that message was a direct one for someone specific....
Cais
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Bearish
@CZ no need to feel sorry. for me it's just money. Money = 🗑
Honesty and character are worth more than any fortune in the world. In the end, the money stays and all you take with you is your character.
I feel sorry for those who treat money as the most important thing in the world. They lend you temporary things to use while you're alive, but everything is borrowed, when you die you'll have to give it to other people and nothing lasts forever. Do you know what comes after death? I don't know, no one knows. But I do know one thing: you can't take money with you, you can't take anything that money can buy with you, you'll only take your honesty and your character with you. I feel sorry for those who sell themselves for money. They will never have anything.
Bitcoin has gone through four halving events, each marking cycles of expansion, correction, and accumulation in its price. Here are the key data points for each:
🔁 First halving – November 2012
Price at halving: ~$12 First peak: ~$266 (April 2013) Second peak: ~$1,150 (December 2013) Subsequent drop: -86% Bottom: ~$160 (January 2015)
🔁 Second halving – July 2016
Price at halving: ~$650 First peak: ~$3,000 (July 2017) Second peak: ~$19,700 (December 2017) Subsequent drop: -83% Bottom: ~$3,200 (December 2018)
🔁 Third halving – May 2020
Price at halving: ~$8,600 First peak: ~$64,000 (April 2021) Second peak: ~$69,000 (November 2021) Subsequent drop: -77% Bottom: ~$15,500 (November 2022)
🔁 Fourth halving – April 2024
Price at halving: ~$63,000 First peak: ~$73,800 (March 2024, pre-halving) Second peak: ~$105,000 (May 2025, post-halving) No confirmed drop yet, but if the historical pattern continues, the price could correct by up to 80%. This would imply a potential bottom between $20,000 and $30,000.
📉 Conclusion
Although it seems hard to imagine Bitcoin falling to $25,000, it has historically followed this repetitive cycle:
✅ Euphoria and rally → Explosive rise post-halving. ✅ Double peak → Two highs before the correction. ✅ Collapse → Strong drop in price. ✅ Silent accumulation → Recovery before the next halving.
Bitcoin's history shows that these cycles follow a pattern, but each halving has differences in context and adoption. Could it break the trend this time? Only time will tell. 🚀
#BTC☀ This analysis highlights the importance of the simple moving averages (SMA) of 50 and 100 days, which have formed a bullish crossover, indicating positive momentum in the macro market trend.
Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, emphasizes that $98,000 is a key level for the continuation of the bullish movement.
As always, it is essential for each investor to conduct their own research before making financial decisions, as the market carries inherent risks.
Summary
The price of Bitcoin remains trapped below $105,000, consolidating in a range of $101,500 - $105,000. Despite two failed attempts to break this resistance, the market still lacks a clear catalyst for a sustained rally. Reasons why Bitcoin does not surpass $105K:
🔹 Strong resistance at $105,000 prevents new highs. 🔹 Sell liquidity between $105,000 and $110,000 limits the advance. 🔹 Bearish traders generate pressure in the market. 🔹 No immediate catalyst to drive a bullish movement.
Key data: 📉 BTC production remains stable with support at $100,000. 📉 A test of the range $98,000 - $100,000 is expected before a possible breakout. 📈 Historically, the fear of retail traders has been a bullish signal.
The market remains in a consolidation phase, and investors should be alert to a possible breakout or drop before making strategic decisions.
Ready Guys, enough with improvements and updates, BOT working smartly at 100% 🔥 I have finished 🍂 Now we just have to wait ✨ (Context in my profile) #BTC #PEPE #xrp #ETH #NIL
What do you think guys? I continued modifying the code and now it can give me the results on Telegram in such a way that it is a more pleasant interface. Also, it can now show the result not just for one, but for several currencies at the same time.. (For those who don’t understand the post, context in my profile). This way we will know when to buy, when to sell, and when to hold. What do you think? Any suggestions or improvements? #BTC #PEPE #xrp #ETH #DOGE
six months ago I lost 50% of my investment, during this time I managed to recover 20% and suddenly I lose another 30% in less than 15 minutes. what is happening with this #😭😭😭.
⏳ Timeframe: 60 Minutes💰 Current price: 82,000 USD
Bitcoin remains firm in the zone of 82,000 USD, very close to the threshold of 83,000 USD. Despite recording a sequence of pullbacks, a visit to the level of 81,000 USD, considered a dynamic support in the short term, is not ruled out.
However, what is truly relevant from a macro perspective are the upper areas of high liquidity and possible interest from large operators, located between 88,000 and 92,000 USD. This range represents the first block of structural resistance, where the price could seek to capture liquidity before defining its next trend phase.
Is the death cross coming in $BTC just before the halving?
The daily chart of #BTC/USD shows clear signs: the 50 EMA is falling sharply and approaching the flat 200 EMA. If it continues like this, the death cross would be confirmed between April 16 and 22, just before the halving.
Historically (2012, 2016, 2020): Pre-halving death cross → fear → accumulation → post-halving rally. --- Where is the real bottom? - Optimal accumulation zone: $78,500 - $76,000 - Capitulation wick: $75,000 or even $73,500 - Matches with technical supports and key psychological levels for smart money. --- What to expect? - If the cross is confirmed, there could be a bearish or sideways phase that scares retail. - But if history rhymes, that area will be a great opportunity before the post-halving rally. --- Conclusion April will be decisive for Bitcoin: a bearish technical cross, but with a bullish halving in the background. History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes. And this rhyme is being written in real-time.
Is the death cross coming on $BTC just before the halving? 💀
The daily chart of #BTC/USD is showing very clear signals: the 50-period EMA continues to decline sharply and is dangerously close to the 200 EMA, which has already flattened. If the current pace continues, we would be seeing a confirmed death cross between April 16 and April 22, that is, just before Bitcoin's halving.
Historically, in previous cycles (2012, 2016, and 2020), this technical pattern has repeated:
Death cross before the halving → fear → accumulation → explosive post-halving rally.
⸻
Where could the real bottom be?
Based on price structure, moving averages, key levels, and volume: • Optimal accumulation zone: $78,500 – $76,000 • Possible capitulation wick: $75,000 or even $73,500 • This area coincides with previous technical supports and is psychologically strong for the entry of smart money.
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What can we expect? • If the cross is confirmed before the halving, it is very likely to provoke a last bearish or sideways move that could scare retail. • But if the historical pattern repeats, that zone will represent a great opportunity for accumulation before the post-halving launch.
⸻
Conclusion
Everything points to April being a decisive month for Bitcoin: A technical bearish cross… but at a time when the fundamental (halving) remains extremely bullish.
History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes. And this rhyme is being written in real time.
Explained: Is DeepSeek about to burst the AI bubble?
The artificial intelligence industry is going through a critical moment, and everything points to DeepSeek, a Chinese startup that has burst onto the scene, being a game-changer. Its advances have shown that it is possible to develop high-performance AI models at a fraction of the cost and resources used by today's tech giants. This has called into question the sustainability of the business model of many companies that rely on expensive hardware and massive energy consumption to train gigantic models.
Why could DeepSeek shake up the industry?
DeepSeek has managed to train its most advanced model, DeepSeek-V3, with 671 billion parameters for just $5.5 million, while models like OpenAI's GPT-4 would have required more than $100 million. This means that the traditional AI model, based on the accumulation of expensive hardware, could be on the verge of a transformation or collapse.
Companies that have invested billions of dollars in data centers packed with high-performance GPUs, such as NVIDIA, Google, Microsoft and Amazon, could face serious problems if DeepSeek proves that its approach is more efficient and scalable at low cost.
The risk for the industry
If DeepSeek's model takes hold, we could see a domino effect throughout the AI value chain:
Flooded used hardware market: Many startups that bet everything on expensive AI servers could be forced to sell off their equipment, creating a glut that collapses the prices of specialized GPUs and chips.
Revaluation of the business model: Tech companies that have based their growth on AI will need to justify huge investments, as investors begin to question whether so many resources are really required to obtain competitive results.
Paradigm shift in AI: If the efficiency demonstrated by DeepSeek is replicated, the need for infrastructure will be reduced
Hey, just updated my wallet thanks to all of you. Thank you! 😊 For those who are interested, here's the wallet balance: (If you have any suggestions, I'd be happy to hear them!) 🚀
If you are holding, take all your money out of this exchange and store it in a cold wallet.
Juan92Martin
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This is my investment up to this moment, I have been in this world for a short time and I know little, do you think it is good to buy #xrp still? In what other cryptos could I invest? Thank you for the recommendations
Currently, if $BTC breaks the resistance zone of $102800 and rises, then it will be possible to reach between $110k and $115k for Bitcoin. • In the 1D chart, $BTC tested the support zone of $89200 and bounced from the support zone. • Currently, $BTC is being rejected from a resistance zone of $97200. • If Bitcoin breaks the resistance of $97200 and rises, then the next resistance zone is at $99500. The main resistance area remains at $102800.
According to the Vice President of Research at Riot Platforms, Pierre Rochard, $97,570,183,560 reached over $19 trillion in transactions settled through the Bitcoin network in 2024, more than double the $8.7 trillion settled through the network in 2023, reversing two years of declining transaction volume since 2021.
you are crazy about TREZOR SAFE 5# I don't think they will take the throne away for a long time ...
Leban
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Don't leave your cryptos on an exchange
A cold wallet is a secure method of storing cryptocurrencies offline, reducing the risk of hacker attacks. There are two main types: hardware wallets, such as Ledger or Trezor, which are physical devices where private keys are protected, and paper wallets, which consist of a paper where the public and private keys are printed. To have a cold wallet, simply purchase a hardware wallet from a reputable manufacturer, set it up following the instructions and write down the seed phrase in a safe place, or create a paper wallet with reliable tools. Then, simply transfer your cryptocurrencies from the exchange or hot wallet to the cold wallet address.