'The Impact of War Events on Short-Term Price Trends of $BTC'
—— Referencing the Russia-Ukraine War
Analysis of Bitcoin price fluctuations before and after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war Using the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war as a sample, the price of Bitcoin experienced significant fluctuations within 15 days before and after the outbreak of the war. During the 7 days before the war (from February 17, 2022), the BTC/USD price fluctuated around $40,000; as the geopolitical situation worsened, the price of Bitcoin declined from February 17 to 23. On the day of the official outbreak of war (February 24), the market experienced panic selling, with Bitcoin briefly plunging about 7%-8% intraday: the price dropped from around $37,000 to an intraday low of about $34,459. This decline reflects investors' risk-averse sentiment during the outbreak of military conflict, as Bitcoin was still viewed as a high-risk asset and faced selling pressure. However, it is noteworthy that Bitcoin quickly stabilized that day and recovered most of its losses: the closing price on February 24 was slightly higher than the previous day, with an intraday increase of about 1.7%. This shows that although the war news triggered an instantaneous plunge, Bitcoin displayed resilience, and there was no significant drop in the daily close.
Summarize what I have been doing recently (some things in web2, some laziness in web3) 1. Daily Binance #Alphapoints trading, basically maintaining at the 2+15 minute level.
I see a lot of big players complaining about Binance alpha, but I think this kind of certainty is still necessary. Of course, everyone wants to achieve a class leap through Golden Dog, high-leverage contracts, etc., but it's really difficult to operate; also, to join the table, you need chips. This kind of certain opportunity is indeed a great way to accumulate chips.
2. Occasionally play with small contracts, position management, and timely stop-loss are of utmost importance.
Contract trading is still continuously optimizing. This cycle has been back and forth with Chuanzi; today tariffs drop sharply, tomorrow delayed tariffs surge, feeling like technical indicators are useless, purely manipulated by news (everyone hates Chuanzi, everyone wants to become Chuanzi)
3. I played a little football; the five major leagues have already concluded. Next, we are just waiting for 6.1's #欧冠决赛 (Paris vs Inter Milan)
Next year is the World Cup again. Will Polymarket issue tokens? Will fan tokens surge? After the bear market, I plan to layout some tokens related to CHZ.
To summarize today's operations, profit of over 600U+
1. I was scoring on #alphapoints , honestly I chose $MILK before the new contract was launched, but hesitated. I thought about getting in after the new listing, and then it took off. But I still made a profit of 300 dollars on a swing trade. (The scoring continues, just keep your own rhythm)
2. After the new listing of $MYX, I saw the market cap just over 10M, so I decisively put in 3BNB. Plus the airdrop from the new listing, I made off with 0.6 BNB.
3. Recently there has been very little contract trading, feeling like the volatility is too small. (Mainly because there aren't big players starting with hundreds of thousands or millions 💲 in positions, so you see their major coins fluctuate by a few hundred dollars, and Ethereum by a few dollars before they close their positions)
2. Thinking that the scoring rules for #Alphapoints had been updated, I impulsively sold #RFC , resulting in a loss of 2300U+. I thought the price had stabilized after a significant drop in recent days, so I sold it and planned to buy back later. As a result, the price went up by several points.
3. Thinking of trading some coins on BSC, I bought #B2 . I saw the price rising, but there was hardly any profit when selling, which was a bit frustrating.
4. I executed a transaction on-chain using Axiom for $rfc.
Today, I almost fell into a well-designed scam, and I still feel uneasy recalling it.
At a dinner party, a man A, whom I had just met, learned that I play cryptocurrency and proactively mentioned a female friend B he knows. B has business needs and needs to exchange fiat currency for USDT through over-the-counter (OTC) trading. Due to trading limits and other reasons, B is willing to purchase USDT at a 6% premium over the market price.
Doubt One: Behind the high premium Hearing '6% premium', I immediately became alert: With such a high premium, is the source of funds clean?
Man A explained that he and B once played 'poker' together and understood B's background—her family runs a beauty salon, fruit wholesale, and other physical businesses, so the funds are absolutely safe.
1. I have been buying short-term stocks crazily in this period, and it has been fluctuating for 2 days.
The fluctuation range of the big cake is 92000-94000, and the fluctuation range is still relatively easy to eat.
2. Yesterday I bought 5000 yuan of#SerieA Atletico Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano single-home win, the result is 3:0, Xiaohong one single. (I usually like to watch football, a fake fan, but I like to do 2 orders)
Today I was almost drenched by #PUMP , thinking back still gives me cold sweats.
1. I saw the announcement from the Korean office on $PUMP and thought about doing a news trade, aiming for a small short-term gain.
2. As a result, once I entered, it dropped all the way 📉, directly falling to $0.12. In the meantime, I even added a few more positions, with the liquidation price at $0.1, damn it was so close.
3. Remedial measures along the way:
3.1 Opened a small short position to hedge and lowered the liquidation price.
3.2 Transferred my $rfc to cut losses and use it as margin.
3.3 Moved some coins from my on-chain wallet to use as margin.
4. It rebounded above water, and I decisively ran away. Almost ended up losing everything.
5. I will definitely never trade news coins & low market cap coins again. Also, the depth of these low market cap coins is appallingly bad (those who have traded them know, losses are infinitely amplified, and gains are severely shrunk).
Today I was almost drenched by #PUMP , thinking back still gives me cold sweats.
1. I saw the announcement from the Korean office on $PUMP and thought about doing a news trade, aiming for a small short-term gain.
2. As a result, once I entered, it dropped all the way 📉, directly falling to $0.12. In the meantime, I even added a few more positions, with the liquidation price at $0.1, damn it was so close.
3. Remedial measures along the way:
3.1 Opened a small short position to hedge and lowered the liquidation price.
3.2 Transferred my $rfc to cut losses and use it as margin.
3.3 Moved some coins from my on-chain wallet to use as margin.
4. It rebounded above water, and I decisively ran away. Almost ended up losing everything.
5. I will definitely never trade news coins & low market cap coins again. Also, the depth of these low market cap coins is appallingly bad (those who have traded them know, losses are infinitely amplified, and gains are severely shrunk).
Alpha Function Optimization Suggestions | #CyberWishing
As a long-term Binance user and an active participant in the on-chain secondary market, I am impressed by the innovative design of the Alpha function connecting CEX and DEX. After using the Alpha section recently, based on my actual experience, I would like to propose several optimization suggestions for reference.
Limit Order Functionality
The price fluctuations of on-chain projects are significant. Currently, the Alpha trading features are relatively basic. It is recommended to introduce a limit order mechanism, allowing users to set their own prices for orders, enabling better grasp of trading opportunities and risk management.
Display of Position Profit and Loss
It is recommended to add the display of cost price, current market value, floating profit and loss, etc., on the position interface to help users intuitively understand asset performance and improve decision-making efficiency.
The value of this tweet is still rising🔝, Binance is spending money to cultivate user habits.
Imagine this:
Currently, Alpha can only buy certain specified tokens. If in the future it allows purchasing all tokens on the chain using exchange funds without switching to a web3 wallet, it would be a revolutionary move.