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BTC Four Hours: Rebound Meets Resistance, Entering Range Trading Stage
BTC is currently oscillating around $105,000. After rebounding from the 101K–102K range, the price has reached the upper resistance zone of 105.5K–106.2K. This is a dense trading area from the previous decline and the main defensive zone for bears.
Structurally, the market is still in a repair rebound phase after the decline. The upper highs continue to decrease, and the lower lows have not risen. The main trend remains bearish, with the rebound more of a technical correction and the short-term bulls slightly prevailing, but the sentiment is not strong.
Funds are attempting to gamble on a breakout, but the volume has not increased significantly. Once the rebound loses strength, sentiment may immediately turn to “high and then fall back.”
The current market resembles a psychological game:
Bulls want to push up, bears have not retreated, and when trading is sluggish, prices are pulled back and forth within the range.
The more chaotic this phase, the easier it is to be swayed by emotions.
Rebound under pressure + range oscillation
The most likely trend now is to maintain an oscillation in the 103.8K–106K range.
A rise to 106K meets resistance and stagnation, while a drop to 104K finds support. Both sides are exhausting each other, waiting for new news to drive the market.
High Selling Zone: 105.5K–106.2K
Low Buying Zone: 103.8K–104.2K

A valid close above 106.2K → Target 108.5K / 110K
Break below 103.8K → Backtest 102K / Psychological level 100K
Focus on high selling and low buying, keep positions light, do not chase highs or panic sell;
Single volatility of 2–3%, quick in and out for short-term trades;
When there are no certain signals, remain on the sidelines.
If a breakout and stable close above 106.2K occurs, consider following on the right side; accumulate in batches at 105.6K–105.9K, with a stop loss at 104.8K;
Target: 108.5K–110K.
If 105.5K–106.2K faces resistance and breaks below 104.8K, consider light shorting,
Target 103K–102K.
Trading within a range tests patience and discipline.
Do not chase highs, do not force reversals, and strictly apply stop losses.
Single trade risk ≤ 2% of funds; reduce positions when targets are reached, and move stop losses up to the entry price.
The winners in a volatile market are not necessarily the ones who predict it best,
but those who can endure the repeated fluctuations.
The market is still in a range trading phase in the short term, with bulls and bears battling in the 105.5K–106.2K area.
Without a significant breakout, all rebounds are repairs, not reversals.
“Range oscillation is the main theme, rebound is observed but not chased.
Breaking 106.2K will lead to a discussion of continuation, while breaking 104.8K will be seen as weakening.”
Long periods of stability must eventually break, but the wait before the break is the hardest.
Patience is not empty waiting, but waiting for certainty.