大乾

The #突破交易策略 breakthrough trading strategy is a classic method for capturing trend initiation points, with the core focus on identifying effective breakthroughs of key price ranges. When trading, it is necessary to first determine the recent fluctuation range's high and low points. When the price breaks through resistance or falls below support, the validity of the breakthrough should be confirmed by combining it with increased volume signals. After entering the market, stop-loss should be set immediately, usually referencing the inverse extreme value of the range prior to the breakthrough to avoid losses from false breakthroughs. It is also important to pay attention to the strength of the pullback after the breakthrough; if the pullback does not break through the key position, it can be seen as an opportunity to increase positions. This strategy requires strict filtering of noise signals and patience to wait for high-certainty breakthrough patterns to appear.

#日内交易策略 Intraday Trading Strategy: Capturing the Profit Logic of Daily Fluctuations
Intraday trading, simply put, means opening and closing positions on the same day, without holding positions overnight, relying on capturing short-term price fluctuations for profit. For retail investors, this is a good choice to avoid overnight risks (such as sudden policy changes or fluctuations in international markets), but having a solid strategy is key to succeeding.
Core Logic: Capture Trends, Identify Turning Points
Intraday markets often follow a cycle of 'consolidation-breakout-trend'. The first 30 minutes of the morning session is often a period of concentrated emotional release, where you can observe trading volume and price slope: if there is a significant increase in volume with a small pullback, it may indicate an upward trend; conversely, be wary of a downturn.

#长期持有策略 The Best Choice for Long-Term Holders in the Crypto World
Tonight, I not only want to share insights with everyone but also remind myself to stay firm in my belief of holding Bitcoin for the long term.
If you want to get rich, then you should hold Bitcoin; if you want to get very rich, then you should hold Bitcoin for the long term.
On July 5th, an ancient Bitcoin whale transferred 80,000 $BTC from 4 addresses, causing great panic in the market.
The trembling market is secondary; the impressive part is that the whale's $BTC cost was only $2, and they held it for as long as 16 years.
If, starting today, you and I could also hold Bitcoin calmly and steadily for 16 years, what would the outcome be?
From $2 to $118,000, an increase of up to 59,000 times, we do not need to be extravagant; let's conservatively estimate, $1 million.

#现货与合约策略 Spot and contract trading are two common trading methods, each with different strategies. Spot trading involves using one's own funds to buy coins, selling them after the price rises, which carries relatively lower risk and is suitable for long-term holding or stable operations. Contract trading allows for leveraged positions, enabling small funds to operate on large scales, allowing for both long and short positions, providing opportunities to profit from both rising and falling prices, but it also carries higher risks. Common strategies include using spot trading for long-term positioning, while contracts are used for short-term fluctuations, such as quickly entering and exiting contracts to profit from price differences during news-driven volatility. When trading contracts, strict stop-loss measures should be implemented to avoid liquidation. The combination of both methods can help adapt flexibly to market changes, but it is necessary to control capital ratios and risks to avoid excessive speculation.

#迷因币情绪 Memecoin market sentiment may continue to fluctuate over the next month, driven by community hype, celebrity endorsements, and market speculation. Recently, trading volumes of Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) have surged, indicating high enthusiasm among retail investors, but price volatility is severe, and risks are significant. Promotion by political figures and loosening regulations may fuel a 'crime super cycle,' necessitating vigilance against fraud risks. Community culture and viral spread will continue to boost attention, but a lack of fundamental support may lead to price instability. Investors should pay attention to community dynamics, changes in trading volume, and policy impacts, while remaining rational and cautious in participating in high-risk speculation.

#套利交易策略 Binance arbitrage core lies in capturing market inefficiencies, with main strategies including:
Funding rate arbitrage: buying spot + shorting perpetual contracts to earn positive funding rate differential (for example, under a 0.05% rate, hedging 10 BTC in spot can yield a single-time profit of 150 USDT), attention must be paid to the 8-hour settlement cycle and price convergence.
Inter-period contract arbitrage: utilizing the price difference between the current season/next season contracts (for example, under a Contango structure where the price difference > 1.5%), opening positions in both directions to capture basis recovery profits, with annualized returns reaching up to 25%.
Triangular arbitrage: BTC/ETH/USDT circular trading, profiting from instantaneous price imbalance, high-frequency strategies can achieve annualized returns exceeding 45% but require low-latency execution.
Alpha point arbitrage: high-frequency trading with low slippage currencies (such as $PORT3/WBNB), overlaying limit orders and double point rules, with a net profit of approximately 216 USDT over 15 days (after deducting fees).

#趋势交易策略 Trend trading is a strategy that follows the direction of the market. In simple terms, it means 'buy when it rises, sell when it falls.' When prices go up, investors take a long position; when prices go down, they consider shorting or exiting. The key to this method is to go with the trend and not go against the market. It is usually accompanied by technical indicators such as moving averages, MACD, etc., to determine if the trend is valid. Once the entry point is confirmed, stop-loss and take-profit levels are set to avoid emotional trading. Trend trading does not aim to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest, but rather to capture profits during the 'main rising phase.' It is suitable for investors who are patient and willing to hold positions while waiting for market developments.

#交易策略误区 这一波行情很多人觉得自己踏空了，其实关于抄底，我们最近讲的是最多的，7月初以来，无时不刻在告诉大家至少要上一部分的现货。很多人还是在抱着合约在做空，如果你做空只是随便玩玩的，那也没什么。那有的人现货现货不买，合约多单也没有，手里只有套着的一部分空单，那么这样的话，就完全有问题了。
没错，最近很多人一直是看回调的，技术面上最近总给人一种错觉，就是这一波行情应该差不多了，要回调了，实际是回调基本以横代跌，然后继续拉盘。这其实是很难判断的，一旦遇到行情强势一点，那么基本就是不给大家太多的回调机会。但同时我最近在广场也发了警告了，不建议做空，或者让大家做空谨慎一点。其实已经明确了，行情偏向于多头。

#我的策略演变 My trading strategy has evolved through three stages, each transformation directly related to the pitfalls and losses encountered. Looking back, it has been an upgrade in mindset and understanding:
First Stage: Obsessed with the 'Holy Grail', chasing signals
When I first started, I always thought 'a good strategy = high win rate', and I was crazily infatuated with various combinations of indicators (like MACD + RSI golden crosses and death crosses, Bollinger Band breakouts). I would stare at the market every day looking for signals, trading frequently. When I made a profit, I thought my strategy was great, and when I lost, I would change indicators. The result was that I paid a lot in transaction fees, my account went on a roller coaster, and I was always anxious because I 'missed signals'.
Key Transformation: Realizing that 'win rate ≠ profit', what truly determines profit and loss is the 'profit-loss ratio'. For example, in 10 trades, if I made a profit in 4 and lost in 6, but made 3 units each time I earned and lost 1 unit each time I lost, I could actually make a profit in the long run. This shifted my focus from 'finding foolproof signals' to 'accepting losses and maximizing profits'.

#BinanceTurns8 和我们一起参加 #BinanceTurns8 庆祝活动，瓜分高达 $888,888 等值 BNB！ https://www.marketwebb.red/activity/binance-turns-8?ref=GRO_19600_RI48J

$BNB 1. **Key Levels**: Support **$550**, Resistance **$600**, if broken can look for **$620**.
2. **Trend Trading**: If it holds above **$580** and increases volume, a short-term long position can be taken; if it breaks below **$550**, then wait and see or lightly short.
3. **Event-Driven**: Pay attention to new coin listings on Binance, BNB burn announcements, and other positive news, and prepare in advance.
4. **Strict Risk Control**: Set a stop loss of **3%-5%** to avoid holding losing positions. Leverage trading requires caution, beware of spike risks.
(Note: Short-term fluctuations are large, it is recommended to evaluate in conjunction with BTC market trends, not investment advice.)

$BTC After waking up, the market is still hovering around 117000 with little fluctuation. Yesterday, it oscillated in the range of 118000-117000, which is acceptable for volatility. Those who went short can still make over 1000 points.
#BTC Currently, for Bitcoin to find direction, we can only wait until next week. Personally, I feel that in order to continue surging, it must at least retest once at the positions of 116000-115000 for a greater upward space. If it doesn't retest and pulls directly, there will also be a retest near 120000, so those who want to go long should wait for the retest. For those looking for sharp entries, it is advisable to wait for a rebound and find positions at least above 118000 before considering.

#美国加密周 Next week, the U.S. House of Representatives will vote on three major cryptocurrency-related bills during "Crypto Week" (July 14-18):
🔸 CLARITY Act — Clarifies how the SEC and CFTC classify and regulate digital assets
🔸 GENIUS Act — Establishes a federal framework for the issuance and regulation of stablecoins (already passed the Senate)
🔸 Anti-CBDC Act — Prohibits the development of a U.S. central bank digital currency
If passed, this will be among the first significant cryptocurrency legislation in the U.S., impacting the future regulatory direction of digital assets.
💬 What are your expectations for "Crypto Week"? Feel free to share in the comments!
👉 Complete daily tasks in the task center to earn points:
• Create posts using the #美国加密周 or $BTC tags,
• Share your trader profile,
• Or share your trades to earn 5 points!
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Event time: July 12, 2025, 14:00 to July 13, 2025, 14:00 (UTC+8)

$BTC BTC This round of pullback
First look near 104000
And altcoins may face a situation where many coins go to zero
BTC hit the resistance level around 106700 yesterday, but did not break through. Initially, I thought it would break 106700 and then come down, but it didn't. So this time, the first pullback will be around 104000, and if it needs to pull back again, the second round should be around 102000. Regardless of whether it stops falling near 104000 or 102000, I estimate that it will eventually break through the resistance level of 106700. For the specific situation, we still need to rely on actual progress.

Recent fluctuations of #Vaulta : TRX price has seen a significant drop due to large-scale sell-offs (over 8.27 million units, worth about $2 million), hitting a low of $0.2398 on April 18, close to the middle Bollinger Band support level.
◦ Technical indicators: The Average Directional Index (ADX) shows a continuation of the downward trend, and if it breaks below $0.23, it may further dip to $0.2246; however, the oversold Williams indicator suggests a potential rebound in the short term.
◦ Market sentiment: Despite the obvious selling pressure, 84% of TRX holders are still in profit, and community sentiment is relatively optimistic, with most holding positions on the sidelines.
2. Long-term value resilience
◦ Downward resistance performance: The TRX price stabilized in the $0.23-$0.25 range in April 2025, not severely impacted by Trump's tariff policies, demonstrating its safe-haven attributes.
◦ Historical comparison: In December 2024, it surged 65.85% in a single day, and in March 2025, the rise of ecological tokens drove TRX's rebound.

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Recent fluctuations of $TRX : The TRX price has seen a significant drop due to large-scale sell-offs (over 8.27 million pieces, valued at approximately 2 million USD), reaching a low of 0.2398 USD on April 18, close to the support level of the Bollinger Band middle line.
◦ Technical indicators: The Average Directional Index (ADX) indicates a continuation of the downtrend, and if it falls below 0.23 USD, it may further decline to 0.2246 USD; however, the oversold Williams indicator suggests a possible short-term rebound.
◦ Market sentiment: Despite the obvious selling pressure, 84% of TRX holders are still in profit, and the community sentiment is relatively optimistic, with a main focus on holding positions and waiting.
2. Long-term value resilience
◦ Downward resistance performance: In April 2025, the TRX price stabilized in the range of 0.23-0.25 USD, unaffected by the severe impact of Trump's tariff policy, demonstrating its safe-haven attributes.
◦ Historical comparison: In December 2024, there was a single-day surge of 65.85%, and in March 2025, the rise of ecological tokens drove TRX's recovery.

#波场ETF Canary Capital has applied for a US spot ETF, which will track the price of the Tron (TRX) token and include staking rewards. If approved, this will be the first Tron ETF in the US, joining a wave of altcoin ETF proposals currently under review by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
💬 Would you invest in a TRX ETF with staking? What are your thoughts on altcoin ETFs gaining attention?
👉 Create a post using the hashtag #波场ETF or the $TRX coin tag, or share your trader profile and insights to earn points!
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Event time: 2025-04-20 06:00 (UTC) to 2025-04-21 06:00 (UTC)
Points rewards are first come, first served, so be sure to claim your points every day!

#鲍威尔发言 🔥Powell speaks harshly, the crypto market exploded!
Old Powell directly laid it all out today, interest rate cuts? Don't even think about it!😡
Tariffs have driven prices sky-high, and the unemployment rate can't be suppressed any longer, yet the Federal Reserve refuses to inject liquidity!
Now the crypto market is split, institutional bigwigs are shouting "Hurry up and comply! Banks are about to step in and take over!"
But the small retail investors are in trouble… the dream of rate cuts has shattered……
$BTC $ETH $BNB