TuniMelEv

#地缘政治对比特币的影响 Bitcoin has been trading sideways for a long time, so that everyone now doesn’t know whether they are in a bull market or a bear market. If it is a bull market, why are so many people losing money? If it is a bear market, why has Bitcoin broken through a new high? The only explanation is that those who hold BTC may feel that they are still in a bull market, those who hold altcoins should feel that they are still in a cold winter, and those who focus on playing with the on-chain ecosystem should not feel the bull or bear market, after all, the heat has always been there and projects are being launched every day.

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Thirty years of ups and downs, nothing lasts forever.
Trump and Musk are reforming the United States and stirring up a hornet's nest. It is estimated that the United States will be "in chaos" for a long time. It may be an opportunity or a disaster. Everyone is still risk-averse until those people defeat the two heroes and find a cooperation plan that everyone accepts.

In the bull market of the past two years, strong economic growth has pushed the S&P 500 index to new highs. The challenges of the trade war and DeepSeek to the AI ​​boom have basically not weakened this enthusiasm. Now, investors are worried that the market's gains have exceeded some typical indicators of intrinsic value.

Senior US officials, including Secretary of State Rubio, have arrived in Saudi Arabia to prepare for talks with the Russian delegation on the Ukrainian ceasefire. The Kremlin said the talks will "mainly focus on restoring the entire system of Russian-US relations."

Recently, the United States has been under pressure from both inside and outside, and the entire domestic and international turmoil has been unsettled. Risk funds have been fleeing and lurking. Especially in the currency circle, there has been only outflows recently. In the past month, BTC and spot eth have been net outflows. BTC has been sideways recently, and then it has been exploring.
I won’t talk about the altcoins. After the crash, almost all the coins were in a terrible state. Now, if BTC drops a little, the whole market will start to panic again. The altcoins have been falling again and again. It feels like they are going to zero. Anyway, to be honest, if you buy mainstream altcoins, you may be cut in half, but if you buy new meme coins, they will go straight to zero.
At this time, if you are trapped, you can only lie flat, and cutting your losses is not the best operation. It can also be seen that the panic has been going on for a while. The whole market may fluctuate sideways for a while, and there may be a rebound. It is still recommended that in February and March, if there is a decent wave of pull-ups or rebounds, it is recommended to clear the warehouse and leave. The current market, according to the new year, is called an unfavorable start to the year. I don’t know if it will be better in the middle of the year. Spring is here, can winter be far behind? $BTC #地缘政治对比特币的影响 #阿根廷总统MEME币争议

I don't want to be a hope monger, but every fall has an up. In the March 2020 crash, Bitcoin saw 3 thousand dollars from 20 thousand. Then it rose. Now, a similar situation is happening for Ethereum. As people buy Eth cheaply, it will fall even more, I think it may even drop to 1000$ .

Wherever there are many investors, their patience will be tested. The number of investors needs to decrease by 80-90%. There is no free bread.

The real story will start after that, people will see 100-200% candles a day and see that the bull has started, but they will be scared and even sell before it reaches the cost. Smart investors will take their profit in between, while some will expect a bigger rise towards the end of the bull run, but it will not come.

This has been the scenario for years. I don't care if it falls by 70% from here if necessary. I believe that it will reach my goals in the end.

Will the bull season come?

The subsequent battle for the public chain #地缘政治对比特币的影响 will probably intensify. It will be interesting to see how $ETH , $BNB and $SOL compete with each other. Will there be one dominant player or a three-way competition? Who do you think will be the next leader in the public chain?

I have some new thoughts about the $SOL -day unlocking, and I will share them briefly:

As an old player, I understand that the news in the market is never without reason, and there is a driving force behind the spread of all information. The "conspiracy theory" of the SOL chain did not appear suddenly, why did it choose to be exposed now? The large-scale unlocking of SOL has long been public information, why was it not hyped before, but now it has become the fuse of market panic?

This shows that the news itself is not important, the key lies in who uses it, when it is released, and what the intention is. ETH has been suppressed for no reason before, and now it is SOL's turn. Behind this, perhaps some funds are manipulating market sentiment to create panic and close lows.

Really smart people will not be swayed by emotions. When the market is extremely pessimistic, it is often a good time to deploy funds; when the market is prosperous, it is time to be cautious. The conversion between bull and bear is often very fast, and the current panic may be the "washing" stage before the big market starts.

Well, after thinking today, I will send everyone a small red envelope!

SOL has been dropping quite sharply these days, and many friends are starting to speak negatively again. I just want to say, think in terms of dollar-cost averaging, build positions in multiple batches, and do not be afraid!

#SOL

Brothers, I came to Hong Kong tonight to watch the three ups for you brothers (that's it), so I won't post the night market analysis. Everyone go to bed early. I will try to post the market analysis early tomorrow. I will give you red envelopes to make up for it. I'm very sorry🙇
The market is not good recently, everyone should be humble and don't be arrogant!

2/17 Monday
💼US stocks closed on US Presidential Day
2/18 Tuesday
💼RBA announces interest rate decision (11:30)
💼UK unemployment rate in January, Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks on maintaining and strengthening open financial markets (15:00)
💼Consensus Hong Kong opens
💼FTX will begin repayments to creditors #FTX赔偿计划

#BNBChainMeme热潮 Cz said before that MeMe Coin does not have much intrinsic value. It still relies on narrative and traffic. The reason why MeMe Coin is so popular now is because of the wealth-creating effect. People often only focus on creating wealth but not on creating losses. There are not many people who can really make a lot of money on MeMe Coin. Even if you just take advantage of the opportunity or buy a few coins on CEX with your eyes closed, there is a high probability that when the bull market comes, the profit will far exceed the MeMe Coin on the chain that you carefully selected.