thom03

#BTC☀

《After the Callback — Is the Trend Still There?》

The big coin has dropped significantly, and the trend has been somewhat damaged. The hourly chart shows signs of a stop and rebound, with the 87000 level now acting as resistance, suppressing the rebound of the big coin, while support has returned to around 84500.

Ethereum is still the same Ethereum, which has been despised in this bull market. The support around 2050 no longer exists, and the 2000 level is facing another test, with support around 1980. If 1980 is lost, Ethereum has the potential to drop to 1800.

On the hourly chart, although Ethereum shows signs of stopping the decline alongside the big coin, it is very weak and cannot withstand a second pullback. Typically, this kind of market does not correct in one go, and there may be continued downward movement in the early morning; preparations should be made.

After tomorrow's consolidation, if the big coin and Ethereum can stabilize above the support, we can still make up for our positions, and being cautious in such a market is certainly wise. Everyone should be patient and wait.


#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析
#山寨币热点
#加密市场盘整

3.21 Today's Funds Wishing Everyone Prosperity #币安LaunchpoolNIL $BNB

The publicly shared short position of BTC at 87000 🤷‍♂️ has already made a profit of 3000 points and is still being held 💰
Originally, before the crypto summit speech began, the crypto community generally believed that Trump would bring positive news to the crypto market, but just now, Trump's speech at the crypto summit ended hastily in just two minutes, without bringing any substantial positive news to the crypto market. So, the positive expectation fell through, leading to negative sentiment.
The short position at 87000 continues to expand its floating profit 📉📉 The entire network publicly shared this information in advance for free, entering the short position of 87000 Bitcoin. Such precise analysis only requires a click to follow 😘

$BTC

$ETH

Short position ready to take profit, long position ready to enter! #币安投票上币 #特朗普数字资产峰会演讲 #美SEC将放弃对Ripple的上诉

🌈 BTC 🌈
Today's Short Long Strategy for Bitcoin
Entry 84820
Take Profit 86050
Stop Loss 83750
#BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #币安投票上币 #特朗普数字资产峰会演讲 #你问我答 $BTC

@CZ CZ's fans on platform X have surpassed 10 million! $BNB

Today, the biggest comfort for Brother Lie should be helping a newly met brother get out of a heavily short position! Otherwise, he would have suffered a floating loss of over 1️⃣ thousand U, but instead, he ended up making over 7️⃣ hundred U! Therefore, the crypto world is a matter of one thought being heaven and another thought being hell; whether it is heaven or hell completely depends on your understanding! In the market, the most important understanding you need is to improve your technical analysis skills! Otherwise, in the end, you will just be fuel for the market!
ps: Brother Lie has no paid services, be cautious of scams!

Those who kept up are eating meat
BCH 336 entered Highest 349.69 Increase 4%

LTC 90.6 entered Highest 94.56 Increase 4.3%

I can't offer you high returns here, trading contracts depends on my mood, the overall win rate is just fabricated, basically I close positions after a profit of a few hundred points, last month I had a total return of 21%, which is just investment income. If you have idle money that you're not using, you might as well follow contract trading, consider it as investment here. If you're looking to double your money in a month or something like that, I don't have that capability, and you don't need to follow my trades. Click on my avatar, choose their trades → contracts → fixed ratio follow → stop-loss setting 95.

Funds Steadily Await Bitcoin, Are Altcoin Rotations Coming to an End?

In the past, the crypto market followed the script of 'Bitcoin leading the charge, altcoins rotating': in 2017 and 2021, after attracting funds, altcoins surged, and the market thrived. However, in 2025, this model seems to have failed.

ETF Lockup and Liquidity Drain
Institutional funds in Bitcoin ETFs are primarily held, not speculative, leading to a decrease in liquidity. The market capitalization of altcoins accounted for 38.7% in 2021, dropping to 14.2% in 2025. MicroStrategy holds over 300,000 Bitcoins, allowing institutions to profit indirectly through its stock without risking investment in altcoins.

Proliferation and Dilution of Altcoins
The number of altcoins has surged from thousands in 2021 to 12 million in 2025, with MEME coins and junk tokens flooding the market. On the SOL chain, 870,000 MEME tokens were issued in 2024, with only 3.7% surviving beyond 30 days, resulting in heavy losses for retail investors and difficulty in capital recovery.

New Rules for the PVP Model
The market has entered a 'player versus player' phase, where early entrants profit, and later entrants become 'exit liquidity'. The strategy of 'buy-hold-wait for rotation' has failed; Binance's CZ claims that 99% of traders holding Bitcoin have higher returns. A few quality projects may welcome a 'selective market'.

Strengthening of Bitcoin's Dominance
The inflow of ETFs and institutional funds has made Bitcoin resemble 'digital gold', reducing volatility and increasing its dominance. In the market transformation of 2025, most altcoins will be eliminated, while quality projects need real use cases and community support to survive. Investors must adapt to new rules to avoid becoming 'exit liquidity'.

5 Golden Rules of Position Management: Full Cycle Control from Risk to Return

1. Risk Bottom Line: Single Point Breakthrough → Global Security

• Hard Stop Loss: Single loss ≤ 2% of total capital, black swan not deadly;

• Counter-Cyclical Positioning: Reduce position at high (PE > 80% percentile), increase at low (equity-debt yield differential reaches extreme);

• Zero Leverage Survival: Refuse financing, extreme volatility does not lead to liquidation!

2. Opportunity Sniping: Trend is King, Strike with Precision

• Trial Position - Increase Strategy: 5% base position for trial and error, increase to 20% upon breaking key points (such as annual line);

• Bull Market Exit: PE percentile > 90%, halve equity position;

• Panic Bottom Fishing: Retain 30% cash, buy in batches after a sharp drop!

3. Capital Efficiency: Layered Operations, Both Offense and Defense

• Short (10%): Hot ETFs/Thematic Stocks, quick in and out;

• Medium (40%): Resonance of Fundamentals + Technicals (e.g., earnings exceeding expectations + volume breakout);

• Long (30%): High Dividend/Growth Leaders, harness compound interest!

4. Anti-Human Nature Game: Tame Greed and Fear with Rules

• Half Position Roller Coaster: Flexibility in choppy markets, avoid full position anxiety;

• Individual Stock Position Limit 20%: Prevent “all-in” trap;

• Profit and Loss Isolation: Take profit on gained part, hold principal part, maintain composure!

5. Compound Interest Engine: Drawdown Control = Return Accelerator

• Halve Drawdown, Double Returns: If annualized return is 15%, drawdown from 30% → 15%, final value earns 2.7 times more;

• Volatility Matching: Halve position for high volatility varieties (e.g., Sci-Tech Innovation Board);

• Quantitative Position Adjustment: Use ATR indicator to dynamically match position with market risk!

Streamlined Practical Example (2024 Strategy):

• Risk Control: CSI 300 PE > 15 times, equity position from 80% → 50%;

• Opportunity Capture: New Energy PB < 1.5 times, 10% trial position → increase to 20% upon trend reversal;

• Capital Layering: 30% Coal/Bank (dividend base) + 20% AI ETF (swing trading)

→ Core Logic: Exchange position for win rate, win against human nature with discipline.

#币安LaunchpoolNIL sent money, sent money $BNB

#BTC☀

《Risk Warning — Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision》

The entire market has favorable factors, but the overall sentiment remains weak, likely related to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2 AM tomorrow. Most of the market has chosen to wait and see, waiting to choose their camp after the announcement of good or bad news.

After two interest rate cuts, the exchange rate has reached 4.5%. The market expectation this time is also 4.5%. Taco expects it to meet expectations and remain stable, but hopes for a rate cut to inject some vitality into this sluggish market.

Bitcoin mainly experienced fluctuating declines yesterday. After breaking the trendline on the 4-hour chart, 82000 became a resistance level, and the bottom has also lowered, with strong support around 79800.

Ethereum needs no further explanation; its presence is inevitable in a market downturn. Taco mentioned that resistance is around 1950. It peaked at 1952 early yesterday morning before starting a downward trend, with support around 1780 and resistance still at around 1950.

Knowing that there may be risks, fans who open positions need to avoid this time point and not gamble on the direction. With such significant news, the probability of sharp fluctuations is high, and one must be aware in advance.



#山寨币热点
#BTC走势分析
#加密市场盘整
#BNBChainMeme热潮

#btc Teachers have just clarified that there are many directions, but as a result, many were trapped again! I really have no words for you! Yesterday, when it was time to go long, I was caught in the main upward wave and received a harsh lesson! Now, when it’s time to go short, I’m afraid to enter the market! So, mindless longs and mindless shorts are from the same group of people! These people have one thing in common: they know nothing about trends and structures, which is why they keep getting slapped in the face! Alright! Back to the point, this pullback of Bitcoin has triggered the main downward wave at the 1️⃣h level after breaking through key support! So congratulations 🎉🎉🎉🎉 to the free family for keeping up with the rhythm and making profits from these two short positions in ETH and BTC!
PS: Brother Lie has no paid services, be cautious of scams!

👍👍👍Advantages of Cashback:
1. When your position is profitable, your cashback is another source of income!
2. When your position is break-even, the cashback is your profit!
3. When your position incurs a loss or is liquidated, cashback can help you recover and start again!

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