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Why market down?
The crypto market fell 1.72% in 24h amid macroeconomic uncertainty and derivatives-driven selling.
Fed rate cut speculation – Weak U.S. jobs data fueled bets on aggressive easing, creating market indecision.
$700M liquidations – U.S. tariff hikes triggered cascading long-position closures, amplifying selling pressure.
Technical breakdown – Prices slipped below critical support levels, accelerating bearish momentum.
Deep Dive
1. Macro Jitters & Fed Policy (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
July’s revised U.S. jobs data (73K new jobs vs. 110K expected) and cumulative downward revisions of 258K positions sparked fears of economic cooling. BlackRock’s Rick Rieder flagged a potential 50bps Fed rate cut in September, creating conflicting narratives about crypto’s role as an inflation hedge versus risk asset.
What it means:
While rate cuts typically boost liquidity-sensitive assets, the abrupt shift in expectations caused short-term volatility. Crypto’s 24h correlation with Nasdaq-100 hit +0.85, reflecting shared sensitivity to growth fears.
2. Leverage Unwind Cascade (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Derivatives markets saw $709M liquidations in 24h – the largest this year – after U.S. tariff hikes triggered a risk-off wave. Ethereum led with $265M liquidated, mostly longs (77.5% of total).
What it means:
The 25.8% spike in perpetuals open interest to $889.6B preceding the drop created a powder keg. Negative funding rates (-20% 24h change) show traders rushed to short after the breakdown.
Watch for:
BTC’s $108,322-$119,203 liquidation zone – a break beyond could trigger another $5.7B in forced closures.
3. China Regulatory FUD (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Unverified reports of China considering a Bitcoin ownership ban circulated hours before the drop. While unconfirmed, the news impacted Asian trading sentiment – Chinese crypto communities saw increased stablecoin conversions.
What it means:
Historical precedent (2021 mining ban) makes China-related FUD impactful, though enforcement challenges limit practical effects. The timing exacerbated existing technical weakness.
Conclusion
Today’s dip reflects a perfect storm of macro uncertainty, derivatives over-leverage, and regional regulatory noise. While the Fed pivot narrative could support prices mid-term, traders should monitor whether BTC holds the $113K-$115K support cluster. Key question: Can Ethereum ETFs’ 20-day inflow streak (+$7.3B monthly) offset BTC’s weakening technicals?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#FOMCMeeting #ProjectCrypto #MarketPullback #WhiteHouseDigitalAssetReport #EthereumTurns10
Fed rate cut speculation – Weak U.S. jobs data fueled bets on aggressive easing, creating market indecision.
$700M liquidations – U.S. tariff hikes triggered cascading long-position closures, amplifying selling pressure.
Technical breakdown – Prices slipped below critical support levels, accelerating bearish momentum.
Deep Dive
1. Macro Jitters & Fed Policy (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
July’s revised U.S. jobs data (73K new jobs vs. 110K expected) and cumulative downward revisions of 258K positions sparked fears of economic cooling. BlackRock’s Rick Rieder flagged a potential 50bps Fed rate cut in September, creating conflicting narratives about crypto’s role as an inflation hedge versus risk asset.
What it means:
While rate cuts typically boost liquidity-sensitive assets, the abrupt shift in expectations caused short-term volatility. Crypto’s 24h correlation with Nasdaq-100 hit +0.85, reflecting shared sensitivity to growth fears.
2. Leverage Unwind Cascade (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Derivatives markets saw $709M liquidations in 24h – the largest this year – after U.S. tariff hikes triggered a risk-off wave. Ethereum led with $265M liquidated, mostly longs (77.5% of total).
What it means:
The 25.8% spike in perpetuals open interest to $889.6B preceding the drop created a powder keg. Negative funding rates (-20% 24h change) show traders rushed to short after the breakdown.
Watch for:
BTC’s $108,322-$119,203 liquidation zone – a break beyond could trigger another $5.7B in forced closures.
3. China Regulatory FUD (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Unverified reports of China considering a Bitcoin ownership ban circulated hours before the drop. While unconfirmed, the news impacted Asian trading sentiment – Chinese crypto communities saw increased stablecoin conversions.
What it means:
Historical precedent (2021 mining ban) makes China-related FUD impactful, though enforcement challenges limit practical effects. The timing exacerbated existing technical weakness.
Conclusion
Today’s dip reflects a perfect storm of macro uncertainty, derivatives over-leverage, and regional regulatory noise. While the Fed pivot narrative could support prices mid-term, traders should monitor whether BTC holds the $113K-$115K support cluster. Key question: Can Ethereum ETFs’ 20-day inflow streak (+$7.3B monthly) offset BTC’s weakening technicals?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#FOMCMeeting #ProjectCrypto #MarketPullback #WhiteHouseDigitalAssetReport #EthereumTurns10
🧠 Ethereum is preparing for its post-quantum future with the "Lean Ethereum" plan.
Justin Drake unveils a 10-year roadmap to enhance the security, scalability, and independence of the network.
Focus on this ambitious vision👇
#ProjectCrypto
Justin Drake unveils a 10-year roadmap to enhance the security, scalability, and independence of the network.
Focus on this ambitious vision👇
#ProjectCrypto
🛑 $BTC to $125k and ⟠ $ETH to $5k #Cancelled ❌?
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged, remains at 4.25\% - 4.50\%.
💥 Interest rate cut this July would have propelled another bullish run on BTC and Altcoins, but that didn't happen.
✅ What do you think is next for Crypto market?
#BelieveInSomETHing #Base #FOMCMeeting #EthereumTurns10 #ETHCorporateReserves
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged, remains at 4.25\% - 4.50\%.
💥 Interest rate cut this July would have propelled another bullish run on BTC and Altcoins, but that didn't happen.
✅ What do you think is next for Crypto market?
#BelieveInSomETHing #Base #FOMCMeeting #EthereumTurns10 #ETHCorporateReserves
BTC short-term support 116900, short-term bearish, resistance 119500
The Ethereum daily support is at 3560, short-term support at 3530, and resistance at 3650 and 3750. Although it is already in a downtrend, the pullback is limited and should only occur around next week; otherwise, the weekly support near 3080 will have too much volatility.
$BNB
The Ethereum daily support is at 3560, short-term support at 3530, and resistance at 3650 and 3750. Although it is already in a downtrend, the pullback is limited and should only occur around next week; otherwise, the weekly support near 3080 will have too much volatility.
$BNB
The price movement of Ethereum (ETH) has formed a clear channel, worth following closely by investors. Currently, the price of ETH has risen above the channel, and a pullback may occur around $3700 or $3750.
From a technical analysis perspective, ETH is currently in the second wave pullback phase of a three-wave downward pattern, while Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the third wave. This price movement suggests that BTC is unlikely to fall below $11,500 in the short term, and at the same time, ETH is also unlikely to break through its previous all-time high. If ETH were truly to continue its prior independent market trend, it would have likely already surpassed the previous high and would not be waiting until now.
Looking ahead, the price movement of ETH may develop as shown in the figure. Meanwhile, BTC is likely to continue consolidating for a period within the current range. Investors need to fully consider these technical factors when formulating trading strategies to avoid blind operations that could lead to unnecessary losses.
It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market is volatile, and investors should remain vigilant, always following market trends and adjusting their investment strategies in a timely manner. At the same time, it is important to recognize that technical analysis is only one of the reference factors for decision-making, and a comprehensive market analysis should also take into account fundamental factors and the macroeconomic environment.
#CryptoClarityAct
From a technical analysis perspective, ETH is currently in the second wave pullback phase of a three-wave downward pattern, while Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the third wave. This price movement suggests that BTC is unlikely to fall below $11,500 in the short term, and at the same time, ETH is also unlikely to break through its previous all-time high. If ETH were truly to continue its prior independent market trend, it would have likely already surpassed the previous high and would not be waiting until now.
Looking ahead, the price movement of ETH may develop as shown in the figure. Meanwhile, BTC is likely to continue consolidating for a period within the current range. Investors need to fully consider these technical factors when formulating trading strategies to avoid blind operations that could lead to unnecessary losses.
It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market is volatile, and investors should remain vigilant, always following market trends and adjusting their investment strategies in a timely manner. At the same time, it is important to recognize that technical analysis is only one of the reference factors for decision-making, and a comprehensive market analysis should also take into account fundamental factors and the macroeconomic environment.
#CryptoClarityAct
Recently, the Crypto Assets market has shown a positive trend, with Ethereum (ETH) performing particularly well, as its price has surpassed the $3700 mark, setting a new recent high. Following closely is Solana (SOL), which also demonstrates a strong pump momentum. Behind this wave of rising prices are deep-seated market driving factors.
The recently passed "GENIUS Act" provides a clear regulatory framework for stablecoin issuance in the United States, a move that is expected to push the crypto assets industry towards a more regulated development path. The implementation of this act is anticipated to directly stimulate demand for the Ethereum network and the decentralized finance (DeFi) applications running on it. Notably, the act explicitly prohibits "yield-generating stablecoins," a restriction that may steer more funds towards DeFi projects within the Ethereum ecosystem, seeking new profit opportunities.
In addition, the introduction of the "GENIUS Act" has prompted corporate finance departments to begin reassessing the strategic position of Crypto Assets. More and more institutions are starting to view ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, and other Crypto Assets as a new generation of encryption reserve assets. This shift in perception may lead to an influx of more institutional funds, further driving market development.
It is worth mentioning that these market changes are not entirely unexpected. Even before the bill was officially passed, there were already some positive signals in the market. For investors who are closely monitoring market dynamics, this wave of pump may be just the opportunity they have been waiting for.
With the gradual clarification of the regulatory environment and the increase in institutional participation, the crypto assets market may be entering a new development stage. However, investors still need to be cautious and closely monitor market trends and policy changes in order to make informed decisions in this market full of opportunities and challenges
.$XRP $ETH
The recently passed "GENIUS Act" provides a clear regulatory framework for stablecoin issuance in the United States, a move that is expected to push the crypto assets industry towards a more regulated development path. The implementation of this act is anticipated to directly stimulate demand for the Ethereum network and the decentralized finance (DeFi) applications running on it. Notably, the act explicitly prohibits "yield-generating stablecoins," a restriction that may steer more funds towards DeFi projects within the Ethereum ecosystem, seeking new profit opportunities.
In addition, the introduction of the "GENIUS Act" has prompted corporate finance departments to begin reassessing the strategic position of Crypto Assets. More and more institutions are starting to view ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, and other Crypto Assets as a new generation of encryption reserve assets. This shift in perception may lead to an influx of more institutional funds, further driving market development.
It is worth mentioning that these market changes are not entirely unexpected. Even before the bill was officially passed, there were already some positive signals in the market. For investors who are closely monitoring market dynamics, this wave of pump may be just the opportunity they have been waiting for.
With the gradual clarification of the regulatory environment and the increase in institutional participation, the crypto assets market may be entering a new development stage. However, investors still need to be cautious and closely monitor market trends and policy changes in order to make informed decisions in this market full of opportunities and challenges
.$XRP $ETH
THE ALTSEASON INDEX IS RIPPING.
SEND IT HIGHER! 🚀
Altseason Price Predictions
Ethereum ($ETH )
Current: ~$3,800
Short-Term Target: $4,500
Peak Prediction: $8,000–$10,000
Solana ($SOL )
Current: ~$190
Short-Term Target: $220
Peak Prediction: $300+
Cardano ($ADA )
Current: ~$0.73
Short-Term Target: $1.10
Peak Prediction: $7–$10
XRP
Current: ~$2.25
Short-Term Target: $3.50–$4.50
Peak Prediction: $6–$10
SUI
Current: ~$1.12
Short-Term Target: $2
Peak Prediction: $5–$8
SEI
Current: ~$0.34
Short-Term Target: $0.80
Peak Prediction: $3–$5
LILPEPE
Current: ~$0.0014
Short-Term Target: $0.30
Peak Prediction: $2
BONK
Current: ~$0.000065
Short-Term Target: $0.0001
Peak Prediction: 2x–3x from current levels
$SOL
#ETHBreaks3700 #BTCvsETH
#BTCvsETH
SEND IT HIGHER! 🚀
Altseason Price Predictions
Ethereum ($ETH )
Current: ~$3,800
Short-Term Target: $4,500
Peak Prediction: $8,000–$10,000
Solana ($SOL )
Current: ~$190
Short-Term Target: $220
Peak Prediction: $300+
Cardano ($ADA )
Current: ~$0.73
Short-Term Target: $1.10
Peak Prediction: $7–$10
XRP
Current: ~$2.25
Short-Term Target: $3.50–$4.50
Peak Prediction: $6–$10
SUI
Current: ~$1.12
Short-Term Target: $2
Peak Prediction: $5–$8
SEI
Current: ~$0.34
Short-Term Target: $0.80
Peak Prediction: $3–$5
LILPEPE
Current: ~$0.0014
Short-Term Target: $0.30
Peak Prediction: $2
BONK
Current: ~$0.000065
Short-Term Target: $0.0001
Peak Prediction: 2x–3x from current levels
$SOL
#ETHBreaks3700 #BTCvsETH
#BTCvsETH
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Altcoin Breakout Explained 🚀
When an altcoin — any cryptocurrency that isn't Bitcoin — absolutely smashes through a major price barrier with tons of trading action, you've got yourself an altcoin breakout! 📈 Think of it like a spring finally uncoiling after being compressed; the price has been chilling, maybe moving sideways, and then boom — it takes off!
Smart traders keep their eyes peeled for cool chart patterns like triangles, flags, or rectangles. These can often hint that a big move is coming. And when that breakout really hits? You'll see the trading volume explode 💥, showing that everyone's jumping in on the action.
These surges can be sparked by all sorts of things: hot new news, cool tech updates, or just a general buzz in the crypto world. If you're looking to catch one of these rockets, remember: timing is everything! You'll also want to be smart with your stop-loss orders and risk management to protect your gains.
Catching an altcoin breakout at the right moment can mean some seriously sweet short-term profits in the wild world of crypto! 💰
#AltcoinBreakout #CryptoTrading #BullRun #CryptoGains #AltcoinBreakout
When an altcoin — any cryptocurrency that isn't Bitcoin — absolutely smashes through a major price barrier with tons of trading action, you've got yourself an altcoin breakout! 📈 Think of it like a spring finally uncoiling after being compressed; the price has been chilling, maybe moving sideways, and then boom — it takes off!
Smart traders keep their eyes peeled for cool chart patterns like triangles, flags, or rectangles. These can often hint that a big move is coming. And when that breakout really hits? You'll see the trading volume explode 💥, showing that everyone's jumping in on the action.
These surges can be sparked by all sorts of things: hot new news, cool tech updates, or just a general buzz in the crypto world. If you're looking to catch one of these rockets, remember: timing is everything! You'll also want to be smart with your stop-loss orders and risk management to protect your gains.
Catching an altcoin breakout at the right moment can mean some seriously sweet short-term profits in the wild world of crypto! 💰
#AltcoinBreakout #CryptoTrading #BullRun #CryptoGains #AltcoinBreakout
According to data from the data platform, yesterday (Eastern Time July 18) the total net inflow of Ethereum Spot ETFs was $402 million, continuing 11 days of net inflows. The Ethereum Spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was a certain company's ETF, with a single-day net inflow of $395 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow of this ETF has reached $8.055 billion.
$ETH
#MyStrategyEvolution
$ETH
#MyStrategyEvolution
$ETH
🚨 JUST IN: Over $40M in 💎$ETH shorts LIQUIDATED in the last 60 minutes!
🔎 Bears just got wrecked — is Ethereum gearing up for liftoff?
#Ethereum #CryptoNews #Liquidation #Altcoins
🚨 JUST IN: Over $40M in 💎$ETH shorts LIQUIDATED in the last 60 minutes!
🔎 Bears just got wrecked — is Ethereum gearing up for liftoff?
#Ethereum #CryptoNews #Liquidation #Altcoins
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Bitcoin dropped 2.92% ($3,541) in 24h due to whale-driven profit-taking and technical overextension after hitting $123K ATH.
$2.1B BTC transfer from dormant whale sparked selloff fears
Overbought RSI (86.83) triggered profit-taking
$305M BTC liquidations amplified downside
Deep Dive
1. Primary Catalyst: Whale Activity
A 14-year dormant wallet moved 16,843 BTC ($2.1B) to Galaxy Digital on July 15, 2025 (CoinMarketCap). Concurrently, another whale closed a long position and opened shorts after Bitcoin neared $123K, booking $228K profit (Binance). These moves:
Created panic about institutional distribution
Coincided with price rejection at $123,091 ATH
2. Technical Context: Overheated Indicators
Key metrics signaled exhaustion:
RSI7: 86.83 (most overbought since June 2025)
MACD divergence: Rising price vs flattening momentum
Fibonacci resistance: Failed breakout above 127.2% extension ($129,838)
Traders targeted the 23.6% Fib retracement at $117,237 – precisely where BTC settled (-2.92%).
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s dip reflects natural profit-taking after a parabolic 40% 90-day rally, exacerbated by whale movements and derivatives unwinding. With the 30-day SMA ($108,571) still rising and ETF inflows persisting, this appears corrective rather than trend-reversing.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#BTC120kVs125kToday #USCryptoWeek #MemecoinSentiment #CPIdata #TradingStrategyMistakes
$2.1B BTC transfer from dormant whale sparked selloff fears
Overbought RSI (86.83) triggered profit-taking
$305M BTC liquidations amplified downside
Deep Dive
1. Primary Catalyst: Whale Activity
A 14-year dormant wallet moved 16,843 BTC ($2.1B) to Galaxy Digital on July 15, 2025 (CoinMarketCap). Concurrently, another whale closed a long position and opened shorts after Bitcoin neared $123K, booking $228K profit (Binance). These moves:
Created panic about institutional distribution
Coincided with price rejection at $123,091 ATH
2. Technical Context: Overheated Indicators
Key metrics signaled exhaustion:
RSI7: 86.83 (most overbought since June 2025)
MACD divergence: Rising price vs flattening momentum
Fibonacci resistance: Failed breakout above 127.2% extension ($129,838)
Traders targeted the 23.6% Fib retracement at $117,237 – precisely where BTC settled (-2.92%).
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s dip reflects natural profit-taking after a parabolic 40% 90-day rally, exacerbated by whale movements and derivatives unwinding. With the 30-day SMA ($108,571) still rising and ETF inflows persisting, this appears corrective rather than trend-reversing.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#BTC120kVs125kToday #USCryptoWeek #MemecoinSentiment #CPIdata #TradingStrategyMistakes
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what next ?
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