加密洞察

🔥 Market Volatility! Powell's Speech Will Determine Future Direction

The Federal Reserve is about to hold a meeting, and the market generally expects no interest rate cut in June, with stable economic performance, Powell may continue a hawkish stance. However, adjustments in the dot plot may reveal the policy direction: two lines suggest dovish, while three lines maintain a hawkish position.

Before the meeting, the market may show volatility as investors await Powell's speech. If dovish signals are released, the market is expected to rebound; if a hawkish stance continues, it may face selling pressure.

Pay close attention to Powell's assessment of inflation and policy expectations, as this will determine future investment strategies!

🔥Tonight may see an explosion! Can Ethereum break through the 2000 mark?

With the dual catalysts of the Ethereum upgrade and the old veteran's speech, many predict that the price will soar towards the 2000 mark tonight.

The answer is: it's possible! Ethereum has already broken the downtrend; it's just a matter of time before it takes off. However, the current rise lacks effective support, and 1677 is a key support point, but it has failed to reach this point in previous attempts.

Prediction: Tonight, the market is likely to drop first and then rise. If 1677 holds, the target price may reach 2000!

💥Emergency Warning! Powell's Speech May Determine Market Fate!

In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve will hold another monetary policy meeting. The market generally expects that there will be no interest rate cuts in June, with the probability of a cut soaring to 70%! Everyone is closely watching Powell's statements, hoping he will provide clear guidance on whether there will be a rate cut in July.

However, there isn't much to look forward to in the May meeting—Powell is likely to say, "Watch the data, inflation target 2%, no policy adjustments for now." The real focus will be on the dot plot in June! The predictions of Federal Reserve officials regarding future interest rate trends will directly impact the market direction.

Before this critical meeting, the market is likely to remain volatile, as everyone is waiting for Powell's "tone-setting." Whether to buy the dip or cut losses all depends on this one statement!

💥Stunned! A 75 million gamble to short Bitcoin has ended up in a double trap!

Two financially strong big shots recently placed heavy bets on Bitcoin's decline, only to witness a scene of 'gambling backfire':

🐳 Whale A: Deposited 5.58 million USDC, opened a 40x leveraged short position, with a nominal value exceeding 70 million USD, now facing a floating loss of nearly 900,000 USD.

🐋 Whale B: Invested 4.9 million USDC, opened an 11x leveraged short position, with holdings exceeding 56 million USD, currently also down over 600,000 USD.

In total, over 75 million RMB funds are trapped in high-leverage shorts, making the scene exclaim: Even the big shots are in trouble!

📉 Does this indicate that the market will reverse upwards? Or is it the calm before the storm?

The market is unpredictable, caution is key; winning bets are a matter of luck, while preserving capital relies on knowledge!

Will you follow their lead in shorting, or take the opposite position?

🔥Countdown to Major Changes! Ethereum Pectra Upgrade is Coming, Can the Historical Curse Be Broken?

The significant Ethereum upgrade Pectra will officially launch today at 6 PM, and the market is holding its breath. However, looking back at history, similar upgrades often come with a plunge of "good news being priced in as bad news":

Diving on the day of the merge in 2022

Highs and lows after the Shanghai upgrade in 2023

The Cancun upgrade in 2024 was no exception

📉 Summarizing a rule:

"Rally before the upgrade, correction after the upgrade, sell-off on upgrade day"

So, can this time Pectra rewrite the script?

⚙The actual benefits brought by this upgrade include:

Major upgrade of wallet functionality: transaction bundling, key recovery, using stablecoins to pay gas

More flexible staking mechanism: faster retrieval of staked assets, support for large operations

Lower Layer2 transaction costs: data capacity doubled, improving efficiency

Network structure optimization: reducing congestion, preparing for future expansion

📌 In summary: Pectra is a technological dividend, not a short-term windfall.

Although it is a long-term benefit for the ecosystem, there is still short-term "realization" pressure on the price, so be wary of the historical repetition of highs and lows.

Do you think this time it is history repeating itself, or can it break through against the trend?

🚨Earth-shattering turn? The Federal Reserve may continue to hold steady in June, leaving the market hanging!

In the early hours of this Thursday, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision. The current market widely expects that there will be no rate cut in June, with the probability approaching 70%. Looking back at past trends, the Federal Reserve has always been cautious about cutting rates in the absence of a clear economic recession.

🎯Three core focuses of this meeting:

How Powell interprets the current economy and inflation;

Whether to hint at a possible rate cut in July;

How the market will interpret his stance—whether to continue to "watch the data" or to release dovish signals.

🧠My judgment: This meeting is highly likely to be just "verbal sparring + wait and see," with the key focus still on the June "dot plot"—whether it suggests two or three rate cuts will truly determine the market direction.

🔥Shocking Reform Inside! Alpha Points System Major Upgrade! Retail Investors Can Easily Grab Airdrops!

The traditional Alpha points system has long become a 'top-tier game', where large holders dominate the leaderboard, and retail investors are just spectators. Many people grind ten times just to get a chance to enter a lottery, with actual value close to zero, akin to 'reverse farming'.

💣Three Major Drawbacks of the Old Points System:

Resource Monopoly: Large holders have high points, always prioritized for TGE and airdrops, making it almost hopeless for retail investors;

Misaligned Incentives: High participation thresholds lead to low enthusiasm among small players;

Liquidity Drain: Decreased activity leads to reduced fee income.

✅New Mechanism—'Points Deduction System' Shocking Launch!

Every time you get an airdrop or TGE qualification, 30~50 points will be deducted, enabling 'exit rotation', giving everyone a chance!

💥Three Major Advantages of the New Rules:

Opportunities for the Common People to Stage Comebacks: Everyone has periodic qualifications, no longer monopolized by large holders;

Increased Activity: More people participate in trading, user stickiness skyrockets;

Creating a Win-Win Situation: Users can grab airdrops, and the platform earns plenty of fees.

📌In Summary: Decentralizing the Top Tier, allowing everyone to participate, is the true beginning of Alpha's journey toward the masses!

Do you support this 'points equality' mechanism?

🚀 Secrets of turning around in the crypto world revealed! Small investments can also succeed! The 5th tip is overlooked by 90% of people…

Want to turn the tables in a bull market? Don't rely on luck, rely on strategy! The following 5 "survival rules" are specially designed for small investors, avoiding pitfalls and making profits at the same time, especially the last one can turn you from a "paper millionaire" into a real winner!

🔥1. Nighttime is the golden entry moment

During the day, news flies around, and market fluctuations are severe, making it easy to be swayed by emotions. The real direction often becomes clear only after 9 PM, and K-lines only then have "reference value".

💰2. Take profits first, don't leave everything in the market

Withdraw 30% of your profits, don’t fantasize about continuous gains without taking some out. What rises quickly will fall even faster! Only what is withdrawn to your account counts as "real profit".

📊3. Technical resonance is the real signal

Don’t trade on impulse; at least wait for two major indicators to align before acting. Use MACD to observe trends, RSI to judge strength, and Bollinger Bands to measure direction; this combination is as steady as a rock.

🛡️4. Adjust stop-loss dynamically; protecting your gains is the real skill

Don’t forget to set a take-profit level after making gains; move the protective line up promptly as prices rise; if the set price level is breached, be decisive in stopping losses—no hesitation, no mercy; black swans won't wait for you!

🏦5. Regular weekly withdrawals turn virtual gains into real wealth

Withdraw 30% of profits weekly; don’t be blinded by the numbers in your account. Only the money in your bank account is truly “winning”!

📌 In summary: Those who can maintain their composure and manage their positions don’t need to struggle in a bull market; they can still thrive.

Which of these would you most like to change?

🚨Stunning Reversal Warning! Bulls Have No Chance! The "Big Pie" Soaring is a Fake Move, the Real Harvest has Just Begun!⚠️

On May 7th, Bitcoin's wave of "pretending to rise" dazzled many, but the truth is quite brutal: this rise is merely a harvesting of the bears, and the real crash is just brewing!

📉Reviewing the Market:

There was nothing wrong with the previous high-position short sell layout, and there was hope to see 88,000. But now the rebound is weak, and despite good news, prices won't budge, indicating that everything is just a game of washing the market.

The current price range is being suppressed by the daily main trend, and there is a critical "gap"—this is the cost area for the main force to pull the market, which will eventually need to be filled, meaning the main force will also need to cash out!

💡Understand these points to avoid being a victim:

This rebound is a "trap for bulls," aimed at blowing up the bears and luring the bulls to their doom.

Don't expect to break through 120,000; this doesn't align with the main force's capital logic.

Don't fear missing out on the market; the biggest fear is getting stuck all the way! It's better to not trade than to act impulsively against the trend.

Currently, going long = being a bag holder, waiting to be harvested!

🎯Operational Strategy:

At this position, whoever goes long will get hit. The truly smart ones would rather stay in cash waiting for opportunities than gamble with their principal.

Always remember: trading opportunities are available every day, but if the principal is lost, then you have nothing left.

——First, ensure survival, then talk about making money.

🚨The calm before the storm! Ethereum upgrade may trigger a new round of crashes! Cryptocurrency players must be vigilant! 💥

With the Ethereum upgrade imminent, yesterday's crash and today's resistance at a high point create a bizarre trend, reminiscent of the past as we approach the upgrade!

📉Looking back at the trends during three previous upgrades, you will understand:

2022 Merge Day —— A crash on that day

2023 Shanghai Upgrade —— A surge on that day

2024 Cancun Upgrade —— Another crash on that day

Now it's 2025 Prague Upgrade, the direction... is about to be revealed!

Stop gambling on luck, trading relies on understanding!

🎯Five survival rules, prioritizing life!

Don’t go all in! Splitting 200,000 into three investments for a 30% gain is better than a single big gamble.

If you don’t understand it, don’t touch it! Don’t risk money beyond your understanding.

Good news = exit point! Prices rise on expectations, fall on realization.

Cut losses quickly! If you lose half, you need to double your investment to break even, don’t procrastinate.

Keep some cash! Having 30% cash flow is the retail investor's moat.

🔑Conclusion:

Position management is more important than technical analysis; staying alive is more important than anything else! Less is more; greed leads to losses. This is not about fighting hard; it's about who can last longer!

💣 A shocking nuclear bomb is about to explode! The cryptocurrency circle is facing a major test of life and death. Are you ready? 💥

The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision early Thursday morning, and the cryptocurrency market is on high alert. This 'targeted explosion' could completely change the market trend in the coming months!

Key highlights at a glance:

The decision to keep interest rates unchanged is already set, and the market has long been prepared, with limited short-term impact.

The hope for a rate cut in June has cooled sharply, with the probability of a cut plummeting from 68% to 31.8%. If they continue a 'hawkish' stance, the market could face a severe blow.

Key data reveals economic weakness, with soaring unemployment and stubborn inflation, making it harder for the Federal Reserve to easily inject liquidity.

📉 Short-term risks are concentrated and must be heeded with three signals:

Miners are cashing out and leaving, with computing power continuously declining.

Whales are continuously selling, suggesting the top has already appeared.

Trump acknowledges the risk of economic recession, shaking confidence.

📊 Although funds are pouring into some ETF products, experience tells us that 'the last frenzy' is often a prelude to a crash.

🧠 Operational strategy is to the point:

Do not cling to short-term battles; high-level rebounds are escape windows, not good entry opportunities.

The Ethereum upgrade has a high probability of inducing buying; it's recommended to reduce positions at highs, don't become cannon fodder.

High-risk speculative coins are thriving, and after a surge, they are more likely to plummet. Don't chase!

🎯 Conclusion:

Now is not the time to gamble on the future but to accumulate strength and wait for clearer winds. The real opportunity in the market is not before the nuclear bomb drops but after the dust settles.

Stay calm, keep your bullets loaded, and wait for the wind to come!

💥“Power Struggle! Trump vs. the Federal Reserve: Who Can Steer the Direction of the American Economy?”💥

Many people are puzzled: Lowering interest rates is beneficial for the economy, so why hasn’t the Federal Reserve acted? The reason is — the Federal Reserve does not heed the government's orders.

Trump hopes to stimulate the return of manufacturing and boost the economy through interest rate cuts, aiding his "American Dream." However, the Federal Reserve is concerned that excessive liquidity will reignite inflation and undermine the dollar's status, thus they prefer to maintain high interest rates.

The two sides have differing positions: Trump is the radical, wanting to rapidly push for economic transformation; the Federal Reserve, on the other hand, is the conservative, prioritizing the stability and credibility of the dollar. This divergence makes it difficult for the U.S. to march in unison in external negotiations.

Tonight's interest rate decision is almost a foregone conclusion, but the key lies in Powell's speech in the early morning: hawkish or dovish will directly impact market direction. Who will control the future economic tempo? The suspense is about to be revealed!

🚀 The three waves of the bull market craze! Unveiling the secrets behind the explosive rise of altcoins! 🚀

Looking back at this bull market, three waves of altcoin season were remarkable:

First Wave (2022.12-2023.3): Bitcoin rose by 90%, and altcoins like OP, SSV, and LDO surged 5 times.

Second Wave (2023.9-2024.1): Bitcoin rose by 192%, and altcoins like SEI and WLD skyrocketed tenfold.

Third Wave (2024.9-2025.1): Bitcoin rose by 110%, and coins like SUI and NEIRO saw their prices increase 5 times, while other altcoins also experienced 2-3 times gains.

Summary: The rise in Bitcoin directly drives the explosive growth of altcoins. Correct strategy: First, bottom out on BTC, wait for BTC to hit a new high, then switch to altcoins, and when altcoins peak, switch back to BTC.

💥“Shock! The 2015 ICO whale reemerges, injecting 2500 ETH into the market, is there a dark conspiracy behind it?”💥

Three days later, the 2015 ICO whale strikes again, injecting 2500 ETH into the market 15 minutes ago, worth approximately 4.59 million dollars. This move has sparked speculation, suspected to be a sell-off. Currently, the whale still holds 11000 ETH, worth 20.2 million dollars, with a cost of only 0.31 dollars.

💥Global capital markets are facing a storm! Tonight's Federal Reserve decision may determine the market's life or death!💥

Tonight, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is about to take place, marking a critical moment for global capital markets. There are three main points of interest for this meeting:

No hope for rate cuts——The market has already priced in the result of no rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which has limited short-term impact;

Future rate cut guidance——Powell may provide signals for the next steps; if he leans hawkish, Bitcoin may face a significant correction;

Ethereum upgrade faces a plunge——Market reaction is tepid, with major funds withdrawing; the upgrade coinciding with the Federal Reserve's decision may bring risks of a sharp decline.

Currently, market trends are cautious, and short-term operations should avoid blindly chasing prices. It is recommended to stay in cash and observe or take light positions to go long at high levels. Continue to watch Bitcoin's rebound to the 97,000 line; if it does not break the previous high, one can consider entering short positions, with targets at 95,000, 93,000, and Ethereum's support levels of 1,730 and 1,680.

💥“Big cycles, shapes, rhythms! Unveiling the deadly rules behind successful trading!”💥

Regarding my views on altcoins, I have previously stated that the trend of Bitcoin determines the fate of altcoins—the bottom of Bitcoin is the bottom of altcoins, and the top of Bitcoin is the top of altcoins. I called the bottom for altcoins on April 8, and warned of escaping the top on May 2 and May 4, accurately grasping the rhythm. On January 13, I predicted that Bitcoin would correct from 110,000 to 78,000, and on April 5, I called for a “bull return,” fully mastering the trend for the entire month.

This is not boasting; I currently manage over 80 million in trading capital, working on large cycles. Mastering large cycles is the key to success, with shapes and sequences following closely behind. If you reverse the order, your operations will go wrong.

🔥"Global shock! China-US negotiations started, US stock futures soared, the game behind Trump and Biden's China strategies!"🌏

Today, the Asian market rose sharply, followed by US stock futures, because China and the United States are about to start formal negotiations.

Trump and Biden's China strategies are very different:

Biden: Unite other countries to fight China together.

Trump: While fighting China, let other countries share the benefits and push them to stand on the same front with the United States.

Trump's strategy has led more countries to lean eastward, but China cannot easily admit defeat. Cross-border trade may bring more wealth, while trade wars will only put countries in trouble.

Another risk is that the US government's spending will be reduced. As Buffett warned, there are hidden dangers in the US fiscal policy.

🚨“SUI暴力反弹！低位反攻引爆新机会，3.5美元即将破位！”🔥

今天SUI简直是浴火重生，深坑反弹一气呵成！多头情绪逐渐升温，我们要看这波反弹能走多远。

📊 当前价格：3.39

🎯 入场位：3.39

🚫 止损位：3.33（破位果断撤退）

🎯 目标位：3.52（前高阻力，反弹目标）

💥 盈亏比：1.94（性价比超高）

🔍 分析要点：

趋势转折：下跌趋势线突破，今日拉升确认反攻信号。

量价配合：放量拉升，回调缩量，完美控盘节奏。

20EMA反包：突破均线系统，趋势拐点出现。

操作建议：回踩不破3.33可继续持有，突破3.52看更高目标。

一句话：SUI反攻态势强劲，低位回踩可接力，记得控制风险！

🚨“Airdrop Deadly Traps! 5 Life-Saving Tips, One Misstep and You're Out!”⚠️

Want to grab airdrops for profit? Stay calm! Don’t let a small mistake lead to your total loss! 💥

These are the “Five Life-and-Death Rules” I summarized after getting 300 accounts banned; if you don’t understand these, don’t touch airdrops! 💣

🔥 First Rule: Flawless Equipment

Used computers = ticking time bomb, at least buy a new one, don’t risk your phone!

🔥 Second Rule: Improper VPN = Total Collapse

Free VPNs are traps; don’t let the system discover your time travel!

🔥 Third Rule: Browser Settings Determine Life and Death

Turn off account sync, don’t clear the cache, and don’t open plugins? 10 accounts can disappear in an instant!

🔥 Fourth Rule: Use Fingerprint Browsers with Caution

Use Lincoln Law Ball/Multilogin, stay away from domestic browsers to avoid identity exposure!

🔥 Fifth Rule: IP is the Amulet

Shared IPs cost me 50 accounts; exclusive IPs are the key!

⚠️ The airdrop world is fraught with risks; if you don’t want to be “wiped out,” remember these five life-saving rules!

💥“The turbulence continues! A major market liquidation is about to arrive, who will become the final winner?”💥

The market is still volatile, approximately 70% of the adjustments are complete, and the bull liquidity near the key level of 92800 is close to being finished, in a state of liquidation, which may encourage the confidence of short positions. At the same time, shorts are also accumulating liquidity near 96500, indicating that the shorts may be liquidated first, and then the bulls will be liquidated based on important statements made tonight.

Why this expectation?

If the market trends downward, the key support level needs to accumulate enough bull liquidity to trigger continuous liquidation and break downward. The bull liquidity below 92800 has accumulated over 80%, and liquidation could be triggered at any time.

Currently, there is still some room for volatility and small rebounds in the market, which can clear short positions in the short term while attracting more bulls, providing the liquidity needed for a breakout. However, the demand in the spot market is relatively weak, and premiums are declining. Unless there is significant positive news tonight, it will be difficult to break through 96500.

If the spot demand remains weak, it will be hard for the futures market to break through that level. The most likely scenario is to first liquidate the shorts near 96000, then attack the bulls at 92800, triggering a liquidation market. However, if neither side breaks, the market may enter a longer period of turbulence, continuing to accumulate liquidity.

Conclusion: The current situation is complex, and liquidation actions could erupt at any time. Who will become the final winner in the market remains full of suspense!