Once, my woman, looking me in the eyes and openly lying, seeing my indignation and resistance, asked me: — "Do you want to be right or happy?"
With this question, she tried to manipulate me, putting me in a position of choice: "Either eat shit — or I'm leaving." (very similar to Trump's narcissistic behavior, by the way)
I replied to her: — "Lying does not make me happy."
And I sent her to seek her "happiness" somewhere far away from me.
And what does trading have to do with it? Reading Square, reading Trump, Musk, the news — I see how often and brazenly people lie and manipulate.
So I took a different path and studied: 1) levels; 2) Smart Money principles and FVG; 3) technical analysis; 4) liquidation map and Whale Order Analysis; 5) two formats of Wyckoff — accumulation and distribution; 6) Fibonacci extensions, especially the 141–161 zone; 7) Sperandeo method; 8) indicators: OBV, Bollinger Bands, Open Interest, CVD, RSI, Ichimoku.
Now, looking at the charts, I more often see the truth — and this leads to productive trades. And yes, in the end, this makes me happy!
Walk my path — and you will understand that it is possible to be productive, effective, and happy at the same time.
A complicated way to earn 1600% on Spot, which is easier than it seems!
Let’s start with the problem! You can invest in one coin and wait 5 years for its price to rise by +1600%. This happens extremely rarely, and during the waiting period, the coin can: 1) drop to $0; 2) get delisted and become worthless. There are more risks than opportunities, and it’s not guaranteed that it will grow by +1600%.
The method of compound interest To earn +1600%, you only need to make 4 trades, each with +100% profit. That's it!
Didn’t get it? Let me show you!
Let’s assume the initial investment capital is $10K. Here are the 4 trades: - Trade 1: 10K$ x2 = 20K$ (+100%) - Trade 2: 20K$ x2 = 40K$ (+100%) - Trade 3: 40K$ x2 = 80K$ (+100%) - Trade 4: 80K$ x2 = 160K$ (+100%)
We will apply the proportion formula to find out how many percent was earned relative to the initial capital: 160K$ * 100% / 10K$ = 1600%
This will be the outcome if all the income is reinvested in the next trade. The rule of compound interest!
Yes, it is more complicated than just waiting. You need to read the market, know the information, look for relevant and promising coins, and think critically.
Isn't it true that this method of earning +1600% is easier than waiting 5 years for the coin's price to rise by +1600%?
$ALPACA — this case is interesting to observe from the sidelines, but it's not worth participating in.
This case is an exception to the rules and does not lend itself to predictable analysis and logical behavior.
Chronology of events: - Binance announced the delisting of the coin due to low quality. - A few days later, ALPACA surged by 600%. - After another 3 days, it fell by 81%. - And 20 hours later, it surged again by 1750%.
(And all this — 2 days before delisting from spot and 5 hours before delisting from futures.)
Before removal from futures, the funding rate was 4%, which means: - long positions were "stripped" due to the huge funding rate, - and short positions — due to mass liquidations.
Why is this case an exception to the rules? It is enough to recall the behavior of other coins before and after delisting, such as:
MDX, BURGER, KP3R, AMB, REN, IRIS, VITE, WRX, KEY, AKRO, HARD, PROS — and dozens of others.
All of them showed "death throes" at +100% / +200% for a few hours, and then irrevocably collapsed by -99.9%.
The ALPACA case indeed stands out against the background of other coins that faced delisting, but it is suitable only for insider trading. Those who knew the inner workings of the project — profited.
$UNI , there is no noticeable increase in volumes on the chart candles. However, there have been large transactions in the last hour. What do you think is happening?
$TRUMP , According to reports on SQUARE, most retail investors are currently at a loss — minus 60% / minus 80%.
And at the same time: - they create cheerful pompous memes, - write motivating news, - say that HODL will save their portfolio.
What I want to say:
1) Let's stop comparing HODL investors to naive losers. HODL is about smart money, not blind buying and believing in miracles.
2) If you believe influencers — you are already hooked. Their goal is to lure you in, get you hooked, and exit first. Learn to read the chart, not to believe the words of scammers.
3) Investing without a stop-loss is like eating shit with a spoon and believing it will turn into caviar. You are guaranteed to lose everything.
4) Technical analysis without context is for the naive. Read my pinned article — there’s a list of what you really need to study.
5) Are you really trading, or are you waiting for a jackpot of +100500%? Read my article on how to earn +1600% in the pinned message. A real strategy based on mathematics, not naive fantasy.
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Everyone makes mistakes — the question is who learns and who doesn't. Study trading as a science, don’t fall for the words of influencers. Trade like professionals, not like hamsters.
$BEL , a reminder for long-term holders and investors about BEL.
1) The structure is broken, and the trend is downward; 2) The global decline will continue. Perhaps with local corrections; 3) The price is testing lower levels: - $0.33 (this is -20% from the current price); - $0.27 (this is -33% from the current price); - $0.20 (this is -50% from the current price); 4) Do not rush to buy at random places. Be patient and wait for a reaction from the specified levels; 5) The decline may take 2-6 weeks, so evaluate the current situation every day; 6) The market is bearish! 7) Work with stop losses! A stop is a trader's friend, not an enemy.
1) $7.34 - $7.25 (this is -12% from the current price); 2) $6.45 - $6.12 (this is -21% from the current price); 3) $4.75 - $4.47 (this is -42% from the current price);
$BEL , a reminder for long-term holders and investors about BEL.
1) The structure is broken, and the trend is downward; 2) The global decline will continue. Perhaps with local corrections; 3) The price is testing lower levels: - $0.33 (this is -20% from the current price); - $0.27 (this is -33% from the current price); - $0.20 (this is -50% from the current price); 4) Do not rush to buy at random places. Be patient and wait for a reaction from the specified levels; 5) The decline may take 2-6 weeks, so evaluate the current situation every day; 6) The market is bearish! 7) Work with stop losses! A stop is a trader's friend, not an enemy.
You can throw snot and saliva at me, but I'm sure: soon we will see WING at $0.5. I don't know how long it will take — a week, three — but I'm sure everything is heading that way.
There is no support or structure here — everything that could be broken is broken!
$1000SATS , I am waiting for the price to drop to $0.0000329 - $0.0000309. This is approximately -17% / -21% from the current price. I see no point, setup, or confirmations to go long right now.
I don't know when this will happen. I will just wait.
But everyone loves huge green candles — +50%, +100%, or even +300% in an hour. It's spectacular. It's profitable. It's instantaneous.
And here begins the internal conflict: - Reason says — this is manipulation! - Greed responds — I want more, give me two!
Everyone wants to be the one who "entered before the pump and exited at the highs," but no one wants to admit that such movements are artificially created, and almost always end in pain for the majority.
The irony is that those who shout the loudest "the market is being manipulated!" are the next day happily catching these candles and posting screenshots of their profits.
Now let's look at the situation soberly: The market cannot grow by 50–300% in an hour for technical reasons: – not enough liquidity for natural movement – no volumes capable of supporting such an impulse – no demand from retail to push the price that high
This is always a planned action. It's always manipulation!
First — creating a shortage, then — a sharp liquidation squeeze. And now you are already in a trap: you entered at the highs, believed it would "rise further," and then… you know what happens next...