Neutral-bearish scenario: As long as SUI does not close daily above $3.48, we could see a range of $3.25–$3.48. A break below $3.25 with volume would bring it back to strong support at $2.93–$2.85.
Bullish continuation scenario: A clear close above $3.50 with increased volume would trigger a rally towards $3.70–$3.80.
▶️ Medium term (1–3 months)
Bull case: If the crypto market maintains a positive tone and SUI launches key integrations (bridges, gaming), it would pave the way towards $4.00–$4.30, testing the May high again.
Bear case: Without catalysts, SUI could consolidate again in the $2.85–$3.50 range, maintaining high volatility within that range.
▶️ Long term (6–12 months)
Fundamentals support its vision of a high-speed and low-cost L1. With growing adoption in DeFi and gaming, SUI has the potential for $5.00–$6.00 in a sustained bull market.
Risks: Significant unlocks or security issues could delay this recovery and pressure the price down to $2.50–$3.00. $SUI
Bearish scenario (most likely): If the support at $4.05 is lost with volume, there could be a movement towards $3.73.
Technical rebound scenario: A weak rebound towards $4.20–$4.27 could test MA(99), but it is unlikely to hold without catalysts.
▶️ Medium term (1–3 months)
Weakened structure: DOT shows signs of exhaustion after the failed rally in May. Recovery will only be feasible if it returns above $4.60 with strength.
Attention to fundamentals: The narrative around parachains or scalability improvements could act as triggers to break this corrective phase. $DOT
Bearish scenario (most likely): Fluctuation between $0.68 and $0.72. If it loses $0.68 with volume, we could see an extension down to $0.64.
Bounce scenario: A clear close above $0.72–$0.73 with increased volume would trigger a pullback towards $0.76 (MA25).
▶️ Medium term (1–3 months)
Neutral scenario: Sideways consolidation $0.64–$0.80, waiting for catalysts (new projects in Cardano, adoption announcements).
Bullish scenario: If fundamental improvements (Hydra, Midnight) are confirmed and the crypto market resumes a positive cycle, ADA could retest $0.90–$1.00 in a recovery cycle.
Bearish Scenario (most likely until it recovers MA-99):
Range: $3.90 – $4.30. $DOT
If it falls below $3.90, we could see a low towards $3.60, and a technical rebound up to $4.20 to consolidate.
Reversal Scenario (if it surpasses $4.35 with volume):
First target: $4.70 (MA-25).
Second target: $5.00 – $5.20, where strong supply resided in May.
🌱 Long-Term Forecast (6–12 months) Launch of new parachains and improvements of XCM v5, which will increase the actual use of the network. Greater institutional adoption (future DOT ETFs, increasing TVL in DeFi). Bullish Scenario: If the global crypto market remains in a bull market and Polkadot consolidates its roadmap, we could see a range of $6.00 – $7.50, supported by greater staking demand and network fees.
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Strategic Recommendations (non-financial) Short term Wait for a possible breakout above $111K before going long. Long term Staggered accumulation remains valid if there are pullbacks to $104K–$106K. Active trading Use dynamic stop-loss below $106K and look for profit-taking at $112K–$115K.
$BTC 1-3 months $100,000 – $115,000 USD Consolidation after historical highs, with support at $107,000 USD. 6-12 months $120,000 – $160,000 USD Boost from institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. #Bitcoin❗
Are we witnessing the beginning of an era where tokens reflect political loyalties as much as financial fundamentals? Time will tell, but this event undoubtedly highlights the symbolic power of cryptocurrencies in contemporary culture and politics.#SaylorBTCPurchase
$ADA , 1–3 months High: ADA fell from 1.32 to 0.68 USD (-48%) in 3 months. It rebounded 10% in recent days. High: As the market defines itself, ADA may fluctuate between 0.70 and 0.85, with possible spikes to 0.90 if the general rally continues. Risk of retracement if BTC/Eth correct. 6–12 months Moderate-High: ADA rises 61.56% in 1 year, but with drawdowns of more than 40%. Moderate: If developments (Hydra, Mithril) consolidate and adoption improves, ADA could stabilize. An optimistic scenario projects $1.0–1.2. A bearish one takes it back to $0.60.
In the short term (1–3 months), DOT faces high volatility, especially due to macro and technical uncertainties. A possible bullish scenario implies that the price could rebound towards $5–6, taking advantage of the current support (~$3.9) and reversal signals (RSI divergence, positive MACD), but with abrupt swings in either direction. In contrast, a bearish scenario would lead it to break key supports ($3.8), accentuating losses and volatility, given the long-term bearish bias and global risks.
In the long term (6–12 months), the course of DOT will depend on fundamental and macro factors: if the crypto market enters a bull market and the improvements of Polkadot (Hub, smart contracts, new use cases) materialize, DOT could gradually regain ground, with decreasing volatility towards moderate levels. In this bullish scenario, the price could move towards ranges of ~$6–8 or higher (as some analysts project) supported by greater adoption. Conversely, in a scenario of macro pressures (rate hikes, risk sector collapse) or technical disappointment, DOT could drop back to $3–4, maintaining high volatility (as warnings about regulatory risk and market swings suggest).
In conclusion, Polkadot's volatility is expected to be high in both horizons. In the short term, the outlook is uncertain and may generate sharp movements, making risk management (stop-loss, diversification) crucial. In the long term, the direction will depend on the success of its ecosystem and the mood of the global market: greater confidence and adoption would mitigate volatility, while any adverse factor would amplify it. $DOT #Bitcoin2025 #Polkadot