HAC星云

#Sats On-Chain Address Analysis (January 27):
1. Binance exchange holdings: 28.3%; other CEX holdings: 12.99%; total exchange holdings: 41.29%, an increase of 0.3%.
2. Of the top 100 early whale addresses, 71 have not moved, accounting for 25.2% of the holdings, unchanged.
3. Of the top 200 early whale addresses, 120 have not moved, accounting for 29.9% of the holdings, unchanged.
4. The top 200 current holders account for 74.8% of the holdings, while the top 300 current holders account for 78.1%.
In summary, among the top 200 #Sats addresses, early addresses can be considered as major chips and key tracking targets. There have been large fluctuations recently, but the on-chain chips have remained largely unchanged. The average holding amount of the top 71 unmoved addresses is $3.85 million, and the dynamics of profitable chips need to be closely monitored; the total chips in exchanges exceed the holdings of major on-chain chips by 11.4%. The trend of changes is shown in the attached figure:

#ordi on-chain address analysis in the past month (January 24):
1. Binance exchange holdings, 43.56%; other CEX holdings account for 31.76%; exchange holdings total 75.32%
2. Among the top 100 early mint addresses, 15 addresses have remained unchanged, accounting for 6.13% of their positions, unchanged.
3. The current top 200 addresses hold a total of 91.35% of the positions; 152 of them have not been moved since December 24, accounting for 14.86% of the positions.
Summary: #ordi, 15 early Mint addresses have not been touched, with an average holding amount of US$4.65 million, making it the best diamond hand; the total chips in the exchange are 60.46% more than the main chip positions on the chain, ordi’s game is mainly in trading Within the institute, the changing trend is shown in the attached figure.

#sats on-chain address analysis (January 24):
1. Binance exchange holdings, 30.11%; other CEX holdings accounted for 10.88%; exchange holdings totaled 40.99%, an increase of 0.49%
2. Among the top 100 early large-capacity addresses, 71 addresses have not moved, accounting for 25.2% of their positions, a decrease of 0.1%.
3. Among the top 200 early large-capacity addresses, 120 addresses have not moved, accounting for 29.9% of positions, a decrease of 0.2%.
4. The current holdings of the top 200 on the chain account for 74.3%, and the current holdings of the top 300 account for 77.7%.
Summary: Among the top 200#satsaddresses, the early addresses can be regarded as the main bargaining chip and should be focused on tracking. There have been large fluctuations recently, but the chips on the chain have not changed much compared to the last statistics. The average holding amount of the first 71 untouched addresses is US$3.26 million, which requires focusing on profit-making chip dynamics; the total chips in the exchange are 11.1% more than the main chip holdings on the chain. The changing trend is shown in the attached figure:

#sats on-chain address analysis (January 21st):
1. Binance exchange holdings, 29.88%; other CEX holdings accounted for 10.62%; exchange holdings totaled 40.5%, an increase of 0.37%
2. Among the top 100 early mint addresses, 72 addresses have not moved, accounting for 25.3% of the positions, which is basically unchanged.
3. Among the top 200 early mint addresses, 122 addresses have not moved, accounting for 30.1% of the positions, which is basically unchanged.
4. The current holdings of the top 200 on the chain account for 74.1%, and the current holdings of the top 300 account for 77.5%;
Summary: Among the top 200#satsaddresses, the early mint addresses can be regarded as the main bargaining chip and should be focused on tracking. There have been large fluctuations recently, but the chips on the chain have not changed much. The average holding amount of the first 72 untouched addresses is US$3.96 million, which requires focusing on profit-making chip dynamics; the total chips in the exchange are 10.4% more than the main chip holdings on the chain. The changing trend is shown in the attached figure:

#sats on-chain address analysis (January 9):
1. Binance exchange holdings, 29.05%; OKEX/GATE and other CEX holdings accounted for 8.94%; exchange holdings totaled 37.99%, an increase of 0.4%
2. Among the top 100 early mint addresses, 74 addresses have not moved, accounting for 26.07% of the positions, no change.
3. Among the top 200 early mint addresses, 129 addresses have not moved, accounting for 31.14% of the positions, which is basically unchanged.
4. After excluding CEX from the chain, the top 200 current positions account for 34.41%, and the current top 300 account for 38.01%; plus CEX, the total total holdings are 76%.
Summary: Among the top 200#satsaddresses, the early mint addresses can be regarded as the main bargaining chip and should be focused on tracking. The average holding amount of the first 74 untouched addresses is US$3.57 million. The early profit-making chips are stable. The total chips in the exchange account for 37.99%, which is 6.85% more than the main chip holdings on the chain. The changing trend is shown in the attached figure:

The more consistent the expectation that BTC will fall now, the more support there is below. Everyone’s expectations for the fall are inconsistent, and there are always people rushing to buy in advance. Regardless of whether the ETF passes or not, I always think that a big drop is a small probability event.

On the contrary, if the expectations for rising prices are too consistent, it will be the reason for the sharp decline. At present, the funding rate has not gone up, the long-short ratio is not abnormal, and the lending interest rate has not increased. The price increase driven by spot prices is still healthy.

The stock trading rules of Jesse Livermore, the king of speculation (the same applies to the currency circle)
1. Buy stocks that are rising and sell stocks that are falling.
2. Don’t trade every day. Only trade when the market is clearly bullish or bearish. The trading direction is consistent with the overall market. If the overall market is rising, go long; if the overall market is falling, go short.
3. The trading pace must be coordinated with the key points of time and price.
4. Wait for market changes to prove your point of view before trading; trading will be more expensive and faster.
5. If there is a profit in the transaction, continue to hold it; if there is a loss in the transaction, close it as soon as possible.
6. When it becomes clear that the original profit-making trend has ended, close the trade.
7. When doing stocks, be the leader—the one with the strongest trend.
8. Never share a loss-making position equally, for example, if a certain stock has been trapped and you continue to buy it.
9. Never call for margin, simply close the position and accept the loss.
10. When the stock price reaches a new high, buy and go long; when the stock price reaches a new low, sell and go short.
11. If the stock falls, let it go. Don’t become a shareholder by speculating on stocks.
12. Never buy because the stock price is too high; never sell because the stock price is too low.
13. Opinions are always wrong, but the market is always right.
14. The most profitable trades often start with a paper profit.
15. There are no surefire trading rules.

Ordi, as the flag of BRC20 and the road sign of the track, is a bargain!