Strategist's Market Analysis: (Bottom of Issue 226) A new round of bull market is starting, and the pullback is a chance to buy! No more nonsense, the market is completely on Trump's side!!
The interest rate cut cycle starts in September, with market predictions of an 85% chance of a rate cut in September! In October, the chance of a rate cut exceeds 90%, and there may be several rate cuts within the year! The Labor Secretary has been replaced, and the Federal Reserve Board member is also a Trump nominee, and Trump is a fervent supporter of rate cuts, so the second half of 2025 will definitely see a crazy market. What reason is there not to invest?
The liquidation chart shows that the 120,000 short positions have accumulated significantly, and there are many brothers who are bearish in the market. Is the fuel running low? Going short is the driving force of the bull market, an important contributor! Just a little more touch and it will be cut!
Bitcoin is giving an opportunity; 113,000 is the last chance for the brothers to strike! Today is August 5th, commemorating last year's passionate days! History does not repeat itself but is astonishingly similar; August builds the bottom, and September starts the interest rate cut cycle! Many brothers are starting to turn bearish again, increasing short positions, missing out is one thing, but losing everything is a total disaster! Lastly, a warm reminder: it’s better to stay still than to go short! Even if you miss out, there are still bullets left; if you have bullets, there is still a chance! Taking the strategist's previous wave as an example, the mainstream missed the opportunity but the altcoins also made a comeback!
Finance军师
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Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 225) A new round of bottoming out, is the market rebounding or reversing? Last week, there was a panic sell-off, and on Thursday during the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, Trump visited Powell in advance, resulting not in a rate cut, but a lower probability of a rate cut in September! On Friday, Trump made a strong comeback, exposing the false non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate, and the Labor Secretary was directly dismissed by Trump. Federal Reserve Governor Kuegler resigned, and the probability of a rate cut in September rose back to 80%! This week, Trump will appoint a new Labor Secretary and a new Federal Reserve Governor, who could possibly be the next Federal Reserve Chair. Trump is now fully unleashing his firepower; he is a strong supporter of rate cuts! Will this dictatorial approach eventually collapse? Time will tell! In the early stages of implementation, the market is bound to be prosperous; we will only know what issues arise later! This is definitely a huge benefit for the crypto market; Trump made his fortune through crypto! I think it is too early to see the market as bearish now; the economic crisis is still a long way off, possibly until 2026! In the six months since Trump took office, I believe he has been an incredibly impressive president! Let's take a look at the market: Check the liquidation chart: the bears have had a good time for a while, and now there are some people viewing the bear market. The liquidity for bears above 120,000 is still very sufficient, much more than the accumulation of bulls below, which aligns with the goal of upward liquidation!
Bitcoin's K-line: The price has already tested the support of the upward trend line at 112,000! This position definitely cannot fall further; if it falls below this upward trend, it will break down, symbolizing an end! If it holds here and goes up, it won't come down anymore, and if it does come down later, it will signify the end of a bull market!
Bitcoin ETF had the largest single-day sell-off last Friday with 7,000 bitcoins, worth 800 million USD! This is also a historical level of sell-off for ETFs. The specific reason I mentioned at the beginning; Trump and Powell had a showdown, and this historical level of panic has ended, marking a new beginning!
Summary: Recently, I have been urging everyone to buy at the bottom. Simply put, Trump's presidential career hasn't truly started yet; he is still clearing the influence of the former president. When Trump takes decisive action, that will be the time for the market to explode. I believe Trump has the capability for America's resurgence! Everything in the crypto world has just begun!
Strategist's Late Night Thoughts: (Issue 116) BTC/ETH/SOL Bottom Layout is Good, Waiting for the Bloom! The bullish market thinking remains unchanged, the current goal is to layout spot at the bottom, waiting for the last wave of the main bull market. For those who were hesitant to buy in the past couple of days, there will be opportunities for pullbacks, so don't hesitate to take action!
BTC: Pullbacks to 113500/112000 are good buying points!
ETH still has decent cost-performance, and I can still recommend it. 3450 is a pullback position, and it's not a big issue to see 4000 above!
SOL, as long as it pulls back to around 160, is a cost-performance position. Just buy it and hold! The strategic reserve for SOL in the US stock market has also started, and there are big opportunities for future performance!
Summary: Never short, there’s no problem with spot layout, just hold on!! The market will start to surge after August 10!
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 225) A new round of bottoming out, is the market rebounding or reversing? Last week, there was a panic sell-off, and on Thursday during the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, Trump visited Powell in advance, resulting not in a rate cut, but a lower probability of a rate cut in September! On Friday, Trump made a strong comeback, exposing the false non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate, and the Labor Secretary was directly dismissed by Trump. Federal Reserve Governor Kuegler resigned, and the probability of a rate cut in September rose back to 80%! This week, Trump will appoint a new Labor Secretary and a new Federal Reserve Governor, who could possibly be the next Federal Reserve Chair. Trump is now fully unleashing his firepower; he is a strong supporter of rate cuts! Will this dictatorial approach eventually collapse? Time will tell! In the early stages of implementation, the market is bound to be prosperous; we will only know what issues arise later! This is definitely a huge benefit for the crypto market; Trump made his fortune through crypto! I think it is too early to see the market as bearish now; the economic crisis is still a long way off, possibly until 2026! In the six months since Trump took office, I believe he has been an incredibly impressive president! Let's take a look at the market: Check the liquidation chart: the bears have had a good time for a while, and now there are some people viewing the bear market. The liquidity for bears above 120,000 is still very sufficient, much more than the accumulation of bulls below, which aligns with the goal of upward liquidation!
Bitcoin's K-line: The price has already tested the support of the upward trend line at 112,000! This position definitely cannot fall further; if it falls below this upward trend, it will break down, symbolizing an end! If it holds here and goes up, it won't come down anymore, and if it does come down later, it will signify the end of a bull market!
Bitcoin ETF had the largest single-day sell-off last Friday with 7,000 bitcoins, worth 800 million USD! This is also a historical level of sell-off for ETFs. The specific reason I mentioned at the beginning; Trump and Powell had a showdown, and this historical level of panic has ended, marking a new beginning!
Summary: Recently, I have been urging everyone to buy at the bottom. Simply put, Trump's presidential career hasn't truly started yet; he is still clearing the influence of the former president. When Trump takes decisive action, that will be the time for the market to explode. I believe Trump has the capability for America's resurgence! Everything in the crypto world has just begun!
Ten small goals, made a profit after shorting last time and now officially going long! Opened long position of 1930 BTC at an average price of 112992 Opened long position of 8126 Ethereum at an average price of 3466
The final blow to the market fell after the Labor Department falsified unemployment and non-farm data!! The honeymoon period between Trump and Powell is over, and the fighting is about to begin again! The data for May and June is completely fabricated; there are real political insider issues involved here! The expectation for interest rate cuts in September dropped to 40% after Powell's speech, then soared to 80% after the release of non-farm data and unemployment figures! Currently, the issue of interest rate cuts is not simply a market issue; there are significant internal political problems, it’s a matter of party struggles!! The Labor Secretary is about to be directly pressed down by Trump!