thedefivillain
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Insane strength on $BTC since early 2023
The standard drawdown to buy is -20%, max allowed was -33%
Whenever it feels like the world is ending and VIX reaches 50 (yen carry trade unwind, peak tariff fud), buy with both hands
The standard drawdown to buy is -20%, max allowed was -33%
Whenever it feels like the world is ending and VIX reaches 50 (yen carry trade unwind, peak tariff fud), buy with both hands
For people that are talking about $BTC "nearing the end of the cycle", what exactly are you waiting for BTC to do after the top ?
Give you a $30K entry that you can ride off into the sunset with ?
Give you a $30K entry that you can ride off into the sunset with ?
For people that are talking about $BTC "nearing the end of the cycle", what exactly are you waiting for BTC to do after the top ?
Give you a $30K entry that you can ride off into the sunset with ?
Give you a $30K entry that you can ride off into the sunset with ?
Want a simple indicator ?
It's pretty much guaranteed that Saylor keeps buying as long as the MSTR/IBIT ratio remains above 6
It's pretty much guaranteed that Saylor keeps buying as long as the MSTR/IBIT ratio remains above 6
This $LAYER chart is so nasty
Up only for weeks, giga down in a day, and then just bleeding down
Up only for weeks, giga down in a day, and then just bleeding down
LAUNCHCOIN price action could mirror GOAT price action, where it basically went up in a straight line from sub $10M to $500M mcap, before having a severe -65% drawdown after the FUD about truth terminal tweets being written by a human
Right now LAUNCHCOIN is down -50% from its $360M top, and the FUD is about the broken mechanism (too much $ leaking to snipers + not enough fees to creators)
I don't have any opinion about the FUD, and currently no position on LAUNCHCOIN, but an accelerated capitulation to $100M could offer a good buying opportunity
Right now LAUNCHCOIN is down -50% from its $360M top, and the FUD is about the broken mechanism (too much $ leaking to snipers + not enough fees to creators)
I don't have any opinion about the FUD, and currently no position on LAUNCHCOIN, but an accelerated capitulation to $100M could offer a good buying opportunity
MOODENG reached $700M mcap, then went down -97%, then pumped 15X off the bottom to almost $350M.
I went back into my crypto history memories and I can't think of a single coin that had such extreme "down then up" moves in such a short period (6 months).
[BONK is a rare example of coin that was able to reach a new ATH after a -96% move from a $300M+ top, but this was after a longer period, and BONK had much less competition during its Q4 23 pump.]
Given the fact that this is already such an outlier, I am pretty convinced that MOODENG topped again for a long time.
Obviously crypto is a place where outliers and 2-3 standard deviation moves are common, and maybe the MOODENG supply has been cornered so much that this reasoning is irrelevant, so I can be wrong.
I went back into my crypto history memories and I can't think of a single coin that had such extreme "down then up" moves in such a short period (6 months).
[BONK is a rare example of coin that was able to reach a new ATH after a -96% move from a $300M+ top, but this was after a longer period, and BONK had much less competition during its Q4 23 pump.]
Given the fact that this is already such an outlier, I am pretty convinced that MOODENG topped again for a long time.
Obviously crypto is a place where outliers and 2-3 standard deviation moves are common, and maybe the MOODENG supply has been cornered so much that this reasoning is irrelevant, so I can be wrong.
The masculine urge to short LAUNCHCOIN at a completely random price just because funding is super positive and it's up 20x in 2 days
I think it makes sense to be cautious for now and wait to see if $BTC does really have enough gas in the tank to reach ATH again
Remember that a bad spot BTC purchase will probably be saved anyway, but a bad altcoin purchase is likely to never be saved
Remember that a bad spot BTC purchase will probably be saved anyway, but a bad altcoin purchase is likely to never be saved
What's the best platform to check the top 5m / 15m movers on CEXes ?
I use Orion but wondering if there is something else better
I use Orion but wondering if there is something else better
Since its top, it looks like $XRP has gone back to its usual behaviour of "spike then bleed"
But this was risk-off season too, so let's see how it will do here
But this was risk-off season too, so let's see how it will do here
In November, many CEX memes actually peaked in mid-November, so they were the first to pump strongly right after the election night, and then dino coins started running hard until early December
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