Retail investors have always been the lambs raised by major players. After getting used to it, when the whistle blows, they automatically buy and sell. And after more than a month of continuous upward movement, they have developed the habit of going long, and when there's a slight pullback, they rush to buy the dip. Alright, let's wait for the bulls to be slaughtered. No one is always right, especially in the trading market. When the patterns change, the major players start spreading rumors and releasing news rampantly. If you're not fearful, you can't cut losses; if you're not greedy, you can't go crazy. Anyway, it's all to cut your flesh and drink your blood. In the past few days, Trump also seemed confused as the U.S. Trade Court rejected most of his tariff decisions. It's all just a performance. Because the interests and political intentions have been achieved, now they need to find an elegant way to step down. Other countries being too confrontational is just too embarrassing. They can only call their little brothers and stir up some trouble. Now it's good, hit and release, see how other countries react. Everyone actually knows what's going on, using calm to control action, not daring to speak out. Who knows what's real and what's fake, they just want to test who their little brothers are. Without seeing a shift in the wind, they jump out and shout to prepare to deal with them later. Alright, no one else is speaking, the East Country's Ministry of Foreign Affairs directly spoke up, supporting the Trade Court's decision. In the future, there will be more things to argue about between the two, everyone just keep watching, right? Currently, from a pattern perspective, there's a divergence at the top, the moving averages have just crossed dead, the pullback has just officially begun, short on the rebound, MACD has crossed dead downwards, and there's a continuing pullback trend. Recently, there's been a volume increase in the decline, and funds are fleeing. Don't rush to enter the spot market, don't enter during a crash. The upper pressure is at 109500, and the lower support is around 100000. On the hourly level, MACD has a golden cross, short-term stabilizing, can go long at 105800 with a stop loss at 105000, or can short around 107200 with a stop loss near 108500. On the 3-day line pattern, MACD is about to cross dead, and the relative larger cycle pullback is about to confirm. The entire pattern has not effectively broken the previous high, and is currently entering a consolidation range again. The lower support is around 92000. The larger cycle trend is upwards, and after the crash, daring to go long and enter is also possible to buy the dip in spot. In a few days, it will be unsealed, hoping that I, who has been kneeling, can stand up again. In this market, the shamelessness of KOLs can make them masters of eternal profit, but unfortunately, I am not one of them; I often get slapped in the face. $BTC
Brothers parting ways, family fortunes decline. BTC wants to drop, ETH wants to rise. Who should we listen to? There’s no way around it, this family will definitely listen to the elder brother. ETH surged sharply today, which can be seen as the last rays of the setting sun, shining brightly. It’s not advisable to chase the rise; I kept telling everyone to get in at lower positions yesterday. Those who dared to get in have reaped substantial rewards. No one in this market is a god. Listening to this big shot, who says to roll over, while the other big shot talks about the theory of entanglement. In fact, spot trading is quite easy, but futures test human nature—greed and fear. BTC has reached this level; no more chasing the rise. Based on the patterns, it seems to be going down. Recently, Trump made a series of chaotic moves, which sent the entire market into a frenzy, devoid of any logic. However, I believe one thing: this guy Trump is definitely orchestrating the national funds to ambush the stock market and crypto space, controlling the bulls and bears through rhetoric, constantly harvesting retail investors and institutions. They make money, subsidize their households, and pay off national debts. Don’t think for a second that the country doesn’t do this; it’s all business. Ultimately, it’s just a matter of everyone or small families. I have always said that the financial circle is one of the sources of national funds. For the stability and continuity of the regime, any means can be used. We retail investors, cattle and horses, simply lack the insight to see through the high-level machinations that enslave us. The same goes for the Eastern country. Recently, when they shouted for the big A, it was because the government had no money to pay salaries. After a series of chaotic operations, they made trillions and now everything is back to normal, right? Currently, from the daily chart perspective, BTC's highs are decreasing, and the daily chart shows a top divergence. The risks are increasing, and I've recently suggested shorting on rebounds. The bearish momentum is strengthening. From the volume perspective, funds have been fleeing recently, and the MACD has crossed to the downside, indicating a continued correction trend. Support is around 100,000. On the four-hour chart, after breaking the upward trend line yesterday, it will start a fluctuating downward correction. Short again around 109,000, with a stop loss near 111,500. Take profit around 102,000. From the sentiment indicators, we are about to enter an extremely risky area; I do not recommend chasing longs. For spot trading, be patient. Many patterns are currently also at high positions. A rebound can be shorted. Being an analyst is tough; you have to read books, maintain the community, write posts, and operate on your own. As the sun rises high, many tasks cannot all be done perfectly. Only through the waves of sand can the true hero be revealed. Ten years of sword forging, just to shock the world. $BTC
No one can predict the market's ups and downs in advance, except for Madame Melaf. If you want to make money, open long and short positions in advance, and then whisper in Trump's ear. This guy Trump, has no grip on reality, today he's here, tomorrow he's there, nothing is certain or reliable. Maybe he wants to see Madame Melaf's horseback riding skills, if that’s satisfying. The world situation can be casually mentioned, tomorrow Melaf, you go short. In the tariff standoff with the EU, it ended in 48 hours, recently traders are also going crazy, no one dares to make any plans because tomorrow you don't know what kind of nonsense Trump will come up with. Yesterday, U.S. stocks surged, the brilliant seven once again made a dazzling appearance, technology is always productivity. They say the U.S. economy is stagnating, but as long as AI develops, the U.S. economy will still be lifted. It's just that recently we haven't seen the East country boasting loudly about AI; is it because Xiaomi has recently made chips and can lead again? As for the situation between Europe and Russia, it seems to be a futile effort, Trump's shouting, threats, and constraints have no effect. Big Russia continues to advance, with missiles and drones bombing daily. Even Trump said that Putin has gone mad. If Europe is unstable, the world economy will continue to be turbulent. Currently, from the daily level, the highs are decreasing, and the upward momentum is insufficient; it might be time to consider going short. There is a divergence at the top, and the current area is a risk zone; recently, there has been a large capital outflow, with a MACD death cross and a trend towards a pullback. It is not recommended to chase highs; patience is needed for spot trading. The support below is around 100,000. At the four-hour level, it is very important. Currently, if the four-hour level cannot recover above 109,000, it will effectively break the upward trend line and continue downward. The MACD death cross indicates a continued downward trend. It is suggested to short at 109,000 with a stop loss around 111,500 and a take profit near 102,000. From the three-day line pattern, it has not effectively broken the previous high, the MACD has turned bullish, but the bullish strength is weakening. However, the long-term trend is still upward; pullbacks should be focused on for long positions. Patience is needed for spot trading. The support below is around 92,000. As long as you don't leave this market, you will always encounter sharp rises and falls; there is no such thing as eternal correctness, just cyclical ups and downs. A sharp drop shouldn’t be far off. Everyone should always be cautious, as if walking on thin ice.
The way of heaven does not deceive; Yang fades while Yin grows. This week, we finally see the power of the bulls is waning. That means the days of a drastic drop are getting closer. They say the way to deal with a rogue is to use a rogue to deal with a rogue. In the past two days, Trump's mediation for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has come to nothing. He loudly criticizes Putin for being a dictator and not following the rules. Yet he doesn't dare to take the lead directly, also demeaning Zelensky by saying he can't speak. Isn't the Great Goose an aggressor? Is Ukraine not resisting and just handing itself over? The nature of Greater Russia has always been bloody slaughter; being ruled equals extinction. Not wanting to be a slave to a fallen nation is the stubborn essence of every nation. It seems Trump's mediation is once again going to fail. The war in Eastern Europe continues, making it impossible for him to reach his mineral agreements, and his plans to make money to pay off national debt will fall through, which will surely infuriate him. However, Putin won't fall for his tricks; he will continue to do things as he sees fit. Now, helplessly, the U.S. military cannot directly participate in the war, or else World War III will ignite. Now it's better; Eastern Europe can't make money and might even need to fill in funds; they can only again exploit tariffs. Therefore, tariff policies in the later stages will still fluctuate. The cryptocurrency market's violent ups and downs are quite common. When Trump speaks, life and death are hard to predict? Currently, from the daily chart perspective, BTC continues to show a top divergence pattern; the more it rises, the greater the risk. Moreover, a significant pullback is getting closer. It is not advisable to chase the bulls; it is not recommended to enter the spot market. The MACD shows a death cross downward, indicating a trend of continued pullback. Daily highs are lowering, and bearish strength is increasing. Support is around 100,000. On the four-hour level, the rebound has not sustained, with lower highs, increasing bearish strength, and a MACD death cross indicating a pullback trend. It is advised to open a short position around 110,000, with a stop-loss near 112,000 and a take-profit around 102,000. If it effectively breaks below 106,000, it will continue to plunge. On the weekly level, the highs have finally decreased; the MACD has turned from bearish to real, and bullish strength is waning. There is a trend for a pullback. However, the long-term trend is upward, so the main strategy is to buy on pullbacks. Now patiently waiting to bottom out and enter the market. Altcoins are readjusting their order positions, which may be lower than before. A day in the crypto world equals a year in the human world. Those involved in the crypto sphere become wealthy and age much faster than those in other industries. The happiness index is also much lower. Life is but a grand dream; looking back, the excitement in the crypto world continues, the madness goes on, and the ups and downs persist. $BTC
US November CPI meets expectations, the Fed's rate cut next week is considered to be a complete stabilization, the next plot is that the hawkish tone of interest rate cuts, the market's focus turns to whether there will be another rate cut in March next year, if the US economic outlook worsens in the next two months, expectations for another rate cut will ferment again, and gold will completely soar.
The central political bureau meeting clearly indicates that the response plan regarding the return of Trump to the White House is of great importance. Considering that China's economy heavily relies on exports, which will be impacted, the assurance of maintaining the foreign exchange rate will definitely be difficult. Therefore, it has proposed 'more proactive fiscal policies' + 'moderately loose monetary policies'. This means that the benchmark interest rate will be lowered to below 1, and the government will further increase the issuance of bonds. The stubborn defense of the RMB exchange rate will inevitably be abandoned! Large amounts of money being released will lead to a significant depreciation. Since everyone is reluctant to spend money, it will only make the money that everyone has worth less.