CryptoQuant data signals a surge in $BTC inflows, a classic warning sign.
๐น $781M worth of BTC just moved to exchanges ๐น This came alongside a $119K price spike, buyer greed is kicking in ๐น Similar setups in late 2024 & mid-2023 led to sharp corrections
Short-term outlook: โก Continued inflows = correction risk โก Falling inflows = room for recovery
๐ TA insight: High inflows often precede sell pressure. Consider trimming risk or locking profits. Combine with other metrics.
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Less BTC available = less sell pressure Meanwhile, demand from ETFs, institutions & retail remains strong. Classic setup for a supply squeeze. Big moves often start like this.
The $BTC cycle is closely tied to global M2 liquidity and weโre now deep into Phase 3: The Final Parabola.
๐ธ Phase 1: Bear market ends with major global cash influx ๐ธ Phase 2: Mid-cycle push (first cycle with two of these!) ๐ธ Phase 3: Starts at the โPhase 3 Starting Point massive rally toward the High Global Cash Influx Line
Weโre right in it now M2 strength is peaking but hasnโt reversed yet.
Each cycle ends with a sharp decline in money flow that hasnโt happened. Historically, this phase lasts 3-5 more months.
Key Takeaway: Global liquidity is surging ๐ธ The chart suggests $BTC still has room to run. Eyes on October 2025 for a potential macro shift! ๐
Binance spot selling heavily at the highs, while volume delta stays green. Means spot sellers are distributing, but perps keep piling in long positions.
Structure still bullish but longs are vulnerable if momentum flips! โ ๏ธ
Price started slow from 2012 to 2017, then we saw the breakout to $20K. It crashed to $3K, recovered strong, and hit $69K in 2021. Since then, we dropped below $20K, and now price is back around $109K.
Bottom line, volatility is normal, Bitcoin always bounces back, and big players still move this market. The real question are we heading for a new all-time high or another shakeout? Stay sharp.
But behind the noise, smart moneyโs calm. Long-term $BTC holders arenโt selling. History shows silence like this? Itโs the calm before the rally. Donโt confuse boredom with weakness. Accumulate like itโs 2019.
๐๐จ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐ฒ, ๐๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ค๐๐ซ๐ฌ Markets have been dumping hard, fear and uncertainty everywhere.
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Over 17.6% of BTC is lost forever. Another 5.2% sits untouched in Satoshiโs wallet. And 6.6% hasnโt even been mined yet. That means nearly 30% of total supply is effectively off the market.
The current breakdown shows 57% held by individuals, 3.9% by ETFs (growing steadily), 3.6% by companies, 2.7% by governments, and 3.4% with miners.
Meanwhile, real supply is shrinking as institutional demand rises. Halving cycles, ETF inflows, and global adoption are all converging.
With less than 2 million BTC left to mine, scarcity is no longer theoretical. itโs happening on-chain.
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โข In both 2024 and 2025, sharp drops in OI (โ20% to โ25%) were often followed by Bitcoin price corrections between โ7% and โ21%. โข Right now, OI is down just โ3.5%, showing only mild reduction in leveraged positions. โข However, if OI falls sharply again toward โ20%, we could see another correction, potentially in the โ5% to โ15% range.
๐ผ Still, the overall market structure remains bullish. Short-term dips donโt mean the trend is reversing.
๐ Smart money closely tracks OI to anticipate market moves.
Bitcoin's still playing within that symmetrical triangle! We're seeing the 21-day MA acting as resistance above, while the 50-day MA holds strong as support below. Keep an eye out for a breakout above the 21MA for potential upward momentum, or a breakdown below the triangle's support which could trigger a market correction. Stay sharp!
๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ค๐๐ซ๐ฌ $๐๐๐ /๐๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฉ: Traders, $WIF is looking prime! It's been consolidating in a falling wedge pattern and just bounced strongly off the major horizontal support at $0.77. The structure is tightening, could a breakout be imminent?
Trade Plan Breakdown: Entry Zone: $0.77 - $0.81 Breakout Confirmation: A decisive 4H close above the wedge trendline (approx. $0.87) is key.
Targets: T1: $0.95 T2: $1.10 T3: $1.35 Invalidation / SL: A close below $0.74. Risk-Reward: High (3R+ depending on entry).
Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout volume. Aggressive entries near current support with a tight SL are also viable for those comfortable with added risk.