Crypto鸣哥

给昨天晚上爆仓的兄弟一个家，专注合约8年，每天只开稳单，大额盈利，不收费噢，跟着趋势走，牛马伦什么都有#加密市场回调

June 19 Market Analysis

· Yesterday, BTC maintained consolidation, continuing to recover. The impact of geopolitical conflicts has weakened, and the downward momentum on the 4-hour chart has started to diminish, but adjustments are still needed. Be patient and wait for a breakout. The daily level still needs to consolidate, waiting for the 4-hour level to break out.

· The second derivative follows BTC, synchronizing consolidation. The 4-hour level still needs adjustment, and the downward momentum is not strong. It is expected to break out in the next two days, with the daily level remaining healthy, maintaining range fluctuations. Pay attention to the stability condition within the day.

BTC on the 1-hour and 4-hour levels is below the healthy range, while the daily level has returned to the healthy range. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation. Pay attention to the support level's stability, with intraday support at 104200-103800 and resistance above at 105700-106500.

ETH on the 1-hour and 4-hour levels is below the healthy range, while the daily level has returned to the healthy range. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation, with intraday support at 2430-2470 and resistance above at 2580-2610.

Btc did indeed break through yesterday and accelerated to rise, estimating that many long positions including chasing the rise occurred at night, then there was a quick drop again. This wave mainly exploded the bulls, and all the positions or chasing the rise were taken away. Currently, this market is difficult for both long and short; when it rises, it keeps rising, making people unable to resist chasing the rise, but when chasing the rise, another wave of waterfall comes. So now there’s no need for a position, whether you make a profit or a loss, just run; be a bit flexible. The current price has dropped again to the upper edge of the rising triangle, next, pay attention to the 106000 position where the resistance line turns into support. If it doesn't break down, there will be a continuation of a rebound. Once it breaks down, it will go to the 104000-103000 range, so for now, pay attention to the support position, and if a doji appears, consider going long! $BTC #币安HODLer空投SPK

June 16 Market Analysis

· Yesterday, BTC maintained a consolidation, the impact of geopolitical conflicts weakened, and the upward momentum on the 4-hour level is not strong. Pay attention to the volume breakthrough at the resistance level of 107000, the daily level still needs adjustment.

· The altcoin followed BTC's consolidation, returning above 2500, the 4-hour adjustment state is good, and the daily repair is good. Pay attention to the breakthrough at the resistance level of 2650.

BTC's 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation, paying attention to the breakthrough at the resistance level, with intraday support at 104500-105000 and resistance above at 107000-108000.

· ETH's 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, and the daily level has returned to a healthy range. The expectation for the day is to maintain consolidation, paying attention to the breakthrough at the resistance level, with intraday support at 2450-2500 and resistance above at 2600-2650.

High Win Rate Secrets for Contract Rolling!
I have already practiced this for everyone, and the method is as follows:
Every time use 30u to gamble on hot coins, make sure to set take profit and stop loss 100 to 200, 200 to 400, 400 to 800. Remember a maximum of three times! Because the crypto world requires a bit of luck, each time gambling like this, it’s easy to earn 9 times and have one loss! If you pass three rounds with 100, then the principal will increase to 1100u!

At this point, it is recommended to use a three-pronged strategy to play.
Do two types of trades a day: ultra-short trades and strategy trades. If an opportunity arises, then go for trend trades.
Ultra-short trades are for quick strikes, at the 15-minute level. Advantages: high returns. Disadvantages: high risk.

Only trade at the level of Bitcoin and major coins.
The second type of trade, strategy trades, involves using a small position, like 10 times 15u to do contracts at around the four-hour level. Use the profits to save up and do regular investments in Bitcoin every week.
The third type, trend trades, is for medium to long-term trading. When you see the right opportunity, go for it. Advantages: more profit.
Find the right entry point and set a relatively high risk-reward ratio.

Newcomer precautions in the crypto world:
1. First, only buy Bitcoin and Ethereum. Other coins are very volatile and can bring you significant psychological pressure. Bitcoin and Ethereum can also drop by 20% in a day.
2. Try not to buy from small exchanges. If a coin is not available on major exchanges, it is likely a high-risk coin. No matter how much someone tries to tempt you to buy, do not go for it. If you really have to, you can ask me first.
3. Do not go all-in at once. Manage your positions well; even in a bull market, there are many opportunities that can catch you off guard.
4. Do not play contracts; contracts are tools for risk hedging, not for gambling.
5. Do not transfer coins casually. There’s no need to buy several thousand dollars’ worth of coins just to withdraw them to your wallet. The probability of a newcomer losing their own coins is much higher than the probability of being stolen.

Starting today, a month-long 10x frenzy event will begin. You can follow the trades with just 200u, completely free, $BTC #特朗普比特币金库

#btc Average price around 107240 Currently reducing positions by half at 107380 If a dip occurs later, plan to buy back around 105788, the average price will be pulled up to around 106500
Stop loss moved down to 104700
Good risk management Currently a good opportunity regardless of whether it's a short-term rebound or a new starting point $BTC $ETH
#美国加征关税

Today's achievements, from the students' trading records. If you want to do contracts, you can find me. Free guidance, no charges, and teaching theoretical knowledge. I hope everyone achieves stable profits in the cryptocurrency market early and secures their own financial freedom. $BTC $ETH
#美国加征关税 #山寨币ETF展望

6.12 Bitcoin Morning Analysis:
After a sharp decline and rebound at the daily level, high-level fluctuations are evident, with resistance becoming apparent. Bitcoin has retraced to 108300, while Ethereum has fallen to 2758. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour upward trend line for Bitcoin remains intact, providing effective support; Ethereum has stabilized on the 4-hour chart, with the Bollinger Bands trending upwards, overall leaning bullish.
In terms of operations, go long on Bitcoin at 107600 - 108200, targeting 109000 - 110000.
Go long on Ethereum at 2740 - 2760, targeting 2790 - 2840.
#比特币

#BTC Night Limit Orders Up 📈

Entry: Around 107700-106800

Take Profit: 109500-111900-🛫

Stop Loss: 105200
#看懂K线 #比特币突破11万美元
$BTC $ETH

June 11 Market Highlights:

1. In the past, ETH has always played the role of a follower, but this time it has broken the mold and led the way, clearly aiming for more than just 3000;

2. BTC's performance has been rather mediocre, it has risen but not much, unable to compare with Ethereum, as if it were being dragged upward, showing weak willingness to break out on its own;

3. The ETF speculation for SOL may soon kick off, as the SEC has requested potential Solana ETF issuers to submit revised S-1 forms within the next week;

4. Currently, Bitcoin's spot trading volume is still in a shrinking state, especially in the last two months, even lower than the levels seen at the bottom of the last bear market, and this situation has invariably led to a strong trend;

5. Legislation on stablecoins will be voted on this Wednesday; $BTC $ETH #中美贸易谈判

June 11 Market Analysis

· Yesterday, BTC continued to rise, with significant gains in the early hours. A short-term correction is needed over the next 4 hours to prepare for further increases. The daily level is about to complete its adjustment, and a golden cross on the axis is about to form. A new round of increases is expected to start, and the weekly trend remains healthy. Pay close attention to fundamental information, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process, and expect a slight correction today before continuing to rise.

· The second coin followed BTC's rise, once again touching the 2700 resistance level. Watch for breakout conditions; the daily level is about to complete its correction, and a new round of increases is expected to start.

BTC has entered the overbought range on the 1-hour and 4-hour levels, while the daily level has returned to a healthy range. A slight correction is expected today before continuing to rise.
Daily support: 108700-107700
Resistance above: 112300-112800

ETH has entered the overbought range on the 1-hour and 4-hour levels, while the daily level has returned to a healthy range. A slight correction is expected today before continuing to rise.
Daily support: 2615-2575
Resistance above: 2755-2785
$BTC $ETH

Entering the crypto world for the 12th year, I initially lost a lot, had both gains and losses along the way, and now I rely on crypto to support my family. I’ve summarized some experiences to share with everyone, hoping it will help you. As long as you do it, it will be hard to lose.
1. When the market crashes and the coin doesn’t fall, it means there are market makers protecting it: You must hold onto this coin, there will definitely be profits later!
2. Newbies should remember macro information when trading: For short-term, look at 15 minutes and daily charts; if the price is above the line, hold it, if it breaks, run. For mid-term, focus on the daily line; the operation is simple and direct, don’t blindly trust fancy technical indicators!
3. If a short-term coin hasn’t moved for three days, hurry to swap it out: If you bought and it drops, cut losses at 5%, don’t drag it out!
4. If a coin is halved from its peak and then falls for nine days: this is a deep drop, a rebound is imminent, be decisive and get in!
5. When trading coins, chase the leader: it’s the one that rises the most and also withstands drops. Don’t be afraid of high prices, don’t catch falling knives, leader coins are meant to chase up and sell down!
6. Don’t always think about catching the bottom: A falling coin is like jumping off a building, with no bottom line! If it needs to be cut, then cut it; the trend is the way to go. Buying coins isn’t about getting them cheaper, but about timing being right for the best choice.
7. Have you gotten a little profit and got carried away? Be careful of falling into a pit: It’s easy to make a profit once, but sustaining profit is hard. After each profit, reflect on whether your operation was excellent or if you were just lucky. You need your own trading strategy to move forward steadily!
8. If you’re not sure, stay in cash: It’s not shameful to stay in cash, losing money is what’s shameful. Remember, you’re here to protect your capital, not to be a gambling god. Trading is about success rate and profit-loss ratio, not speed.
9. The influx of funds into new coins: Initially, due to market hype, prices may rise. But once sentiment changes, coins lacking solid fundamentals can plummet quickly.
10. The crypto world is the power of consensus: The value of a coin comes from the consensus mechanism, backed by a group of like-minded individuals. Everyone pushes the project together, resulting in wealth acquisition. Ten years in crypto is like a day in life! Follow Ming Ge, and you will get everything including Niu Ma Lun $BTC $ETH

Tuesday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading Ideas and Strategy Analysis
Multiple buy signals have been provided, with many entry opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethereum. After taking profits for the first time yesterday, I mentioned continuing to buy on dips. It became even more insane in the evening, directly advising everyone to buy at the current price, without waiting for a pullback. As a result, this morning both Bitcoin and Ethereum reached our expected positions. Bitcoin's swing trade saw an entry around 107600 in the early hours, with a take profit target moved to 110500, capturing nearly 3000 points of movement, while Ethereum's swing trade also had a 185-point gain. What is this? This is mastery of the trend and recognition of one's own capabilities, which is why I can be the first to take the plunge.

Bitcoin successfully stood above the 106500 mark on the daily chart and strongly continued to rise, which is above the middle line of the daily chart. Previously, this position was mentioned multiple times as a critical point for the transition between bullish and bearish. Above this position marks the beginning of a bullish return. Currently, after a rise on the daily chart, there has not been a significant pullback, but rather a steady release of bullish momentum. The market is still in a strong upward phase, and high-level fluctuations or corrections may become the main theme today, with the rate of increase possibly slowing down. However, the overall trend remains positive, and there is still the potential for further bullish stretches. A sideways market indicates strong corrections, while pullbacks may indicate weak corrections. Strategically placing buy orders around the low points after pullbacks will be a relatively safe strategy. If the market does not experience excessive pullbacks, then it is advisable to follow the trend and continue to seize bullish opportunities.

Trading Suggestions
On Tuesday afternoon, Bitcoin can be bought around 109000, with the initial target focusing on 111000.
Ethereum can be bought around 2640, with the initial target focusing on 2780. $BTC $ETH

6.10 Morning Analysis
Current 🛳️ situation is built on two strong solid bullish candles, but short-term momentum has been excessively released, with the K-line showing a significant upper shadow, indicating a notable increase in selling pressure above. Meanwhile, the MACD energy bar has retreated to a neutral zone, and the bearish force is beginning to dominate; caution is needed for potential pullback risks in the short term. Remember to set stop-losses well.
Suggestions
Bitcoin: Go short in the range of 110500-111000, target 109000-107000.
Ethereum: Go short in the range of 2720-2760, target 2650-2580.

6.9 Ether Market Strategy Share
$ETH $6.9 Intraday Trading Strategy
The market liquidity is relatively weak on weekends. The trading strategy for the 6.7 date has only just formed today, with a short signal in the 2513-2569 range. On 6.8, it surged to this range in the morning, but there was no clear trading signal, and the downward movement did not reach the first target of 2444, so this strategy continues. This morning, it reached the 2513-2569 range again, with a clear trading signal of a top divergence, and also formed a 4-hour adjacent divergence, shorting at 2538. Today's strategy is to short on the pullback.
Action Suggestion: Short near 2521 on pullback; if there is no pullback and it directly breaks down, short on the retest at 2502.
Targets: 2500, 2444, 2397; Stop loss: 2548. Stop loss for short position on retest: 2521.

Why do contract trades always lead to liquidation?
Why do contract trades always lead to liquidation? It's not bad luck; it's because you fundamentally don't understand the essence of trading! This article, condensed from ten years of trading experience, presents low-risk principles that will completely overturn your understanding of contract trading—liquidation is never the market's fault; it's a time bomb you planted yourself.
Three major truths that overturn understanding
Leverage ≠ Risk: Position size is the lifeline
Using 1% position with 100x leverage, the actual risk is only equivalent to 1% of a full position in spot trading. A student used 20x leverage to trade ETH, investing only 2% of the principal each time, with three years of zero liquidations. Core formula: Real risk = Leverage multiplier × Position size ratio.
Stop-loss ≠ Loss: The ultimate insurance for the account
During the crash on March 12, 2024, 78% of liquidated accounts shared a common feature: losses exceeding 5% without setting stop-losses. A professional trader's rule: Single loss must not exceed 2% of the principal.
Rolling positions ≠ All-in: The correct way to compound
Laddered position building model: First position 10% for trial, increase position by 10% of profits. With a principal of 50,000, the first position is 5,000 (10x leverage); for every 10% profit, add 500. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, the total position only increases by 10%, but the safety margin improves by 30%.
Dynamic position formula
Total position ≤ (Principal × 2%) / (Stop-loss margin × Leverage multiplier)
Example: With a principal of 50,000, 2% stop-loss, and 10x leverage, the maximum position calculated is = 50,000 × 0.02 / (0.02 × 10) = 5,000
Three-step take-profit method
① Close 1/3 at 20% profit ② Close another 1/3 at 50% profit ③ Move stop-loss for the remaining position (exit if it breaks the 5-day line)
In the 2024 halving market, this strategy increased 50,000 in capital to one million during two trends, with a yield of over 1900%.
Deadly trap data evidence
Holding a position for 4 hours: Liquidation probability increases to 92%
High-frequency trading: Average of 500 trades per month costs 24% of principal
Four, the mathematical expression of trading essence
Expected profit = (Win rate × Average profit) - (Loss rate × Average loss)
When setting a 2% stop-loss and a 20% take-profit, only a 34% win rate is needed to achieve positive returns. Professional traders achieve an annualized return of 400%+ through strict stop-loss (average loss 1.5%) and trend capture (average profit 15%).
Ultimate rule: Single loss ≤ 2%, $BTC 70% of the time, waiting in cash. The essence of the market is a probability game; smart traders take a 2% risk to seize trend dividends. Remember: Control losses, and profits will run. Establish a mechanical trading system, allowing discipline to replace emotional decision-making; this is the ultimate answer for sustained profitability.