交易师投资笔记
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May Day holiday is here! Updates will be irregular during the holiday. Wishing everyone a happy holiday! 😸😸😸
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Today's Blockchain News Sharing
1. Data: Today's fear and greed index is 56, in a 'greed' state
2. Coinbase executive: U.S. re-evaluation of gold value may lead the U.S. Treasury to buy Bitcoin earlier than expected
3. Concerns over tariffs weigh on economic outlook, U.S. consumer confidence plummets to near five-year low in April
4. U.S. SEC delays decision on Bitwise spot DOGE ETF application
5. U.S. SEC delays approval of Franklin XRP spot ETF until June 17
6. U.S. SEC delays approval of Grayscale HEDERA spot ETF
7. U.S. SEC delays decision on Fidelity's spot Ethereum ETF to add staking feature
8. Trump will deliver his 100-day speech at 6 PM local time
2. Coinbase executive: U.S. re-evaluation of gold value may lead the U.S. Treasury to buy Bitcoin earlier than expected
3. Concerns over tariffs weigh on economic outlook, U.S. consumer confidence plummets to near five-year low in April
4. U.S. SEC delays decision on Bitwise spot DOGE ETF application
5. U.S. SEC delays approval of Franklin XRP spot ETF until June 17
6. U.S. SEC delays approval of Grayscale HEDERA spot ETF
7. U.S. SEC delays decision on Fidelity's spot Ethereum ETF to add staking feature
8. Trump will deliver his 100-day speech at 6 PM local time
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2025.4.30 Daytime Market Analysis
Non-farm payrolls do not significantly affect the larger cycle. Interest rates (it is predicted that interest rates will remain stable this time, which is bearish; stable in May, with a potential rate cut in June, focusing on May's CPI, which will affect June's rate cut. Good buying points appear when bottom-fishing signals emerge in June.)
Spot: Recently focus on XRP, but can also pay attention to other cryptocurrencies as ETF liquidity increases. Top ten cryptocurrencies: for example, Dogecoin, LTC, XRP.
Same day: 4-hour short-term fluctuations, bearish view with a focus on retracement (after the holiday, maintain above 93500, 95000, 1680, 1720; it indicates a rise, abandon short positions, take profit at 1950, 2050, 97500, 99800).
Resistance levels: 95500, 96800, 1830, 1930
Support levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum for the day: Bearish view, short positions in the 1830, 1850 range, stop loss at 1865, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1730.
Bitcoin for the day: Short in the 94800, 95500 range, stop loss at 96200, take profit at 93500, 92000, 91800, second take profit at 90800, 90300.
Defend against a divergence that breaks the previous high... the stronger the divergence, the larger the retracement will be. After the retracement is complete, then go long.
For reference only, control position size and management. For reference only #比特币 #以太坊合约 #btc #eth
Non-farm payrolls do not significantly affect the larger cycle. Interest rates (it is predicted that interest rates will remain stable this time, which is bearish; stable in May, with a potential rate cut in June, focusing on May's CPI, which will affect June's rate cut. Good buying points appear when bottom-fishing signals emerge in June.)
Spot: Recently focus on XRP, but can also pay attention to other cryptocurrencies as ETF liquidity increases. Top ten cryptocurrencies: for example, Dogecoin, LTC, XRP.
Same day: 4-hour short-term fluctuations, bearish view with a focus on retracement (after the holiday, maintain above 93500, 95000, 1680, 1720; it indicates a rise, abandon short positions, take profit at 1950, 2050, 97500, 99800).
Resistance levels: 95500, 96800, 1830, 1930
Support levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum for the day: Bearish view, short positions in the 1830, 1850 range, stop loss at 1865, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1730.
Bitcoin for the day: Short in the 94800, 95500 range, stop loss at 96200, take profit at 93500, 92000, 91800, second take profit at 90800, 90300.
Defend against a divergence that breaks the previous high... the stronger the divergence, the larger the retracement will be. After the retracement is complete, then go long.
For reference only, control position size and management. For reference only #比特币 #以太坊合约 #btc #eth
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2025.4.29 Daytime Market Analysis
We can extend to next week's interest rate announcement. If there is a rate cut, it will trigger a favorable condition that could continue to rise by 100,000. If it remains unchanged, it will continue to probe downwards and undergo a larger scale fluctuation, or even higher. The technical analysis indicates a high-level fluctuation with tentative short positions.
Same day: There is a clear divergence on the hourly level, defending a pin action for the divergence. There is a risk in chasing long positions... The high level of the box indicates a bearish outlook.
Resistance Levels: 96500, 97500, 1850, 1830
Support Levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on the same day: ① Current price in the live broadcast is 1800 with an additional position at 1840, ② Short position at 1825, add position at 1840, stop loss at 1860, take profit at 1750, 1720, take profit at 1650--1660
Bitcoin on the same day: ① Short position at 95200 in the live broadcast, the high level box is gradually leaning bearish, stop loss at 96000, 96200, take profit at 91800, 92000, second take profit at 87000, 88500.
Today's live broadcast content is quite extensive; the macro part is not recorded. For those who do not have time to listen to the live broadcast, do not just look at the document... Make sure to listen to the replay when you have time...
Control position and management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
We can extend to next week's interest rate announcement. If there is a rate cut, it will trigger a favorable condition that could continue to rise by 100,000. If it remains unchanged, it will continue to probe downwards and undergo a larger scale fluctuation, or even higher. The technical analysis indicates a high-level fluctuation with tentative short positions.
Same day: There is a clear divergence on the hourly level, defending a pin action for the divergence. There is a risk in chasing long positions... The high level of the box indicates a bearish outlook.
Resistance Levels: 96500, 97500, 1850, 1830
Support Levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on the same day: ① Current price in the live broadcast is 1800 with an additional position at 1840, ② Short position at 1825, add position at 1840, stop loss at 1860, take profit at 1750, 1720, take profit at 1650--1660
Bitcoin on the same day: ① Short position at 95200 in the live broadcast, the high level box is gradually leaning bearish, stop loss at 96000, 96200, take profit at 91800, 92000, second take profit at 87000, 88500.
Today's live broadcast content is quite extensive; the macro part is not recorded. For those who do not have time to listen to the live broadcast, do not just look at the document... Make sure to listen to the replay when you have time...
Control position and management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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2025.4.28 Daytime Market Analysis
This week leans bearish, unlike last week, which continuously fermented positive news, preparing for next month's interest rate macro.
On the day: Ethereum 4-hour trend is weak, Bitcoin 4-hour technical trend is bearish----Spot: impact will not be significant.
Resistance levels: 1810, 1850, 94500, 96500
Support levels: 1730, 1650, 91800, 88500
Ethereum for the day: Technically bearish at 1790, 1800 short positions, stop loss at 1815, take profit at 1730, 1750, 1680, 1650.
In the live broadcast room, 1730, 1750 are false supports. A slight rebound may trigger long positions, but it can easily break through. Rebound to 1800, 1790 (do not consider going long for now, wait for short positions, looking for rebounds here).
Bitcoin for the day: Rebound from 92000, 91800 to 93500, 93800, with a short-term rebound expected.
93500, 93800 short positions, slowly look for small-level bearish trends, stop loss at 94200, take profit at 91800, 91200, 90500, 88500, 88700.
A slight rebound may occur on the 4-hour gold line... looking for entry points in the spot market, buying in batches at 88500, 87000, we will discuss when it arrives, but it shouldn't reach today.
Control positions and management, for reference only.
#btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
This week leans bearish, unlike last week, which continuously fermented positive news, preparing for next month's interest rate macro.
On the day: Ethereum 4-hour trend is weak, Bitcoin 4-hour technical trend is bearish----Spot: impact will not be significant.
Resistance levels: 1810, 1850, 94500, 96500
Support levels: 1730, 1650, 91800, 88500
Ethereum for the day: Technically bearish at 1790, 1800 short positions, stop loss at 1815, take profit at 1730, 1750, 1680, 1650.
In the live broadcast room, 1730, 1750 are false supports. A slight rebound may trigger long positions, but it can easily break through. Rebound to 1800, 1790 (do not consider going long for now, wait for short positions, looking for rebounds here).
Bitcoin for the day: Rebound from 92000, 91800 to 93500, 93800, with a short-term rebound expected.
93500, 93800 short positions, slowly look for small-level bearish trends, stop loss at 94200, take profit at 91800, 91200, 90500, 88500, 88700.
A slight rebound may occur on the 4-hour gold line... looking for entry points in the spot market, buying in batches at 88500, 87000, we will discuss when it arrives, but it shouldn't reach today.
Control positions and management, for reference only.
#btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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Today's Blockchain News Share
1. Today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index drops to 61, still in a 'greed' state
2. Trump family's crypto project WLFI signs cooperation with Pakistan's crypto committee
3. Opinion: The Fed's withdrawal of guidance on crypto-related banking may accelerate traditional banks' adoption of BTC checking accounts, crypto loans, and other services
4. Data: Ethereum's net supply increased by 16,913 coins in the past 7 days
5. Michael Saylor: MSTR has achieved $5.1 billion in Bitcoin profits through financial operations so far this year
6. Analyst: Overall estimated leverage ratio on trading platforms rises to a new high in over two years
7. ECB Governing Council Member: Cannot rule out the possibility of two more rate cuts this year
2. Trump family's crypto project WLFI signs cooperation with Pakistan's crypto committee
3. Opinion: The Fed's withdrawal of guidance on crypto-related banking may accelerate traditional banks' adoption of BTC checking accounts, crypto loans, and other services
4. Data: Ethereum's net supply increased by 16,913 coins in the past 7 days
5. Michael Saylor: MSTR has achieved $5.1 billion in Bitcoin profits through financial operations so far this year
6. Analyst: Overall estimated leverage ratio on trading platforms rises to a new high in over two years
7. ECB Governing Council Member: Cannot rule out the possibility of two more rate cuts this year
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2025.4.27 Daytime Market Analysis
Indicators slowly turning bearish, news positive and favorable, market sentiment high... Avoid chasing long positions in high contracts before the May Day holiday... Technically looking at a fluctuating downward state, with a long period of consolidation, driven by news, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720, if not broken, there will still be an increase, that is to continue to go long.
Same day: 4-hour high-level fluctuations, constantly drawing lines, repeatedly pushing up, upward momentum is limited, 4-hour closing divergence, top signal.
Before May Day: If breaking below 92000, 1720, it belongs to a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on the same day: 4-hour technical outlook is bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on the same day: Fluctuating between 1780--1840, no pattern, 4-hour technical indicators slowly becoming stronger in bearish formation, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720… gradually laying out short positions, while not establishing a pattern yet, continuously testing positions.
For reference only, control position and management, #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
Indicators slowly turning bearish, news positive and favorable, market sentiment high... Avoid chasing long positions in high contracts before the May Day holiday... Technically looking at a fluctuating downward state, with a long period of consolidation, driven by news, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720, if not broken, there will still be an increase, that is to continue to go long.
Same day: 4-hour high-level fluctuations, constantly drawing lines, repeatedly pushing up, upward momentum is limited, 4-hour closing divergence, top signal.
Before May Day: If breaking below 92000, 1720, it belongs to a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on the same day: 4-hour technical outlook is bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on the same day: Fluctuating between 1780--1840, no pattern, 4-hour technical indicators slowly becoming stronger in bearish formation, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720… gradually laying out short positions, while not establishing a pattern yet, continuously testing positions.
For reference only, control position and management, #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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2025.4.25 Day Market Analysis
The interest rate cut cycle is uncertain, having risen so much, there will be short-term consumption of bulls. If Bitcoin touches the news front, it will be the first to rise. Recently, we need to guard against a black swan pullback. Bitcoin's high-level fluctuations will cause small coins to experience a rebound, and then quickly drop again.
Overall Environment: The interest rate cut in May is still undecided, there will be another pullback for defense, and there is still a chance to bottom out---Spot: As long as 92000 holds, it will not affect other spot trading and small coins taking turns to rise.
For the day: Currently at 1800, 94600 is a temporary resistance high point, focusing on either a spike or slowly looking bearish, not looking for breakdown today, and it's not good to chase long positions above 93500.
Resistance Levels: 1850, 1950, 96400, 95200
Support Levels: 1730, 1650, 91500, 90200
Ethereum for the day: 4-hour closes with a bearish candle, if there are no sudden events, it will slowly decline. Aggressive short at 1766 current price, add to short at 1790, 1810, stop loss at 1830, take profit at 1720, 1670, 1650.
Long at 1670, 1650, stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1720, 1750.
Bitcoin for the day: Aggressive short at current price 93700, add to short at 94500, stop loss at 95000, take profit at 92000, 91500, and take profit at 88000, 87600 for the pattern.
For 91500, 92000, look for long positions without pending orders, wait for signals at 90500, 90200 to re-enter, stop loss at 90600, 90000. The support for the US market is at this price, with take profit at 93200, 94500.
Combine live broadcast and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
The interest rate cut cycle is uncertain, having risen so much, there will be short-term consumption of bulls. If Bitcoin touches the news front, it will be the first to rise. Recently, we need to guard against a black swan pullback. Bitcoin's high-level fluctuations will cause small coins to experience a rebound, and then quickly drop again.
Overall Environment: The interest rate cut in May is still undecided, there will be another pullback for defense, and there is still a chance to bottom out---Spot: As long as 92000 holds, it will not affect other spot trading and small coins taking turns to rise.
For the day: Currently at 1800, 94600 is a temporary resistance high point, focusing on either a spike or slowly looking bearish, not looking for breakdown today, and it's not good to chase long positions above 93500.
Resistance Levels: 1850, 1950, 96400, 95200
Support Levels: 1730, 1650, 91500, 90200
Ethereum for the day: 4-hour closes with a bearish candle, if there are no sudden events, it will slowly decline. Aggressive short at 1766 current price, add to short at 1790, 1810, stop loss at 1830, take profit at 1720, 1670, 1650.
Long at 1670, 1650, stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1720, 1750.
Bitcoin for the day: Aggressive short at current price 93700, add to short at 94500, stop loss at 95000, take profit at 92000, 91500, and take profit at 88000, 87600 for the pattern.
For 91500, 92000, look for long positions without pending orders, wait for signals at 90500, 90200 to re-enter, stop loss at 90600, 90000. The support for the US market is at this price, with take profit at 93200, 94500.
Combine live broadcast and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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Today's Blockchain Dynamic Sharing:
1. TRUMP Official: Trump himself will personally attend the dinner on May 22, and some tokens will be locked for an additional 90 days.
2. Trump will not raise funds at the “TRUMP Dinner,” but will attend as a guest.
3. TRUMP Official: The top 25 whales will dine with Trump and take a VIP tour of the White House the next day.
4. The total holding of the top 25 VIPs in the “TRUMP Dinner” has exceeded 2 million TRUMP tokens.
5. TRUMP Gala Dinner Details: If canceled or Trump is absent, holders will receive a limited edition NFT.
6. Greeks.live: After Bitcoin breaks $90,000, the market is generally bullish, but there are differing views on future trends.
7. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's mention of “terminating” Federal Reserve Chair Powell may refer to the expiration of his term.
8. Data: The “greed” sentiment in the crypto market has slightly decreased; today’s fear and greed index is 63.
9. Federal Reserve Beige Book: Economic uncertainty has increased due to tariffs and other factors, and the outlook has clearly worsened in several regions.
10. The Federal Reserve Beige Book supports the view that a rate cut will take time.
11. Following California, 11 more states have sued the Trump administration for “illegal” abuse of tariff policies.
12. Sources: The U.S. made it clear in talks held earlier this month that Japan cannot be given special treatment regarding tariffs.
13. The Central Bank of Russia and the Ministry of Finance will launch a cryptocurrency trading platform for “high-qualified investors.”
14. The New Hampshire Senate Finance Committee voted to pass a Bitcoin reserve bill.
15. SBF has been transferred to a low-security prison.
16. U.S. FBI: Americans over 60 are projected to lose nearly $3 billion due to crypto scams in 2024.
17. Market news: 21Shares registers SUI ETF in Delaware.
18. Trump signs an executive order to promote AI education nationwide.
19. Strategist: Bitcoin's recent surge reflects the market seizing the opportunity to hedge against uncertainty and dollar volatility.
20. Coinbase executives: Sovereign wealth funds are massively buying Bitcoin.
21. 4E: Easing trade tensions lead to continued gains in U.S. stocks and the crypto market.
22. The crypto market maintains some upward momentum, with ETH rising above $1,800 and BTC falling back to $93,000.
23. Slow Fog: Monitored potential suspicious activity related to ACB tokens, reminding users to stay vigilant.
24. Metaplanet purchases another 145 BTC, total holdings exceed 5,000 BTC.
#热门话题
1. TRUMP Official: Trump himself will personally attend the dinner on May 22, and some tokens will be locked for an additional 90 days.
2. Trump will not raise funds at the “TRUMP Dinner,” but will attend as a guest.
3. TRUMP Official: The top 25 whales will dine with Trump and take a VIP tour of the White House the next day.
4. The total holding of the top 25 VIPs in the “TRUMP Dinner” has exceeded 2 million TRUMP tokens.
5. TRUMP Gala Dinner Details: If canceled or Trump is absent, holders will receive a limited edition NFT.
6. Greeks.live: After Bitcoin breaks $90,000, the market is generally bullish, but there are differing views on future trends.
7. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's mention of “terminating” Federal Reserve Chair Powell may refer to the expiration of his term.
8. Data: The “greed” sentiment in the crypto market has slightly decreased; today’s fear and greed index is 63.
9. Federal Reserve Beige Book: Economic uncertainty has increased due to tariffs and other factors, and the outlook has clearly worsened in several regions.
10. The Federal Reserve Beige Book supports the view that a rate cut will take time.
11. Following California, 11 more states have sued the Trump administration for “illegal” abuse of tariff policies.
12. Sources: The U.S. made it clear in talks held earlier this month that Japan cannot be given special treatment regarding tariffs.
13. The Central Bank of Russia and the Ministry of Finance will launch a cryptocurrency trading platform for “high-qualified investors.”
14. The New Hampshire Senate Finance Committee voted to pass a Bitcoin reserve bill.
15. SBF has been transferred to a low-security prison.
16. U.S. FBI: Americans over 60 are projected to lose nearly $3 billion due to crypto scams in 2024.
17. Market news: 21Shares registers SUI ETF in Delaware.
18. Trump signs an executive order to promote AI education nationwide.
19. Strategist: Bitcoin's recent surge reflects the market seizing the opportunity to hedge against uncertainty and dollar volatility.
20. Coinbase executives: Sovereign wealth funds are massively buying Bitcoin.
21. 4E: Easing trade tensions lead to continued gains in U.S. stocks and the crypto market.
22. The crypto market maintains some upward momentum, with ETH rising above $1,800 and BTC falling back to $93,000.
23. Slow Fog: Monitored potential suspicious activity related to ACB tokens, reminding users to stay vigilant.
24. Metaplanet purchases another 145 BTC, total holdings exceed 5,000 BTC.
#热门话题
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2025.4.24 Daytime Market Analysis
Bitcoin is in a sideways fluctuation, and the small altcoins that had contracts before are rising just to escape. Bitcoin is relatively strong, so try not to chase the highs at elevated positions. Other small altcoins will have a chance to rally once they pull back to appropriate levels.
On that day: We still need a breakout to create a divergence state; it is starting to slowly decline. These past two days have been releasing good news, so take profits on long positions after a rise.
Overall Environment: Preparing for May and June, which will lead to a pullback that continues to accumulate large-scale buying points.
Resistance Levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the Day: Today we look bullish first, pushing up a little. For those going long, set a 3-5 minute golden cross; if there’s a divergence, exit, or exit around that time. Take profit at 1824, 1852.
Short at 1824, 1852, stop-loss at 1865 or set a stop-loss based on real-time divergence. High positions are in a sideways consolidation, making small-level pullbacks. Take profit at 1750, 1720.
Bitcoin for the Day: Today we look bullish first; it will move upwards for a bit. For those going long, set a take-profit at 95000, 94600, 96200 in advance.
95000, 94600 are the first short positions, 96200 is the second short position, stop-loss at 96600 or monitor real-time divergence to proceed with divergence trades. Stable take profit at 92200, take profit at 90800, 90200.
Combining live broadcasts and techniques, pay attention to position management. For reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
Bitcoin is in a sideways fluctuation, and the small altcoins that had contracts before are rising just to escape. Bitcoin is relatively strong, so try not to chase the highs at elevated positions. Other small altcoins will have a chance to rally once they pull back to appropriate levels.
On that day: We still need a breakout to create a divergence state; it is starting to slowly decline. These past two days have been releasing good news, so take profits on long positions after a rise.
Overall Environment: Preparing for May and June, which will lead to a pullback that continues to accumulate large-scale buying points.
Resistance Levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the Day: Today we look bullish first, pushing up a little. For those going long, set a 3-5 minute golden cross; if there’s a divergence, exit, or exit around that time. Take profit at 1824, 1852.
Short at 1824, 1852, stop-loss at 1865 or set a stop-loss based on real-time divergence. High positions are in a sideways consolidation, making small-level pullbacks. Take profit at 1750, 1720.
Bitcoin for the Day: Today we look bullish first; it will move upwards for a bit. For those going long, set a take-profit at 95000, 94600, 96200 in advance.
95000, 94600 are the first short positions, 96200 is the second short position, stop-loss at 96600 or monitor real-time divergence to proceed with divergence trades. Stable take profit at 92200, take profit at 90800, 90200.
Combining live broadcasts and techniques, pay attention to position management. For reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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2025.4.23 Daytime Market Analysis
News driven rise, important resistance level reached, 3-day line, daily line closes bearish, continue to watch for high-level fluctuations. If it holds at 90,000, there are still opportunities for an increase. Try not to chase longs at the current high prices.
Overall Environment: Defensive selling pressure expected this weekend, a black swan event may occur soon. The expectation is that a rate cut in June would set 74,000 as the current bottom; if there is no rate cut, then this is not the bottom.
That Day: High-level fluctuations and consolidation, a divergence is expected in 30 minutes, then a pullback followed by a long position.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1980, 96400, 10000
Support Levels: 1720, 1680, 89500, 90200
Ethereum that day: ① Current price shows a 15-minute divergence, will experience a partial pullback short.
② Long positions at 1660, 1680, stop loss at 1650, take profit at 1750, 1760.
③ After the pullback, it will rise again to 1750, then 1760 for a short, watch the market for entry.
Bitcoin that day: ① Currently no positions, do not chase longs. If you want to take a pullback short, set stop loss at previous highs, can try light short positions, if not considering shorts, then look for a pullback long. If it drops quickly, take some profit and leave some for breakeven.
② Long at 90,900, 90200, stop loss at 9000, take profit at 93,500, 93,000.
③ Short near 93,500, stop loss at 94,200 or short again on real divergence, stop loss at the divergence point, take profit at 91,500, 90,500, 90,200.
Combining live broadcast and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
News driven rise, important resistance level reached, 3-day line, daily line closes bearish, continue to watch for high-level fluctuations. If it holds at 90,000, there are still opportunities for an increase. Try not to chase longs at the current high prices.
Overall Environment: Defensive selling pressure expected this weekend, a black swan event may occur soon. The expectation is that a rate cut in June would set 74,000 as the current bottom; if there is no rate cut, then this is not the bottom.
That Day: High-level fluctuations and consolidation, a divergence is expected in 30 minutes, then a pullback followed by a long position.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1980, 96400, 10000
Support Levels: 1720, 1680, 89500, 90200
Ethereum that day: ① Current price shows a 15-minute divergence, will experience a partial pullback short.
② Long positions at 1660, 1680, stop loss at 1650, take profit at 1750, 1760.
③ After the pullback, it will rise again to 1750, then 1760 for a short, watch the market for entry.
Bitcoin that day: ① Currently no positions, do not chase longs. If you want to take a pullback short, set stop loss at previous highs, can try light short positions, if not considering shorts, then look for a pullback long. If it drops quickly, take some profit and leave some for breakeven.
② Long at 90,900, 90200, stop loss at 9000, take profit at 93,500, 93,000.
③ Short near 93,500, stop loss at 94,200 or short again on real divergence, stop loss at the divergence point, take profit at 91,500, 90,500, 90,200.
Combining live broadcast and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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2025.4.22 Day Market Analysis
Shorting Ethereum is definitely the first choice, going long on Bitcoin is the priority. Just like this, it bounces up a bit, then should drop like this -- the thought process is similar to yesterday; actually, Bitcoin will strongly break through a little, slightly surpassing the previous high, while Ethereum won’t have major breakout points, and then it will start to decline. Bitcoin will break the previous high and create some divergences, gradually making divergences. Bitcoin has strong buying interest and support from other countries, while Ethereum's capital flow is diminishing.
Resistance Levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the Day: Start paying attention from 1600, short at 1620, according to the real-time 5-minute divergences, do not place orders, take profit at 1550, 1520.
Long at 1520--1500, stop loss at 1490, take profit at 1580--1600.
Bitcoin for the Day: Long at 86000, 85500, wait for the levels to check small-scale bullish trends, do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
Start paying attention at 88900, empty space at 90200-90500, 15-minute divergences flattening, stop loss at divergence points or 91000, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
Shorting Ethereum is definitely the first choice, going long on Bitcoin is the priority. Just like this, it bounces up a bit, then should drop like this -- the thought process is similar to yesterday; actually, Bitcoin will strongly break through a little, slightly surpassing the previous high, while Ethereum won’t have major breakout points, and then it will start to decline. Bitcoin will break the previous high and create some divergences, gradually making divergences. Bitcoin has strong buying interest and support from other countries, while Ethereum's capital flow is diminishing.
Resistance Levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the Day: Start paying attention from 1600, short at 1620, according to the real-time 5-minute divergences, do not place orders, take profit at 1550, 1520.
Long at 1520--1500, stop loss at 1490, take profit at 1580--1600.
Bitcoin for the Day: Long at 86000, 85500, wait for the levels to check small-scale bullish trends, do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
Start paying attention at 88900, empty space at 90200-90500, 15-minute divergences flattening, stop loss at divergence points or 91000, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #eth #比特币 #以太坊合约
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2025.4.21 Daytime Market Analysis
This week there are no special news, reference 80% technical trading, tariff issues may be resolved within a month (the initial reconciliation is considered a positive factor) concerning Old Powell and Old Trump (currently speculating on expectations, likely favorable)
On the day: Bitcoin is currently not a good buy, look for other coins to find opportunities to go long, platform coins, Prince, Ethereum... make one last long order -- need to act quickly, Bitcoin touches the 88200 point, directly take profits on other coins
Resistance Levels: 88200, 91500, 1680, 1750
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1600, 1540
Ethereum for the day: ① Key point 1600 support long, take profits first if in profit, ③ comparatively good levels are 1550, 1560 long, take profits at 1650, 1670
② 1650, 1670 short, based on actual market 15-minute divergence, do not place orders, take profits at 1600, 1550, 1560
Bitcoin for the day: 86000, 85500 long orders, wait for the levels to see small-scale bullish, do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profits at 88000, 88350
88000, 88350 short positions, 15-minute divergence moves flat, stop loss at divergence point or 88600, take profits at 85200, 85500, 86000
Combine live broadcast and technicals, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #比特币 #eth
This week there are no special news, reference 80% technical trading, tariff issues may be resolved within a month (the initial reconciliation is considered a positive factor) concerning Old Powell and Old Trump (currently speculating on expectations, likely favorable)
On the day: Bitcoin is currently not a good buy, look for other coins to find opportunities to go long, platform coins, Prince, Ethereum... make one last long order -- need to act quickly, Bitcoin touches the 88200 point, directly take profits on other coins
Resistance Levels: 88200, 91500, 1680, 1750
Support Levels: 82800, 84500, 1600, 1540
Ethereum for the day: ① Key point 1600 support long, take profits first if in profit, ③ comparatively good levels are 1550, 1560 long, take profits at 1650, 1670
② 1650, 1670 short, based on actual market 15-minute divergence, do not place orders, take profits at 1600, 1550, 1560
Bitcoin for the day: 86000, 85500 long orders, wait for the levels to see small-scale bullish, do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profits at 88000, 88350
88000, 88350 short positions, 15-minute divergence moves flat, stop loss at divergence point or 88600, take profits at 85200, 85500, 86000
Combine live broadcast and technicals, pay attention to position management, for reference only #btc #比特币 #eth
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Today's Blockchain Dynamics Share
1.Bloomberg: Slovenia proposes a tax on personal income from cryptocurrencies
2.Crypto entertainment platform Zero Edge founder Richard Kim arrested for misappropriating investor funds for gambling
3.Trump: Expected to announce news regarding trade agreements, but currently not in a hurry
Trump: If I ask, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has to resign
Trump: Negotiations with all countries are going very smoothly
Trump: The US-Ukraine mineral agreement will be signed next Thursday
Trump: Powell will lower interest rates sooner or later, the only thing he is good at is lowering rates
Trump: The Federal Reserve has a responsibility to lower interest rates for Americans, Powell will face significant political pressure
2.Crypto entertainment platform Zero Edge founder Richard Kim arrested for misappropriating investor funds for gambling
3.Trump: Expected to announce news regarding trade agreements, but currently not in a hurry
Trump: If I ask, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has to resign
Trump: Negotiations with all countries are going very smoothly
Trump: The US-Ukraine mineral agreement will be signed next Thursday
Trump: Powell will lower interest rates sooner or later, the only thing he is good at is lowering rates
Trump: The Federal Reserve has a responsibility to lower interest rates for Americans, Powell will face significant political pressure
See original
2025.4.18 Daytime Market Analysis
The US stock market is closed for a day, currently in a selective market, can rise or fall. Bitcoin shows strong performance, with the upward trend retracting. Currently, there are no buy orders for Bitcoin, and not chasing high prices as the risk-reward ratio is not favorable... Today, the US stock market is closed, and there is no outflow or inflow of ETFs.
On that day: Too close to the high point, no consideration for chasing orders over 85000. Stick to short positions at the top of the range, can only go long on Bitcoin and prefer to short Ethereum. There is a risk of breaking downwards in the next two days at 83300-1560, with a chance of breaking the bottom.
Weekend: If it drops quickly, set limit orders in batches 74000--79200-1420--1380--1360 for bottom-fishing orders.
Resistance Levels: 85800, 87300, 1620, 1680
Support Levels: 83100, 81200, 1540, 1450
Ethereum for the day: 1600, 1620 short orders (1620 can be limit orders) stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1540, 1560, 1470 (for short orders).
Bitcoin for the day: Gradually short, 85000 is the high point of the range, just guard against one spike divergence. ① Current price in the live room 85000 short, 85000, ② 85600 short, stop loss at 86500, 85700 guard against spikes being hit, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500. [Once 83000 breaks, there will be a rapid decline].
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币 #btc #eth
The US stock market is closed for a day, currently in a selective market, can rise or fall. Bitcoin shows strong performance, with the upward trend retracting. Currently, there are no buy orders for Bitcoin, and not chasing high prices as the risk-reward ratio is not favorable... Today, the US stock market is closed, and there is no outflow or inflow of ETFs.
On that day: Too close to the high point, no consideration for chasing orders over 85000. Stick to short positions at the top of the range, can only go long on Bitcoin and prefer to short Ethereum. There is a risk of breaking downwards in the next two days at 83300-1560, with a chance of breaking the bottom.
Weekend: If it drops quickly, set limit orders in batches 74000--79200-1420--1380--1360 for bottom-fishing orders.
Resistance Levels: 85800, 87300, 1620, 1680
Support Levels: 83100, 81200, 1540, 1450
Ethereum for the day: 1600, 1620 short orders (1620 can be limit orders) stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1540, 1560, 1470 (for short orders).
Bitcoin for the day: Gradually short, 85000 is the high point of the range, just guard against one spike divergence. ① Current price in the live room 85000 short, 85000, ② 85600 short, stop loss at 86500, 85700 guard against spikes being hit, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500. [Once 83000 breaks, there will be a rapid decline].
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币 #btc #eth
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