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Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
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🔥 LINE Mini DApps x Kaia: The Future of Web3 🌟
Web3 just got more exciting! 🎉 The DApp Portal, powered by Kaia, is launching soon on LINE Messenger - bringing gaming, NFTs and more directly to over 196M+ LINE users. We’re unlocking the gateway to Web3 mass adoption across Japan, Thailand, Taiwan, Indonesia and beyond. 🌏
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📲 Discover how Mini DApps are revolutionizing the app-within-an-app model: 👉🏼 https://t.co/C5el4TW9Iy
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Predict BTC Price & Win up to $300 USDC!
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Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇
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‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry.
Terms and Conditions:
This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇
🎁The top 3 closest predictions will win 300 USDC, 150 USDC, and 50 USDC. Jump in and share your prediction now!
*Campaign Period: 2025-01-20 07:30 to 2025-01-26 20:00 (UTC)
‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry.
Terms and Conditions:
This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
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Participate in the $10,000 Vaulta ($EOS ) Giveaway competition 🔥
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Competition Period: 2025/04/07 - 2025/05/06
Complete tasks to win your share of the total $10k prize pool
Learn More
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