The Green Investor

Humble $BTC Analysis.
Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.

What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.

If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.

If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.

There's no better operation right now than Shorting $BTC
with 101k, 98k as target and Longing ETH with 2764 as target.

It doesn't quite matter how much $ETH falls, 58M will be liquidated at 2764, thus the price will go there.

And it doesn't quite matter how much BTC goes up, there's more than 100M to be liquidated until 98k.

To be sure, use a Max or X2 cross margin on ETH so your liquidation is below 1350.
And to be sure, use a Max of X10 cross margin on BTC so your stop loss at $105800 doesn't hurt you that bad.

That's enough for today. Better to close longs or partly realize the gains. $ETH already retraced 60 points from its top with blowoff volume.

We might experience some correction. Let's see what BTC does.

Core CPI and CPI came out lower than expected.
That means president TRUMP is doing a good job, and the chances of an interest rate cut just rose.

With that said, I no longer expect a 86.5k nor a 90k correction anytime soon.

BTC might still retrace to 98k just to scare retail out and get some liquidations/stop losses, but the overall trend is still bullish.

$BTC

🪙 BITCOIN
Correction will likely start. We're inside a 4h order block, and just finishing a SHS structure on $BTC .

Stop loss above the current last top, at $105800. Preferably SL at 106500, a bit higher.

Short all the way until 98k, 94k, 90k, 86.5k; the TPs.

If it loses 86.5k, things will get spicy.

🛍️ Altcoins
I have nothing to say about the alts, as some of them will likely pump while BTC falls.

If $ETH decides to undergo correction as well, 2300ish would be a good price to start buying again. In this case, a lot of ethereum-alts will fall as well.

There's the chance that BTC.D will fall alongside BTC, and in this case, alts won't suffer as much.

#strategy #tradingStrategy

Remember me in case that does happen. If it doesn't, come back and make fun of me lul

This aged well, lol.

Also, approach $BTC longs with caution. Even though we are experiencing what could be a potential altseason, with ETH over performing BTC and some alts starting to flourish; we are still hovering over the COMPLACENCY cycle period.

In 2020-2021 BTC's complacency broke above the previous top.
In 2015-2016 BTC's complacency marked a lower top.

Now, in 2025, it's a mystery whether or not we'll make a higher top. It might even make an EVEN top! Imagine, two touches at 109700, then Bear Market. Would be funny!

Alt-wise and ETH-wise, we're entering an altseason for sure. BTC dominance was at its max and it's starting to fall. It's a good moment to long ETH and your favorite alts.

What are your thoughts on this year's complacency? Will BTC break above the previous top or will it make a lower top?

Altseason basically! BTC Dominance is way high and it's starting to fall. Shall BTC keep itself within the 90k~110k range, altseason is expected.

Pick your favorites! ETH is already giving signs of progression.

Don't enter all at once. Altseasons do not mean price increases only and nonstop. It dips to then push further.

Shorting alts right now is very risky.

$BTC $ETH

No Technical Analysis prepares you for this.

My apologies for everyone who went hard long before this ETH crash.

If you still have money, well, prices are absurdly cheap right now.

$ETH is up. Just broke above the trendline that was pushing it down.

This week, economic data has been mixed.

FED has been positive to $BTC as JPowell said something in the lines of "we will not be against innovation" when questioned about Cryptocurrency.

GDP data has been negative to $BTC while Jobless claims has been positive. Overall, GDP is more important than jobless claims so yesterday's data has been overall negative.

Today, PCE data came out as expected.

In this scenario, a rise to 110k followed by a dump to 93k seems the most plausible scenario.

ETH might once again reach $4000.

if ETH reaches that high, all Ethereum-based altcoins will pump.

the market sentiment seems to have been shifted more bullish than bearish rn.

Most obvious bear trap ever.

Just buy, buy and wait for the 110k.

This is just a liquidity sweep, but bears will yell at you that we're going to 86k, that the "bear market" has started, etc.

No, just buy.

Should you buy TRUMP?

The math is pretty clear.

Usually low cap altcoins with 1 Billion (1000 million) available tokens range between $0.1~1

$TRUMP 's token has currently 200 Million available tokens and will unlock more only 3 months from here.

Since President Trump's group holds 80% of the available amount; that leaves only 40 Million $TRUMP to be traded here in the outside market.

So, right now, TRUMP behaves like an altcoin with 40 Million tokens.

Since the current Market Cap is 5.35 Billion USD; Trump's 80% share holds 4.28 Billion USD of that, leaving us with a external 1.07 billion USD tradeable by our market.

Trump's altcoin is, essentially, a 1B market cap altcoin with 40 Million available tokens.

Now remember when I mentioned that most low cap altcoins with 1 Billion tokens trade within the range of .1 to 1 USD?

Let's apply this math to $TRUMP to check what's the ideal range it should be trading right now.

1000 Million (1B) Tokens Altcoin → $0.1~ $1
40 Million Tokens TRUMP → $x ~ $10x

x = $2.5, and 10x = $25.

Thus, $TRUMP 's coin should trade within a $2.5~$25 USD range.

So, considering that TRUMP's team won't sell their 80% (they already didn't even during the $73 dollar craziness), anything above $25 is STILL overbought, and anything below $2.5 is oversold.

Price can definitely still fall, so be aware!

Do not buy $ANIME . It got delayed only on Binance, it's already tradeable in other exchanges.

Here's what will happen if you buy it here: everyone who bought on other exchanges will sell on your face :p

Anyone else having problems while trading margin?

My thoughts on $TRUMP are: It won't get rugpulled, yet.

The 80% that are in control of Trump's own team, these 80% are locked for at least 3 months.

Thus, only the remaining 10% available for us to trade (the other 10% are allocated in Liquidity Pools), can be effectively used to rugpull.

Mr. Trump and his team are using a US presidency to pump $TRUMP , so it will pump, it might even get to $1000 because the cap is still 14.5 Billion, and could get to 145 Billion easily if millionaires, billionares just join the bandwagon, which some will likely do.

My advice here? Wait for corrections, and slap the buy button.
Don't you dare shorting this because TOMORROW is Trump's day.

So, here's what's happening...

$TRUMP and the entirety of the upper solana ecosystem are sucking up money from all other cryptos...

That means, if you are positioned in a low cap coin, or a minor altcoin, you're probably getting a -60% meanwhile TRUMP goes +200%.

*Sighs.

If $USUAL is one of the chosen to pump during Jan 20th; likely 0.7 or so.

USUAL will only break this downtrend if an institution chooses to hold it, or if a market manipulator joins to eat the shorts.

Might fall towards 0.2, which would be a very attractive price.

$BTC USDT, quick analysis with prices.

$BIO USDT as requested by one of my followers.

📜Project
Good enough. DeSci, a way to fund science projects, specifically Biotech projects. Will explode if we get another world pandemic. Should increase its value with time as more people become aware of the project's goals, as they are realistic, have real-world impact and the project's clarity is much more pronounced than in other projects.

💭Market Sentiment
Most people are still longing. The majority of people are always wrong, so it will likely keep dumping especially if BTC undergoes a correction. If BTC rises by like 10k on Jan 20th with Trump's event, then BIO will likely break above 0.6 regardless of the current sentiment.

💥Liquidation Heatmap
Will capture $0.45, thus it should be your TP (or partial TP) if you're longing right now.

‼️Final Analysis
Check the last image.

$BTC USDT