区块雯姐

Launched on September 1st on Binance #WLFI

$WLFI is about to launch, those who participated in the presale are basically financially free🔥🔥🔥

Unknowingly, I've been in the circle for seven or eight years.

I'm 28 this year, and looking back to when I first entered the market in 2017, that initial capital was borrowed—60,000 yuan, completely lacking confidence.

Now my account has surpassed 10 million; to be honest, my feelings are quite complicated. It wasn't overnight wealth, nor was it purely based on luck; it was just one pitfall after another, stepping through countless times, and then gradually climbing out.
In these years of trading, I've basically tried all styles: from long-term to short-term, from ultra-short to intraday swings. My skills aren't top-notch, but when it comes to "losing money," I can say I understand it more profoundly than most people.

I've seen too many people in these six years build high rises only to see them collapse, going from tens of thousands to tens of millions, and then a bear market wipes them out.

Is it because their skills are poor? No. They just got used to holding onto their positions. If luck is on their side, they can hold on, but as soon as they can't hold anymore, it's not just a small loss; it's a total wipeout.
Another common issue: too many people get anxious as soon as they lose money, rushing to make back their losses, resulting in chaotic operations that wipe out all previous gains.

I'm not a saint; I have my moments too. The only difference is that I'm very clear: the market won't listen to your commands.

"I think it will go up" does not mean it will go up, and "I judge it is a trap" does not mean it will definitely be a trap. If you're wrong, you have to admit it; you can't just stubbornly hold on.
The core of trading cryptocurrencies is not about technical skills, but rather:
Can you endure?
Can you admit when you're wrong?
Can you act according to rules?

To put it simply, many people don't fail because they don't know how to trade, but because they're unwilling to lose, unwilling to admit mistakes, and still greedy.
Don't use "faith" as a shield; the so-called "holding on will bring it back" is not faith at all, just self-deception of a gambler.

The reason I can stand at this level of 10 million in assets is actually based on just a few simple rules:

Admit when you're wrong
Always set stop-losses when opening positions
Make decisions when calm, and shut the computer down when emotional

Many people think making money relies on skills; the truth is: every time you violate the rules, you're digging a pit for yourself.

The market is always there, and opportunities are always available.

As long as you can turn off your emotions, establish rules, and even if you only have 10,000 yuan, you can slowly turn things around.

$ETH Ethereum Takeoff 🚀

Opened a long position on Ethereum before lunch, all doubled and cashed out 💥💥

Sister Wen is preparing to make a big move, those following Sister Wen's Silk Road, just come directly, hand in hand, let's see if I have the strength to finish it 😎

#美国初请失业金人数 #美联储7月会议纪要 #杰克逊霍尔会议 $SOL $BTC

Don't miss the concept of life sciences $BIO is attracting attention, the future is immeasurable

Powell speaks tonight! Global capital flows are turbulent, is a big market trend coming to the crypto world? 🔥

Attention everyone! Tonight (August 22) at 22:00, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak, which is definitely the main event. Although he won't directly mention crypto, a change in the macro environment will inevitably shake the crypto market!

Core Focus:

1️⃣ Powell's speech (22:00) — If it leans 'hawkish', the market will face short-term pressure; if it leans 'dovish', risk assets may take off!

2️⃣ Hang Seng Index quarterly review results — Released, if quality tech stocks are included, it will be beneficial for risk assets in the medium to long term.

3️⃣ Economic data from multiple countries — Data from the UK, Japan, and Germany will influence capital flow, and a strong euro may benefit BTC.

4️⃣ Canadian retail & US oil drilling — Energy and consumption data directly impact inflation, which in turn affects Federal Reserve policy.

⚡Wen Jie suggests:

Short-term fluctuations are inevitable, long-term holders do not need to overreact. If it leans dovish, risk assets may rebound; if it leans hawkish, corrections may instead present buying opportunities.

Remember this saying: “Buy expectations, sell facts.” Tonight's market is bound to be turbulent, maintaining your position and not going all-in is the true way to win!

—— Click on the profile picture and leave a comment on what you think about tonight's market?

#杰克逊霍尔会议 #美联储7月会议纪要

After the July Federal Reserve meeting, Bitcoin may welcome some opportunities.

Overall, the Federal Reserve's attitude remains tight, without immediately signaling easing, but compared to before, many officials have clearly softened on the issue of interest rate cuts in September, with some even directly stating they might support it. The market expects that once expectations form ahead of time, the dollar will come under pressure, liquidity will increase, and funds will naturally seek higher-yielding targets, benefiting both stocks and crypto assets.

Bitcoin's attributes perfectly fit this environment: on one hand, its inherent volatility is suitable for speculative trading; on the other hand, some investors view it as a tool to hedge against inflation. In the short term, there are news-driven speculations, while in the medium term, there is a macroeconomic environment that supports it.

Moreover, there is no consensus within the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts; this uncertainty may actually create volatility and opportunities for Bitcoin.

#美联储7月会议纪要 #杰克逊霍尔会议

Get through tonight, and it will be hard to lose money.

Tomorrow night is the Federal Reserve, let’s compare the clearing distribution map——

Where do you think the harvesting will occur?

$BTC $ETH $SOL #杰克逊霍尔会议 #币安HODLer空投PLUME #加密市场回调

Current market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September are nearly at their peak, with a cut probability bet at over 90%. However, this kind of one-sided optimism is likely a collective misjudgment. Institutional funds are already withdrawing, while retail investors are still pouring in frantically, creating extreme divergence. More critically, the latest inflation, employment, and tariff factors do not support a rate cut.

Why is the market so certain?

CME FedWatch indicates that traders are betting on a 92% probability of a rate cut in September. However, history has repeatedly shown that the Federal Reserve never acts according to market expectations. In June 2023 and early 2024, the market had previously bet on a rate cut, but the results were a “face slap.” Now, economic data still does not support a rate cut, and this time may very likely repeat itself.

Three main reasons indicate that a rate cut is unlikely:

1. Core inflation rebound. The July CPI seems to cool overall, but core inflation is 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, while the service sector's “super core inflation” surged by 0.55% month-on-month. Inflation has not stabilized, and hastily cutting rates poses significant risks.

2. Tariff risks. The Biden administration has imposed tariffs on Chinese products, and costs have not fully transmitted. PIMCO warns that commodity inflation may rebound in the coming months; if a rate cut coincides with tariff shocks, it could lead to a secondary outbreak of inflation.

3. Employment remains strong. The unemployment rate is below 4%, and hourly wage growth exceeds 4%. Two Federal Reserve governors have expressed opposition to a rate cut, believing the job market remains robust.

Possible signals from Powell

His goal is to suppress market expectations and emphasize “relying on data.” Possible statements include:

Whether to cut rates in September depends on August data, but relevant data will not be released until September; emphasizing that inflation risks remain; indirectly responding to Trump's pressure, showcasing the independence of the Federal Reserve.

If so, the market may experience severe volatility: U.S. stocks, real estate stocks, and technology stocks may come under pressure, the dollar may strengthen, gold and Bitcoin may face short-term setbacks, and the risks of interest-rate-sensitive assets may surge.

Institution vs. Retail Divergence

Retail investors continue to gamble on a rate cut (with $21 billion pouring into U.S. stock funds in a single week, heavily buying real estate stocks and cryptocurrencies), while Wall Street is reducing positions and even advising clients to hedge against the risk of “no rate cut in September.” Historical experience tells us that retail investors who bet against institutions often suffer greater losses.

What should ordinary people do?

Beware of the volatility of interest-rate-sensitive assets; closely monitor subsequent inflation and employment data; and do not blindly follow market sentiment.

The alternation of bulls and bears is normal, there's no need to be overly anxious.

Ethereum has recently weakened, one of the main reasons is that the funds that were previously bottom-fishing and staking have started to take profits in batches, leading to panic selling in the market; on the other hand, after continuous increases, there is also a need to clear out long positions. The key weekly support is in the range of 4200-4000, and a cautious approach could consider gradually positioning in this area.

#币安HODLer空投PLUME #ETH质押退出动态观察 #山寨季何时到来？ $ETH $BNB $SOL

Bought the dip $SOL Logged out and no longer following this account Got SOL up to 250

#以太坊 This month is expected to reach 5000 USD

Summary in one sentence - Retail investors' holdings have almost been cleared out.

The current ETH balance on exchanges is only 15.35 million, a new low since 2016. What will happen next? History has already provided the answer - in 2017, ETH skyrocketed from 8 USD to 870 USD, an increase of 108 times, marking the beginning of the DeFi golden era.

Now, the ETH version of 'MicroStrategy' is unfolding: three institutions are aggressively accumulating, with BitMine alone purchasing 2.9 billion USD last month, having only completed 0.6% of its 5% holding target; the other two are also actively entering the market, and their upward influence should not be underestimated.

On-chain data shows that 29.6% of ETH has been staked and locked, and what remains in retail investors' hands is mostly just small amounts to pay for Gas. Last week's crash wiped out a large number of long positions, and now this market train is extremely lightweight.

Short-term target: Break through the December 2024 high of 4107 USD

Mid-term target: Challenge the November 2021 high of 4868 USD

The light boat has passed through thousands of mountains; what follows may be a violent rally from Wall Street - everyone, fasten your seatbelts!
$BTC $ETH $SOL #香港稳定币新规 #下一任美联储主席人选 #特朗普允许401(k)投资加密货币

8.8 Accurate Market Analysis

Good morning, brothers!

Last week there was a significant correction, and many people are worried that a bear market is coming.

We analyzed on Sunday — this week is a rebound market, aiming for $116,000, and the trend is gradually proving this.

Investing is not about guessing; it's about deep thinking and logical analysis.

Yesterday, Trump signed an executive order, directly opening the floodgates for retirement funds,

allowing retirement fund money to enter the crypto market!

The U.S. retirement savings amount to trillions of dollars; even if only 10% flows into BTC and ETH, it will be hundreds of billions of dollars in incremental funds.

A few months ago, we mentioned — following the Trump family won't be a mistake.

The Trump family and their inner circle have already heavily invested in crypto,

If you are still cutting losses and shorting at this time, you are going against the most powerful people in the world.

First, create a tariff negative sentiment to accumulate positions,

then gradually ease tariffs, position their people in the Federal Reserve,

along with interest rate cuts to push up asset prices,

wait for BTC to soar to $200,000, then let the retirement funds of American citizens step in —

this operation is simply textbook-level, maximizing the value of a four-year presidential term.

Current positioning directions:

📌 Large Positions: BTC, SOL, BNB

📌 Small Positions: DOT, KSM, JUP, UNI

Maintain reasonable positions, hold your coins patiently, and focus on your main job.

Leave the rest to time; rewards will naturally come.

#美SEC批准流动性质押 #加密股IPO季 #美国加征关税

🚨$XRP Countdown to the surge! SEC backs down + institutions are buying in, if you don't act now, you'll miss out!

In legal matters, Ripple and the SEC will exchange key legal documents on August 15, and the regulatory attitude is becoming more lenient. Ripple executives have also hinted that the SEC's "new crypto regulations" are a positive signal; once legal risks are lifted, both institutions and retail investors will feel more comfortable entering the market.

On-chain data shows that in the past week, 12 new holders with over 10 million XRP have emerged, and funds have been quietly positioning themselves. There are even rumors that XRP is expected to gain ETF approval within the year, with Polymarket predicting a 70% approval rate. If true, this will undoubtedly bring a new wave of capital.

Why is XRP favored? Three main reasons:

1️⃣ Fast transactions, low fees, the experience outperforms BTC and ETH

2️⃣ Already integrated with over 300 financial institutions for cross-border payments

3️⃣ Legal status is gradually becoming clearer, with strong compliance expectations

Current XRP price is $2.94, with a short-term target of 3.75 - 4, and a year-end target of 5.5, even looking at 9 - 15 dollars. Don't be scared off by short-term fluctuations; the real market is just beginning!

Follow Su Wen, secure your position in advance, don't wait until the price rises to chase!

#ETH巨鲸增持 #香港稳定币新规 #币安HODLer空投PROVE

$LTC : Can it still be held?

As a time-tested cryptocurrency that combines payment efficiency, security, and compliance, LTC, despite not relying on speculative concepts, possesses the ability to navigate through bull and bear markets thanks to its stable technology and clear positioning. It remains a value target worthy of long-term attention.

Three reasons to be optimistic about LTC:

1. Mature technology: Fast transactions, low fees, and high security make it a lightweight payment supplement to Bitcoin.

2. Steady development: Not chasing trends but steadily advancing its ecosystem, it is known as the "evergreen tree of the crypto world."

3. Positive expectations for ETFs: Market expectations for LTC-related ETFs are continuously heating up, likely to increase funding attention.

Operational advice:

In the short term, one can wait for a pullback to support levels before entering, while long-term investors can confidently hold and patiently wait for the trend to materialize.

#美国加征关税

$MYX 🔥🔥🔥
In two days, earnings exceeded 2000%, a violent surge directly hitting the dealer's bottom line.

This is the charm of the crypto world—on the basis of an 86% surge the previous day, it can still add another big bullish candle of 200%.

The key is not luck, but the precise analysis and judgment of the dealer's behavior. Trading has never been about gambling, but rather about understanding and model support.

I have organized a complete system for identifying the dealer's accumulation, washing, inducing to buy, and then offloading. By catching the main force's actions, one can naturally stay one step ahead.

#以太坊ETF连续12周净流入 #加密股IPO季

The Next Wave of 100x Coins? These Three May Be Seriously Undervalued

Many people think that a bull market relies on storytelling and hype, but the projects that truly have the potential to achieve 100x gains are often those that focus on financial "infrastructure".

$ACH is connecting payment systems across 173 countries globally, allowing users to spend crypto assets directly through Apple Pay;

$XRP has gained policy support in Japan and the United States, gradually becoming a key part of the cross-border clearing network;

$CFX is the only compliant public blockchain promoted in China, tasked with the global implementation of the RMB stablecoin.

Behind these projects are not hollow narratives, but solid national-level deployments. Once the market truly recognizes their value, the room for price correction will be astonishing.

#香港稳定币新规 #加密股IPO季 #Solana期货交易量创新高

Although the start of August is not exactly peaceful, it is not all bad news.

The SEC has just released positive signals of "easing cryptocurrency regulation + establishing a clear regulatory framework," setting a more moderate policy expectation tone for the overall market.

From within the cryptocurrency market, three major positives are gradually emerging:

1️⃣ The unlocking of large tokens has decreased by more than 52%, significantly easing the inertia selling pressure;

2️⃣ The on-chain supply of USDT and USDC has rebounded simultaneously, and stablecoins are becoming active again, which means funds are flowing back;

3️⃣ After entering the staking mode, the ETH spot ETF is opening a new round of application windows, and the related narrative is expected to heat up again.

Meanwhile, after a brief net outflow of ETFs on July 22, they resumed attracting funds on July 25, and the daily trading volume across the crypto network has also started to recover, with marginal buying gradually returning.

Of course, the market is not without risks. In early August, there are still macro uncertainties such as the FOMC meeting and the countdown to Trump’s tariffs, but these are known risks, and unless a black swan event occurs, the short-term impact is relatively limited.

Currently, the market focus remains on mainstream assets: BTC still dominates, ETH has shown some recovery under the ETF narrative stimulation, while altcoins are still in a bottom consolidation phase, lacking sustained incremental funds, and have not returned to the "hot money mode" of 2021.

In August, can we break the "altcoin curse"? We will wait and see.

At least for now, the market is slowly warming up, emotions are fluctuating, but the direction is brewing, deserving more patience and attention.