币圈起伏落袋为安

🚀【Bull Market Prediction: In-Depth Interpretation of Historical Cycles and Current Situation】🌕
Currently, there are always those whose emotions are swayed by the market, wailing in despair, pessimistically believing the bull market has ended. Here, I can responsibly tell everyone: calm down and be patient.
🔹Historical Cycle Patterns
Looking back at the history of cryptocurrency, bull markets are often driven by three factors: "halving cycles + technological innovation + capital rotation":
- The ICO wave in 2017 triggered the first wave of the bull market, leading to the explosion of the ETH ecosystem;
- The DeFi Summer in 2021, combined with institutional entry, saw BTC breaking through $60,000;
- In 2025, the market may welcome a new narrative of "DeFAI (AI + DeFi)", with automated trading and AI analysis tools replicating the rise of DeFi in 2020.

🔹Current Market Signals
1️⃣ Capital Accumulation: BTC's market cap share exceeds 60%, approaching a four-year high, altcoins are weak but capital rotation expectations are strong;
2️⃣ Institutional Entry: Giants like Standard Chartered and Animoca are laying out Hong Kong dollar stablecoins, compliant capital channels are accelerating;
3️⃣ Technological Breakthrough: High-performance chains like Solana and Ethereum Layer 2 are exploding, and the inscription sector (such as BRC-20) is seeing a resurgence of wealth effects.

🔹Future Catalysts
- Policy: Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are rising, global liquidity is shifting towards ease;
- Sentiment: Market volatility is low, short-term trading is prevalent, and major market breakthroughs may require macro events to ignite;
- Ecosystem: Platforms like Binance continue to bring in strategic partnerships, and acquisition expectations are enhancing industry concentration.

📌Advice for Ordinary Investors
- Long-term Layout: Core assets like BTC and ETH remain the "ballast";
- Swing Opportunities: Pay attention to AI agents, RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization), and new public chain ecosystems;
- Beware of Risks: Large token unlocks (such as SOL, WLD) may trigger short-term selling pressure.

🌐Summary: Bull Market ≠ Only Up and No Down! Historical cycles show that deep washouts often occur before the main upward wave. Maintain flexibility in your positions, make good use of dollar-cost averaging and profit-taking tools, and you can seize the dividends amidst the waves!
$XRP

Teacher, for these shapes, should I look at the daily chart or the hourly chart? Additionally, when drawing Fibonacci lines, there will be both genuine breakouts and false breakouts; how can I distinguish between them?

Compound effect, it feels like the cryptocurrency market fluctuates by dozens of points every day, 1% is very easy. In fact, it is not. One point a day, annualized 300%+, even Grayscale can't do it, it's difficult for Bezos too. So, the medicine cannot stop.

Carving a Boat to Seek a Sword

This is one of the few that I sold at a profit.
$USUAL
New listing on Binance, nine out of ten projects lose money.
So it's mostly just observing and then cashing out.
This is one of the few that I misjudged.
A parabola, and the price actually went up.
And those from mining or airdrops, some have broken down, some are sluggish.
Investment has an element of luck.
So there are still risks.
If it's like this in spot trading, if you leverage contracts,
Isn't it faster to get liquidated?
Ordinary people shouldn't gamble.
Because there is no capital.
The power of compound interest can surpass an atomic bomb.
Time is the best friend.
Don't be impulsive.
Don't gamble.
Because nine out of ten bets lose.

Another reason for the crash has finally been found.
In addition to what was mentioned in the last post:
market fluctuations, deleveraging, gathering chips, etc., another important reason has surfaced.
What I want to talk about today is not the external issues of Google's computing power, but the main reasons within the cryptocurrency world itself.

Looking back at our cryptocurrency history of more than a decade, almost every time there is a significant bull market, many new "coins" appear, some riding the hype, some playing with concepts. Many also cash out after a quick profit.

How many of the once-popular coins in 2021 are still around?

It’s said that people prefer new coins over old ones, mainly because new projects are easier to pump, experience violent ups and downs, have free pricing, and offer better profit-taking opportunities. But look at Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum—none of them haven't gone through multiple bull and bear cycles. They have steadily increased in value.

This time, a large part of the reason for the decline is that market makers and platform merchants have come together with various new coins, launching at just 5 USD. How can XRP and Doge holders feel about this?

I do not recommend any coins, but the platform where Move and Me are listed has seen over 1.5 billion USDT traded in 24 hours.

The total capital in the cryptocurrency market is limited. Recently, Meitu Inc. was reported to have sold off BTC to exit the market. Limited funds need to be allocated to an unlimited number of coins. Before new coins are launched, market makers, platforms, and KOLs team up to do a strong push, resulting in a blood-sucking increase.

Essentially, it is still influenced by the supply and demand relationship.
Now you understand, right?
Okay, platforms like Coinbase also continually list new coins.
Which one doesn't suck blood?
Now you know what to do.

The whole market is down, a wail of despair.
Why did my partners and I escape unharmed?
Under a collapsed nest, how can there be unbroken eggs?
Why can we maintain a peaceful mindset during the crisis?
Originally, I wanted to explain the reasons behind this to everyone today.
But my partner said, do not interfere with others' karma.
If we earn money and do not share with us, if we lose money and are still scolded, what's the point?
However, I think, the Buddha helps those with fate, and the Dharma brings wisdom.
Just as they said, if it gets discovered, it might be deleted.
Make sure to like and save.
First, this bull market is different from previous ones, so I asked them to remove all contract positions because they couldn't understand it, so we won't engage in anything beyond our comprehension, and we definitely won't face liquidation. Just be honest and trade spot.
Second, all the shrinkage and losses now are essentially just the previous 'profit giving back', there's no need to panic.
Third, if the big players want to pump the market, they must first wash out the weak hands before moving forward lightly. So hold on tight.
Fourth, every pullback is actually an opportunity for people to get in.
Fifth, and most importantly, do not use loans and debts to trade cryptocurrencies, as this will affect your mindset and judgment. Do not seek quick success or immediate results. If you cannot take a long-term view, you won't catch big fish.
The vast majority of coins' movements, their candlestick charts, are almost identical, so guess why.
I hope this bull market grants more people financial freedom.

Why is it that even when a bull market arrives, many people still can't make money?
Why do some people still lose money even when the price of the coin continues to rise, even breaking previous highs?
As an old investor who entered the cryptocurrency space in 2016, going from a net worth of tens of millions to being in debt by millions, I hope to share all the pitfalls with you so you can avoid detours and get on the right track.

First of all, never touch contracts. Every round of the bull market rise is not a straight line to the moon; it is also a turbulent fluctuation, following the wave theory with highs and lows.
We can do trend expectations and cycle models, but we cannot predict and analyze the specific price fluctuations every 15 minutes. Therefore, inadvertently, during sleep, a sudden spike could lead to a loss.

Secondly, contracts represent a gambler's mindset. Like the two sides of a coin, there is a 50% chance of winning or losing. However, nine out of ten bets lose. If you win, you want to continue to expand your winnings. If you lose, you want to recover your losses, hoping to turn the tables. Do you know the most popular saying in casinos? It's not that they fear you winning; they fear you not playing.

Finally, it's about mindset and learning. Many people love to chase rising prices and sell on declines, running into the market when they see prices being driven up and cutting losses when they see prices falling. Some even take out loans to invest in cryptocurrencies. This severely affects your judgment and mindset because you are eager to recover your losses and pay back loan interest. Therefore, all the theories learned before are thrown aside when your mindset is poor.

Here are a few suggestions: read more cryptocurrency news, but learn to filter it. Analyze K-line trends more, but don't rush to enter. Give yourself some growth and fermentation, allowing time to help you slowly become wealthy. #内容挖矿

What? You still don't know why $TRX skyrocketed?
What? You still don't understand the difference between Sun Ge and Musk?
What? Want to know the next explosive coin so that you can ambush in advance?

This issue, take a good look at the content, take a small notebook to record, you will definitely get unexpected gains.

First, let's talk about the two underlying logics of the surge in $TRX . If you understand it, you will basically know how to choose coins.
Underlying logic 1:
If you use a wallet to transfer USDT (stable currency, promising 1:1 to the US dollar), you must choose which chain when transferring. A long time ago, everyone used the Ethereum chain, but as the price rose and the handling fee increased, ERC20 was gradually abandoned, and the economical TRC20 was used stably by people.
You should have heard that 10 billion Tether coins were issued not long ago. Transfers, purchases, and transactions will help TRX bring value, income and handling fees.
Conclusion: For blockchains that are truly useful, even if they are bearish in the short term, they will definitely be bullish in the long term.

Bottom-level logic 2:
Why do you always see Musk posting personal updates, taking a photo, and then start to force it, or even temporarily issue a currency with the same name. You should know that Musk himself has risen in the fields of electric vehicles, rockets, artificial intelligence, etc. Although he called out doge, he just liked it. He is not an issuer, not a blockchain entrepreneur.
Although he is a kol, the popularity of this thing can only be used a few times, and it can be on the hot search a few times. On the other hand, Sun Ge, who was invited to lunch with Buffett but then stood up, became the leader of a small country, and his status is different. A sky-high banana, peeled on the spot to show off. Don't forget that the founder of trx is Sun Ge, and $WIN and other blockchain games are also created by him.

Conclusion: Kols can sing, but as opinion leaders themselves, they are used as guns by others. If the doge ecological currency falls, they can go back to making cars. I am not saying that the world's richest man is bad, but I want to say that his popularity has been taken advantage of by bad coin issuers, and it is difficult to distinguish the real from the fake.

The most important thing is that he has plenty of money, rich enough to rival a country, passive income, and income after sleeping, so why bother to do blockchain and cross industries? #内容挖矿

Although trx broke the previous high (the peak of the last bull market), it still has room for growth. In the next issue, let's talk about which coin will skyrocket.

Is the entire network bearish on Ethereum?
When others fear, I am greedy?
Is it a distortion of human nature or a decline in morality?
Anyone who can understand this article is a master; this round of assets will surely multiply 30 times.

First of all, the reason why the entire network is bearish on Ethereum is largely related to its founder. When Picasso and Van Gogh were around, they were poor and destitute, yet after their deaths, their works fetched sky-high prices. Because the authors are gone, there are no more such excellent works. They are out of print. So, for every piece sold, one less remains.
Vitalik Buterin and Satoshi Nakamoto are similar; occasionally, one can see online reports about Vitalik dating and making huge amounts of money—what's the difference from a sycophant, what's the difference from an ordinary person? Thus, he has fallen from grace.
Meanwhile, Satoshi Nakamoto's identity and fate remain unknown to this day, while Bitcoin, like the stars, is a timeless masterpiece, enduring and unyielding.

Secondly, the bearish sentiment towards Ethereum is closely tied to the international situation. It is well-known that Vitalik is Russian, which naturally associates Ethereum with Russia. The big power Russia has spent years without being able to conquer Ukraine, illustrating its domestic weaknesses, military fragility, and even its intercontinental missiles fail to launch properly. Hence, people scoff at Ethereum.

Additionally, it relates to the development of blockchain. Ethereum has been around for many years and had numerous applications, with extensive secondary development. But with rising prices, limitations on throughput, and skyrocketing transaction fees, authorization and transaction costs have become excessively high, restricting ordinary users. This will inevitably lead to it being replaced by currencies with lower fees, greater throughput, and broader applications.

Finally, everything has its lifecycle; sectors rotate, Forbes rankings change, industry cycles fluctuate, international fortunes rise and fall, and even the Earth has experienced multiple mass extinctions.

Therefore, maintain a peaceful mindset, play the game of life, enjoy the present, and pursue experiences. $ETH $SOL

If the Fed cuts interest rates, will the cryptocurrency market really rise sharply?
Today, an article will explain it to you thoroughly.
Friends who still don't know whether to go long or short.
You are really lucky to see this article.
Be sure to like and collect it, otherwise it will be easy to find it.

First of all, the high interest rate of the Federal Reserve has led to the gathering of global capital in the United States. Coupled with the dominant position of the US dollar, it will make the world's hot money run to the United States. Moreover, they do not talk about martial ethics and often start wars. If a country has high US debt, it will be smoothed out after a war.

However, this time the high interest rates in the United States are to drag down Brother Long. Regardless of the successful launch of the Dongfeng ballistic missile, Brother Long, the domestic situation is still stable, including the blockade of lithography technology. And the release of Huawei's three-fold screen for mobile phones. Completely get rid of the suppression of the old Americans.

So for now, the United States is no longer able to repay the high interest. As a last resort, the Federal Reserve has to cut interest rates.

Not only that. The situation of the US election is very tense. The development of new energy vehicles is very weak. So the United States can only gain new advantages in the field of digital currency. Although Cz Zhao Changpeng has just been released. However, given the domestic policy on digital currency, it is still impossible for him to return to China. Considering the policy sanctions and suppression of Bitcoin trading and mining by Brother Long in the last bull market. If the United States wants to regain its economic status as the world's hegemon, it needs to stand out in the field of digital currency.

So the increase in this round of digital currency is closely related to the international policy situation. Not only that, there is also. The alternation of bull and bear every four years. If you are an enthusiast of digital currency, you will definitely remember 2013, 2017, 2021 and the upcoming 2025. Because from the birth of Bitcoin in 2009 to now, the bull market has come every four years.

So. The time for a new round of wealth reshuffle and asset doubling has finally arrived. In the next article, I will update how to operate in the bull market so that you can better make money without being harvested.
#DODO助力Meme发行

I have to admit that in this round of bull market, the increase in Meme-type coins is very good. It's not just because the unit price of this type of wallpaper is very low. It is especially suitable for novices and people with less assets to purchase.

$NEIRO
If you missed it, is there still a chance?
If you didn't get on the train, is it okay now?
I am the one who was scared by the new currency.
Every time I mine bnb, I can make some money.
However, these coins are not resistant to falling.
They shrank in a few days.
So, many people sold them as soon as they got them.
However, until $NEIRO appeared.
It subverted the three views and is a low-probability event.
But human nature is greedy.
Chasing up and killing down.
This time, it changes very cyclically.
So, I also quietly got on the train according to the rules.
I am honored to catch up.
It is still a low point.
The fans who have been following me all know it.
As I learn from my master,
As I continue to pay tuition.
Now I can fully master the rules and find the periodic low points.
Come on together, work hard, and see you at the top.
This time the Fed cut interest rates, this time the bull market is coming,
it is ready to go a hundred times, if you don't commit suicide, you won't die.

$PEPE It's time for a new round of orders.
Don't miss such a low entry point.
Every time you cheer.
You don't care.
If you miss it again this time.
You will definitely regret it.
Remember, don't play with contracts.
If you insert a needle, you will lose nine out of ten bets.
#内容挖矿

History has proved me right again.

I am still bullish at the moment, so hurry up and add your orders, brothers.

If you lose, I will take the loss, and if you make money, you take it.

The reasons are as follows, there are three reasons.

First, you have to look at my previous buying point.
Although it is not the lowest point, it is at the low point of the band.
It shows that I have the ability to read the market and predict.

Secondly, look at the current financial management interest of #pepe .
It is really high, 8 points per year (it used to be higher).
It means there is oil and water, and there is profit.

Finally, look at the oscillation point,
It will definitely rise in the medium term.

In a word, if you missed my previous buying point, don't miss it this time. That's all.

$PEPE

$WLD Vision and knowledge will determine how far you can go in the cryptocurrency circle. Your vision will allow you to see through more than 50% of the junk coins. Your knowledge will allow you to predict how the remaining 50% will advance and retreat. There is no constant method. There is only constantly changing information. There is no choice that will definitely make money. There is only #动态平衡 of gambling. Today, did you make the right choice? Wish everyone: #逢底必抄 #逢顶必抛