at this position is particularly critical: historical data shows that when DOGE approaches the Bollinger upper band with three consecutive K-lines, there is an 80% probability of a pullback, especially in the context of excessive short-term gains, where bullish momentum is likely to be concentrated and then exhausted.

The crypto world is truly being pushed forward by the 'money tide' — in the recently concluded second quarter, the entire crypto industry attracted $10 billion in funding, a scale not seen in three years. Watching the funds rush in like a flood, you must be curious: why did this money suddenly flock into the market? Once you dig deep, you find that there are three signals capable of changing the industry landscape.
1. Easing of U.S. policy: capital finally dares to 'show its hand'.
The critical turning point was the Biden administration's sudden 'warming' attitude towards the crypto industry. Previously, capital entering the crypto sphere felt like holding a ticking time bomb — fearing sudden tightening of regulatory policies, fearing projects being classified as 'illegal'. Now it’s different; from speeding up ETF approvals to gradually clarifying the regulatory framework, it’s like handing the market a 'compliance passport'.

These projects are rooted in the infrastructure of ETH, benefiting from the market capitalization growth of ETH while having their own niche opportunities. Here are several noteworthy directions and representative projects for reference:
1. Layer 2: ETH's 'scalability engine'
Layer 2 is the core solution for ETH to address congestion and high gas fees, and it is one of the most explosive sectors in this cycle. They are like 'satellite cities' of ETH, accommodating the traffic and transactions of the main network, with their own ecological prosperity directly relying on the growth of ETH.

ARB (Arbitrum), OP (Optimism): As the two leading figures in the Optimism ecosystem, they have the highest ecological maturity and are among the top Layer 2 in terms of user and project numbers. ARB's governance proposals are active, while OP continues to make technical advancements, both establishing stable fee income models, with market capitalization and FDV (fully diluted valuation) both exceeding $10 billion, regarded as 'stable players.'

The financial market is staging a peculiar confrontation: on one side, the madness of Bitcoin being hyped up to reach $200,000; on the other, the steady pace of the People's Bank of China continuously accumulating gold. These seemingly unrelated assets are being pushed towards historical highs by an invisible hand, behind which lies a direct collision of the financial logics of China and the U.S.
The $200,000 Myth of Bitcoin: A 'Unconventional Weapon' of the Dollar System
Some boldly predict that Bitcoin will break through $200,000. This sounds like a fantasy but aligns with the underlying logic of the U.S. financial market. As pressure on the dollar's credibility continues, Bitcoin's decentralized label is packaged as 'digital gold,' and its volatile nature has become a tool for harvesting global capital—when retail investors are crazed by the 'wealth myth,' large capital is creating volatility through leverage and derivatives markets, turning it into a 'dark channel' for liquidity transfer.

At 3 a.m., someone in the community posted a screenshot: last year, 500,000 stuck in a certain altcoin is now down to 80,000. Meanwhile, another person posted their holdings of PEPE, which rose from 0.000001 to 0.00001266 — both are altcoins, but their fates are worlds apart. This round of altcoin season will come, but it will never be like 2021 when 'you could buy with your eyes closed and still make a profit'; funds will only concentrate on a few coins, and the rest will be cannon fodder.
1. Why has the era of universal surges completely ended?
In the 2021 altcoin season, buying any new coin could triple your investment because the entire market only had over 10,000 coins. Now, just on Binance and OKX, 20-30 new coins are launched every month, with over 5,000 new coins added throughout the year — new coins sprout like wild grass, and retail investors' money is just about to be diverted by the next 'hundred-fold coin' hype.

In the deep autumn of 2020, I stared at the 'account frozen' prompt on the bank app, my hands trembling uncontrollably. The 500,000 USDT I had just withdrawn from the exchange the day before, along with the original 200,000 living expenses in my card, were all marked by the police as 'involved funds'. The customer service's words 'involved in SA cases, funds have been controlled' pierced my heart like an ice pick - that money was meant to be the down payment for my parents' house.
In the end, to unfreeze, I was forced to sign an agreement to 'compensate the victim 150,000'. As I walked out of the police station, leaves hit my face, and I suddenly realized: the harshest thing in the crypto circle is not the crash, but earning money and not being able to get it. Over these three years, I studied withdrawals like analyzing K-lines, turning the pits I stepped into into life-saving experiences; now I present this 'safe withdrawal guide', hoping you never need it, but must know it.

It's not hard to earn 1 million in the crypto world, but the challenge is safely transferring that 1 million to your bank card. I've seen too many people fall into withdrawal traps in excitement: either getting scammed by black intermediaries, having their bank cards frozen, or even being robbed during offline transactions. As someone who has grown from 300,000 to 34 million, I must detail the practical steps and risk points of these three withdrawal channels.
1. Hong Kong withdrawals: Suitable for the "cautious type willing to make a trip."
Going to Hong Kong to exchange currency in person is currently one of the most worry-free methods, but one wrong detail can lead to wasted trips.

Ten years ago, I quit my high-paying job with 300,000 in savings, and friends and family said I was "crazy". Now my account balance is stuck at 34 million, and looking back, I understand: the real threshold in the crypto world is not capital, but the ability to rebuild a trading system after being beaten by the market. Today, I’m sharing the ultimate (cage trading method) and 10 ironclad rules not to teach you to get rich overnight, but to help you survive in this meat grinder — after all, only those who survive can wait for the bounty of the bull market.
First, (cage trading method): See through the main players' tactics to harvest retail traders.
Six years ago, one late night, I stared at the K-line and suddenly realized: the market is always repeating the game of "big fish eating small fish". Retail stop-loss orders and chasing orders are actually traps set by the main players. This method abandons all complex indicators and focuses only on K-lines and human nature, tested and proven effective in practice.

A piece of news from the Yiwu small commodities market has shattered the calm of the crypto world — a few merchants were exposed for completing over $1 billion in cross-border transactions through a "underground chain" using USDT, prompting the central bank and foreign exchange bureau to intervene overnight for investigation. This seemingly local regulatory storm is evolving into a "nuclear explosion" in the stablecoin market, and every holder of USDT should recognize the chain reaction behind it.
1. The "gray channel" of USDT is collapsing.
The operations of the involved merchants can be described as "textbook-level" regulatory avoidance: buying USDT with RMB on OTC platforms, then converting it to USD after transferring abroad to pay for goods, perfectly bypassing the annual foreign exchange purchase limit of $50,000. This model is not an isolated case; data shows that in 2024, the cross-border trade settlement volume completed through USDT reached $35 billion, accounting for 23% of the total OTC trading volume.

Standing on the balcony looking at the 47 million in my account, I always think back to that snowy night in 2014—I rushed into the crypto space with the 1 million hard-earned money my parents saved for a lifetime, and within half a year, I lost it all. Later, I borrowed 500,000 from friends and family, which also evaporated in the bear market. A total loss of 1.5 million felt like a mountain. When my wife smashed our wedding photo and shouted for a divorce, I stood on the 28th floor rooftop, the piercing cold wind pouring into my collar felt more desperate than the liquidation messages. Ten years later, what pulled me back from the edge was not luck, but the trading system rebuilt after the crash, forged from blood and tears into twenty iron rules. Now sharing these is not to boast, but to help those who come after me avoid some of the dead ends I walked.

At the beginning of the year, when exchanging USDT for RMB, 1 could still be exchanged for 7.35 yuan, but now staring at the exchange interface feels like a bitter smile—7.12 yuan for the exchange rate feels like a dull knife, cutting a little each day. Don’t underestimate this 0.23 yuan fluctuation; 10 million USDT did nothing, and in three months, it evaporated 2.3 million RMB. This is not a numerical game; it’s real money shrinking, while hidden behind the decimal point of the exchange rate are three 'invisible thieves' quietly thinning your wallet.
1. Unraveling the underlying logic of USDT depreciation
1. The 'big brother' dollar stumbles first
The dollar index has fallen 9% this year, and Trump's tariff policy is like a boulder thrown into the economic pool, with ripples still spreading. The property of USDT being pegged to the dollar destined it to follow the rhythm of its 'big brother'. Just like two balloons tied to the same rope, if the big dollar balloon is leaking air, how can the small USDT balloon escape unscathed?

I have been liquidated 7 times and my account was wiped out. At the worst time, I even had to borrow money for food. But now, with this strategy, I have gone from losing 500,000 to making stable profits. Last year, I even bought a new apartment in Shenzhen. The cryptocurrency world is not a casino, but a battlefield that pays money to sober people. If novices want to avoid detours, they must understand these 4 rules for saving lives and making money.
1. The Iron Triangle of Financial Security: Only if you survive can you make money
▌Position pyramid (the ratio obtained by losing 500,000 yuan)
50% ballast: BTC+ETH (when the bear market plummets 30% in 2022, you can sleep well with these two)
30% potential warehouse: Depin/RWA/AI track leader (RNDR, AKT, etc., helped me earn 3 times in 2024)

1. The underlying logic of losing 500,000 yuan: staying alive is more important than making money. At the end of the bull market in 2017, I lost 370,000 U in a single day on EOS. When I saw the account balance return to zero, I realized that the cryptocurrency world is not a casino, but a hunting ground that requires precise calculations. Today, every "iron law of survival" posted on the wall is soaked in blood and tears - ▌The pyramid of fund management
50% ballast: BTC+ETH (sleep soundly even if the bear market drops 30%)​
30% potential track: Depin/RWA/AI leaders (such as RNDR, AKT)​
20% risk position: single-day investment ≤5% of the principal (default reset)​

On that rainy night, the message "Bank card is frozen" on my phone screen hit me like a hammer. The 100,000 U that had just arrived was locked in an instant. I went back and forth to the Economic Investigation Brigade 3 times to take notes and submitted 27 transaction receipts, but in the end, I still watched 18% of my funds go down the drain. This "frozen card purgatory" has transformed me. Now I can withdraw millions of U like flowing water. This "Hell-level Pit Avoidance Guide" condensed with blood and tears can save you 6-digit tuition fees! The first iron rule: If you choose the wrong platform, all your funds will be wasted! 80% of frozen cards are caused by this. Choosing the right platform is the first safety lock for your funds! Be sure to identify the "triple certification" security zone and stay away from the death trap of the fake platform. ​Exchanges: Dual licenses are the hard currency​Only select the top platforms with **"dual licenses", such as Binance, which holds the US MSB + EU VASP dual licenses, and Kraken, which holds the Canadian FINTRAC** license, and the compliance system has been reviewed layer by layer. For those small platforms that don't even have a license, the C2C trading area is a "transit station" for black money, so don't touch it! ​Merchants: 3 hard indicators are indispensable​Open the Binance C2C area and "manually screen" merchants according to these 3 standards:​

In the cryptocurrency field, Ethereum has always occupied a pivotal position. It is not only the second-largest digital currency by market capitalization, following Bitcoin, but also an evolving decentralized platform that supports numerous innovative technologies such as smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps). This article will delve into Ethereum from multiple technical perspectives, providing investors and blockchain enthusiasts with a comprehensive understanding.

1. Consensus Mechanism and Network Upgrades Ethereum initially adopted a Proof of Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, where miners compete with computing power to validate transactions and create new blocks. However, as blockchain technology has developed, the drawbacks of the PoW mechanism, such as high energy consumption and low efficiency, have gradually become apparent. To achieve sustainable development and performance improvement, Ethereum has embarked on the transition to Proof of Stake (PoS), a process referred to as 'Ethereum 2.0'. Currently, Ethereum has completed the transition from PoW to PoS, successfully achieving the 'Merge'. Under the PoS mechanism, validators no longer rely on high-energy computing competitions, but instead gain the right to validate transactions and create new blocks by staking a certain amount of ETH. Validators are randomly selected to produce blocks, with the probability of block production being proportional to the amount of ETH staked. This transition has significantly reduced energy consumption while enhancing the network's security and scalability. Ethereum's upgrades have not stopped at the 'Merge'; there are plans to advance 'sharding' technology. Sharding technology is akin to splitting the Ethereum network into multiple parallel-processing 'sub-networks', each capable of independently processing transactions, thereby improving overall transaction processing speed and throughput. This will effectively alleviate congestion on the Ethereum network, reduce gas fees, and lay the foundation for large-scale DApp applications.

One, the scene of the crash: from peaceful times to doomsday collapse in 12 hours.
The candlestick chart at 4 AM looks like shattered glass - BTC crashed through the crucial support line of 102,000; that sound is more piercing than a bear market alarm; ETH followed its lead, and the 2100 defense line was lost in an instant; altcoins fared worse, with one MEME coin dropping 47% in 3 hours, and contract liquidation amounts exceeding 800 million dollars.

Bizarre phenomenon: why did the market, which was still rising yesterday, suddenly avalanche? There are rumors of institutions dumping goods and bearish sentiments about a global economic recession, but on-chain data reveals the true culprit - the U.S. government wallet address suddenly transferred out 225 million USDT, this massive operation directly collapsed market liquidity.

1. The line of life and death for capital allocation: Small investors shouldn't gamble. I've seen too many people go all in on altcoins with 30,000, only to run out of money to average down after a 30% drop, ultimately cutting losses. Remember the iron rule:

Players with a principal of ≤500,000, single trades should not exceed 20% of total assets, keep 40% cash to wait for a market crash (for example, during the LUNA crash in May 2022, cash was a lifesaver);
Don't believe in 'get rich quick' nonsense. If you invest 100,000 in three rounds, buying after a 15% drop can reduce your cost by over 8%.
2. Real rules are recognizing monetization: Don't touch coins you don't understand.

Practical case: Last year, a friend bought a coin after seeing a 50% rise without even reading the project white paper — the coin was essentially worthless, leading to a final 90% drop. Correct approach:

One, The Fatal Misconception of Trading Awareness: What you think is a sickle is actually a knife for harvesting leeks. At 3 AM in the trading room, Xiao Li decisively opened a long position on the golden cross signal on the screen; this was his 7th trade of the night. With 50,000 in his account, he dreamed of tenfold returns three months ago, but now only 12,000 remains—fees and slippage gnawing at the principal like termites. This scene plays out every day in global trading markets, with 90% of newcomers charging into the market with technical analysis manuals, unaware that true windfall profits never come from golden crosses or death crosses, but from 'waiting.' On March 12, 2020, Bitcoin experienced 'Black Thursday,' plummeting from 8,000 dollars to 3,800 dollars, with liquidations reaching 1.8 billion dollars. At that time, less than 1% dared to go all-in at 3,800 dollars, while 99% were addicted to 'buying high and selling low' on 5-minute candlesticks, ultimately getting washed out in the back-and-forth. Data from a leading exchange showed that frequent traders (more than 5 trades a day) had an average loss rate of 78% for the entire year of 2023, while investors holding positions for over a year had an average return rate of 320%. This is the power of 'waiting.'