Analyst: The four-year Ethereum cycle is about to enter its final phase 📈
Like in 2017 and 2021, Ethereum follows a clear 4-year cycle between market peaks, and all signs indicate that the next explosive leap is inevitable.
After months of quiet accumulation and a clear breakout structure, the parabolic run is now loading. History does not repeat itself exactly, but in cryptocurrency... it definitely rhymes.
📈 The Warren Buffett Indicator, which shows the ratio of the Wilshire 5000 index* to the GDP of the United States, has risen to 200%. This is the second-highest level in history, higher than during the dot-com bubble (2000) and the global financial crisis (2008).
* The Wilshire 5000 index is a measure that includes almost all stocks traded on U.S. exchanges. It reflects the total market value of U.S. stocks and is used to assess the state of the economy.
In simple terms: stocks are currently very expensive compared to what the U.S. economy actually produces.
What does this mean for crypto? The stock market and crypto often go hand in hand. If stocks are so inflated, then any hint of a correction (which is likely with such overheating) could also hit crypto. Investors may start to liquidate risky assets, and Bitcoin along with altcoins could also decline. But there is a silver lining: if fiat begins to wobble, people may rush to cryptocurrencies as a "safe haven." The summer will be very volatile…
#newt #FutureTarding Well, they shaved the long holders with a single candle. It was expected that there should be a pullback and some reaction from the EMA 99. A large zone of imbalance, hourly candles are not covered. Plus, the small market capitalization of the coin. They might pump it again. If, of course, $BTC doesn't drop to 104k. Still holding my position…
Let's go back a bit in history and recall the collapse of the Terra Luna Foundation. #coolstory #luna #lunc #UST 10.05.22
The scheme turned out to be quite simple; you can dump BTC if you have the money.
One possible scenario is described below: — Building a position of 1 billion UST on the OTC market — Borrowing BTC for $3 billion. — Launching FUD about the peg to UST — Dumping BTC in the market to intensify the panic — After LFG (Luna Foundation Guard) withdraws liquidity from Curve, the attack begins: - The attacker takes all the liquidity from the Curve pool ($350 million) - Dumps the accumulated 1 billion UST on Binance (resulting in a 1:1 unpegging to the dollar) Since the Terra market module is set for a throughput of $150 million per day to restore the peg, that would have been enough, but in the Curve pool, instead of $4 billion, there was only $350 million. The situation escalates, BTC falls, UST loses its peg even more, and LFG is forced to sell BTC to maintain the peg, which puts even more pressure on the price of BTC. The attacker achieves their goal, as we remember, they short BTC. Panic forms in the market. The Terra network is overloaded, withdrawals from exchanges are halted. Funds begin to leak from the Anchor protocol. Nothing would have happened if there had been $4 billion in the pool instead of $350 million. Everything was not by chance…
Cryptocurrencies are not only about surges but also about grand collapses. We analyze the biggest scams below.
1. OneCoin — 4 billion dollars They promised a new bitcoin, but there was no blockchain. Ruja Ignatova collected billions and fled. Wanted since 2017.
2. Thodex — 2 billion dollars The Turkish exchange froze trading, and its head disappeared with users' money. He was later caught, but the assets disappeared.
3. FTX — 8 billion dollars The exchange went bankrupt in 2022, Sam Bankman-Fried became a meme, and customer funds vanished. A typical crypto story. Ticker: $FTT
4. Terra Luna — 40 billion dollars The stablecoin UST lost its peg, LUNA devalued, and the Anchor protocol turned out to be a disguised pyramid. Ticker: $LUNA
5. Evolved Apes — 2.7 million dollars They sold 10,000 NFTs with a promise of a game, but the creators took the money and disappeared. The pictures remained, but the faith in the project did not.
#Bitcoin Timeframe: 4h The local peak at 106500.00 has been updated, opening the way for a bullish scenario. However, before a new upward surge, a correction to 104000.00 is likely. At the end of the upward movement, a terminal diagonal was formed, which can be played out.
Not all here are traders, and it may be unclear why I expect growth while predicting a decline. It's simple: the local picture (correction) and the global picture (growth) can coexist. The market always moves with pullbacks.
The weekend is coming to an end, and with it, a new trading week begins, opened by the Asian market. Against the backdrop of recent news, I don't think buyers will support this with new money flowing into the market. And for every green candle, there will be a pullback. $BANANAS31 The daily and weekly candle closes in 3 hours. Make sure to enter the position in time, this could be the new $FUN #FutureTarding #memcoin
The main concentration level of Bitcoin supply is in the range of $95,500–$97,000, which is slightly below the average acquisition cost of short-term holders ($98,000).
This price range is critical: holding above this level supports the maintenance of an upward trend, while a break below may signal a transition to a downward phase in the medium and long term.
Reminds me of the story with $FUN There is a high probability of taking all the liquidity at the level of 0.0066~, and continuing the 'head and shoulders' pattern, reaching the level of 0.0047~. p.s.: 1d timeframe, it's hard to analyze tokens without history. I'm looking for better entry points into the position... #BANANAS31USDT $BANANAS31
📉 The yield curve inversion indicator, which predicted the crises of 2008, 2000, and the 1930s, indicates: the US economy is running out — you have 5 months to act! In the event that the US economy defaults, thereby devaluing the dollar, we could see a new ATH at $BTC against #USDT and a continuation of the upward movement at #BTCDOMINACE . What are your prospects for the upcoming summer/fall?