Zz帽子哥

$NEWT pending lottery order, very impressive.

Opened a short position and took profit directly, the trend is a bit like a risky island, not shorting anymore, because there are two positions on the棒子, and there are particularly many bears, will arrange long-term short positions again if it goes up.

The long-short ratio of $NEWT is a bit scary; it turns out that family members are all in. The FDV is already quite large, and everyone knows this is a garbage project, the market value is not justified. It just depends on whether the whale will take advantage of this to eat the liquidity of the short sellers. Let's wait for the market open; I believe there will definitely be a wave of selling, and then we'll see if the main force shows any signs of accumulating shares.

$NEWT just experienced NEWTON's products, feeling that there is not much innovation, not much use, somewhat like a packaging project similar to CGPT portal, and the website is also not great. Is this really worth a total market value of 500 million? I can only say that money in the crypto world is easy to make; no matter how ridiculous the FDV is, there will be a day of returning to the mean.

I couldn't find anything on the financing side; it was originally listed on Kaito as a wild project, and I don't know how it ended up on Binance. Kaito doesn't need much introduction; it will soon start unlocking, and the price has already dropped.

It doubled before the market opened, indicating that there are investors accumulating shares, and there might be a price increase later, but it is recommended to mainly short.

Strategy: Currently at 0.45, you can directly short one layer of positions, and wait for the airdrop and holders to sell off after opening to take profits. If there is a rebound to 0.6-0.8, you can consider shorting; this market value is really large, don't be a bag holder for pseudo-AI projects.

$SEI Large Market Value Unlock Public Chain VC Rises 40% Without Retracement, It Frustrated Me, This Trade Lost, I Reflected for a Day, I Can't Heavily Invest in Altcoins in the Future.

The Strait of Hormuz is closed, cutting off over one-third of global oil supply, the bottom is starting to show, gradually buying.

MEME electronic oil $OIL200k discovered, currently over one million is still skyrocketing, aiming for ten times.

$FUN The market isn't doing well, fun is here to stir things up, don't short, I saw 0.012, but I have already taken profits, fees + increase, but that doesn't mean you can short, quite the opposite, the rally may just be starting, and if it doesn't rally, it will still wear down the bears with fees. #山寨币热点

$SIREN can align with BOB now, the meme crash speed on the BSC chain is very fast.

The weekly chart of Solana (SOL) at 53,608,421,218 looks very bad. I am very worried that before the interest rate cut, SOL will experience a washout similar to that of ETH's knee-jerk reaction.

The weekly chart has been in a downtrend. Last week, I originally thought SOL would break through 160 to reverse the weekly trend, but it didn't even touch 160, and after breaking below 148, I became pessimistic and believed a major correction was coming.

I rarely post, but my market sense has always been very accurate. In the past half month, the frequency of sell-offs has been a bit high, which is clearly a move by the bulls. When prices drop, we can't mindlessly buy again; we need to wait to build positions at the weekly level. Currently, there is strong support around 100 at the weekly level for SOL.

$BTC There are three months left for interest rate cuts, think twice before bottom fishing! How many people avoided this crash by seeing Hat Brother's post predicting a sharp drop? SOL fell below 148, and I am not very optimistic about the entire market anymore. Unfortunately, the U.S. stock market is barely holding up with high interest rates and low exchange rates, preventing the crypto market from crashing. However, last night the first stablecoin company, CIRCLE, collapsed, dragging down the crypto market.

Although Trump is jumping up and down in panic, the Federal Reserve obviously isn't bothered by this. Old Powell is determined to consider interest rate cuts only after September. Hawkish statements have indicated that: Powell is a typical breakout chaser; if the market doesn't drop and the data still looks good, there will be no interest rate cuts. So, when the market eventually drops, interest rate cuts should follow. Before the real main wave starts, the main forces will inevitably destroy all indicators.

At the beginning of the year, I turned 200u into 2wu; this time I am challenging myself to turn 1000u into 10wu in real trading. We will meet at the peak then! #鲍威尔发言

$BTC The market is about to collapse, altcoins have already dropped by 50% from their peaks. The good thing about Bitcoin is that there are Wall Street big shots buying in; the exchanges dare not crash it, as they fear the Wall Street big shots will withdraw their funds. Without coins, the market would collapse.

Altcoins can be casually crashed; they are controlled by one major holder, with weak consensus and strong manipulation. This aligns with my previous predictions that during Bitcoin's fluctuating decline before dropping to 100,000, altcoins will experience a crazy crash in this phase.

Currently, the market has little volatility and no wealth effect. I expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September, and long-term traders need to prepare for September. There will definitely be a surge before the rate cut.
#鲍威尔发言

$SOL Yesterday did not break 160, short-term support at 148, so the daily level is still in a downtrend channel, and going long should start to defend and set stop losses.

The morning's sharp decline was due to the failure of Middle East negotiations, Trump ordered everyone to evacuate, and the escalation of the Israel-Palestine conflict caused panic, I personally took profits on some of my SOL spot holdings.

$ALT $HAEDAL These two coins have both been listed on the exchange. Both of these coins are related to the staking DEFI track, let me briefly explain how to operate.

ALT, an old coin, has already started unlocking, the price has doubled, you can short with a small position, but you need to wait for the fees to decrease before shorting, otherwise it hasn't reached the peak.

HAEDAL, a new coin, with a circulating market value of 20 million, is very likely to continue to surge, decisively buy spot to enter, with a stop loss at 0.115, I hope everyone doesn’t short it lazily, even though its reputation is very poor.
#山寨币热点

$SOL I will continue to explain why I am optimistic about SOL. A couple of days ago, during the Israel-Palestine conflict, I led everyone to buy the dip on SOL, and it wasn't just about seeing a drop and buying in.

Firstly, there is over a 90% probability that SOL will pass through an ETF this year. Once it does, there will definitely be a significant surge followed by a correction, similar to the ETH ETF. This is the logic for long-term holding.

Secondly, there has been another explosion of meme coins on the SOL chain, with the leader being FARTCOIN, which won the resurrection race from 200 million to over a billion, essentially stabilizing its market cap at one billion. The new star AURA resurrected the little cat, increasing from a few million to over 200 million in just a few days. I personally saw a certain big player make 3 million on AURA. The trend of low-quality coins on the chain has returned, so Brother Hat directly bought spot and charged the primary market instead of opening a futures long position.

Finally, while this price may not be the cheapest, it is no longer expensive. At 140, whether on the daily or 4-hour level, it shows a double bottom. What does a double bottom mean? It indicates a weakening of bearish strength and a rebound from the bulls, signaling a reversal.

I still have faith in SOL. Recently, Koge, ZKJ, and Bob on BSC have all seen flash crashes, and I believe capital will also have its choices.
#以色列伊朗冲突

$SOL Taking the lead, initiating a V reversal, there's no way around it, the price of 140 is hard to resist. Yesterday morning, I observed that sol15m started a V reversal, showing signs of a 4h level W double bottom, so I directly bought 50 sol spot. I actually mentioned earlier that sol dropped from 168 to 140, and this decline, as long as the negative impact of the war ends, will strongly V reverse.

Next week, definitely pay close attention 👇

On Tuesday, the Japanese monetary policy meeting, observe whether Japan raises interest rates; if so, it would be a major negative.

On Thursday morning, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, focus on whether there will be a rate cut in July, August, or September; if so, it would be very positive, stop short positions.

#以色列伊朗冲突

$ZKJ Binance Alpha When the points start to be deducted, after finishing the last one, I started to withdraw. How many people today brushed points and encountered huge losses, returning in defeat. It turns out that the so-called stablecoins can also experience massive drops?

This conveys two signals: one is to make money in places with fewer people. When TGE and Alpha first came out, it was almost given away for free without needing points. Later, for a period of time, points were required but would not be deducted. When no one wanted to deal with Alpha early on, I started urging everyone to engage. Once points started to be deducted and the competition for points began, I directly gave up because I didn't want my trading operations to be affected by a few dozen U due to point brushing. Second, various altcoins dropping over 50% is due to the market manipulators abandoning their positions and fleeing. The first to give up due to insufficient liquidity is the altcoins, indicating that there is indeed a lack of liquidity in this 'false bull' market, and one should still be cautious when going long.
#山寨币热点

$NEIROETH Light position shorting lowercase NEIRO, while uppercase NEIRO is considered the most consensus-driven, uppercase NEIROETH is purely a conspiracy-controlled coin. In terms of market capitalization, lowercase NEIRO is 160 million, and uppercase is 90 million. I believe this market capitalization is still inflated, and as the market weakens, the popularity of uppercase NEIRO has been consistently declining, with main players not finding buyers as they try to raise it again. Light position shorting, waiting for a direct crash; the small position is because if it rises another 20-30%, I can also add to the short position.

$BTC @如果我不懂 , Binance Trading Team Competition First Place for One Person, looking through his past posts, the language organization is very casual but surprisingly accurate, for example, on July 21, 2024, the Bitcoin price at fifty thousand, he led the bottom-fishing for Bitcoin, and when the whole network was FOMO-ing, he shorted PNUT, etc., this kind of big shot hidden among ordinary people is also the first time I have encountered today, not like Liang Xi who abstracts for traffic, but truly a master with high cognition and high courage. #币安交易联赛第二季

I took a look at the daily K-line of SOL, and the downward momentum is very strong. Yesterday it dropped as much as 12%, and the rebound didn't exceed 150. This is definitely the main force offloading. I ended up selling all my positions that were aimed at a rebound yesterday.

I guess there are definitely a lot of people bottom-fishing now, so I'll wait a bit longer. I'll let those who bottomed out first take a hit before I enter the market. Most of the time in trading is spent waiting.
#以色列伊朗冲突

$SOL is currently really weak in its rebound, lacking the momentum to quickly recover from previous large drops. The reason is well known; everyone is waiting to see Iran's response, believing that the current Israel-Iran conflict will not end quickly and that there will definitely be another significant drop. If there is another strong rebound, it is likely to happen when the US stock market opens. This kind of bottom-fishing position during a large drop must be held for at least 24 hours.

In terms of operations, I will temporarily keep the ant position for bottom-fishing at 145. If it drops below 140, I will directly buy spot for a long-term position. Spot can be used for collateral and can be based on coins, which is quite flexible. I still foresee a rebound, probably reaching around 150 in 24 hours, but I currently hope for a drop so I can buy more at a lower price. Let's continue to watch!
#以色列伊朗冲突

$SOL Today SOL and ETH dropped over 12%, Bitcoin fell by 5%. It's rare for SOL and ETH to drop by double digits in their entire history, which might only happen once every month or two, and most of the time there's a good recovery the next day. So really, don't be afraid, just accumulate long positions in batches.

The negative impact of war is like compressing a spring. At first, the development is intense, and the impact on the capital market is significant. As time goes on, the impact becomes smaller. If someone mediates in between, it's like directly letting go with both hands, resulting in a strong rebound.

Whether it fits the pattern or not still depends on the situation; for now, let's secure the rebound after the big drop. #以色列伊朗冲突