Jacklulu

$BTC
Currently in a gray area between bull and bear markets, prices fluctuate around $60,000. Market sentiment has clearly cooled down, but bottom-buying remains strong. On-chain data shows that long-term holders' confidence has not collapsed. Institutional ETFs continue to flow in, but at a slower pace, with many waiting for clarity on macro policies (especially whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates). Technically, there is high-level turbulence, and a directional choice may occur at any time. In summary: Bitcoin is not a tool for getting rich quickly; it is a validator of patience and understanding. When you don't understand it, it rises like a myth; when you just believe in it, it starts to teach you life lessons.

$TRUMP
It is a meme coin dressed in political clothing, which has become a new darling in the crypto world thanks to Trump's name and the excitement of the U.S. elections. It has no official endorsement, no practical applications, but it has topics of conversation, emotional resonance, and a FOMO atmosphere. The current rise is a mixture of speculation and political sentiment; essentially, it is a game of 'speculating on belief': when it rises, it feels like faith; when it falls, it feels like fraud. For those wanting to get in, remember one thing — it is not Trump's, but it will definitely teach you the cruelty of the market.

#比特币预测
This is not a bull market frenzy, but it is also far from a bear market bottom. This is a game in deep waters, with retail investors waiting for the wind to come and institutions laying out their strategies with calculators.

In the next two months, if macroeconomic factors align positively and ETF inflows warm up, Bitcoin could potentially surge back to 70K+. However, if negative factors accumulate and major players start selling, be cautious as it could plunge directly from the 60s to below 50K, washing away the last illusions.

Patience is the most valuable asset at this stage.

#币安LaunchpoolSXT
SXT: A Seed Player in the Trustworthy Revolution of Web3 Data

Space and Time (SXT) is a Web3 data platform strategically supported by Microsoft, featuring Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZK) + decentralized database technology, uniquely positioned in the field of trustworthy off-chain data computation.

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Launchpool Quick Participation Highlights
• Short mining time, high efficiency: only 2 days, low threshold for early participation.
• BNB main pool returns can reach 85%, suitable for existing BNB users.
• Up to 220,000 SXT can be mined daily, with transparent rewards distributed in real-time.
• A total of 125 million SXT will be issued, accounting for 2.5% of the total supply, with a gradual release pace afterwards.

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Project Value Highlights
• Top-notch endorsement: Collaboration with Microsoft, high institutional attention.
• Technical scarcity: Focus on "ZK + Data Verification", filling the gap of trustworthy off-chain data.
• Strong token utility: Payment services, governance participation, and ecological incentives, a trinity.

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Listing Potential Expectations
• Initial circulating supply accounts for only 28%, controlled supply benefits price performance.
• Spot trading will go live on May 8 at 21:00, with five major trading pairs launched simultaneously.
• Clear marketing budget reserves indicate sustained new user acquisition momentum.

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SXT is a rising star in the Web3 data sector, characterized by "trustworthy data + strong endorsement", combining technological breakthroughs with investment imagination, making it a priority for users seeking potential and compliant opportunities.
$BNB
$USDC

#加密市场回调
This is not a technical correction; it is a typical moment when smart money starts to flee, and dumb money has just been trapped.

1. Hot money fleeing, scams going to zero: This round of correction directly exposes that 99% of coins have no value; the surge relied entirely on storytelling, and now no one believes it anymore.
2. Regulatory crackdown, faith cooling: The U.S. stablecoin bill is on the verge, and the entire crypto market feels like it has been 'acupressured', even DeFi is silent.
3. Institutions changing their stance, market vacuum: After the ETF launch, the 'cash-out party' is over, leaving behind high-position chips with no one to take them and investors being cut down.

The correction is not the end, but the beginning of the 'second half of the false bull market':
Rising relies on fantasy, falling reveals the truth—this round of correction has just begun to clear the market, and the real bull market consists of coins that survive after a round of death.

#美国稳定币法案
The United States is not regulating stablecoins; it is taking over stablecoins through legislation, transforming them into a 'digital dollar diplomatic tool,' reshaping the global financial order.

【Core】:
• Stablecoins = extension of the dollar: By regulating compliant stablecoins like USDC, the United States aims to make stablecoins 'digital dollar ammunition,' enhancing the global control of the dollar.
• Algorithmic stablecoins are banned: Purely algorithmic stablecoins (such as Luna/Terra) have been legislatively banned; control must rest with the U.S. government and financial giants.
• Who can issue coins is decided by the U.S.: Under the federal licensing system, stablecoin issuers must be 'endorsed' by the U.S. government; operating without a license is illegal.
• Reserves must be U.S. Treasuries: Stablecoin reserves can only be in U.S. cash or government bonds, essentially absorbing global liquidity to finance the U.S.
• Global financial regulatory 'reshuffling' begins: The U.S. sets the rules first, forcing the world to align, with Europe, Hong Kong, and Singapore passively following.

This is not just a simple financial bill; it is the first trump card played by the U.S. in the new order of digital finance.

$USDC
Currently in a somewhat awkward but highly representative stage: it is one of the most compliant and transparent stablecoins, yet it is gradually being marginalized in a market that is becoming increasingly impatient with 'compliance'.

Since the end of 2024, the sentiment in the crypto market has warmed up, and a large amount of capital has returned to high-risk assets and non-compliant sectors. $USDT, with its liquidity and privacy, has once again become the main trading medium, while $USDC has seen a decline in exchange activity and DeFi usage frequency. Although Circle has successfully promoted USDC's compliance status in the United States and the European Union, compliance does not bring traffic; rather, it imposes restrictions—KYC thresholds and review mechanisms have caused it to lose favor with native crypto users.

On the other hand, USDC's strategy is shifting from 'DeFi currency' to 'Web2.5 infrastructure': it is being integrated by traditional payment systems like Visa and Stripe, gradually filling the gaps in the SWIFT system for cross-border settlement and off-chain payments, which is also a key bargaining chip for it to remain 'in the game'.

#山寨币ETF展望
The prospects for altcoin ETFs are gradually becoming clearer in the current market environment, as the U.S. regulatory attitude becomes more lenient, leading to a significant increase in market expectations for their approval. Especially in the context of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs opening up successively, investor interest in mainstream altcoin ETFs such as Solana, XRP, and DOGE is rapidly rising, as they believe these could become important channels for capital inflow.

This trend reflects the increasing recognition of crypto assets by traditional financial markets and indicates that the crypto market is about to enter a more mature and regulated development stage. Once altcoin ETFs are established, they will not only promote the revaluation of related cryptocurrencies but may also boost the overall risk appetite in the crypto industry, becoming a key catalyst for a stronger cryptocurrency market in the second half of 2025.

However, regulatory uncertainty and the inherent volatility of the projects remain major sources of risk, and market sentiment and policy dynamics will continue to influence the pace and depth of the ETF process. Overall, altcoin ETFs have moved from concept to the edge of reality, and the coming months will be a critical observation period.

#非农就业数据来袭
The U.S. Department of Labor released the April non-farm payroll report on May 2, 2025, showing that the U.S. added 177,000 non-farm jobs, significantly higher than the market expectation of 138,000, although slightly down from the revised 185,000 in March.

Overview of April Non-Farm Employment Data
• New jobs added: 177,000, exceeding the expected 138,000.
• Unemployment rate: Remained at 4.2%, unchanged from the previous value.
• Average hourly wage: Year-on-year growth of 3.8%, month-on-month growth of 0.2%, both below expectations.
• Data revision for the previous two months: The job growth data for February and March was revised down by a total of 58,000.

Industry Performance and Trends
• Healthcare: New jobs added 51,000, continuing to lead.
• Transportation and Warehousing: New jobs added 29,000, the largest increase since December of last year.
• Financial activities: New jobs added 14,000, indicating robust growth in the financial services sector.
• Manufacturing: Employment decreased by 1,000, reflecting the challenges faced by the industry.
• Federal Government: Employment decreased by 9,000, marking the third consecutive month of layoffs, primarily influenced by the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) policy.

Market Reaction and Policy Outlook
• Stock Market: Boosted by strong employment data, the U.S. stock market rose, with the S&P 500 index increasing by 1.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 1.3%.
• Bond Market: U.S. Treasury yields rose, reflecting investor optimism about the economic outlook.
• Dollar Index: Slightly decreased, indicating market adjustments to expectations regarding Federal Reserve monetary policy.
• Federal Reserve Policy: Given the robust performance of the job market, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates in July, rather than the previously anticipated June.

In Summary

Although the April non-farm employment data was strong, indicating resilience in the U.S. labor market, the downward revision of data from the previous two months and the decrease in employment in the manufacturing and government sectors suggest that economic growth is facing some pressure. Additionally, the Trump administration's tariff policy has not yet had a significant impact on the job market, but it may have a lagging effect on the economy in the coming months.
The April non-farm employment data exceeded expectations, reflecting the robustness of the U.S. economy in the face of policy uncertainty and external challenges.

#数字资产法案
Global digital asset regulation is undergoing a profound transformation, with multiple countries and regions introducing relevant legislation aimed at balancing innovation and risk control. The following is the current analysis of digital asset legislation in the cryptocurrency sector:
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Overview of Legislation and Regulatory Trends
1. United States 'Financial Innovation and Technology Act of the 21st Century' (FIT21)
This legislation aims to establish a unified regulatory framework for digital assets, clarifying the distinction between commodities and securities. However, the Biden administration and SEC Chairman Gary Gensler oppose it, believing it undermines investor protection and could lead to regulatory arbitrage.
2. Pennsylvania Passes Digital Asset Regulatory Legislation
This state legislation clarifies the regulatory rules for digital assets, protects residents' asset custody rights, and allows the use of Bitcoin for payments. This move provides clear guidance for the development of cryptocurrency.
3. California Digital Financial Assets Bill
This legislation requires crypto companies to obtain operating licenses and prohibits the use of non-bank issued stablecoins, aiming to strengthen regulation of the crypto market.
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Market Response and Controversial Focus
• Industry Support and Opposition Coexist
Major cryptocurrency companies such as Gemini, Kraken, and Coinbase support the FIT21 legislation, believing it contributes to industry development. However, some lawmakers and regulatory agencies are concerned that the legislation may weaken investor protection.  
• Redefinition of Regulatory Authority
The FIT21 legislation attempts to redefine the regulatory authority of the CFTC and SEC, clarifying that most digital currencies are commodities regulated by the CFTC. This has raised concerns about regulatory overlap and regulatory arbitrage. 
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International Perspective and Future Outlook
• Global Regulatory Tightening
New U.S. laws grant the president the power to block access to digital assets and provide a broad definition of digital assets, which could have far-reaching impacts on the cryptocurrency industry.
• Industry Needs to Strengthen Compliance and Transparency
With the strengthening of regulations, cryptocurrency companies need to enhance compliance and transparency to adapt to the new regulatory environment.
$BTC
$BNB

$SOL

Japanese artist Yua Mikami will officially launch her personal meme coin $MIKAMI on the Solana blockchain on April 30, 2025, at 11:00 AM (Singapore time). The token will be issued in a presale format, allowing users to subscribe by sending SOL to a designated address. The token price will be determined based on the total amount raised and the number of available tokens. As of 3:30 PM, the amount raised has exceeded 13,800 SOL, approximately 2.03 million USD.

Token distribution and usage:
• 50% allocated to Yua Mikami herself, locked until 2069;
• 20% for presale;
• 15% for providing liquidity;
• 10% for community development;
• 5% for marketing.

The project plans include launching a fan interaction platform, AI virtual agents, token burn mechanisms, etc., aiming to combine fan economy with blockchain technology.