你跌不怕

The market has a viewpoint that some institutions have begun to reduce their positions at high levels, with BlackRock becoming the main player.

Their operation is not clear-cut, but rather profits from buying low and selling high. According to data, the ETF issued by BlackRock experienced the largest single-day net outflow since its establishment on May 30.

Historical patterns show that whenever BlackRock sells off significantly, the market often finds itself in a stage of sharp decline or accelerated downturn, and this trend usually persists for a period of time.

Therefore, even if prices experience a strong rebound, there remains a significant risk of further decline. In other words, only when BlackRock re-enters the market on a large scale can the market truly stabilize; for now, patience is needed to observe changes in the situation.

#特朗普马斯克分歧

To be honest, foreigners are indeed quite direct.

If it were us here causing some conflict, we would still leave some face for each other, not to the point of tearing each other apart on the spot. But now, these two are not ordinary people; they are globally recognized public figures, and they actually opened fire on each other in public.

What's more critical is that both of them have been 'ambassador' level figures in the crypto circle.

Now publicly attacking each other, this trend is really hard to understand. At the moment, China over here is probably overjoyed—there's nothing to do, and their opponents have already started 'internal strife' on their own.

#特朗普马斯克分歧

Musk and Trump suddenly “crossed lines” from afar, which makes me wonder if this is some kind of hidden script?

Maybe all of this is a trap set by the Freemasons—they already knew that Cool Mat was heavily shorting, so they staged a play to cooperate in crashing the market, allowing Cool Mat to easily secure 100 million in profits, paving the way for the next U.S. presidential campaign 🇺🇸.

Once Cool Mat closes the short position, the plot twists dramatically, the two shake hands and make peace, market sentiment reverses, and BTC shoots straight to $150,000, with the retail investors having no time to react before being harvested.

Conspiracy theories sound absurd, but the operations in this circle are sometimes more exciting than novels.

#特朗普马斯克分歧

From the daily trend of Bitcoin, the price has been fluctuating downwards and has currently fallen below the 30-day moving average, entering a "suspended" state.

The key support level below is at the integer mark of 100,000 dollars, and it is usually difficult to break through this position on the first decline. Therefore, if it can hold above 100,000 this week, there may be a rebound later, at least hitting the pressure level of 104,000 dollars.

In another week or two, the 60-day moving average will gradually move up to around 100,000, further strengthening the support.

#我的COS交易 #加密市场回调

Perceiving the Market with Positioning: Choices Under a Major Drop
This morning, I saw Bitcoin drop to around $101,000, and my intuition suggested something significant was happening.

It turned out to be a "black swan" attack — the world's richest and political giants publicly clashing on social media, leading to a collective "avalanche" in cryptocurrencies and tech stocks.

However, upon reflection, many of the MEME coins on the chain had no so-called "fundamentals" to begin with, and a price drop is merely a change in numbers. At this time, some panic sell while others see an opportunity to accumulate at low prices — this is the nature of market speculation; it all depends on how you bet.

Focusing solely on price fluctuations is pointless; it's better to express your position: short if you're bearish, long if you're bullish. Don't regret not shorting after a drop or regret not increasing your position after a rise.

Today, someone broke down and told me, "Everything I did was wrong," wanting to exchange for Bitcoin but fearing missing out. In truth, no one can predict price movements; rather than getting tangled up, it's better to make decisions at your own pace.

Trading cryptocurrencies is inherently full of variables; I wish everyone can achieve their goals, with less entanglement and more decisiveness.

Non-farm payroll data is coming! Bitcoin and Ethereum trends are vastly different. 1.

Bitcoin: Weak pullback, trend change imminent. Yesterday, BTC was weak around $105,000, and it was originally thought there would be a significant pullback; however, it only dropped to a low of $104,100, fluctuating less than $1,500, and the plan to buy at $101,500 fell through.

The non-farm payroll data will be released tomorrow (previous value 177,000, forecast 130,000). If the data is favorable, the market may rebound.

Currently, BTC has adjusted for two weeks, pulling back $7,000-$8,000, entering a critical period for trend change.

Although the technical outlook seems to suggest a decline, it has actually shown resilience, partly benefiting from the strong drive of Ethereum. Key ranges: resistance level $105,500—$106,500, support level $101,500—$102,500.

2. Ethereum: Strong momentum after the change of operators, waiting for favorable conditions. After the change of operators, Ethereum's trend is strong, institutions are accumulating between $1,400-$1,500, and the current price is still below cost, with major funds unwilling to exit easily.

Recently, there has been selling pressure, and the K-line pattern appears somewhat pressured, but the bottom is gradually rising, and there is a willingness to push higher, lacking only supportive news. Tomorrow evening's non-farm payroll data may become the catalyst for a trend change.

Key ranges: resistance level $2,650—$2,670, support level $2,530—$2,550.

3. Operational advice: Mainly wait and see, patiently await signals. The market is at a trend change node, and volatility may intensify before the non-farm payroll data is released. It is recommended to trade cautiously and avoid blind operations.

Focus on 1-2 targets (such as BTC, ETH, SOL), set strategies in advance with limit orders, better to miss than to make mistakes.

SOL reference range: resistance level $157—$160, support level $152—$150.

Summary: Non-farm payroll data may become a turning point for the market, with Bitcoin and Ethereum trends diverging. At this stage, it is advisable to observe and avoid risks, waiting for clear signals before entering the market.

#我的COS交易 #美国加征关税

Ethereum Recharges at 2700 Threshold: Is a Breakthrough Imminent?

🚩 Key Developments Yesterday

Macroeconomic Data: U.S. May ADP Employment Numbers Only 37,000 (Expected 110,000), Previous Value Revised Down to 62,000, Indicating a Cooling Job Market.

Policy Signals: Trump Calls on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to "Cut Interest Rates," Mentioning That Europe Has Cut Rates Nine Times; South Korean President Lee Jae-myung Promises to Promote Crypto ETF and Stabilization of the Korean Won.

Project Trends: Ethereum Foundation Announces New Fiscal Policy, Plans to Reduce Annual Expenditure and Increase Investment in the DeFi Sector.

🚩 Market Review Yesterday BTC: Intraday Fluctuation of 1822 Points, Lowest at 104,252 USD, Highest Rebounded to 106,000 USD, Overall Showing a Slight Decline in a Sideways Trend.

Ethereum: Range Fluctuation of 97 Points, Low at 2583 USD, High at 2680 USD Resistance Level, Approaching a Turning Point.

Analysis: Ethereum Faces Resistance at Highs but is Stronger than Bitcoin, With Ethereum's Independent Upward Momentum Highlighted in a Weak Bitcoin Environment.

🚩 Today's Market Outlook Ethereum: Bulls Continue to Test Resistance Levels, Showing Clear Accumulation Characteristics in the Fluctuation Range (2500-2680 USD).

If It Breaks Through the 2700 USD Long-term Resistance Line, It Can Be Pursued for Confirmation, Spot Investors Can Accumulate in Batches at Dips; 4-Hour Support at 2480 USD, Resistance at 2680 USD.

Bitcoin: 4-Hour Chart Breaks Down Long-term Uptrend Line, Bears Dominating Short-term Trend, If It Pulls Back Near the 100,000 Threshold, It Can Be Seen as a Potential Entry Opportunity, Otherwise, It Is Recommended to Wait and See;

4-Hour Support at 103520 USD, Resistance at 107000 USD.

📌 Strategy Summary Ethereum is Currently at a Breakthrough Critical Point, Whether It Stabilizes at 2700 USD Will Determine the Direction, After a Breakthrough, It Can Shift Towards Altcoin Accumulation. Bitcoin Shows a Bearish Sideways Trend in the Medium-term, Short-term Rebound Needs to Be Cautious of a Second Pullback Risk, Be Careful When Chasing Highs.

#美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币

Bitcoin Market Observation:

Currently, the daily level of Bitcoin is still in a breakdown state, and recent attempts to rebound have been suppressed by selling pressure. Without positive driving forces, from the four-hour structure, there may still be a possibility of continuation downward.

Since the Dragon Boat Festival, I have maintained a wait-and-see approach, patiently waiting for opportunities that align with trading logic.

While market opportunities arise daily, I only participate in markets within my cognitive range — just as a fisherman must wait for schools of fish to gather before casting their net to harvest abundantly.

#美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新

Eight Years in Cryptocurrency:

After eight years in the market, I have not become wealthy, but rather developed anxiety. Yesterday, I had a long conversation with an old friend in the industry. He joked that I am better off than most, yet trapped in the narrative of getting rich quickly in blockchain, unable to extricate myself.

This is not depression, but rather a common emotional dilemma among industry professionals — too many people are caught in the pull between the myth of wealth and the volatility of reality.

Looking at the present: I own a fully paid house in the provincial capital, hold a stable high salary, have six hundred thousand in cash in the bank, and still save 20,000 to 30,000 each month. An old friend jokingly sighed that I am “unfulfilled,” fearing that I might experience “reverse depression,” openly stating that I am trapped by greed and should pay more attention to the hardships of ordinary life.

Recently, I often think: it is time to reconcile with my inner desires. After eight years of ups and downs in the cryptocurrency world, I finally understand that a little satisfaction in life brings peace. The so-called “starting anew” is merely letting go of the obsession with getting rich quickly and finding a practical balance within my existing life.

#币安钱包TGE #美国加征关税

BTC Evening Market Analysis:

The recent trend of Bitcoin can be described as a "textbook of fluctuations". On Wednesday, the price only fluctuated by 300 points throughout the day, with activity even lower than on weekends (weekend trades often trigger fluctuations of 800-1000 dollars).

From a technical perspective, the hourly chart is forming an expanding wedge pattern, with prices repeatedly pulling back and forth around the upper and lower bounds of the pattern. As the pattern evolves, the amplitude of fluctuations in the latter half will gradually increase until a breakout or breakdown occurs, at which point the pattern will conclude.

Although the fluctuations are exhausting, the wedge pattern inherently offers volatility. One can execute a high sell-low buy strategy based on the upper and lower bound ranges (it is recommended to draw the pattern for assistance in judgment).

Key Levels and Strategies:

Breakout Buy: A volume breakout above 105,458 dollars, and after right-side confirmation, pursue a buy, targeting 106,091 dollars. If it stabilizes, look to probe 106,766-107,440 dollars;

Breakdown Sell: A breakdown below 105,274 dollars with a failed retest, follow a sell on the right side, targeting the 4-hour support level at 105,072 dollars. If it breaks down further, there could be a pullback to 104,040-103,250 dollars.

Currently, the hourly price is consolidating around the midline of the box, with significant buying pressure suppressing the downward movement, suggesting that bulls may be poised for an attack. It is crucial to strictly adhere to discipline in operations, always setting stop losses when opening positions to avoid profit loss from chaotic fluctuations before pattern breakouts.

#我的COS交易 #美国加征关税