$SANTOS — I have a new plan on SPOT. I'll just turn on notifications and wait for price signals.
Those who have been reading me for the last 4 months know that I have long been saying that there should be a final strong decline of SANTOS.
So, until the price drops into the $1.9–$1.7 zone, there can be no talk of #tothemoon . This could be a squeeze with a buyback to the $2.2 level and a gradual trading in the $2.2–$2.5 zone.
(Yes, I considered different scenarios and expected everything to happen faster. I may be wrong now. But what is visible today on the chart #SANTOS only confirms my earlier expectations.)
A schematic chart of new expectations is in the image (chart 8H).
Modeling the situation, I see that technically this could happen within the next 1.5 months, that is, closer to August (but this is not certain, just an assumption).
And in the meantime, I'll just turn on notifications and wait for price signals for both declines and increases. Until then, there's nothing to do here!
And, by the way, all news, good and bad events, are already priced in. That is, the rise or fall will not happen because of the news, but because that is the market maker's plan. And the news is just a reason to implement that plan.
Good luck to everyone and see you after the decline!
A complicated way to earn 1600% on Spot, which is easier than it seems!
Let’s start with the problem! You can invest in one coin and wait 5 years for its price to rise by +1600%. This happens extremely rarely, and during the waiting period, the coin can: 1) drop to $0; 2) get delisted and become worthless. There are more risks than opportunities, and it’s not guaranteed that it will grow by +1600%.
The method of compound interest To earn +1600%, you only need to make 4 trades, each with +100% profit. That's it!
Didn’t get it? Let me show you!
Let’s assume the initial investment capital is $10K. Here are the 4 trades: - Trade 1: 10K$ x2 = 20K$ (+100%) - Trade 2: 20K$ x2 = 40K$ (+100%) - Trade 3: 40K$ x2 = 80K$ (+100%) - Trade 4: 80K$ x2 = 160K$ (+100%)
We will apply the proportion formula to find out how many percent was earned relative to the initial capital: 160K$ * 100% / 10K$ = 1600%
This will be the outcome if all the income is reinvested in the next trade. The rule of compound interest!
Yes, it is more complicated than just waiting. You need to read the market, know the information, look for relevant and promising coins, and think critically.
Isn't it true that this method of earning +1600% is easier than waiting 5 years for the coin's price to rise by +1600%?
Recently, I read a message about Boomers and Bitcoin. In it, the author belittled Boomers for not being able or willing to understand the value of BTC. This stirred me up, so I want to remind the younger generation of a few facts:
1. The conditional birth period of Boomers is 1946–1964. (which means they are currently around 60 to 80 years old, and possibly, while enjoying their well-deserved retirement, they couldn't care less about BTC)
2. Everything we use today are inventions and technologies that were created by people from the Boomer era (computers and smartphones, the internet and mobile communication, microprocessors and semiconductors, television and media, space and satellites, medicine)
3. Larry Fink, Warren Buffett, Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, Michael Saylor, Trump, and thousands of others (these Boomers are not only old but also essential for a complete modern life)
4. Even specialized AIs were created by people from the Boomer century (Aladdin from BlackRock — 1988, MYCIN from Stanford — 1970, DXplain from Harvard Medical School — 1986, and a dozen others)
In the last 10–20 years, the new generation has merely decorated the old and invented social networks.
Respect Boomers, don't belittle them! Even if they couldn't care less about Bitcoin.
$SANTOS , I haven't done this before, but decided to give it a try.
I created a table with a matrix of indicator data and assigned ChatGPT to match and interpret the data for the next 1–14 days.
The table with the input data can be seen in the image. The result from ChatGPT is described below:
⏱️ Next 1–3 days (intraday noise): * 15m and 1H show growth, but this is a local bullish impulse. * However, the RSI on 1H is already around 40, which means that the bulls have little strength. * A false upward bounce is possible, which may end quickly.
📉 Next 3–7 days (main trend): * 4H–1D: RSI is oversold, but MACD is still in the bear zone. * This may mean: the price is nearing the end of the decline, but there is no reversal signal yet. * Consolidation is expected, weak attempts at growth, but the downward inertia dominates.
🔁 7–14 days (reversal or continuation): * If the RSI stays above 30 and starts to rise on 4H/8H/12H, it will be an early signal for a reversal. * MACD on 1D/3D must switch to bull to confirm this. * 1W in bull means that in the long term, the scenario is still bullish, and the current drawdown may be an opportunity for accumulation.
✅ Conclusion: * Watch for MACD on 4H/1D — a switch to bull will be a signal for a reversal. * RSI > 40 on 4H+ — a hint at recovery.
Just an interesting fact. When I was watching the opening ceremony of the Canadian Parliament, I learned that in Canada the formal head of state is the king.
Today, the king of Canada is Charles III, who is simultaneously the king of the United Kingdom, the king of Australia, and of 12 other independent countries in the world.
That is, one person is the formal head of state and the king of 15 countries in the world:
United Kingdom Canada Australia New Zealand Jamaica The Bahamas Belize Grenada Papua New Guinea Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Saint Lucia Saint Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda Solomon Islands Tuvalu
I didn't know it could be like this in the 21st century.
My patience regarding project $SANTOS is running out.
I have been on this journey with SANTOS for 114 days now — that’s twice as long as it would have been beneficial for me.
By engaging in the SANTOS community, I met some cool guys, read about the history of Brazil, and virtually traveled through its cities using Google Maps. I also learned about club #SANTOS , was disappointed in its gameplay, and concluded that Neymar is an outdated and useless player.
Meanwhile, during the same period, one could have earned +70–150% on Spot.
I’m waiting until the beginning of next week — and then I will move on to other projects.
Do you know what a structure break and a trend break are? If not, that's a shame — it helps in trading!
* The structure on the chart — is the nearest maximum (BoS). * The trend on the chart — is the two previous nearest maxima (ChoCh).
Need an example? Let's go!
The chart shows two levels: 1. BoS — structure broken. 2. ChoCh — trend not broken.
How to interpret this data? * A structure break (BoS) occurs regularly and is the first signal of a new strong player appearing in the opposite direction. * A trend break (ChoCh) confirms the hypothesis of the appearance of a new strong player in the opposite direction.
Is this information a guarantee? Definitely not!
I have seen many cases where after BoS and ChoCh, the price returned to the initial movement and ignored both the structure and the trend. This happened due to market inefficiency overlap (FVG) by the market maker. And if you don't know what FVG is, then I sincerely sympathize with you!
That said! This information increases the chances that you started moving in the right direction.
There are 100500 nuances: where exactly not to enter a trade, and where it might be worth trying. But that's a topic for future messages.
Do you remember the wave of similar projects BEER, COFFEE, WATER, TIME...?
Do you remember how developers and influencers arrogantly belittled people with critical thinking and pompously talked about how these tokens would turn the world of memes upside down? Do you remember how much marketing, advertising, and communication there was in groups, Twitter, and channels? And do you remember that WATER even attracted football star Lionel Messi?
SANTOS - summary analytics: not that everything is bad, but not good either. Let's get into the details.
(caution, a lot of text, those with weak nerves are advised to step away from the screens) Preface. For 110 days I have been reviewing SANTOS from different angles for medium-term SPOT (both from the growth side and from the fall side). Meanwhile, $SANTOS all this time it has been in flat movement within the price corridor of $2.038–$2.848, with a false breakout to $3.149.
$SANTOS The only thing that is frustrating is the time. I have been ready for the last drop to 2.1-1.8 for a month now, but Santos neither falls nor rises. It's wasting my time. Frustrating!
Today the greed index = 69 (according to CoinMarketCap). With the rise of BTC, the market is approaching extreme values.
At the same time, it is noticeable that there is conditional resistance in the current wave of growth. That is, most likely, the greed index will not reach the peak values of March and November 2024, but will start to decline earlier.
Forecast for the peak value of greed in the current wave of growth: 82–83
Past peak values: * March 2024 — 90 * November 2024 — 88
3 months ago I said that the only currency that the USA deserves during Trump's reign is #FARTCOİN .
And also that FARTCOIN should be made the national currency of the USA. (Well, what can I say — Trump has farting in every word, farting in politics, farting in actions.)
So, after 3 months, FARTCOIN is #1 in growth over the last 90 days:
+311% — a growth that outperformed other memes by multiples and fundamental and DeFi projects by hundreds of times.
Someone asked about the maximum price $SANTOS on SPOT.
I tried to figure it out for a long time — there is no simple answer, but there is a complex one.
4 short-term targets: $3.3 / $3.7 / $4.0 / $4.6 Timeframe: the next 1–3 weeks. Further development largely depends on the state of the market and a possible correction, which may stretch over 1–3 months before the next impulse.
4 medium-term targets: $5.8 / $6.4 / $7.5 / $8.7 Timeframe: 1–3 months. It is important to observe how the first impulse goes: where the stop will occur and where the correction will follow.
4 long-term targets: $11.9 / $13.0 / $14.6 / $21.0 Timeframe: the end of 2025. All major movements occurred in the fall and winter. Considering a possible global crisis in 2026, the end of 2025 is the deadline.
All of this is a preliminary opinion (RoadMap) under good circumstances.
Also remember that the Fed has not lowered the interest rate yet, and the printing press is not yet turned on. 5 decision dates on interest rates in 2025: 18.06.25 / 30.07.25 / 17.09.25 / 29.10.25 / 10.12.25
That is, the actual behavior of the market plays a crucial role in achieving the targets. Therefore, the RoadMap needs to be regularly reviewed in light of achieved levels, support zones, patterns, and the overall market situation.
Liquidation Map + Thoughts on the Situation $SANTOS Chart 1D.
1. Liquidations. There are several times more shorts accumulated at the top than longs at the bottom. Collecting some short liquidations before the drop is normal.
2. The overall situation is doubtful. The accumulation process has dragged on for 104 days and the final drop (SPRING) to the $2.1–$2.0 area has not yet occurred.
3. A week ago, I wrote that MACD gave a signal on the 1W chart, and it usually plays out within 2–4 weeks. A week has already passed, which means there are 1–3 weeks left until the possible execution of the bullish MACD signal.
4. Indicators on 15m and 1H indicate a long position, while 4H and 1D suggest that a drop is possible.
Final Thought: Next week, I expect a local rise in SANTOS before a major drop. I am confident that this drop will serve as an impetus for dynamic growth. I outlined my expected scenario on the chart. I will try to take a medium-term short from the area marked on the chart as TARGET #2.
Today is the anniversary! In 3 months, I wrote exactly 200 messages, most of which are analytics and educational materials.
However, today the market situation is such that I don't even want to write about it.
To briefly summarize the last 3 months, it would be as follows:
- Trump is toxic and is "abusing" retail and wholesale investors. - The market continues to fall, but it could reach the peak of correction in the next 2 weeks. - Scammers are still shouting "ToTheMoon", "last chance", "weak hands"... - Everything that has grown in the last month will fall. - Altseason is canceled, we are waiting for autumn. - Ahead lies summer and low liquidity.
A bit of dull information about $SANTOS and Binance Fan Token Treasuries.
In the last 2 months, Binance Fan Token Treasuries transferred $10 million to the SANTOS token exchange in three tranches. The last transfer took place a week ago — 06.05.2024 for an amount of $1.46 million.
All transfers coincide with dates of increased volatility, when SANTOS made attempts to grow. At the same time, the price was maintained within a flat accumulation, which has been ongoing for 99 days.
From this, there are several thoughts: 1. Perhaps the supply in the order book has ended, and Binance is forced to sell assets from Treasuries? 2. Perhaps Binance is interested in maintaining the price in the current sideways movement for the long term and is restraining growth impulses? 3. Perhaps Binance intends to drop the price to $2 / $1.8 / $1.6?
I do not know the answers to these questions. However, one thing is clear: someone, or perhaps all of us, bought up almost the entire volume of these transactions #SANTOS from Treasuries.
In any case, SANTOS remains one of the most stable projects of group #FanTokens, but until the profit is realized — it is too early to relax.
Every coin has its own character. Yes, that's right — character! Charts may look similar, but each coin has its own specifics.
For example: * some coins clearly respond to Fibonacci extension levels — 127 / 141 / 161 / 261; * others ignore Fibonacci levels and react to technical analysis levels; * third ones operate based on Smart Money logic and pay no attention to technical levels; * fourth ones cover FVG, while others ignore them; * some react strongly to news — +300% in a day, others — hardly at all;
There are probably 100500 ways to describe a character, but these are enough for an example.
So, first of all, I study the character of the coin: I look at the style it moves in, what it reacts to, make notes on the charts — and only then I make a strategic decision.
And yes, technical analysis alone is not enough for this. You need to understand:
$BTC Bullish Growth or Trap for Newbies? Let's delve into the details!
(Author's text, so errors are possible)
1. Why is BTC rising now? 2. Are market makers rushing before a possible recession? 3. Or are they hurrying to passively sell off in summer? 4. What do traders say about the structure of the chart? 5. Is this the beginning of alt season?
Let's figure it out: 1. Professional participants do not pump without a goal — this is always preparation for a distribution phase. The goal of the pump is to create a "showcase of growth," increase liquidity, and prepare for possible turbulent summer.