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The peak of the bull market will be in 2025, not 2024.

Don’t underestimate the macro impact. First, the high interest rate of the Federal Reserve has high loan costs for the US dollar, reduced loans, and tight liquidity.

Second, the high cost of deposits, people tend to deposit funds in banks, and liquidity is tight.

Third, the deposit interest rate is high, and people tend to sell US bonds and deposit them in banks. US bonds will fall in price. But the yield on US bonds at maturity is recorded on the face value and is unchanged. Because the yield on US bonds will rise (in fact, the increase in the yield on US bonds means that US bonds are worthless).

The 10-year US bond yield is recognized globally as a risk-free asset. When the yield on risk-free assets increases, global risk assets tend to fall in price.

Of course, due to the previous excessive release of water and the influence of BTC ETF, the big cake may still rise. However, this does not affect the stagnation of the cottage.

The bad news is that the cottage performance is not as good as the big cake. The good news is that the bull market is still far away, and we still have the opportunity to absorb funds. When the money is released, the funds will gradually enter the market.

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to get involved can click on the avatar to discuss #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

2024.4.13 Cryptocurrency Events, Get the News First!

● Hong Kong's Bitcoin spot ETF will be traded as early as the end of April, and the Ethereum spot ETF will be traded as early as May.

● Ethereum is about to be updated and is expected to be launched at the end of 2024 or early 2025, mainly to improve wallet functions

● The US dollar index DXY stood above the 106 mark, hitting a new high since November last year

● The escalating conflict between Israel and Iran has increased the possibility of war. Therefore, the progress of projects related to Israel is relatively slow. $ORBS

● Hong Kong regulators may approve spot ETFs based on Bitcoin and Ethereum as early as Monday, according to Bloomberg.

● $BNB - Binance announced that it will launch $OMNI Launchpool on April 13.

● $CRE - Carry Protocol announced a merger with SLG.Games $SLG to enhance its gaming infrastructure. The merger vote is scheduled for April 14.

● $ELF - aelf announced a shift to AI and deployed a $50 million ecosystem fund.

● $GMT - Stepn revealed that it will release an important announcement on April 15.

● $KMD - Komodo is discussing key governance changes such as "fee increase and burn" and the transition from "PoW to PoS".

● $NMT - NetMind AI announced new token economics on April 16. The issuance will adjust the total supply from the previous 10 billion to approximately 150 million $NMT, including the current circulation.

● $MNT - Bybit announced that it will launch the $PBUX Launchpad on April 18.

● $STRAX - Stratis announced that they will officially release their AI-driven Web3 game, codenamed Project Atlantis, next week.

● $TON - TON Foundation announced a strategic partnership with HashKey Group to enhance the TON ecosystem.

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry. You can consult me ​​for free on any question. If you want to join me, please click on my avatar to discuss with me. #比特币减半

What caused Pendle to surge this time?

Pendle benefits from the current boom in Ethereum equity re-staking. Ethena launched its yield pool on Pendle, and Ethena's stablecoin USDe increased the platform's total locked value by more than $500 million!

Pendle's weETH assets have grown by 13% in the past week to $920 million! ​​​

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to join the discussion can click on the avatar #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

How much Bitcoin was sold at night, and how much Bitcoin was bought back during the day, so why didn't it continue to rise? What about the buyers? What is the truth of the market?
First of all, it is an iron rule that there will be a correction if it rises too much. Second, the fact that buyers did not buy at a new high all at once shows that they are not determined, and they only buy slowly 4 hours after the decline, which shows that buyers are still hesitating about the sellers' selling pressure, and they buy tentatively, which gives the market the illusion of a long market.
Third, we look at the buying and selling time period, and it also falls. Buying during the day, buying and selling have changed regions, which shows that there are real European and American institutions selling. Exclude the left hand from the right hand.
Fourth, the rise of Ethereum shows that the funds are not rushing to the new high of Bitcoin, and no one is willing to pull Bitcoin to a new high. Choosing Ethereum is likely to be a speculative behavior.
Fifth, as retail investors, we cannot reverse the trend. The general trend is that Bitcoin will be 150,000 in 2025, and it will rise back to around 100,000 by the end of the year.
Sixth, miners have been selling in the short term, because miners know that there will be Bitcoin below the mining cost after halving, and it is okay to follow the miners. Finally, a warm reminder, our industry wants to make real money, not just talk. If you want to get rich in 2025, remember one thing, make a good layout, this is much easier than practicing a skill for 10,000 hours. If you can't do this, I can't help you.

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to join Junyang, click on the avatar to discuss together #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

I have summarized several consensuses that have been overturned so far:
1. Speculate on new, not old
2. Buy value coins
3. Buy with institutions
4. Meme has no value
5. A bull market every 4 years
6. Retail investors can never beat institutions
7. Bitcoin market share determines altcoins
8. Ethereum is a signal of altcoin explosion
You may have heard the above 8 consensuses from any blogger, because these points have been a consensus for a long time, and people who think they are a little bit awesome will use this as an example to judge the development of the market.
But what I want to say is that you must forget these 8 points in this bull market, and you must clear the historical data in your brain. The so-called consensus is actually used to continuously build and break. If you can keep up with the rhythm of the market, you are the king.
From pepe to ordi, there are even many thousand-fold coins that I have not participated in or even heard of. After opening up your own information gap, jump out of your old thinking to welcome the "new bull market"!
Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry. You can consult for free on any question. If you want to join me, please click on my avatar to discuss with me. #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Is cryptocurrency trading really just a game of wealth explosion?
Let me tell you a legendary story of a boy from Yunnan!
With 50,000 yuan in capital, I, a free man who once wandered between Kunming and Dali, made a huge sum of 4 million yuan in this crazy cryptocurrency circle! Yes, you heard it right, 4 million yuan! When I was in college, I just saved this little capital by doing some small projects, such as Taobao customers and order-brushing. But after entering the cryptocurrency circle, this little money became my weapon to turn the tide!
Why choose the cryptocurrency circle? Because I know that if you want to really change your destiny, you must dare to challenge the limits and dare to get involved in this field full of opportunities and risks! In this battlefield, if you can't make a lot of money, then for ordinary people, it may be really difficult to turn over in this life!
Small amount of funds? No problem! I rely on the huge volatility of the market and my accurate judgment. Although the volatility of the cryptocurrency circle is not as crazy as in the past, it can still make people rich overnight! When it falls, I respond calmly and control risks; when it rises, I act decisively and make huge profits!
What is so difficult about making a fortune by speculating in cryptocurrencies? It is difficult to control one's inner greed, to stick to one's own investment path, and to have extraordinary patience! But in this market, volatility is the best opportunity for those of us with limited funds! It is not easy to make a fortune, but as long as we have the way in our hearts and the skills in our hands, we can ride the wind and waves in this ocean and go straight to the gold mountain!
My experience may give you some inspiration for those who want to get involved in the cryptocurrency circle: on the road to pursuing wealth, calmness and rationality are your amulets; firm goals and extreme patience are your magic weapon for winning!
Success is not accidental, but the crystallization of choice and hard work! In the cryptocurrency circle, you must have vision, courage and team!
Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to be caught Junyang, click on the avatar to discuss together #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Eight iron rules of the currency circle
First, for those currencies with complicated situations and unclear understanding, never rush in. Pick the soft persimmon to squeeze, the same is true for currency speculation
Second, do not buy all your money into the same currency at one time, even if you are very optimistic about it, and later prove that you are right, do not buy it all at once. Because abnormalities change rapidly, no one knows what will happen tomorrow
Third, it is recommended to pay less attention to currencies that are not on the upward track. No matter what happens in the future, don't accompany the main force to build a position. Retail investors don't have time to waste with them
Fourth, don't fantasize that you can make money and always do short-term trading, in and out every day. Frequent entry and exit may bring you pleasure, but it will make you lose a lot of money. The only benefit is the exchange, and you will not have such a high level, and you are not a dealer. Don't buy too many currencies, preferably no more than 10, you don't have so much energy to watch them. It's like if you want to marry five wives, even if you are in good health, you can't satisfy your wives. Wei Xiaobao's story only happened in novels
Fifth, this coin is very cheap, it has fallen a lot, it is not a reason for you to buy, never!!! It may be even cheaper!!!
Sixth, this coin is very expensive, it has risen a lot, it is not a reason for you to refuse to buy or sell. It may rise even higher!!!
Advice:
1. Don't sell bull coins easily, first choose bull coins, get halfway, do both hot and strong coins, invest and speculate, get the whole way
2. The most important thing for a trader is the ability to respond during the trading
3. Qualitative analysis must be done well. Qualitative analysis of large cycles, weekly coin selection, monthly identification, daily tracking
4. Follow the rules, use Bollinger or the moving average you think is feasible to see the market
5. There is no way to teach ability, it all depends on technical skills, repeat successful experience, make money a habit, and make money frequently is more important than making a lot of money

Six years of experience in the currency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to clamp Junyang click on the avatar to discuss together #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Selling secret formula:
(I) Three peaks on top, sell first
(II) Brothers shave their heads, the currency cannot be kept
(III) Double peaks touch the sky, fall in front of you
(IV) Dark clouds cover the top, sell quickly
(V) Long Yin and stars, sell to escape
(VI) Long arrows shoot the sky, fall in front of you
(VII) High position with large volume, the currency price is close to the top
(VIII) High position with double large volume, sell quickly
(IX) The upper and lower dead cross, the currency price will collapse
(X) Eighty plus a large volume, the currency should be polished
(XI) Three hundred cci, sell when the volume is large
(XII) Bollinger penetrates the top, selling is important
(XIII) Double peaks strangle the neck, you have to sell
(XIV) Three lines meet to go down the mountain, the outlook is not optimistic
(XV) Three charts with dead cross, don't delay selling the currency

Six years of experience in the currency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to clamp Junyang click on the avatar to discuss together #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Things you must know about the cryptocurrency circle
1. MEME board DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI, BONK
2. AI board AGIX, WLD, FET, AI, NMR
3. Public chain board ETH, SOL, MATIC, FTM, ADA, AVAX, DOT, ATOM
4. LAYER2 board OP, ARB, METIS, IMX, MANTA, EGLD, MNT
5. 2024 halving board BCH, BSV, ZEC, ZEN, BTG, BHC, LTC
6. GAMEFI board SAND, MANA, GALA,
ENJ, RON, PIXEL, ACE, ILV, MAGIC, YGG
7. Oracle board TRB, LINK, API3, TRB, BAND
8. Payment concept board MOB, ACH, XLM, CELO
9. Inscription board ORDI, SATS, RATS
10. Storage sector AR, FIL, STORJ, BLZ
11. DEFI sector AAVE, COMP, RDNT, CRV, MKR, AVAX, DYDX
12. NFT sector BLUR, DYDX, LOOKS, DEGO13. Modular sector TIA, MANTA, DYM, ALT, 14. Sports sector CHZ, SANTOS, POR, CITY, 0G
Once you make a profit, you must hold it firmly. As long as you hold on, no one can easily cut your leeks. Remember, don't be distracted, and half-heartedness will only miss opportunities. Only with firm beliefs can you laugh at the market.

Six years of experience in the currency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to clamp Junyang click on the avatar to discuss together #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

The start period of the bull run after the last three halvings:
- The bull run started 48 days after the 2012 halving.
- In 2016, the bull run started 259 days after the halving.
- After the 2020 halving, the bull run started 149 days later.
The next halving is expected to be around the corner in 2024, with an estimated date of April 19. Taking the average time period of the last three halvings after the start of the bull run (152 days, or nearly 5 months), this suggests that the 2024 bull run should start about 5 months later, around September.
There are 7 days left until the Bitcoin halving, and when I look at the past halving chart, it sees a severe decline for 3 consecutive days. Now, take it out of your hands while the Bitcoin price is good, and you will recover from the bottom in 10 days.
I did my research, and you can do the same thing, and we will see these numbers again, but why wait, exit now and buy from the bottom later.
I especially remind my friends who invest in altcoins to be careful. When Bitcoin falls 1%, altcoins fall 10%.
When Bitcoin falls 20%, you calculate and study how much percentage altcoins will fall.
Look at the past altcoin charts to see how things are going. Now, wait on the scales and watch the decline, which is more enjoyable. After 10 days, when the waters calm down, you can do your own research and collect the goods from the bottom. I did my own research and I would advise you not to lose your goods to whales.

Six years of experience in the currency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to clamp Junyang click the avatar to discuss #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Data interpretation

Initial circulation: 10,391,492 OMNI (10.39% of the maximum supply of tokens)

Total mining: 3,500,000 OMNI (3.5% of the maximum supply of tokens)

FDUSD can mine a total of 525,000 OMNI

Looking back on the past, 2.8 billion 🔪 pledged in the previous period. 10,000 mined 1.875 omni

If the opening price of omni is 30u, the market value is 300 million dollars, and 10,000 mined 50u. It is similar to the bottom of fdusd at 0.9980

Above 50u, it’s really comfortable.

From the perspective of fdusd only

Bnb is long-term, don’t worry, it’s all free anyway

Temporary purchase of bnb mining = sb. Temporary purchase of fdusd at the top of the mountain = sb.

The core of making money is still to extend the timeline.

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry. You can consult for free on any question. If you want to join me, please click on my avatar to discuss. #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Crypto Events April 11

• $KAS - Kaspa Network is about to launch.

• $ERN - There will be news in 6 days, which may be related to rebranding.

• $SAGA - A snapshot of $SAGA staking users will be taken in April.

• $BTC - Hong Kong will approve the first batch of spot Bitcoin ETFs on April 15.

• $THETA - Partnering with Aethir to launch AI and DePIN hybrid GPU market.

• $UNI - Uniswap Labs received a warning from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

• $BONK - Bonk announced an official partnership with Paris Musketeers (football team).

• $CYBER - Launched Cyber ​​re-staking, supporting Renzo, Purffer, Ethfi LRT asset deposits.

• $ALT - Swell launches Swell L2 deposits, users can stake $ALT and $ETH to unlock $SWELL airdrops.

• $AERO - Slipstream will be released on April 22, which will improve the capital efficiency of stable pools and less volatile assets.
Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, any questions can be consulted for free, friends who want to join the discussion, click the avatar #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

What we need to prepare in the last few days of BTC halving!

1. If you are already fully invested and continue to be optimistic about the future development of the currency circle, then you should start to rush U now, and the food and grass should be sent before the troops move!

2. If you are a short-term player and are afraid of short-term ups and downs, you can clear your position and wait and see before the halving, and then enter the market at the right time. As the saying goes, if you leave the green mountains, you will not be afraid of running out of firewood!

3. If you are a contract player, then you have to pay attention. There will definitely be pins and pins before and after the halving. It is recommended to close the order before going to bed at night. This is called being cautious!

4. If you are a pure novice, seeing that BTC has hit a record high, you are full of blood and want to rush into the currency circle to share a piece of the pie, Chongge suggests that you first follow Chongge’s official account: Xiangyangersheng LINK666, first learn the knowledge of the currency circle, and make up for it! Lay a solid foundation for yourself! This is called a towering building from the ground, and glory can only rely on yourself!

5. Fans of Chongge's internal group just need to wait for my notification!

We grasped the last Ethereum Cancun upgrade. Let's see how I can take you to the top in this Bitcoin halving!

Six years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle. You can consult for free on any questions. If you want to join Junyang, click on the avatar to discuss together. #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据

Breaking news🎇, the third wave of Bitcoin ecosystem wealth opportunities is coming! There is a very certain money-making opportunity in April.
That is the Bitcoin ecosystem explosion, and the exact time should be around the Bitcoin halving at the end of April and the beginning of May.
What will happen during this period, Abi will answer you one by one, because Casey's rune protocol will be launched, and then a series of Bitcoin second-layer chains such as Merlin and B2 will return the pledged funds and go online on the main network one after another. More Bitcoin ecosystem applications will take advantage of this time period to issue coins, and these events will bring a lot of heat to the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Let's look at this from the perspective of sector rotation. This round of bull market started from the first wave, October 2023, and the Bitcoin ecosystem in this round of bull market was the inscription hype boom in October last year, and then inscriptions fell silent in December.
The second wave started two weeks before the Spring Festival, 3 months after the first wave, and the Bitcoin ecosystem exploded due to the wealth effect brought by the Bitcoin 2nd layer chain led by Merlin.
The third wave, the Bitcoin halving time at the end of April and the beginning of May, is exactly 3 months apart, so the time difference is still very elegant, so Abi judges that Bitcoin will take off again before and after the halving. It is a very strong event.
Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss for free Junyang #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据 #Meme

During this period, meme coins have risen dramatically. Everyone knows that meme coins are pure air. Why do investors like to speculate? It has risen a lot. Even ordinary retail investors dare not chase high. Why can it continue to rise?

Take the recent meme coin market as an example. They have fully washed the market and there are not many institutional chips. The dealer has pushed the market up 10 times in just a few trading days. Many funds think that meme is pure air and short sell a lot. The dealer uses the advantage of funds to push up the spot price. At the same time, they squeeze out the short in the derivatives market. The derivatives market is almost harvested, and then sell the spot to kill the market. In particular, for varieties with leveraged trading, don’t guess the top and bottom against the trend. It’s really a mantis trying to stop a car

Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss for free Junyang #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据 #Meme

Why is it difficult to achieve more than 10 times profit in spot short-term trading?

First, even if short-term traders successfully escape at the top of the market, they may not be able to buy back in time when the market falls. This is because human nature is averse to losses.

When the price of the currency falls slightly, they are reluctant to buy because they do not want to face possible further losses. When the price of the currency falls sharply, they may be more afraid and dare not buy.

Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss Junyang for free #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据 #Meme

The 4 truths that retail investors have to admit in the violent bull market!
1. How high can Bitcoin go in this bull market? My personal opinion is: at least 200,000 US dollars.
2. Will the bull-bear cycle every four years be broken by these large institutions after entering the market? The probability is more than 65%
3. Prices will only get higher and higher, and retail investors will have fewer and fewer opportunities to participate, and they may just slap their thighs later.
4. Will there be a drop of more than 50% in this bull market? As far as Bitcoin is concerned, the probability is very small. These wealth giants are holding their customers' money and they also want to make money, and their customers don't want to lose money.

Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss Junyang for free #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #非农数据 #Meme

Will sats take off!
There is no doubt that it is certain, meme is the leader in the market fluctuations!
The market value of sats is not high, and there is not much increase after listing on Binance. The traffic in the bull market will rotate. Taking a step back, it is considered the second dragon of BRC20. Compared with the second dragon of the meme coin track, or the second dragon of other tracks, it must not be bad. The story of BRC20 will definitely continue to hype!
ordi200 US dollars is not a dream, and sats breaking zero is not a problem. The main sats is also a meme!

Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss Junyang for free #大盘走势 #非农数据 #新币挖矿 #Meme

How high can CORE rise in 30 days

The rise of CORE coin in recent days is amazing. The reason is that everyone is full of confidence in the prospects of CORE coin.
CORE coin has the same origin as BTC. No matter from which aspect, its future is far ahead of a lot of copycat (air) coins.
Many copycat coins will soar in price just by relying on a concept or a few vague descriptions.
CORE coin is endorsed by Satoshi Nakamoto and guaranteed by the credit of BTC. It can be said that its future prospects are immeasurable.
When most of the CORE coin issuance is concentrated, that is, it is concentrated in the hands of a few people, its price will rise by leaps and bounds.
Due to various reasons, the circulation of CORE coin tends to decrease, such as the death of CORE coin holders or forgetting wallet passwords, etc...
It is inevitable that there will always be some short-sighted people who choose to sell their CORE coins at a certain period or time, which provides favorable conditions for the coins to be concentrated.
CORE coin is controlled by a few people, and the amount of CORE coin in existence is decreasing according to common sense, so the future price of CORE coin will definitely rise. How much can CORE rise in 30 days

The rise of CORE coin in recent days is amazing, and the reason is that everyone is full of confidence in the prospects of CORE coin.
CORE coin has the same origin as BTC. No matter from which aspect, its future is far ahead of a lot of copycat (air) coins.
Many copycat coins will soar in price just by relying on a concept or a few vague descriptions.
CORE coin is endorsed by Satoshi Nakamoto and guaranteed by the credit of BTC. It can be said that the future prospects are immeasurable.
When most of the CORE coin issuance is concentrated, that is, controlled by a few people, its price will rise by leaps and bounds.
Due to various reasons, the circulation of CORE coins tends to decrease, such as the death of CORE coin holders or forgetting wallet passwords, etc.
It is inevitable that there will always be some short-sighted people who choose to sell their CORE coins at a certain period or time, which provides favorable conditions for the coins to be centralized.
CORE coins are centralized by a few people, and the number of CORE coins in existence is decreasing according to common sense, so the future price of CORE coins will definitely rise.
Six years of deep cultivation in the currency circle, any questions can be communicated and consulted, click the avatar, follow, and discuss Junyang for free