安-鑫
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Tonight there are major events, with Iran making strong statements and the interest rate meeting happening. Are there any brothers staying up together?
#以色列伊朗冲突
#美联储利率决议即将公布
#以色列伊朗冲突
#美联储利率决议即将公布
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First up, then down, then up, then down, that makes sense.
Next, buy Ethereum at 2470 and sell at 3000. For Bitcoin, short around 110k to 80k and flip to 150k.
Currently, there is a top divergence at the BTC weekly level.
ETH daily top divergence allows for forming a bottom divergence at the one-hour level
BTC's weekly cycle is relatively long, so the predicted pullback will not happen so quickly.
Therefore, ETH allows for a one-hour bottom divergence to rise and then fall, leading to a daily level top divergence. At that time, BTC and ETH can both peak and then retreat.
Currently, the ETH/BTC trading pair shows signs of bottoming out, but ETH is heavy, so the daily top for ETH is expected to be 3000-3500.
The best pullback position for BTC is around 80-86k to compress and bottom out, which will better help impact the new high of 130-150k.
For medium to long-term contracts, one can go long on ETH around 2470, with a stop-loss of 5% of the total position
ETH daily top divergence allows for forming a bottom divergence at the one-hour level
BTC's weekly cycle is relatively long, so the predicted pullback will not happen so quickly.
Therefore, ETH allows for a one-hour bottom divergence to rise and then fall, leading to a daily level top divergence. At that time, BTC and ETH can both peak and then retreat.
Currently, the ETH/BTC trading pair shows signs of bottoming out, but ETH is heavy, so the daily top for ETH is expected to be 3000-3500.
The best pullback position for BTC is around 80-86k to compress and bottom out, which will better help impact the new high of 130-150k.
For medium to long-term contracts, one can go long on ETH around 2470, with a stop-loss of 5% of the total position
See original
Next, buy Ethereum at 2470 and sell at 3000. For Bitcoin, short around 110k to 80k and flip to 150k.
Currently, there is a top divergence at the BTC weekly level.
ETH daily top divergence allows for forming a bottom divergence at the one-hour level
BTC's weekly cycle is relatively long, so the predicted pullback will not happen so quickly.
Therefore, ETH allows for a one-hour bottom divergence to rise and then fall, leading to a daily level top divergence. At that time, BTC and ETH can both peak and then retreat.
Currently, the ETH/BTC trading pair shows signs of bottoming out, but ETH is heavy, so the daily top for ETH is expected to be 3000-3500.
The best pullback position for BTC is around 80-86k to compress and bottom out, which will better help impact the new high of 130-150k.
For medium to long-term contracts, one can go long on ETH around 2470, with a stop-loss of 5% of the total position
ETH daily top divergence allows for forming a bottom divergence at the one-hour level
BTC's weekly cycle is relatively long, so the predicted pullback will not happen so quickly.
Therefore, ETH allows for a one-hour bottom divergence to rise and then fall, leading to a daily level top divergence. At that time, BTC and ETH can both peak and then retreat.
Currently, the ETH/BTC trading pair shows signs of bottoming out, but ETH is heavy, so the daily top for ETH is expected to be 3000-3500.
The best pullback position for BTC is around 80-86k to compress and bottom out, which will better help impact the new high of 130-150k.
For medium to long-term contracts, one can go long on ETH around 2470, with a stop-loss of 5% of the total position
See original
BTC personal 110200 made a small short 110700 stop loss
How many tens of thousands of short positions have exploded in the last hour? 6041w USD
Never mind, anyway, I'm not in it 😀
#主爆空单 $BTC
ETH/BNB/SOL/HUMA
Never mind, anyway, I'm not in it 😀
#主爆空单 $BTC
ETH/BNB/SOL/HUMA
See original
You need to enjoy the process, enjoy the time on the road
Do not buy the dip just to buy the dip
When you want to buy the dip, you have already fallen into a bull trap
Enjoy the process, immerse in learning
Become yourself, not who you think you are
I will start anew, learn anew
$BTC
#交易类型入门
Do not buy the dip just to buy the dip
When you want to buy the dip, you have already fallen into a bull trap
Enjoy the process, immerse in learning
Become yourself, not who you think you are
I will start anew, learn anew
$BTC
#交易类型入门
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GM brothers
The big non-farm number is quite strong, far exceeding expectations
The big non-farm number is quite strong, far exceeding expectations
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April 17, 2025 Cryptocurrency Related Hot Events
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Yesterday, this short position $BTC hit a loss, so let's review this failure case.
Although it was not successful, reviewing can help us understand where we went wrong, right?
First, the entry point for the trade was merely for the sake of trading. In fact, the range between 84000-86000 in recent days is not a good position to enter a trade. Previously, the market analysis mentioned that it is better to enter long below this range and take profit above it.
Yesterday's short position can be said to have been a forced trade; entering at the wrong time greatly increased the probability of hitting a loss later on.
Next, let's talk about the stop-loss level. There is actually nothing wrong with the stop-loss level; the pressure at 86000 yesterday was still very strong, as evidenced by the attempts to break through this level during the day that ultimately failed. Why set the stop-loss here? First, it is a level with significant pressure, making it a position that is easy to defend but difficult to attack during a struggle. If the price breaks through this level, it would stabilize and switch from pressure to support, leading to greater pressure to break even later. So, there is nothing wrong with this level; the only aspect we couldn't account for is the 'spike' because this spike is something we cannot control. If we try to control this spike, the stop-loss level or the cost could be too high. Therefore, there is no issue with the entry point.
As for taking profit, everyone will have different biases. If you can withstand the pullback, you can achieve greater profits, but the risks will also be higher. Another saying is 'sell high, always profit'; when you reach the pressure level in your own trading system, reducing your position or taking profit to prevent profit reversal is also a good choice. Therefore, in terms of taking profit, it's not about where the teacher's levels are, but rather about what your own thoughts are.
#比特币与美国关税政策
Although it was not successful, reviewing can help us understand where we went wrong, right?
First, the entry point for the trade was merely for the sake of trading. In fact, the range between 84000-86000 in recent days is not a good position to enter a trade. Previously, the market analysis mentioned that it is better to enter long below this range and take profit above it.
Yesterday's short position can be said to have been a forced trade; entering at the wrong time greatly increased the probability of hitting a loss later on.
Next, let's talk about the stop-loss level. There is actually nothing wrong with the stop-loss level; the pressure at 86000 yesterday was still very strong, as evidenced by the attempts to break through this level during the day that ultimately failed. Why set the stop-loss here? First, it is a level with significant pressure, making it a position that is easy to defend but difficult to attack during a struggle. If the price breaks through this level, it would stabilize and switch from pressure to support, leading to greater pressure to break even later. So, there is nothing wrong with this level; the only aspect we couldn't account for is the 'spike' because this spike is something we cannot control. If we try to control this spike, the stop-loss level or the cost could be too high. Therefore, there is no issue with the entry point.
As for taking profit, everyone will have different biases. If you can withstand the pullback, you can achieve greater profits, but the risks will also be higher. Another saying is 'sell high, always profit'; when you reach the pressure level in your own trading system, reducing your position or taking profit to prevent profit reversal is also a good choice. Therefore, in terms of taking profit, it's not about where the teacher's levels are, but rather about what your own thoughts are.
#比特币与美国关税政策
$BTC make a short wave, short one hand
Current price 85266
Target 82400, 80000
Stop loss 86000
Current price 85266
Target 82400, 80000
Stop loss 86000
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April 15, 2025 Market Analysis
Yesterday's market analysis mentioned going long in the 82450-84200 range, with profit-taking targets in the 86000-87600 range. Those who took long positions yesterday can exit partially or fully at this position today. The author did not manage to place a long order yesterday and made a small short order today, currently at the edge of a loss (setting a stop loss at 86000 for everyone), but it’s not a big issue, just follow the trend. If this wave is missed, there will be another.
Technical Aspects: The current BTC price is 85400, positioned in an upward channel on the daily chart, and a rising wedge is forming on the 4-hour chart, indicating a short-term bullish trend. RSI has risen to 60, not yet entering the overbought zone, and the MACD golden cross continues with steadily increasing volume, suggesting that bulls still have room to maneuver.
Macroeconomic Aspects: The retreat of the US dollar index provides BTC with a breather, and expectations of relaxed cryptocurrency regulation from the Trump administration continue to boost market sentiment, with stable ETF inflows. However, global economic uncertainty and expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve could trigger short-term volatility, necessitating attention to the correlation of risk assets.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level: The first support level is 84000; if it fails, attention shifts to 82500, with further downside to 80000.
Resistance Level: The first resistance level above is 86000; once broken, it can be seen at 87500, and if momentum is sufficient, it may challenge the psychological level of 90000.
Currently, at 85400, it is in a high consolidation area, so caution is required for pullback risks.
Trading Advice: Short-term advice suggests cautiously chasing long positions; aggressive traders can attempt to go long near 85400 with light positions, setting a stop loss at 84000 and targets at 86000-87500. If it bounces back and stabilizes at 84000, one can add to long positions. For short positions, wait for clear signals of resistance at 86000; conservative traders can try to short near 87500, with a stop loss set at 9000.
Strictly control position sizes and pay attention to changes in volume and macroeconomic news.
Yesterday's market analysis mentioned going long in the 82450-84200 range, with profit-taking targets in the 86000-87600 range. Those who took long positions yesterday can exit partially or fully at this position today. The author did not manage to place a long order yesterday and made a small short order today, currently at the edge of a loss (setting a stop loss at 86000 for everyone), but it’s not a big issue, just follow the trend. If this wave is missed, there will be another.
Technical Aspects: The current BTC price is 85400, positioned in an upward channel on the daily chart, and a rising wedge is forming on the 4-hour chart, indicating a short-term bullish trend. RSI has risen to 60, not yet entering the overbought zone, and the MACD golden cross continues with steadily increasing volume, suggesting that bulls still have room to maneuver.
Macroeconomic Aspects: The retreat of the US dollar index provides BTC with a breather, and expectations of relaxed cryptocurrency regulation from the Trump administration continue to boost market sentiment, with stable ETF inflows. However, global economic uncertainty and expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve could trigger short-term volatility, necessitating attention to the correlation of risk assets.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level: The first support level is 84000; if it fails, attention shifts to 82500, with further downside to 80000.
Resistance Level: The first resistance level above is 86000; once broken, it can be seen at 87500, and if momentum is sufficient, it may challenge the psychological level of 90000.
Currently, at 85400, it is in a high consolidation area, so caution is required for pullback risks.
Trading Advice: Short-term advice suggests cautiously chasing long positions; aggressive traders can attempt to go long near 85400 with light positions, setting a stop loss at 84000 and targets at 86000-87500. If it bounces back and stabilizes at 84000, one can add to long positions. For short positions, wait for clear signals of resistance at 86000; conservative traders can try to short near 87500, with a stop loss set at 9000.
Strictly control position sizes and pay attention to changes in volume and macroeconomic news.
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