I review coins to help you. I'm not an overly bull technician, and not an overly bear one. I hope to be realistic, and I side with the higher odds side.
Humble $BTC Analysis. Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.
What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.
If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.
If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.
Very happ right now, having shorted BTC at around 109k.
The Green Investor
--
Bearish
THE BEAR MARKET IS COMING!!!! 🐻🐻🐻
THE BULLS WILL GET LIQUIDATED!!! 🐂❌💀
AND WE WILL LAUGH AT THEM! 😂 🎉 😂
"a Recession will be caused in the 2nd half of the year" — Elon musk, the Richest Man on Earth 🌎
Bitcoin is currently close to its all time high. There's no more TIME for another rally. But don't worry! Have you ever heard of margin? have you ever heard of Futures? YOU TOO can make money out of a Bear Market!
Yes, that's called "shorting", and you should learn about if you want to be AHEAD of all the STUPID bulls who think this is going up forever.
Here's an advice! Short ONLY $BTC . Why? It's because the Dominance is way too high, and there's a high chance it will flow to ETH and Alts eventually.
Yes, a scenario by which ETH goes up and BTC goes down is plausible.
Nevertheless, BTC has pushed everything it could during this cycle. 120k is the max it will push. 140k will just NOT happen. 160k will Absolutely not happen.
So here's the strategy: • Put 70% of your Liquidity on Margin • SHORT BTC NOW with 50% of your liquidity (e.g. $5,000 if your margin has $10,000), so your liquidation will be at triple the price (you cannot get liquidated at all.) • SHORT BTC with your remaining liquidity at 120k, if that happens. (Your liquidation will be at >200k, you cannot get liquidated at all.) • Hold the position until the bottom of the bear market, 2 years from here. Have fun, you're expected to get at least 60% of your position back, minus the taxes.
> Keep the 30% liquidity you haven't added to this short and long your favorite altcoins.
No need to thank me later, just make sure to come back to this post to laugh at the bulls 😂🍀
Even if it still fights a little, the time for the Bear Market is due. Those prepared will make the money. Those unprepared will have to tank the dips.
The Green Investor
--
Bearish
THE BEAR MARKET IS COMING!!!! 🐻🐻🐻
THE BULLS WILL GET LIQUIDATED!!! 🐂❌💀
AND WE WILL LAUGH AT THEM! 😂 🎉 😂
"a Recession will be caused in the 2nd half of the year" — Elon musk, the Richest Man on Earth 🌎
Bitcoin is currently close to its all time high. There's no more TIME for another rally. But don't worry! Have you ever heard of margin? have you ever heard of Futures? YOU TOO can make money out of a Bear Market!
Yes, that's called "shorting", and you should learn about if you want to be AHEAD of all the STUPID bulls who think this is going up forever.
Here's an advice! Short ONLY $BTC . Why? It's because the Dominance is way too high, and there's a high chance it will flow to ETH and Alts eventually.
Yes, a scenario by which ETH goes up and BTC goes down is plausible.
Nevertheless, BTC has pushed everything it could during this cycle. 120k is the max it will push. 140k will just NOT happen. 160k will Absolutely not happen.
So here's the strategy: • Put 70% of your Liquidity on Margin • SHORT BTC NOW with 50% of your liquidity (e.g. $5,000 if your margin has $10,000), so your liquidation will be at triple the price (you cannot get liquidated at all.) • SHORT BTC with your remaining liquidity at 120k, if that happens. (Your liquidation will be at >200k, you cannot get liquidated at all.) • Hold the position until the bottom of the bear market, 2 years from here. Have fun, you're expected to get at least 60% of your position back, minus the taxes.
> Keep the 30% liquidity you haven't added to this short and long your favorite altcoins.
No need to thank me later, just make sure to come back to this post to laugh at the bulls 😂🍀
"a Recession will be caused in the 2nd half of the year" — Elon musk, the Richest Man on Earth 🌎
Bitcoin is currently close to its all time high. There's no more TIME for another rally. But don't worry! Have you ever heard of margin? have you ever heard of Futures? YOU TOO can make money out of a Bear Market!
Yes, that's called "shorting", and you should learn about if you want to be AHEAD of all the STUPID bulls who think this is going up forever.
Here's an advice! Short ONLY $BTC . Why? It's because the Dominance is way too high, and there's a high chance it will flow to ETH and Alts eventually.
Yes, a scenario by which ETH goes up and BTC goes down is plausible.
Nevertheless, BTC has pushed everything it could during this cycle. 120k is the max it will push. 140k will just NOT happen. 160k will Absolutely not happen.
So here's the strategy: • Put 70% of your Liquidity on Margin • SHORT BTC NOW with 50% of your liquidity (e.g. $5,000 if your margin has $10,000), so your liquidation will be at triple the price (you cannot get liquidated at all.) • SHORT BTC with your remaining liquidity at 120k, if that happens. (Your liquidation will be at >200k, you cannot get liquidated at all.) • Hold the position until the bottom of the bear market, 2 years from here. Have fun, you're expected to get at least 60% of your position back, minus the taxes.
> Keep the 30% liquidity you haven't added to this short and long your favorite altcoins.
No need to thank me later, just make sure to come back to this post to laugh at the bulls 😂🍀
🪙 BITCOIN Correction will likely start. We're inside a 4h order block, and just finishing a SHS structure on $BTC .
Stop loss above the current last top, at $105800. Preferably SL at 106500, a bit higher.
Short all the way until 98k, 94k, 90k, 86.5k; the TPs.
If it loses 86.5k, things will get spicy.
🛍️ Altcoins I have nothing to say about the alts, as some of them will likely pump while BTC falls.
If $ETH decides to undergo correction as well, 2300ish would be a good price to start buying again. In this case, a lot of ethereum-alts will fall as well.
There's the chance that BTC.D will fall alongside BTC, and in this case, alts won't suffer as much.
Humble $BTC Analysis. Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.
What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.
If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.
If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.
Also, approach $BTC longs with caution. Even though we are experiencing what could be a potential altseason, with ETH over performing BTC and some alts starting to flourish; we are still hovering over the COMPLACENCY cycle period.
In 2020-2021 BTC's complacency broke above the previous top. In 2015-2016 BTC's complacency marked a lower top.
Now, in 2025, it's a mystery whether or not we'll make a higher top. It might even make an EVEN top! Imagine, two touches at 109700, then Bear Market. Would be funny!
Alt-wise and ETH-wise, we're entering an altseason for sure. BTC dominance was at its max and it's starting to fall. It's a good moment to long ETH and your favorite alts.
What are your thoughts on this year's complacency? Will BTC break above the previous top or will it make a lower top?
$ETH is up. Just broke above the trendline that was pushing it down.
This week, economic data has been mixed.
FED has been positive to $BTC as JPowell said something in the lines of "we will not be against innovation" when questioned about Cryptocurrency.
GDP data has been negative to $BTC while Jobless claims has been positive. Overall, GDP is more important than jobless claims so yesterday's data has been overall negative.
Today, PCE data came out as expected.
In this scenario, a rise to 110k followed by a dump to 93k seems the most plausible scenario.
ETH might once again reach $4000.
if ETH reaches that high, all Ethereum-based altcoins will pump.
the market sentiment seems to have been shifted more bullish than bearish rn.
Usually low cap altcoins with 1 Billion (1000 million) available tokens range between $0.1~1
$TRUMP 's token has currently 200 Million available tokens and will unlock more only 3 months from here.
Since President Trump's group holds 80% of the available amount; that leaves only 40 Million $TRUMP to be traded here in the outside market.
So, right now, TRUMP behaves like an altcoin with 40 Million tokens.
Since the current Market Cap is 5.35 Billion USD; Trump's 80% share holds 4.28 Billion USD of that, leaving us with a external 1.07 billion USD tradeable by our market.
Trump's altcoin is, essentially, a 1B market cap altcoin with 40 Million available tokens.
Now remember when I mentioned that most low cap altcoins with 1 Billion tokens trade within the range of .1 to 1 USD?
Let's apply this math to $TRUMP to check what's the ideal range it should be trading right now.
1000 Million (1B) Tokens Altcoin → $0.1~ $1 40 Million Tokens TRUMP → $x ~ $10x
x = $2.5, and 10x = $25.
Thus, $TRUMP 's coin should trade within a $2.5~$25 USD range.
So, considering that TRUMP's team won't sell their 80% (they already didn't even during the $73 dollar craziness), anything above $25 is STILL overbought, and anything below $2.5 is oversold.
My thoughts on $TRUMP are: It won't get rugpulled, yet.
The 80% that are in control of Trump's own team, these 80% are locked for at least 3 months.
Thus, only the remaining 10% available for us to trade (the other 10% are allocated in Liquidity Pools), can be effectively used to rugpull.
Mr. Trump and his team are using a US presidency to pump $TRUMP , so it will pump, it might even get to $1000 because the cap is still 14.5 Billion, and could get to 145 Billion easily if millionaires, billionares just join the bandwagon, which some will likely do.
My advice here? Wait for corrections, and slap the buy button. Don't you dare shorting this because TOMORROW is Trump's day.