X-波段王清瑶

Key Levels for Long and Short:

Resistance Levels: 2.4065 (recent high), 2.4288 (previous high)
Support Levels: 2.3908 (intraday low), 2.3320 (strong support for the week)
Operation Suggestions:
1. Focus on short-term observation, waiting for a breakout above 2.4065 or a drop below 2.3908 to confirm direction
2. If it breaks above 2.4288 with increased volume, it may turn into an upward trend
3. If it drops below the 2.3320 support, it will strengthen the downward trend

The little air force, a big grievance! Close to 4000 points of flood discharge! Just reminded everyone how much they made by shorting! Finally, the farmers also sang a song of their turnaround! The drop has almost finished! The recently entered position can almost take profits! Qing Yao's earlier 5000 short is still in a shallow passive state! Not planning to earn too much, just feedback for a big profit! During the early morning phase, it's just one word: wait!

What does this mean! 110,000 is not going? Just give the Air Force 3,000 points of warmth first!

May 21, 2025, Bitcoin is hitting near historical highs

Observers, if you dare not short at this position, will you regret it when you look back on this day?

I can understand that you are hesitant to short in the 100,000-108,000 range, but what are you hesitating about at this position? Even a small position, I think it’s okay to short once, so that life has no regrets, just do it... ​​​

In the afternoon, Bitcoin surged strongly, breaking through previous highs, reaching a maximum of 107950 before coming under pressure and moving downward, currently around 106500. After multiple upward breakthroughs, it has encountered strong resistance, hindering further upward movement, leading to a brief return to a fluctuating adjustment structure. On the four-hour line, although there has been continuous upward movement, it has also been accompanied by pullbacks, with resistance above preventing breakthroughs, so the evening still leans towards high-frequency operations.

Operation Suggestions
Bitcoin: Short around 107000 to 107500, target 106000 to 105000.

Ethereum: Short around 2560 to 2580, target 2510 to 2480.

From a specific period observation, BTC has repeatedly tested below the historical high of $110,000. Despite multiple refreshes of the high points and infinitely approaching the $110,000 mark, the subsequent retracement trends have also released considerable price pullback space. From this perspective, there is a possibility that the current market is creating a false breakout to lure in buyers.

Currently, the market is very likely to enter a wide-ranging oscillation phase with a 4-hour cycle. In this pattern, $110,000 has become a significant resistance level, while $100,000 has established a key support line. These two price ranges have become the core battleground for both bulls and bears to determine the market direction. It is worth noting that, based on the trends reflected in the liquidation map data, there is a potential risk of the market falling below the $100,000 mark. Therefore, investors with a 'chasing highs and betting on rises' mentality must closely monitor the market dynamics and maintain a high degree of caution.

The sharp drop of BTC is inevitable
The rise in the short term is also in line with expectations
I have always emphasized that before the bull market arrives, BTC will experience a significant drop, and this drop will be exceptionally crazy. ETH will directly hit three digits, and BTC will reach new lows. Many people do not believe it, thinking that I have been bearish, and they even say that isn't it a bull market now? Is it really a bull market now? Clearly not, why?
1. Have you ever seen a bull market where only BTC rises and other coins do not? Look at BTC rising from 74000 to 107000, an increase of 33000 dollars, while other altcoins have only risen by a few points. During the surge last November, countless altcoins multiplied several times, and now altcoins have only risen by a few points. Is this a bull market?
2. Have you noticed that favorable news has been frequently appearing lately? Tariffs have been relaxed, the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates, etc. Why are these positive news released at the high point of BTC? Isn’t this just a way to get people to buy in? Do you remember what news was around when BTC was near 74000? Trump was going to increase tariffs globally, then the delay of 90 days on tariffs was fake news, Powell's speech was ambiguous, and the stock market plummeted, etc. Why was there all bad news at 74000 and not favorable news?
3. From 74000 to 107000, this round of increase did not have a significant pullback, it basically went straight up. In the context of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates and Japan about to raise interest rates, this big pull-up is clearly manipulated by the big players. In a market where liquidity has not increased, they are desperately pushing the price up. This is obviously wrong, with so many trapped positions above, pushing up to let those trapped sell, and then taking all retail investors along for the ride? This is obviously not the goal of the main force. The purpose of pushing it up is to trap more people, preparing for the subsequent big drop.
4. Every time a bull market approaches, there will be a deep and severe drop, to wash away the trapped positions and retail investors. In the last bull market, BTC was halved before it surged. This time, the cleansing will also be very thorough. The main force will not pull up such heavy positions together, so don’t be anxious. BTC has not yet pulled back, has not yet seen a spike down, and has not yet halved. The real bull market will only appear after the big drop.
Let me remind you: the short-term rise will not change the large trend of the big drop, and a big drop does not mean that it won’t rise now.

Bitcoin futures open interest surged to $72 billion, indicating that institutional leverage is continuously increasing, and market sentiment is becoming increasingly optimistic. The current price is close to $107,000, with approximately $1.2 billion in short positions facing liquidation risk. If it breaks through key resistance levels, it may trigger a 'short squeeze' rally. The current macro backdrop also supports bullish sentiment: the U.S. debt issue remains unresolved, long-term Treasury demand is weak, and the Federal Reserve may be forced to intervene, which undoubtedly puts pressure on the dollar and encourages funds to flow into Bitcoin and other hedge assets. In addition, some countries and institutions are gradually allocating part of their gold or fiat currency reserves into Bitcoin. If this trend continues, just a 5% inflow of gold could bring hundreds of billions in incremental funds. Driven by the resonance of institutions and macro factors, breaking through the historical high for Bitcoin is no longer a fantasy. There may be significant volatility in the short term, but the medium to long-term trend remains promising. However, caution is still needed as the $110,000 mark may experience a significant pullback.

Bitcoin futures open interest surged to $72 billion, indicating that institutional leverage is continuously increasing, and market sentiment is becoming increasingly optimistic. The current price is close to $107,000, with approximately $1.2 billion in short positions facing liquidation risk. If it breaks through key resistance levels, it may trigger a 'short squeeze' rally. The current macro backdrop also supports bullish sentiment: the U.S. debt issue remains unresolved, long-term Treasury demand is weak, and the Federal Reserve may be forced to intervene, which undoubtedly puts pressure on the dollar and encourages funds to flow into Bitcoin and other hedge assets. In addition, some countries and institutions are gradually allocating part of their gold or fiat currency reserves into Bitcoin. If this trend continues, just a 5% inflow of gold could bring hundreds of billions in incremental funds. Driven by the resonance of institutions and macro factors, breaking through the historical high for Bitcoin is no longer a fantasy. There may be significant volatility in the short term, but the medium to long-term trend remains promising. However, caution is still needed as the $110,000 mark may experience a significant pullback.

I really can't believe it, I was only 200 points away from getting the orange. Didn't move during the day, but started jumping around at night, is the monkey here! Can't stand it anymore, added a hand at an average price now around 5000! You pull as you like, I'm still saying three words: rebound short, long-term empty! No bull to pull, just wolves coming! $BTC $ETH $BNB

💥Breaking! June Fed Rate Cut Expectations Soar
There's been some big movement in the financial circle! Recently, discussions about a rate cut by the Fed in June have been heating up 🔥, so let's have a good chat about it today～
📊 First, let's look at the data. According to CME's "FedWatch Tool", the probability of maintaining the interest rate in June is as high as 91.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 8.3%. However, not long ago, traders had completely digested the expectation that the Fed would cut rates in June; this expectation was as thrilling as a roller coaster 🎢.
So why is there this expectation of a rate cut 🧐? Recent weak economic data and easing inflationary pressures have led the market to reassess the Fed's monetary policy. With increasing uncertainty in the global economy, a rate cut is seen as a "secret weapon" to stimulate economic growth. Once rates are cut, liquidity will increase, borrowing costs will decrease, and companies may be more willing to invest in expanding production. Consumers may also feel more confident to take out loans for consumption, which is a significant boon for economic recovery 💪.
However, things are not that simple. The rising expectations of a rate cut have also triggered some concerns. On one hand, excessive reliance on rate cuts raises worries about whether the economic fundamentals are too weak, especially since many places still have relatively high levels of debt. On the other hand, if these expectations change, the financial markets can become volatile. The stock market may rise due to reduced funding costs and improved economic expectations, but market volatility and uncertainty have also increased, potentially leading to a significant adjustment. As for the bond market, yields typically fall and prices rise. In the foreign exchange market, the dollar may depreciate, affecting global trade and capital flows.
For us investors, this situation is crucial. If the Fed really cuts rates in June, investment strategies will need to be adjusted accordingly. For instance, it may be worth considering an increase in the allocation of growth stocks, as rate cuts are beneficial for the development of these companies. In terms of bonds, long-term bonds might be a good choice, since yields will decrease and bond prices will rise. But if the rate cut expectations do not materialize, the market might have to "shake three times" again, so everyone must closely monitor the Fed's policy statements and adjust investment strategies in a timely manner based on economic data 🙌.

U.S. stocks opened lower across the board, and having 4000 in the basket is currently not a big deal, just wait for the bears to continue. It's been nearly half a month without any significant one-sided movement, so whether it's the basket or the market, we must not be greedy; take a bite when you can! $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛 #币安Alpha上新 #币安Alpha空投SOON

It has been a thrilling day! ➕ Added some margin to protect Chang! It's been a turbulent day, the downside space has opened up, let the bears be patient and wait!

MASK Coin Today's Market Commentary: Web3 Social Infrastructure Token Soars Violently, DWF Cooperation + Ecological Implementation

Today, the Web3 social infrastructure token MASK leads the small and mid-cap sector with a price of $1.77, becoming one of the most active trading targets in the crypto circle. This performance not only continues the recent rebound trend but also highlights MASK's core position in the decentralized social field.

The MASK price briefly broke through $1.82 before retreating to the $1.77 range, with a 24-hour turnover rate of 99.08 million tokens, indicating abundant market liquidity.
In addition, MASK's circulating market capitalization has exceeded $170 million, with its global market cap ranking rising to 336th, demonstrating its competitiveness in the Web3 social domain.

MASK's strong rise provides opportunities for swing trading, but close attention should be paid to the resistance level near $1.82; one should also monitor the actual application progress of MASK in Web3 social infrastructure.

The daily chart shows a quick rebound after testing around $102 yesterday, forming a long lower shadow bearish candlestick, indicating strong support below.

In the smaller time frame charts, multiple tests of this area have not broken through, and during the US trading session, the price surged again, approaching previous highs.

The daily chart maintains a fluctuating upward structure, with candlesticks still within an upward channel. The recent consolidation has gradually digested the technical divergence caused by the sharp rise at the beginning of the month.

On the 4-hour chart, after forming a double bottom pattern near $102, the price quickly rose and is currently under pressure near previous highs, showing some selling pressure in the short term. For today's strategy, support below is focused on the $104-$105 range, and resistance above is expected at $1065-$1075.

Recently, BTC is in a high-level consolidation phase. It is recommended to operate cautiously and strictly control entry points.

ETH: The daily chart has consecutively closed with long lower shadow "hammer" candlesticks for two days, showing clear signs of washing out. The previously indicated key support level for the phased adjustment at $2350 (secondary level $2280) has been validated. Recently, the price rebounded after accurately testing $2350 twice, and the daily chart completed three consecutive bullish candles, with the lows gradually rising, and technical indicators repairing the divergence from the moving average caused by the earlier rise.

On the 4-hour chart, after a quick rebound following the first test of $2350 in the early morning, the second test confirmed support during the Asian trading session, and then it entered a steady upward channel.

For today's operations, focus on the support zone of $2480-$2510, with the primary target above at $2600, and after breaking through, it can look towards $2650.

2025/5/20 #SOL Short-term (1-2 days) may welcome a technical rebound, but the medium-term is still in a volatile pattern.

Recommended focus:
Key resistance above: 170
Support below: 166
Currently more suitable for short-term swing trading rather than trend trading. Suggested actions:
1. Aggressive traders can try going long with a light position at 167-168, stop loss at 165.5
2. Conservative traders should wait for confirmation after breaking 170 before following in
3. Mid-term investors are advised to continue observing and wait for clearer trend signals.

【The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.4%】
According to CME 'FedWatch' on May 20, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 66.9%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 30.8% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 2.3%.

For short-term operations, just focus on switching between high and low points. This strategy has worked well in the past. If this week’s weekly candle closes bearish, it is highly likely to test the 100,000 level, at which point we will observe the subsequent strength of the trend.

Currently, a bearish trend in the small wave has formed, with the price at the 105,500 level. It is recommended to adopt a short strategy on rallies, with a target around 106,000, aiming for 103,000-101,000. If it breaks down, continue to look below 100,000!

If it rebounds, I will add! I added a position at the same level as the rice bucket! The average price is around 4000! Friends in the air force have gathered!

The rebound is coming! 103500 rebound has entered! The short-term first target is 102000! Light position! Light position! Light position! I have told you countless times about the important things! $BTC $ETH $SOL