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DON'T BE SCARED ANYMORE
but keep a tight grip on the steering wheel. ETH has surged past 4k, shorts are being squeezed and money is flowing out less. It feels like there's still fuel to push to 4.3–4.5, then the machine needs to cool down, touching back to the bottom of 3.7–3.9 is normal.
At this point, don’t run away, nor chase after.
Anyone with holdings: lighten leverage, pull the stop point up just below the nearest bottom, step by step take profits for peace of mind.
Anyone still with cash: ignore FOMO, set an appointment to reassess in 1–2 weeks when signals are clearer. Falling below 3k7 is considered out of sync. Falling deep below 3k4 means sit down, review the entire picture.
At this point, don’t run away, nor chase after.
Anyone with holdings: lighten leverage, pull the stop point up just below the nearest bottom, step by step take profits for peace of mind.
Anyone still with cash: ignore FOMO, set an appointment to reassess in 1–2 weeks when signals are clearer. Falling below 3k7 is considered out of sync. Falling deep below 3k4 means sit down, review the entire picture.
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EVERYTHING HAS ITS CYCLE
=> #hold <=
The market has its fear cycle. The phase of panic, stress, and cutting losses... is over. At this moment, hasty actions — whether it's panic selling or FOMO buying more — only turn you into prey for short-term volatility; those who escape now may never be able to get back in. Simply because escaping at 1 unit, you won't dare to buy back at 1.5 units.
The wisest thing to do now is... do nothing. Hold your position, wait for the picture to become clearer. In the next two weeks, signals will emerge to find reasonable entry points (to buy more). That will be the time to accelerate. Right now, running around only makes you miss the real jump.
In a long game, the winner is the one who knows when not to press the button.
Do you have enough patience to stand still while others anxiously run around?
=> #hold <=
The market has its fear cycle. The phase of panic, stress, and cutting losses... is over. At this moment, hasty actions — whether it's panic selling or FOMO buying more — only turn you into prey for short-term volatility; those who escape now may never be able to get back in. Simply because escaping at 1 unit, you won't dare to buy back at 1.5 units.
The wisest thing to do now is... do nothing. Hold your position, wait for the picture to become clearer. In the next two weeks, signals will emerge to find reasonable entry points (to buy more). That will be the time to accelerate. Right now, running around only makes you miss the real jump.
In a long game, the winner is the one who knows when not to press the button.
Do you have enough patience to stand still while others anxiously run around?
Looking at the market, I don't know if everyone has strong confidence, but for someone with experience like me, I have already sold my shares for a cheerful profit of 20-30%... Honestly, I feel that there will be a crash soon, which will likely filter out quite a few players so that it can rise again... I want it to increase too, but there are too many factors, from liquidity, from greed, from the number of players holding stocks... If it rises now, the market makers will be too comfortable with everyone... @WalletConnect #walletconnect $WCT $BTC
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When everyone cheers ETH "historic breakout", that's when you should reach into your pocket... to see how many bullets you have left to run.
Strong pump, high volume, EMA holding steady — sounds like an optimistic tune. But market history shows: those "too perfect" spikes often come with a fatal weakness — they make traders believe that risk has vanished. And that is the real risk.
With the August peak reached and prices exceeding critical levels, the market is in a zone where every scenario is enticing... except the bad scenario. But bad scenarios don't need to be enticing to happen. A deep pullback not only resets the RSI, it also resets the confidence of those who just went all-in yesterday.
In this world, the only thing "certain" is surprise. And surprises are rarely cheap.
If tomorrow ETH drops 8% in a 4-hour candle, tell me you're still standing strong
?
$ETH
Strong pump, high volume, EMA holding steady — sounds like an optimistic tune. But market history shows: those "too perfect" spikes often come with a fatal weakness — they make traders believe that risk has vanished. And that is the real risk.
With the August peak reached and prices exceeding critical levels, the market is in a zone where every scenario is enticing... except the bad scenario. But bad scenarios don't need to be enticing to happen. A deep pullback not only resets the RSI, it also resets the confidence of those who just went all-in yesterday.
In this world, the only thing "certain" is surprise. And surprises are rarely cheap.
If tomorrow ETH drops 8% in a 4-hour candle, tell me you're still standing strong
?
$ETH
$ETH
Quick assessment
Today's context must be very cautious because the August view has already surpassed the July price peak, if there is no historical breakout of this scale, the price could collapse at any moment.
1. About yesterday's pump
H4 frame: strong breakout, long candle body, closing above EMA9/EMA21 clearly. High volume, OBV sustained upward trend -> confirms real buying power.
H1 frame: after reaching the peak of 4,070, it slightly corrected back to EMA9, maintaining the upward structure and not breaking EMA21 -> no signs of large sell-off yet.
This is a “preemptive” pump in the upward trend of the month, but the speed is a bit fast compared to the previous price base -> likely to create a pullback to test EMA9 or even EMA21 on the H4 frame before continuing.
2. Relating to the August candle
The current month candle has surpassed 4,000 and is approaching the monthly peak (4,109), but the body is still smaller than July -> fitting the scenario of “weaker green than last month.”
However, if this momentum is maintained and the month closes above 4,050–4,080, then although “weaker,” it still confirms the breakout of the EMA9/EMA21 area of the month -> mid-long term bullish inclination.
3. Possible probabilities
- Continue to pump beyond 4,110, with H4 maintaining above EMA9 -> could create an early FOMO to close the week strongly. This scenario is dangerous as the pump could easily lose momentum, probability 35%
- Pullback to test EMA9 H4 (3,950–3,960) before moving on. Higher likelihood because it needs to reset the H1 RSI index (currently ~62) and reduce OBV heat. This is a strong pump scenario opening a new cycle, probability 45%
- Create a short-term peak, returning to EMA21 H4 (~3,840). This will only happen if a long red H4 candle appears, OBV breaks strongly, and funding remains positive >0.01 continuously. This will cause the month candle to narrow its body. Probability 20%.
Quick assessment
Today's context must be very cautious because the August view has already surpassed the July price peak, if there is no historical breakout of this scale, the price could collapse at any moment.
1. About yesterday's pump
H4 frame: strong breakout, long candle body, closing above EMA9/EMA21 clearly. High volume, OBV sustained upward trend -> confirms real buying power.
H1 frame: after reaching the peak of 4,070, it slightly corrected back to EMA9, maintaining the upward structure and not breaking EMA21 -> no signs of large sell-off yet.
This is a “preemptive” pump in the upward trend of the month, but the speed is a bit fast compared to the previous price base -> likely to create a pullback to test EMA9 or even EMA21 on the H4 frame before continuing.
2. Relating to the August candle
The current month candle has surpassed 4,000 and is approaching the monthly peak (4,109), but the body is still smaller than July -> fitting the scenario of “weaker green than last month.”
However, if this momentum is maintained and the month closes above 4,050–4,080, then although “weaker,” it still confirms the breakout of the EMA9/EMA21 area of the month -> mid-long term bullish inclination.
3. Possible probabilities
- Continue to pump beyond 4,110, with H4 maintaining above EMA9 -> could create an early FOMO to close the week strongly. This scenario is dangerous as the pump could easily lose momentum, probability 35%
- Pullback to test EMA9 H4 (3,950–3,960) before moving on. Higher likelihood because it needs to reset the H1 RSI index (currently ~62) and reduce OBV heat. This is a strong pump scenario opening a new cycle, probability 45%
- Create a short-term peak, returning to EMA21 H4 (~3,840). This will only happen if a long red H4 candle appears, OBV breaks strongly, and funding remains positive >0.01 continuously. This will cause the month candle to narrow its body. Probability 20%.
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In this phase, don't short anymore. No matter how strong the resistance is, do not short. Just wait for a good entry and then buy.
Hey, can you give me some advice? Should I cut it or add more? It’s about 500$ in the end.
BTC's Next Trend on the D1 Chart:
Looking at the chart, #Bitcoin may undergo a short-term correction before continuing its long-term uptrend.
Head and Shoulders Pattern:
If you look at the chart, you’ll see multiple head and shoulders formations, which are typically a bearish signal. After each high, the price tends to fall to lower lows, suggesting that $BTC might drop toward the $60,300 zone.
Strong Support at $60,300:
The $60,300 level could serve as a strong support area where $BTC previously found a foothold. If the price retests this level, we might see a rebound.
Potential Recovery After Correction:
After dropping to the $60,300 zone, #BTC could rebound sharply and head toward $65,000. If you look at the arrow on the chart, it indicates a possible recovery once BTC finds buying pressure at this support level.
Before BTC to the moon, there will likely be one more significant drop. After that, the price is expected to surge, possibly breaking the $73,000 all-time high (ATH), leading us into Altcoin season. This is the moment you should pay attention to for the final shake-out to determine the last opportunity to💰All In💰.
Head and Shoulders Pattern:
If you look at the chart, you’ll see multiple head and shoulders formations, which are typically a bearish signal. After each high, the price tends to fall to lower lows, suggesting that $BTC might drop toward the $60,300 zone.
Strong Support at $60,300:
The $60,300 level could serve as a strong support area where $BTC previously found a foothold. If the price retests this level, we might see a rebound.
Potential Recovery After Correction:
After dropping to the $60,300 zone, #BTC could rebound sharply and head toward $65,000. If you look at the arrow on the chart, it indicates a possible recovery once BTC finds buying pressure at this support level.
Before BTC to the moon, there will likely be one more significant drop. After that, the price is expected to surge, possibly breaking the $73,000 all-time high (ATH), leading us into Altcoin season. This is the moment you should pay attention to for the final shake-out to determine the last opportunity to💰All In💰.
Strong Resistance Around $62,000
The chart shows that BTC is struggling to break above a descending trendline (purple), which has acted as resistance since early July. Each time the price touches this line, it gets pushed back down, forming lower highs over time, indicating that the bearish trend remains intact.
Double Top Pattern:
A potential double top formation is evident around the $62,000 region, a classic bearish reversal signal. This pattern typically suggests that after failing to break the resistance, the price is likely to drop significantly, possibly toward the next major support levels.
Decreasing Trading Volume:
Volume indicators show declining buy-side activity, which means bulls are losing strength. When volume drops while the price approaches a resistance zone, it suggests that there may not be enough momentum to push prices higher, increasing the chances of a downward move as sellers gain control.
Next Support Level:
Based on previous price action, the next strong support level lies around $54,000. This level has held firm during past corrections, making it a likely target for Bitcoin’s current retracement before potentially finding a bottom and reversing.
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If Bitcoin fails to break above the resistance at $62,000, it's likely to continue its downward trajectory toward $54,000. Traders should be cautious with long positions at this stage, as the market seems poised for a deeper correction before any potential recovery.
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC☀ #cryptotrade #Bearish #ETH
Double Top Pattern:
A potential double top formation is evident around the $62,000 region, a classic bearish reversal signal. This pattern typically suggests that after failing to break the resistance, the price is likely to drop significantly, possibly toward the next major support levels.
Decreasing Trading Volume:
Volume indicators show declining buy-side activity, which means bulls are losing strength. When volume drops while the price approaches a resistance zone, it suggests that there may not be enough momentum to push prices higher, increasing the chances of a downward move as sellers gain control.
Next Support Level:
Based on previous price action, the next strong support level lies around $54,000. This level has held firm during past corrections, making it a likely target for Bitcoin’s current retracement before potentially finding a bottom and reversing.
--------
If Bitcoin fails to break above the resistance at $62,000, it's likely to continue its downward trajectory toward $54,000. Traders should be cautious with long positions at this stage, as the market seems poised for a deeper correction before any potential recovery.
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC☀ #cryptotrade #Bearish #ETH
BTC Popularity Might Not Be So Good
While there are several reasons to be optimistic about Bitcoin following BlackRock's approval of its Bitcoin Options ETF, it’s worth considering some counterarguments to the key points presented.
Increased Institutional Participation:
While having more institutions involved in Bitcoin could boost its legitimacy, it's not always great for its price. Institutions tend to have short-term profit goals and use complex hedging strategies, which can increase volatility instead of stabilizing the market. Moreover, they often don't engage with Bitcoin directly but through financial products, potentially undermining Bitcoin’s scarcity.Options Trading and Price Volatility:
Adding options to the Bitcoin market could make it even more unpredictable. Traders who don’t actually hold Bitcoin but speculate via derivatives could cause large swings in the price, leading to volatility that doesn't reflect Bitcoin’s true value, but rather short-term market manipulation in the options market.Diverse Strategies:
While options provide more ways to trade and hedge risk, too many complex strategies can make the market confusing for smaller investors. These strategies are often disconnected from the belief in Bitcoin’s actual value and focus instead on exploiting short-term price movements. This could hurt long-term holders if the market is overly volatile due to the influence of large players seeking short-term profits.
In conclusion, while Bitcoin Options ETFs might seem like a step forward, they also bring significant risks, especially in terms of volatility and market manipulation. Increased institutional involvement doesn’t always guarantee a bright future for $BTC.
#bitcoin #MarketDownturn #btc #sellbtc
Increased Institutional Participation:
While having more institutions involved in Bitcoin could boost its legitimacy, it's not always great for its price. Institutions tend to have short-term profit goals and use complex hedging strategies, which can increase volatility instead of stabilizing the market. Moreover, they often don't engage with Bitcoin directly but through financial products, potentially undermining Bitcoin’s scarcity.Options Trading and Price Volatility:
Adding options to the Bitcoin market could make it even more unpredictable. Traders who don’t actually hold Bitcoin but speculate via derivatives could cause large swings in the price, leading to volatility that doesn't reflect Bitcoin’s true value, but rather short-term market manipulation in the options market.Diverse Strategies:
While options provide more ways to trade and hedge risk, too many complex strategies can make the market confusing for smaller investors. These strategies are often disconnected from the belief in Bitcoin’s actual value and focus instead on exploiting short-term price movements. This could hurt long-term holders if the market is overly volatile due to the influence of large players seeking short-term profits.
In conclusion, while Bitcoin Options ETFs might seem like a step forward, they also bring significant risks, especially in terms of volatility and market manipulation. Increased institutional involvement doesn’t always guarantee a bright future for $BTC.
#bitcoin #MarketDownturn #btc #sellbtc
Talking about $BTC today is like watching the Titanic heading straight for an iceberg. Everyone’s hoping it’ll steer away, but let’s be real... Bitcoin is sinking faster than a kid letting go of a balloon in the wind.
Sure, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around $64,000. Sounds decent, right? Don’t get too excited. It’s just a pretty number masking the chaos underneath. Analysts are still clinging to optimism, predicting it could hit $68,000 or, if you’re really dreaming, $86,000. But reality? Every time BTC hits resistance like a superhero facing a villain, it bounces back under $60,000, dragging wallets down with it. Over $43 million in short positions liquidated, only to set up the next batch of long traders for a trip to the ICU.
If you’re waiting for Bitcoin to skyrocket and change your life, well… proceed with caution. Sometimes, Bitcoin is like a gambler in Vegas: "Big win today, bankruptcy tomorrow." These rapid gains might just be the teaser before it nosedives back to the $50,000 zone like a rollercoaster.
So, if you’re all in on $BTC, better prepare yourself to watch your account turn green before it flashes red like a fall leaf. And if by some miracle you hold on until the end of the year,
congrats, you might see it climb. But remember, the Bitcoin ocean is always ready to swallow those who lack patience!
#bitcoin☀️ #BTC #etherreum #HODL
Sure, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around $64,000. Sounds decent, right? Don’t get too excited. It’s just a pretty number masking the chaos underneath. Analysts are still clinging to optimism, predicting it could hit $68,000 or, if you’re really dreaming, $86,000. But reality? Every time BTC hits resistance like a superhero facing a villain, it bounces back under $60,000, dragging wallets down with it. Over $43 million in short positions liquidated, only to set up the next batch of long traders for a trip to the ICU.
If you’re waiting for Bitcoin to skyrocket and change your life, well… proceed with caution. Sometimes, Bitcoin is like a gambler in Vegas: "Big win today, bankruptcy tomorrow." These rapid gains might just be the teaser before it nosedives back to the $50,000 zone like a rollercoaster.
So, if you’re all in on $BTC, better prepare yourself to watch your account turn green before it flashes red like a fall leaf. And if by some miracle you hold on until the end of the year,
congrats, you might see it climb. But remember, the Bitcoin ocean is always ready to swallow those who lack patience!
#bitcoin☀️ #BTC #etherreum #HODL
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